Gleider Figuereo
3B Hub City Spartanburgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+/A2 orgs | 482 | .227/.310/.423 | 20 | 3 | 52 | — | .177/.240/.326 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+TEX | 464 | .201/.290/.353 | 18 | 6 | 28 | — | .155/.214/.262 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/A+TEX | 533 | .245/.343/.440 | 21 | 12 | 66 | — | .198/.264/.360 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBTEX | 1 | .194/.254/.341 | 0 | 0 | 63 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBTEX | 152 | .198/.260/.350 | 5 | 2 | 68 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBTEX | 238 | .201/.264/.356 | 8 | 3 | 70 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 190 | 156 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 358 | 359 | 717 | 128 | 272 | 16 | 15 | 325 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 208 | 478 | 312 | 31 | 8 | 228 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 146 | 125 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 280 | 371 | 616 | 987 | 336 | 302 | 23 | 10 | 414 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 450 | 396 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 132 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 220 | 304 | 323 | 627 | 104 | 299 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 213 | 198 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 263 | 364 | 627 | 157 | 246 | 26 | 6 | 280 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 269 | 230 | 56 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 74 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 348 | 474 | 822 | 230 | 301 | 28 | 13 | 360 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 464 | 408 | 82 | 8 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 132 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 201 | 290 | 353 | 643 | 152 | 243 | 28 | 9 | 289 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 40 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 343 | 410 | 600 | 1.010 | 257 | 435 | 28 | 8 | 429 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 493 | 426 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 60 | 111 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 237 | 338 | 427 | 765 | 190 | 275 | 23 | 12 | 341 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 190 | 164 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 140 | 246 | 201 | 447 | 61 | 169 | 20 | 11 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 26 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 160 | 352 | 304 | 42 | 4 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 146 | 131 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 191 | 259 | 420 | 679 | 229 | 225 | 33 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 450 | 407 | 75 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 176 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 184 | 252 | 258 | 510 | 74 | 290 | 39 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 213 | 203 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 158 | 197 | 286 | 483 | 128 | 207 | 35 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 269 | 240 | 46 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 273 | 358 | 632 | 167 | 268 | 36 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 464 | 427 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 168 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 155 | 214 | 262 | 476 | 108 | 204 | 36 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 40 | 36 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 385 | 583 | 968 | 250 | 400 | 32 | 5 | 370 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 493 | 450 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 145 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 187 | 255 | 342 | 597 | 156 | 228 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 190 | 164 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 140 | 246 | 201 | 447 | 61 | 173 | 20 | 11 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 190 | 156 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 231 | 358 | 359 | 717 | 128 | 272 | 16 | 15 | 325 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 172 | 155 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 187 | 254 | 381 | 635 | 194 | 239 | 34 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 172 | 149 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 41 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 268 | 355 | 550 | 905 | 282 | 304 | 24 | 10 | 385 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 450 | 407 | 75 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 176 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 184 | 252 | 258 | 510 | 74 | 299 | 39 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 450 | 396 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 132 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 220 | 304 | 323 | 627 | 104 | 299 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 442 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 173 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 176 | 242 | 326 | 567 | 149 | 243 | 36 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 428 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 20 | 47 | 130 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 310 | 423 | 733 | 196 | 275 | 27 | 10 | 325 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 464 | 427 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 168 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 155 | 214 | 262 | 476 | 108 | 211 | 36 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 464 | 408 | 82 | 8 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 132 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 201 | 290 | 353 | 643 | 152 | 243 | 28 | 9 | 289 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 485 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 159 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 196 | 264 | 353 | 617 | 157 | 248 | 30 | 7 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 533 | 461 | 113 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 63 | 122 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 245 | 343 | 440 | 784 | 195 | 287 | 23 | 12 | 348 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 190 | 165 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 139 | 246 | 200 | 446 | 61 | 169 | 20 | 11 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 172 | 156 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 186 | 254 | 378 | 633 | 192 | 237 | 34 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 450 | 410 | 75 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 176 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 183 | 252 | 256 | 508 | 73 | 290 | 39 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 441 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 173 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 177 | 242 | 327 | 568 | 150 | 241 | 36 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 464 | 429 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 168 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 154 | 214 | 261 | 475 | 107 | 204 | 36 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 483 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 159 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 197 | 264 | 354 | 618 | 157 | 241 | 30 | 7 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 441 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 173 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 177 | 242 | 327 | 568 | 150 | 241 | 36 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 464 | 429 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 168 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 154 | 214 | 261 | 475 | 107 | 204 | 36 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 483 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 159 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 197 | 264 | 354 | 618 | 157 | 241 | 30 | 7 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 632 | 580 | 112 | 19 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 192 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 192 | 253 | 333 | 585 | 141 | 245 | 30 | 6 | 262 | 63 | -28 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | TEX | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 254 | 341 | 596 | 148 | 245 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 63 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 30% | 500 | 458 | 89 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 149 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 196 | 258 | 342 | 600 | 145 | 248 | 30 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 44% | 537 | 490 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 157 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 199 | 263 | 347 | 610 | 148 | 251 | 29 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -19 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 51% | 560 | 510 | 103 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 162 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 201 | 265 | 350 | 615 | 149 | 253 | 29 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -19 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 52% | 569 | 518 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 164 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 203 | 267 | 350 | 618 | 148 | 254 | 29 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 53% | 568 | 518 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 163 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 203 | 268 | 349 | 617 | 146 | 256 | 29 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -18 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 53% | 558 | 509 | 103 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 161 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 201 | 265 | 343 | 609 | 142 | 254 | 29 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -20 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 52% | 547 | 499 | 98 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 160 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 262 | 336 | 598 | 138 | 253 | 29 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -21 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +12 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 30% | 152 | 139 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 198 | 260 | 350 | 610 | 152 | 248 | 30 | 7 | 272 | 68 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 44% | 238 | 218 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 201 | 264 | 356 | 620 | 155 | 251 | 29 | 7 | 276 | 70 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 51% | 284 | 259 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 82 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 203 | 267 | 359 | 626 | 155 | 253 | 29 | 7 | 279 | 72 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 52% | 298 | 272 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 86 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 269 | 359 | 628 | 154 | 254 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 73 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 53% | 303 | 275 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 87 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 270 | 357 | 627 | 152 | 255 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 53% | 293 | 267 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 267 | 351 | 618 | 148 | 254 | 29 | 7 | 276 | 70 | -10 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 52% | 285 | 260 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 264 | 344 | 607 | 144 | 253 | 29 | 7 | 272 | 67 | -11 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1853 | 1690 | 342 | 56 | 6 | 62 | 130 | 538 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 202 | 267 | 353 | 620 | 150 | 255 | 29 | 7 | 277 | 62 | -65 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +40 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 120 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 46 | 189 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 202 | 268 | 354 | 622 | 152 | 255 | 29 | 7 | 277 | 62 | -23 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6340 | 5774 | 1106 | 182 | 23 | 189 | 439 | 1953 | 69 | 76 | 25 | 192 | 257 | 329 | 586 | 138 | 250 | 31 | 7 | 260 | 62 | -144 | +2 | -4 | +14 | +88 | -4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 113 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 200 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 191 | 256 | 326 | 582 | 135 | 249 | 31 | 7 | 260 | 62 | -23 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 493 PAwOBA .334 → .257 (−77)K% 22.5% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 16.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 5.37% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .334 → .257; ISO .190 → .159; BABIP .275 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 40 PAwOBA .428 → .370 (−59)K% 27.5% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 2.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 27.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 10.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 6.95% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .428 → .370; ISO .257 → .213; BABIP .435 → .400. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 464 PAwOBA .283 → .209 (−74)K% 28.4% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.45% | ÷1.026 | ×1.310 | — | — | 36.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.05% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.51% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷1.020 | ×0.870 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 17.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 2.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.215 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 4.85% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .283 → .209; ISO .152 → .111; BABIP .243 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 269 PAwOBA .354 → .275 (−78)K% 27.5% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.51% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.01% | ÷0.983 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.87% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 18.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.29% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .354 → .275; ISO .230 → .173; BABIP .301 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 213 PAwOBA .273 → .207 (−66)K% 26.3% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.29% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.019 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.31% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | 15.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.93% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | 3.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.850 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 5.09% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .273 → .207; ISO .157 → .125; BABIP .246 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 450 PAwOBA .282 → .232 (−50)K% 29.3% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.33% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.33% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 23.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.30% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.082 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.63% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 83, 3B 125, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .282 → .232; ISO .104 → .078; BABIP .299 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 146 PAwOBA .411 → .288 (−122)K% 22.6% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.60% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.27% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 14.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 3.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.78% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 7.67% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .411 → .288; ISO .336 → .236; BABIP .302 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADown East Wood Ducks · 26 PAwOBA .222 → .180 (−42)K% 30.8% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 30.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .222 → .180; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .312 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).