Miguel Aparicio
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | AA/A+/ROKTEX | 163 | .203/.296/.350 | 5 | 5 | 31 | — | .156/.229/.250 |
| 2023 | 24 | INTLNavegantes de… | 37 | .310/.412/.345 | 0 | 2 | 106 | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | INTLNavegantes de… | 138 | .256/.333/.405 | 3 | 2 | 106 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 249 | 219 | 60 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 274 | 340 | 397 | 738 | 123 | 313 | 14 | 7 | 321 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 94 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 176 | 255 | 247 | 502 | 71 | 224 | 19 | 7 | 235 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 315 | 294 | 63 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 65 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 214 | 264 | 361 | 625 | 146 | 248 | 21 | 5 | 278 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 445 | 406 | 102 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 87 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 251 | 300 | 431 | 731 | 180 | 289 | 20 | 5 | 314 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 41 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 200 | 256 | 456 | 77 | 250 | 29 | 2 | 198 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 192 | 164 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 370 | 567 | 937 | 293 | 292 | 21 | 9 | 401 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 84 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 200 | 325 | 286 | 611 | 86 | 295 | 30 | 12 | 287 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 37 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 189 | 343 | 532 | 200 | 130 | 27 | 3 | 235 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 42 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 474 | 807 | 211 | 381 | 36 | 10 | 356 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 412 | 345 | 757 | 34 | 474 | 30 | 14 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 138 | 121 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 333 | 405 | 738 | 149 | 283 | 15 | 8 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 249 | 224 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 174 | 232 | 232 | 465 | 58 | 205 | 18 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 94 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 161 | 223 | 230 | 453 | 69 | 211 | 26 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 315 | 299 | 53 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 91 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 177 | 217 | 288 | 504 | 110 | 233 | 29 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 445 | 412 | 82 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 199 | 240 | 333 | 572 | 133 | 243 | 26 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 41 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 200 | 256 | 456 | 77 | 242 | 34 | 2 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 192 | 169 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 307 | 479 | 786 | 254 | 242 | 29 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 84 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 178 | 277 | 260 | 537 | 82 | 283 | 36 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 37 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 162 | 229 | 391 | 114 | 107 | 35 | 3 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 42 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 250 | 440 | 100 | 280 | 52 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 249 | 224 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 174 | 232 | 232 | 465 | 58 | 210 | 18 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 249 | 219 | 60 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 274 | 340 | 397 | 738 | 123 | 313 | 14 | 7 | 321 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 94 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 161 | 223 | 230 | 453 | 69 | 222 | 26 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 94 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 176 | 255 | 247 | 502 | 71 | 224 | 19 | 7 | 235 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 315 | 299 | 53 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 91 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 177 | 217 | 288 | 504 | 110 | 235 | 29 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 315 | 294 | 63 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 65 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 214 | 264 | 361 | 625 | 146 | 248 | 21 | 5 | 278 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 445 | 412 | 82 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 199 | 240 | 333 | 572 | 133 | 254 | 26 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 445 | 406 | 102 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 87 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 251 | 300 | 431 | 731 | 180 | 289 | 20 | 5 | 314 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 208 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 288 | 438 | 726 | 221 | 262 | 30 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 233 | 203 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 341 | 507 | 848 | 251 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 365 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 163 | 148 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 65 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 149 | 222 | 243 | 465 | 95 | 237 | 40 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 163 | 143 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 203 | 296 | 350 | 646 | 147 | 273 | 31 | 9 | 293 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL MLE | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 412 | 345 | 757 | 34 | 474 | 30 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL RAW | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 412 | 345 | 757 | 34 | 474 | 30 | 14 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL MLE | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 138 | 121 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 333 | 405 | 738 | 149 | 283 | 15 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL RAW | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 138 | 121 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 333 | 405 | 738 | 149 | 283 | 15 | 8 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 249 | 230 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 170 | 232 | 226 | 458 | 57 | 205 | 18 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 94 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 161 | 223 | 230 | 453 | 69 | 211 | 26 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 315 | 297 | 53 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 91 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 178 | 217 | 290 | 506 | 111 | 233 | 29 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 445 | 420 | 82 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 195 | 240 | 326 | 566 | 131 | 243 | 26 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 210 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 288 | 433 | 722 | 219 | 242 | 30 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 163 | 148 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 65 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 149 | 222 | 243 | 465 | 95 | 242 | 40 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1674 | 1528 | 295 | 49 | 22 | 31 | 84 | 443 | 31 | 42 | 25 | 193 | 250 | 315 | 564 | 122 | 247 | 26 | 5 | 210 | 28 | -143 | -2 | +0 | -18 | +36 | -12.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 115 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 172 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 194 | 251 | 317 | 568 | 123 | 249 | 26 | 5 | 210 | 28 | -56 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -5.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 84 PAwOBA .281 → .242 (−38)K% 29.8% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.76% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 3.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 23.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.030 | ×0.840 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 1.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 2.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.915 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .281 → .242; ISO .086 → .080; BABIP .295 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 42 PAwOBA .346 → .201 (−146)K% 35.7% → 52.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.71% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 51.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 6.43% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .346 → .201; ISO .211 → .117; BABIP .381 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hickory Crawdads · 37 PAwOBA .228 → .164 (−64)K% 27.0% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.03% | ÷1.007 | ×1.310 | — | — | 35.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.70% | ÷0.985 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 1.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 6.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.123 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 6.25% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .228 → .164; ISO .200 → .143; BABIP .130 → .107. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hickory Crawdads · 192 PAwOBA .394 → .323 (−71)K% 21.4% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷0.990 | ×1.350 | — | — | 29.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷0.964 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.65% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.70% | ÷1.024 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 16.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.50% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 4.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.76% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 9.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .394 → .323; ISO .293 → .254; BABIP .292 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 41 PAwOBA .198 → .181 (−16)K% 29.3% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.27% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.44% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 1.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.042 | 18.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.957 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 3.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 3.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.114 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .198 → .181; ISO .077 → .072; BABIP .250 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AHickory Crawdads · 445 PAwOBA .308 → .242 (−67)K% 19.6% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.55% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.72% | ÷0.955 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.12% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 16.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.106 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 4.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.51% | ÷0.907 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷1.183 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.69% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 107, 2B 121, 3B 81, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .308 → .242; ISO .180 → .136; BABIP .289 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AHickory Crawdads · 315 PAwOBA .271 → .218 (−53)K% 20.6% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.63% | ÷0.952 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 3.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.90% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×1.045 | 16.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.93% | ÷0.881 | ×0.820 | ×0.967 | ×1.045 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.18% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.967 | ×1.045 | 2.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.204 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 98, 2B 76, 3B 80, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .271 → .218; ISO .146 → .112; BABIP .248 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AHickory Crawdads · 94 PAwOBA .230 → .192 (−38)K% 19.1% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.15% | ÷1.010 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.45% | ÷1.002 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.050 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.42% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 16.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.045 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 2.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.141 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 2.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.019 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 109, 3B 128, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .230 → .192; ISO .071 → .057; BABIP .224 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .