Jhon Diaz — OGILVIE

Jhon DiazCF Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 23 L/L 5'8" / 160 lbs A+ HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION336 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP245

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Rays 1	—	191	159	28	5	2	1	29	58	0	5	3	176	303	252	555	75	262	30	15	262	64	-8	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2022	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	165	151	34	7	4	2	12	52	1	9	4	225	287	364	651	139	327	32	7	289	82	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	340	80	19	6	6	42	102	3	14	10	235	325	379	704	144	314	26	11	312	97	-1	-1	—	—	+8	0.6
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	163	146	27	1	1	3	15	50	2	7	0	185	270	267	537	82	258	31	9	251	56	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	269	242	53	7	2	11	21	60	2	23	7	219	287	401	688	182	240	22	8	301	90	-3	+2	—	—	+6	0.5
2024	21	INTL	Perth Heat	—	166	156	42	5	0	6	7	31	2	3	5	269	309	417	726	147	300	19	4	321	103	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	332	62	9	4	10	31	89	3	13	3	187	262	328	591	142	220	24	8	265	66	-15	+1	—	—	+8	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	—	191	171	20	3	1	1	17	85	0	5	3	117	197	164	361	47	208	45	9	169	1	-23	-0	—	—	+4	-1.9
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	165	155	22	5	2	1	8	75	1	9	4	142	189	219	408	77	264	45	5	190	15	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	357	65	15	5	5	25	147	3	14	10	182	242	294	536	112	274	38	6	231	42	-27	-1	—	—	+8	-2.0
2024	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	163	151	21	1	1	2	10	70	2	7	0	139	202	199	401	60	234	43	6	180	8	-18	+1	—	—	+4	-1.3
2024	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	269	250	43	5	1	11	13	86	2	23	7	172	219	332	551	160	204	32	5	241	49	-16	+2	—	—	+6	-0.9
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	342	54	7	4	8	21	117	3	13	3	158	213	272	485	114	201	32	6	212	30	-31	+1	—	—	+8	-2.2
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	—	191	171	20	3	1	1	17	85	0	5	3	117	197	164	361	47	216	45	9	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays 1	—	191	159	28	5	2	1	29	58	0	5	3	176	303	252	555	75	262	30	15	262	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	165	155	22	5	2	1	8	75	1	9	4	142	189	219	408	77	263	45	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	165	151	34	7	4	2	12	52	1	9	4	225	287	364	651	139	327	32	7	289	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	357	65	15	5	5	25	147	3	14	10	182	242	294	536	112	287	38	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	340	80	19	6	6	42	102	3	14	10	235	325	379	704	144	314	26	11	312	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	556	89	8	3	18	31	217	6	33	12	160	212	282	495	122	218	36	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	598	544	122	13	3	20	43	141	6	33	12	224	288	369	658	145	263	24	7	293	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	342	54	7	4	8	21	117	3	13	3	158	213	272	485	114	209	32	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	332	62	9	4	10	31	89	3	13	3	187	262	328	591	142	220	24	8	265	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	—	191	172	20	3	1	1	17	85	0	5	3	116	197	163	360	47	208	45	9	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	165	155	22	5	2	1	8	75	1	9	4	142	189	219	408	77	264	45	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	361	65	15	5	5	25	147	3	14	10	180	242	291	532	111	274	38	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	556	89	8	3	18	31	217	6	33	12	160	212	282	495	122	215	36	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	342	54	7	4	8	21	117	3	13	3	158	213	272	485	114	201	32	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	392	361	65	15	5	5	25	147	3	14	10	180	242	291	532	111	274	38	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	598	556	89	8	3	18	31	217	6	33	12	160	212	282	495	122	215	36	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	369	342	54	7	4	8	21	117	3	13	3	158	213	272	485	114	201	32	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	TB	—	336	312	50	10	2	7	20	120	1	10	5	160	213	272	486	112	232	36	6	209	28	-29	+0	+0	+1	+7	-2.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	TB	—	176	159	33	7	0	5	15	44	0	8	2	208	276	346	622	138	255	25	9	278	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	TB	—	160	143	24	5	2	4	15	50	1	2	3	168	252	315	566	147	225	31	9	256	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	TB	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		237	30	10	230	42	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	TB	—	346	321	51	10	2	7	21	123	1	10	5	159	213	268	481	109	230	36	6	210	28	-30	+0	+0	+1	+7	-2.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	30%	429	397	72	13	3	10	27	138	2	10	4	181	237	305	542	123	243	32	6	242	50	-26	+0	+0	+2	+9	-1.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	30%	130	120	22	4	1	3	8	42	1	3	1	183	240	308	549	125	250	32	6	244	50	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	130	120	22	4	1	3	8	42	1	3	1	183	240	308	549	125	250	32	6	244	33	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	110	20	5	15	40	210	5	15	5	183	240	308	549	125	250	32	6	244	33	-39	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2154	1987	323	51	18	43	130	782	15	84	36	163	220	271	491	109	237	36	6	218	33	-26	+0	+0	+2	+10	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	97	15	5	13	39	236	5	25	11	162	219	268	487	107	236	36	6	218	33	-39	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhon Diaz (OGILVIE)	23	30	40	50	35	170/222/286	116	237	7	9	34%	6%	42	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	36→28	44→45	53→50	34	187/238/294	107	291	13	13	40%	5%	49	-2.4	195/239/300	105	274	11	11	32%	5%	50	-2.3	188/231/292	103	252	9	9	29%	5%	44	-1.6
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	49→50	45	195/276/305	110	270	12	10	31%	8%	67	-1.1	191/265/303	112	284	10	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	178/252/295	117	273	8	16	35%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Cody Morissette 2023 · A	23	37→30	46→45	45→55	41	194/258/316	122	265	14	5	32%	7%	62	-1.4	182/235/295	113	244	13	11	30%	6%	49	-2.4	182/237/299	117	239	14	19	29%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Ethan Wilson 2023 · AA	23	39	40→45	50	38	195/235/287	91	258	8	16	28%	4%	45	-2.7	199/242/313	114	261	12	13	28%	5%	55	-2.0	189/234/311	122	243	14	12	28%	5%	50	-1.6
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	39→41	44→45	56→50	41	195/256/313	117	263	11	16	29%	6%	60	-1.6	203/262/296	93	297	7	16	32%	6%	58	-1.7	193/253/268	75	294	4	19	34%	6%	47	-1.8
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	36	43→45	47→50	36	183/253/291	109	286	12	12	38%	6%	55	-1.9	197/264/307	110	291	11	12	35%	6%	62	-1.4	178/246/285	108	255	13	12	34%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	35→26	45	49→50	35	177/243/296	119	290	12	9	41%	6%	52	-2.2	179/241/280	101	293	9	9	39%	7%	47	-2.5	106/170/166	60	183	3	6	41%	7%	-7	-1.8
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	37→33	47→50	48→50	38	192/250/330	138	280	15	6	36%	6%	62	-1.4	189/245/304	115	321	12	8	42%	6%	54	-2.0	164/220/265	100	296	10	9	46%	5%	34	-2.7
✕Brandon Dulin 2016 · A	23	37→30	44→45	49→40	36	191/241/311	120	263	12	5	32%	4%	54	-2.0	198/249/317	119	281	14	3	34%	5%	59	-1.7	186/239/304	118	261	16	0	34%	5%	49	-1.5
✕Kody Eaves 2016 · A	23	40→42	42→45	52→50	36	199/237/302	104	284	9	14	33%	5%	50	-2.3	196/248/313	117	277	10	9	32%	6%	57	-1.8	185/243/302	117	253	10	7	30%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→38	44→45	53→55	44	180/263/295	115	240	11	20	29%	7%	60	-1.6	190/276/300	110	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	42→32	44→45	47→50	40	208/266/323	115	299	12	12	33%	7%	66	-1.1	195/267/305	110	290	11	11	34%	8%	63	-1.4	174/256/276	103	258	11	11	35%	9%	51	-1.4
✕Jacob Pearson 2022 · AA	24	37→39	42→40	48→50	43	189/244/290	101	253	9	11	29%	7%	50	-2.3	192/258/290	98	272	8	17	30%	7%	56	-1.9	174/247/262	88	248	6	22	30%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→36	44→45	51→50	39	200/248/314	115	280	11	10	32%	6%	57	-1.8	194/243/294	100	292	8	9	34%	6%	51	-2.3	160/203/246	86	252	4	8	37%	4%	22	-1.9
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	45→50	48→30	37	183/244/304	121	276	13	3	37%	6%	54	-2.0	193/252/293	100	308	9	4	38%	6%	54	-2.0	163/225/235	72	274	5	0	40%	6%	31	-1.6
✕Daniel Cabrera 2022 · AA	23	39→42	45	48→45	38	201/244/327	126	274	13	8	31%	5%	59	-1.7	210/268/309	99	272	8	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	209/275/295	86	265	6	7	22%	8%	61	-1.0
✕Miguel Aparicio 2021 · A	22	39→37	44→50	50	37	197/235/315	118	254	11	8	27%	4%	52	-2.2	205/265/355	150	282	18	8	33%	6%	74	-0.6	181/249/342	161	241	21	6	34%	6%	63	-0.5
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	37	41→50	50	39	183/242/281	98	279	7	13	36%	7%	47	-2.5	183/249/280	97	308	9	14	40%	8%	51	-2.3	104/190/192	88	178	12	21	47%	9%	9	-1.5
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	37→35	43→45	48→50	48	187/270/293	106	259	11	14	30%	10%	61	-1.5	189/270/286	97	275	9	13	32%	9%	59	-1.6	143/232/224	81	211	7	12	33%	10%	31	-1.5