Jhon Diaz — OGILVIE

Jhon DiazCF Montgomery Biscuits

Age 23 L/L 5'8" / 160 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2030

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .237 / .308

PA320

HR8

SB8

K%34

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

40→40

SPD

50→50

EYE

40↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$6M		$-3M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Rays 1	191	172	19	3	1	1	16	86	0	5	3	.110	.186	.157	.343	.047	.205	45	8	.167	-14	-25	-0	+0	+1	+5	-1.9
2022	19	ROK	FCL Rays	165	155	23	5	2	2	8	74	1	9	4	.148	.195	.245	.440	.097	.263	45	5	.194	7	-17	+0	+0	+1	+5	-1.2
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	392	357	64	15	5	5	25	147	3	14	10	.179	.239	.291	.530	.112	.282	38	6	.230	34	-29	-1	+0	+1	+11	-1.8
2024	21	A	3 teams	598	556	88	8	3	19	31	217	6	33	12	.158	.211	.286	.497	.128	.212	36	5	.215	23	-52	+2	+0	+2	+17	-3.2
2025	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	369	344	51	6	3	9	19	114	3	13	3	.148	.199	.262	.461	.113	.188	31	5	.208	17	-34	+1	+0	+1	+10	-2.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	35	31	8	2	1	2	4	12	0	1	0	.258	.343	.581	.924	.323	.353	34	11	.351	127	+1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	TB	285	263	49	8	3	7	18	97	2	7	2	.186	.244	.319	.563	.133	.264	34	6	.256	54	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
TOT	23	MLB	TB	320	294	57	10	4	9	22	109	2	8	2	.194	.255	.347	.602	.153	.271	34	7	.266	62	-14	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 11%	TB	429	393	78	13	4	12	30	130	3	11	3	.198	.261	.344	.604	.145	.259	30	7	.268	63	-18	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.3
2028	25	MLB 26%	TB	464	424	86	15	4	13	34	137	3	12	3	.203	.267	.349	.616	.146	.262	30	7	.275	69	-16	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.0
2029	26	MLB 44%	TB	484	440	90	16	4	14	37	142	4	12	3	.205	.272	.355	.627	.150	.264	29	8	.280	72	-15	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.1
2030	27	MLB 59%	TB	491	446	91	16	4	14	38	143	4	11	3	.204	.273	.352	.625	.148	.265	29	8	.281	73	-15	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.2
2031	28	MLB 69%	TB	491	445	91	16	4	14	39	144	4	11	2	.204	.275	.353	.627	.148	.265	29	8	.280	72	-15	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.1
2032	29	MLB 77%	TB	484	439	89	15	4	14	38	144	4	9	2	.203	.272	.351	.623	.148	.264	30	8	.278	71	-16	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.1
2033	30	MLB 85%	TB	475	431	86	15	4	13	38	143	3	8	2	.200	.269	.343	.612	.144	.262	30	8	.274	68	-17	+1	-2	+2	+13	-0.3
2034	31	MLB	TB	462	419	82	14	4	12	37	141	3	6	1	.196	.266	.334	.600	.138	.260	31	8	.271	65	-18	+1	-3	+2	+13	-0.5
2035	32	MLB	TB	445	404	78	13	3	12	35	138	3	5	0	.193	.262	.329	.592	.136	.259	31	8	.266	62	-19	+1	-4	+2	+13	-0.8
2036	33	MLB	TB	416	377	71	12	3	10	33	132	3	3	0	.188	.259	.316	.575	.127	.257	32	8	.261	58	-20	+1	-4	+1	+12	-1.0
2037	34	MLB	TB	370	336	62	10	3	9	29	120	2	2	0	.185	.253	.312	.566	.128	.255	32	8	.254	53	-20	+0	-5	+1	+10	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7011	6401	1198	200	58	180	505	2249	51	171	53	.187	.252	.321	.573	.134	.254	32	7	.256	54	-362	+13	-20	+25	+199	-14.8
/ 162G	—			650	593	111	19	5	17	47	209	5	16	5	.187	.253	.322	.575	.135	.253	32	7	.256	54	-34	+1	-2	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Rays 1	191	159	28	5	2	1	29	58	0	5	3	.176	.303	.252	.555	.075	.262	30	15	.262	59	-9	-0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2022	19	ROK	FCL Rays	165	151	34	7	4	2	12	52	1	9	4	.225	.287	.364	.651	.139	.327	32	7	.289	80	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	392	340	80	19	6	6	42	102	3	14	10	.235	.325	.379	.704	.144	.314	26	11	.312	97	-1	-1	—	—	+11	0.9
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	163	146	27	1	1	3	15	50	2	7	0	.185	.270	.267	.537	.082	.258	31	9	.251	51	-9	+1	—	—	+5	-0.3
2024	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	269	242	53	7	2	11	21	60	2	23	7	.219	.287	.401	.688	.182	.240	22	8	.301	89	-3	+2	—	—	+8	0.6
2024	21	INTL	Perth Heat	166	156	42	5	0	6	7	31	2	3	5	.269	.309	.417	.726	.147	.300	19	4	.321	104	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	369	332	62	9	4	10	31	89	3	13	3	.187	.262	.328	.591	.142	.220	24	8	.265	61	-16	+1	—	—	+10	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhon Diaz (OGILVIE)	23	30	40	50	35	.184/.237/.308	.124	.259	8	8	34%	6%	46	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	35→30	41→50	49→50	36	.178/.225/.274	.096	.274	9	13	38%	6%	31	-3.0	.215/.262/.336	.121	.370	12	12	42%	5%	63	-0.8	.212/.254/.349	.137	.373	14	14	45%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→29	42→45	51→55	40	.197/.258/.305	.108	.275	10	12	31%	6%	54	-1.4	.182/.252/.277	.095	.281	8	12	36%	6%	45	-2.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	50	45	.197/.277/.309	.111	.273	12	10	31%	8%	63	-0.8	.192/.266/.304	.112	.282	10	13	33%	8%	57	-1.2	.182/.255/.299	.117	.273	8	16	34%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	38→29	44→45	53→50	35	.192/.244/.301	.109	.296	13	13	39%	5%	46	-2.0	.195/.238/.303	.108	.274	11	12	32%	5%	44	-2.1	.188/.229/.295	.108	.250	10	9	29%	4%	37	-1.5
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	42→33	45	47→50	40	.210/.267/.331	.122	.301	13	12	34%	7%	64	-0.8	.196/.266/.316	.120	.294	13	11	35%	8%	61	-1.0	.172/.254/.285	.112	.260	13	11	36%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	.190/.256/.326	.136	.273	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.269/.352	.147	.297	17	9	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.199/.264/.350	.151	.290	18	7	36%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Stephen Chapman 2009 · A	23	36→35	49→50	53→50	35	.190/.240/.338	.148	.277	16	11	37%	5%	55	-1.4	.185/.236/.306	.121	.292	13	14	39%	5%	44	-2.1	.159/.206/.259	.100	.246	12	20	39%	5%	17	-2.1
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	39→41	44→45	49→50	40	.192/.266/.307	.115	.289	11	13	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.214/.286/.346	.132	.318	14	11	34%	8%	76	+0.1	.211/.286/.358	.146	.306	16	10	34%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Steele Walker 2019 · A	23	38→46	44→45	49→50	38	.196/.245/.305	.109	.258	12	10	29%	5%	49	-1.8	.214/.267/.331	.117	.266	11	10	23%	6%	64	-0.8	.211/.265/.332	.122	.255	13	10	22%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	38→41	41→45	53→55	41	.189/.248/.285	.096	.268	9	16	32%	7%	44	-2.1	.197/.260/.311	.114	.269	10	17	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.193/.260/.305	.112	.262	10	19	29%	7%	52	-1.2
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	44→45	51→55	40	.195/.268/.308	.113	.290	12	13	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.200/.270/.300	.100	.307	9	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	.166/.253/.240	.073	.276	4	11	37%	10%	33	-0.6
✕Jose Acosta 2023 · A	23	39	45	49→55	36	.194/.252/.316	.122	.300	13	15	38%	6%	54	-1.4	.192/.244/.301	.109	.280	11	16	34%	6%	46	-2.0	.168/.215/.260	.093	.234	9	22	31%	5%	20	-1.0
✕Daniel Cabrera 2022 · AA	23	40→42	46→45	48→45	38	.204/.247/.332	.128	.276	13	8	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.211/.268/.314	.103	.275	9	7	25%	7%	59	-1.1	.212/.278/.299	.088	.270	6	7	23%	8%	58	-0.8
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	37→33	48→50	48→50	38	.193/.247/.335	.142	.274	16	6	35%	6%	57	-1.2	.187/.242/.303	.116	.312	12	8	42%	5%	46	-2.0	.163/.220/.262	.099	.296	10	9	46%	5%	25	-2.7
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	40→43	42→50	50	42	.194/.271/.297	.103	.298	9	12	36%	8%	58	-1.2	.202/.279/.332	.130	.296	12	11	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.195/.272/.328	.134	.276	13	10	32%	8%	64	-0.6
✕Yeicok Calderon 2014 · A	22	35	46→45	45	33	.180/.227/.303	.123	.290	14	5	42%	6%	40	-2.4	.206/.250/.323	.117	.324	12	6	38%	5%	54	-1.4	.210/.245/.331	.121	.324	12	5	38%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	44→45	51→60	39	.187/.243/.297	.111	.259	12	21	32%	6%	46	-2.0	.218/.284/.349	.131	.292	12	37	28%	7%	76	+0.1	.226/.298/.368	.142	.297	13	49	27%	8%	84	+0.6
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	36→27	45→50	49→50	35	.181/.247/.302	.121	.293	13	9	41%	6%	50	-1.8	.177/.240/.280	.103	.289	9	9	39%	7%	40	-2.4	.105/.169/.165	.060	.182	3	6	41%	7%	-22	-1.8
✕Yusuf Carter 2009 · A	24	36→34	48→50	50	34	.193/.233/.333	.140	.277	17	12	37%	5%	50	-1.7	.220/.261/.362	.142	.311	17	9	34%	5%	69	-0.4	.231/.271/.374	.143	.318	19	5	33%	5%	74	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)