Nick DeckerOF
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 26
L/L
6'0" / 207 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .242 / .296
PA172
HR4
K%43
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
43→43
SPD
53→53
EYE
46→46
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.6peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-14M | $-38M | -$24M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$24M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$24M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 309 | 280 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 121 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .211 | .282 | .350 | .632 | .139 | .336 | 39 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 270 | 239 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 137 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .088 | .193 | .176 | .368 | .088 | .165 | 51 | 9 | .173 | -9 | -33 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -2.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 246 | 223 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 110 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .148 | .224 | .296 | .520 | .148 | .250 | 45 | 7 | .225 | 30 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -1.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 203 | 187 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 111 | 1 | 7 | 1 | .123 | .188 | .230 | .418 | .107 | .260 | 55 | 7 | .193 | 6 | -22 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 172 | 155 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .168 | .241 | .290 | .531 | .123 | .283 | 43 | 8 | .246 | 46 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 11% | BOS | 222 | 201 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 91 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .179 | .250 | .313 | .563 | .134 | .285 | 41 | 8 | .254 | 52 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 22% | BOS | 284 | 256 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 113 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .180 | .255 | .305 | .560 | .125 | .285 | 40 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -14 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | BOS | 316 | 284 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 124 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .183 | .259 | .313 | .572 | .130 | .285 | 39 | 8 | .259 | 57 | -16 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | -0.9 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 44% | BOS | 337 | 304 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 132 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .181 | .254 | .303 | .557 | .122 | .283 | 39 | 8 | .258 | 55 | -17 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 58% | BOS | 335 | 302 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 132 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .179 | .253 | .301 | .554 | .123 | .281 | 39 | 8 | .254 | 53 | -18 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 76% | BOS | 324 | 292 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 130 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .178 | .252 | .301 | .554 | .123 | .280 | 40 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -19 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -1.4 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 93% | BOS | 299 | 270 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 122 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .174 | .249 | .293 | .542 | .119 | .278 | 41 | 8 | .244 | 45 | -19 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -1.6 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 259 | 234 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 108 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .167 | .241 | .274 | .515 | .107 | .275 | 42 | 8 | .238 | 40 | -18 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +7 | -1.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3576 | 3227 | 543 | 117 | 13 | 84 | 282 | 1505 | 42 | 72 | 14 | .168 | .244 | .291 | .535 | .122 | .278 | 42 | 8 | .243 | 44 | -227 | +9 | -20 | -21 | +101 | -16.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 587 | 98 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 51 | 274 | 8 | 13 | 3 | .167 | .243 | .286 | .530 | .119 | .276 | 42 | 8 | .243 | 44 | -41 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +18 | -2.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 292 | 250 | 69 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 83 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .276 | .378 | .452 | .830 | .176 | .381 | 28 | 13 | .370 | 142 | +14 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 2.2 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .353 | .154 | .507 | .000 | .222 | 24 | 24 | .271 | 65 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 270 | 222 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 112 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .122 | .274 | .239 | .513 | .117 | .202 | 41 | 15 | .250 | 50 | -15 | +1 | — | — | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 246 | 211 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 83 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .218 | .327 | .422 | .748 | .204 | .320 | 34 | 11 | .333 | 113 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 203 | 180 | 32 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 89 | 1 | 7 | 1 | .178 | .267 | .344 | .612 | .167 | .302 | 44 | 10 | .276 | 69 | -7 | +1 | — | — | +6 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nick Decker (OGILVIE) | 26 | 20 | 43 | 53 | 46 | .170/.242/.296 | .126 | .283 | 4 | 4 | 43% | 8% | 46 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→38 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .183/.247/.298 | .115 | .269 | 11 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.262/.346 | .145 | .292 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Neil Medchill 2013 · AA |
26 | 38→27 | 48→50 | 46→45 | 35 | .190/.246/.323 | .134 | .309 | 16 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .212/.267/.327 | .115 | .349 | 12 | 7 | 40% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.263/.291 | .085 | .344 | 10 | 5 | 40% | 6% | 50 | -0.7 |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 44 | .190/.284/.298 | .108 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .190/.283/.309 | .119 | .284 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .126/.240/.244 | .118 | .172 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 12% | 32 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .179/.243/.270 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 11 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .186/.268/.305 | .119 | .285 | 12 | 20 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Corey Ray 2021 · AAA |
26 | 38→36 | 48→50 | 54→55 | 34 | .191/.247/.337 | .146 | .315 | 16 | 19 | 43% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.247/.353 | .149 | .310 | 18 | 12 | 38% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .186/.225/.350 | .164 | .267 | 20 | 13 | 38% | 4% | 49 | -0.7 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA |
27 | 38→41 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .181/.265/.280 | .099 | .307 | 11 | 12 | 42% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .204/.296/.339 | .135 | .334 | 15 | 13 | 39% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .217/.319/.382 | .165 | .335 | 19 | 13 | 37% | 12% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA |
27 | 34→30 | 47→50 | 50 | 44 | .181/.258/.318 | .137 | .259 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.267/.321 | .132 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .160/.249/.296 | .136 | .218 | 19 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Greg Deichmann 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→46 | 46→50 | 51→50 | 37 | .185/.244/.308 | .124 | .294 | 14 | 15 | 40% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.272/.330 | .121 | .313 | 12 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.262/.329 | .130 | .294 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA |
26 | 37→43 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .188/.261/.308 | .120 | .276 | 12 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .189/.254/.290 | .101 | .308 | 7 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .160/.216/.252 | .092 | .300 | 0 | 4 | 44% | 7% | 17 | -0.7 |
|
✕Aaron Shackelford 2023 · AAA |
26 | 33→32 | 52→50 | 50→45 | 35 | .187/.241/.350 | .163 | .273 | 21 | 8 | 40% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .190/.257/.333 | .143 | .286 | 17 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .168/.256/.294 | .126 | .247 | 15 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Art Charles 2017 · AA |
26 | 38 | 46→50 | 48→30 | 37 | .190/.248/.320 | .130 | .299 | 14 | 3 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .230/.294/.418 | .188 | .324 | 24 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .243/.312/.489 | .246 | .318 | 34 | 0 | 34% | 9% | 126 | +1.1 |
|
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A |
25 | 36→37 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 39 | .180/.250/.300 | .120 | .295 | 12 | 9 | 41% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .191/.245/.294 | .103 | .301 | 10 | 12 | 38% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .184/.232/.281 | .097 | .278 | 11 | 16 | 37% | 5% | 33 | -1.8 |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ronnie Dawson 2021 · AAA |
26 | 37→47 | 47→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .190/.255/.321 | .132 | .294 | 15 | 18 | 39% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .210/.278/.319 | .109 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .210/.279/.311 | .102 | .289 | 9 | 16 | 29% | 7% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA |
26 | 38 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .188/.263/.297 | .108 | .296 | 12 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .201/.277/.307 | .106 | .299 | 10 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.298/.302 | .106 | .259 | 11 | 24 | 26% | 10% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA |
26 | 39→37 | 48→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .200/.265/.342 | .141 | .295 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.262/.348 | .152 | .292 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.243/.318 | .142 | .254 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕CJ Alexander 2022 · AA |
26 | 33→43 | 48→60 | 56→50 | 35 | .178/.227/.321 | .143 | .269 | 16 | 15 | 40% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .210/.251/.389 | .179 | .273 | 24 | 13 | 32% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .212/.256/.396 | .184 | .261 | 25 | 9 | 30% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Taylor Snyder 2021 · A |
26 | 39→32 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 33 | .193/.242/.314 | .120 | .303 | 13 | 12 | 39% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .191/.242/.353 | .162 | .284 | 21 | 12 | 39% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .165/.222/.322 | .157 | .239 | 22 | 14 | 40% | 7% | 41 | -1.2 |