Nick Decker — OGILVIE

Nick DeckerOF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 26 L/L 6'0" / 207 lbs AA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 172 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .241 / .291

PA172

HR4

K%37

BB%7

ISO117

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	309	280	58	12	1	8	24	125	4	4	2	207	279	343	622	136	338	40	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	309	263	71	18	1	8	41	87	4	4	2	270	377	437	814	167	373	28	13	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	270	237	22	6	0	5	26	134	7	11	2	93	204	181	385	89	173	50	10	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	270	222	27	8	0	6	40	112	7	11	2	122	274	239	513	117	202	41	15	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	246	222	31	9	2	6	17	116	6	8	3	140	220	279	500	140	248	47	7	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	246	211	46	14	4	7	28	83	6	8	3	218	327	422	748	204	320	34	11	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	187	24	7	0	5	14	108	1	7	1	128	193	246	439	118	253	53	7	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	180	32	12	0	6	21	89	1	7	1	178	267	344	612	167	302	44	10	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	BOS	—	172	156	28	6	1	4	12	63	2	4	1	179	247	308	555	128	262	37	7	243	44	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	BOS	27%	222	202	37	8	1	5	16	79	2	5	1	183	250	307	557	124	265	36	7	251	51	-12	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
2027	27	MLB	BOS	27%	60	55	9	2	0	1	4	21	1	1	0	164	233	255	488	91	271	35	7	248	48	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	60	55	9	2	0	1	4	21	1	1	0	164	233	255	488	91	242	35	7	248	48	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	98	22	0	11	43	228	11	11	0	164	234	257	491	92	244	35	7	248	48	-38	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	1422	1284	200	48	5	33	109	625	22	39	10	156	234	278	512	122	265	44	8	228	32	-109	+4	+0	-9	+40	-7.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	91	22	2	15	50	286	10	18	5	155	233	276	509	121	264	44	8	228	32	-50	+2	+0	-4	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	292	250	69	18	1	8	37	83	4	4	2	276	378	452	830	176	381	28	13	370	142	+14	+0	—	—	+8	2.2
2021	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	154	353	154	507		222	24	24	271	65	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	270	222	27	8	0	6	40	112	7	11	2	122	274	239	513	117	202	41	15	250	50	-15	+1	—	—	+8	-0.6
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	246	211	46	14	4	7	28	83	6	8	3	218	327	422	748	204	320	34	11	333	113	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	180	32	12	0	6	21	89	1	7	1	178	267	344	612	167	302	44	10	276	69	-7	+1	—	—	+6	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Decker (OGILVIE)	26	20	44	53	45	175/241/291	116	262	4	4	37%	7%	44	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→40	43→45	51→50	40	173/258/271	97	302	12	13	43%	9%	46	-2.0	207/298/337	130	337	14	13	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/319/374	157	335	17	13	36%	11%	93	+0.8
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	45	47→50	37	182/259/294	113	303	14	8	42%	7%	53	-1.5	208/285/315	107	351	11	13	40%	8%	69	-0.4	209/294/304	95	361	9	19	40%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	35	45	47→30	43	183/250/307	124	260	13	4	34%	8%	51	-1.7	187/258/294	107	293	10	5	37%	8%	51	-1.7	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	53→55	43	198/261/314	116	274	11	17	31%	7%	57	-1.2	200/261/298	98	280	8	19	30%	7%	53	-1.5	181/243/270	88	251	7	25	29%	6%	35	-2.1
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Aaron Shackelford 2023 · AAA	26	33→31	51→50	50→45	35	184/238/343	159	273	20	8	40%	6%	56	-1.3	189/255/331	142	292	17	10	39%	7%	60	-1.0	163/249/281	118	246	13	10	37%	8%	43	-1.6
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	38→39	44→45	56→50	38	190/250/299	109	293	12	17	38%	7%	49	-1.8	180/238/289	109	294	12	11	41%	6%	41	-2.3	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	45→50	50	41	195/259/317	123	270	12	12	31%	6%	58	-1.2	191/252/273	82	267	7	12	29%	7%	43	-2.2	164/226/208	45	228	4	12	28%	6%	13	-2.3
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Corey Ray 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	46→50	52→55	33	188/244/319	131	328	14	17	45%	6%	52	-1.6	206/248/360	154	311	18	12	38%	5%	64	-0.8	186/226/353	167	269	21	13	39%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2