Nick Decker
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A+BOS | 270 | .122/.274/.239 | 6 | 11 | 3 | — | .088/.193/.176 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+BOS | 246 | .218/.327/.422 | 7 | 8 | 36 | — | .148/.224/.296 |
| 2024 | 24 | AABOS | 203 | .178/.267/.344 | 6 | 7 | 19 | — | .128/.193/.235 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | — | 292 | 250 | 69 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 83 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 276 | 378 | 452 | 830 | 176 | 381 | 28 | 13 | 370 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | — | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 353 | 154 | 507 | 222 | 24 | 24 | 271 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 270 | 222 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 112 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 122 | 274 | 239 | 513 | 117 | 202 | 41 | 15 | 250 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 246 | 211 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 83 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 218 | 327 | 422 | 748 | 204 | 320 | 34 | 11 | 333 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 203 | 180 | 32 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 89 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 178 | 267 | 344 | 612 | 167 | 302 | 44 | 10 | 276 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 292 | 264 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 116 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 212 | 285 | 348 | 634 | 136 | 335 | 40 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 181 | 35 | 12 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 270 | 239 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 139 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 88 | 193 | 176 | 368 | 88 | 164 | 51 | 9 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 246 | 223 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 111 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 148 | 224 | 296 | 520 | 148 | 239 | 45 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 203 | 187 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 105 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 128 | 193 | 235 | 428 | 107 | 254 | 52 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 279 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 122 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 204 | 279 | 333 | 613 | 129 | 331 | 39 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 309 | 263 | 71 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 87 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 270 | 377 | 437 | 814 | 167 | 373 | 28 | 13 | 365 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 270 | 239 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 139 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 88 | 193 | 176 | 368 | 88 | 168 | 51 | 9 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 270 | 222 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 112 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 122 | 274 | 239 | 513 | 117 | 202 | 41 | 15 | 250 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 246 | 223 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 111 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 148 | 224 | 296 | 520 | 148 | 252 | 45 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 246 | 211 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 83 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 218 | 327 | 422 | 748 | 204 | 320 | 34 | 11 | 333 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 203 | 187 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 105 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 128 | 193 | 235 | 428 | 107 | 253 | 52 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 203 | 180 | 32 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 89 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 178 | 267 | 344 | 612 | 167 | 302 | 44 | 10 | 276 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 277 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 122 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 206 | 279 | 336 | 615 | 130 | 327 | 39 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 270 | 237 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 139 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 89 | 193 | 177 | 370 | 89 | 164 | 51 | 9 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 246 | 222 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 111 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 149 | 224 | 297 | 522 | 149 | 239 | 45 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 203 | 186 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 105 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 129 | 193 | 237 | 430 | 108 | 254 | 52 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 203 | 186 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 105 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 129 | 193 | 237 | 430 | 108 | 254 | 52 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1028 | 928 | 135 | 36 | 4 | 22 | 79 | 477 | 18 | 30 | 8 | 145 | 226 | 264 | 490 | 119 | 262 | 46 | 8 | 218 | 34 | -81 | +3 | +0 | -6 | +22 | -6.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 86 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 302 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 147 | 227 | 267 | 494 | 121 | 264 | 46 | 8 | 218 | 34 | -51 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 203 PAwOBA .270 → .196 (−74)K% 43.8% → 51.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.84% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 51.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.025 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 14.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.19% | ÷1.165 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 9.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 101, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .270 → .196; ISO .167 → .114; BABIP .302 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Greenville Drive · 246 PAwOBA .326 → .221 (−105)K% 33.7% → 45.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.74% | ÷0.981 | ×1.310 | — | — | 45.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.38% | ÷1.028 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.41% | ÷1.053 | ×0.870 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 12.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.94% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 7.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 2.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.47% | ÷0.931 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 5.11% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .326 → .221; ISO .204 → .149; BABIP .320 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Greenville Drive · 270 PAwOBA .245 → .172 (−73)K% 41.5% → 51.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.48% | ÷1.059 | ×1.310 | — | — | 51.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.001 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.59% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.82% | ÷1.005 | ×0.870 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 10.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.996 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 4.81% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 112, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .245 → .172; ISO .117 → .092; BABIP .202 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ASalem Red Sox · 292 PAwOBA .360 → .275 (−85)K% 28.4% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.42% | ÷0.974 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.99% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.15% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | — | 23.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.78% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | — | 8.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.944 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | — | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.79% | ÷0.858 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.47% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 89, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .360 → .275; ISO .176 → .138; BABIP .381 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Red Sox · 17 PAwOBA .266 → .181 (−85)K% 23.5% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.997 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 14.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.980 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 90, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .266 → .181; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).