Nick Decker — OGILVIE

Nick DeckerOF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 26 L/L 6'0" / 207 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 172 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .243 / .286

PA14

HR0

K%36

BB%7

ISO112

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	292	250	69	18	1	8	37	83	4	4	2	276	378	452	830	176	381	28	13	370	137	+13	+0	—	—	+6	1.9
2021	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	154	353	154	507		222	24	24	271	69	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	270	222	27	8	0	6	40	112	7	11	2	122	274	239	513	117	202	41	15	250	56	-14	+1	—	—	+6	-0.7
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	246	211	46	14	4	7	28	83	6	8	3	218	327	422	748	204	320	34	11	333	112	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	180	32	12	0	6	21	89	1	7	1	178	267	344	612	167	302	44	10	276	73	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	292	264	56	13	1	7	23	116	4	4	2	212	285	348	634	136	335	40	8	275	72	-10	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	17	15	2	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	133	235	133	369		186	35	12	185	11	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	270	237	20	6	0	4	26	142	7	11	2	84	196	160	357	76	173	53	10	174	4	-31	+1	—	—	+6	-2.4
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	246	221	32	9	3	5	18	113	6	8	3	145	229	281	509	136	255	46	7	226	39	-18	+0	—	—	+5	-1.2
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	187	24	8	0	4	14	105	1	7	1	128	193	235	428	107	251	52	7	195	18	-20	+1	—	—	+4	-1.5
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	309	278	57	13	1	7	26	122	4	4	2	205	282	335	617	129	333	39	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	309	263	71	18	1	8	41	87	4	4	2	270	377	437	814	167	373	28	13	365	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	270	237	20	6	0	4	26	142	7	11	2	84	196	160	357	76	176	53	10	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	270	222	27	8	0	6	40	112	7	11	2	122	274	239	513	117	202	41	15	250	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	246	221	32	9	3	5	18	113	6	8	3	145	229	281	509	136	260	46	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	246	211	46	14	4	7	28	83	6	8	3	218	327	422	748	204	320	34	11	333	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	187	24	8	0	4	14	105	1	7	1	128	193	235	428	107	253	52	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	180	32	12	0	6	21	89	1	7	1	178	267	344	612	167	302	44	10	276	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	309	276	57	13	1	7	26	122	4	4	2	207	282	337	619	130	327	39	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	270	235	20	6	0	4	26	142	7	11	2	85	196	162	358	77	173	53	10	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	246	220	32	9	3	5	18	113	6	8	3	145	229	282	510	136	255	46	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	186	24	8	0	4	14	105	1	7	1	129	193	237	430	108	251	52	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	246	220	32	9	3	5	18	113	6	8	3	145	229	282	510	136	255	46	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	186	24	8	0	4	14	105	1	7	1	129	193	237	430	108	251	52	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	BOS	2%	14	13	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	77	143	77	220		262	36	7	243	50	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	27%	222	201	37	8	1	5	17	77	2	5	1	184	255	308	563	124	265	35	8	251	56	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	27%	60	54	9	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	167	250	259	509	93	270	35	8	246	56	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	60	54	9	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	167	250	259	509	93	250	35	8	246	39	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	98	22	0	11	54	228	11	11	0	168	251	262	512	94	251	35	8	246	39	-34	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1264	1137	171	44	5	25	102	564	20	35	9	150	233	264	497	113	264	45	8	225	39	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	89	23	3	13	52	290	10	18	5	152	233	268	502	116	268	45	8	225	39	-34	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Decker (OGILVIE)	26	20	42	53	46	175/243/286	111	262	3	4	36%	7%	50	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	46→50	50	44	180/256/309	130	256	14	12	34%	9%	60	-1.6	194/270/319	125	275	14	12	33%	8%	68	-1.0	163/251/289	126	221	17	12	33%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	44→45	51→50	42	185/259/301	116	276	11	10	35%	8%	59	-1.7	192/256/293	101	310	7	9	37%	7%	55	-1.9	161/217/252	92	301	0	4	44%	7%	27	-0.7
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	194/288/297	103	292	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.8	194/284/310	116	283	12	11	33%	10%	71	-0.8	127/239/235	107	174	13	9	33%	12%	38	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→41	42→45	51→50	41	177/263/272	95	295	11	13	41%	9%	55	-2.0	208/301/333	125	331	13	13	37%	10%	82	+0.0	220/323/371	151	334	16	13	35%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	44→40	47→50	37	181/259/288	107	301	13	8	42%	7%	57	-1.8	210/285/315	105	347	11	13	39%	8%	72	-0.7	215/296/309	95	358	10	19	39%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	36	43→45	47→30	44	183/249/294	111	257	10	4	32%	8%	53	-2.1	187/258/290	103	288	9	5	35%	8%	56	-1.9	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	203/266/305	102	279	8	19	28%	7%	62	-1.4	187/251/284	97	253	7	25	27%	6%	49	-1.8
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→32	39→40	43→50	39	186/244/267	82	291	7	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	220/295/322	102	299	10	19	28%	9%	77	-0.3	236/319/338	102	297	11	25	23%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	46→45	52→50	42	198/262/325	127	277	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	189/270/297	108	298	10	14	37%	9%	63	-1.4	173/262/275	101	278	9	12	37%	10%	52	-1.2
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	41	191/258/297	106	298	10	6	38%	8%	57	-1.8	201/284/322	121	316	13	9	37%	10%	74	-0.6	190/280/310	120	295	13	9	37%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Corey Ray 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	47→50	52→55	35	192/249/325	133	315	14	17	42%	6%	60	-1.6	203/246/344	141	306	16	12	37%	5%	63	-1.3	183/222/332	149	265	17	13	37%	4%	50	-0.9
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Art Charles 2017 · AA	26	38→40	45→50	49→30	38	193/250/320	127	296	13	4	38%	7%	59	-1.6	229/294/404	175	318	21	5	33%	8%	95	+1.0	235/305/448	214	311	28	0	33%	9%	111	+0.7
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	39	43→45	51→50	40	191/266/297	106	296	11	14	37%	8%	61	-1.5	204/277/306	102	299	9	14	32%	8%	67	-1.1	198/298/294	96	261	9	24	25%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	45→50	50	41	195/262/318	123	272	12	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	195/256/276	81	271	7	12	29%	7%	51	-2.2	174/234/219	45	240	3	12	27%	6%	28	-2.1