Ethan Wilson — OGILVIE

Ethan WilsonOF Reading Fightin Phils

Age 26 L/L 6'1" / 210 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .246 / .322

PA250

HR6

SB5

K%28

BB%5

ISO123

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	110	18	4	1	2	7	35	0	2	2	164	214	273	486	109	219	30	6	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	107	23	4	2	3	10	25	0	2	2	215	282	374	656	159	253	21	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	536	508	95	18	2	8	19	146	6	26	9	187	225	278	503	91	244	27	4	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	536	494	116	22	2	8	33	114	6	26	9	235	291	336	627	101	289	21	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	428	88	20	3	13	23	142	6	12	7	206	256	357	613	152	269	31	5	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	420	105	24	3	17	31	110	6	12	7	250	311	443	754	193	294	24	7	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	373	345	59	11	1	7	17	108	3	10	5	171	216	270	486	99	220	29	5	212	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	373	337	70	14	1	10	25	80	3	10	5	208	268	344	613	136	237	21	7	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	PHI	—	250	234	48	10	1	6	12	70	2	5	2	205	250	333	583	128	260	28	5	255	54	-13	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	PHI	27%	336	312	64	13	1	8	18	92	3	7	3	205	255	330	585	125	263	27	5	262	59	-16	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.8
2027	27	MLB	PHI	27%	90	84	17	4	0	2	5	25	1	2	1	202	256	321	577	119	265	28	6	258	56	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	90	84	17	4	0	2	5	25	1	2	1	202	256	321	577	119	263	28	6	258	56	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	122	29	0	14	36	181	7	14	7	201	254	318	572	117	262	28	6	258	56	-33	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	2075	1937	372	76	9	44	96	593	20	62	28	192	238	309	546	117	249	29	5	239	41	-138	+1	+0	-12	+59	-9.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	117	24	3	14	30	186	6	19	9	193	238	311	549	119	250	29	5	239	41	-43	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	107	23	4	2	3	10	25	0	2	2	215	282	374	656	159	253	21	9	293	82	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	78	70	15	2	0	1	5	21	2	1	2	214	286	286	571	71	292	27	6	262	59	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	458	424	101	20	2	7	28	93	4	25	7	238	292	344	636	106	288	20	6	286	77	-12	+2	—	—	+13	0.3
2023	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	420	105	24	3	17	31	110	6	12	7	250	311	443	754	193	294	24	7	329	110	+5	-0	—	—	+13	1.8
2024	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	0	5	0	1	0	150	150	300	450	150	143	24	0	185	0	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	352	317	67	14	1	9	25	75	3	9	5	211	275	347	622	136	243	21	7	275	69	-12	-0	—	—	+10	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Wilson (OGILVIE)	26	36	40	50	39	201/246/322	122	260	6	5	28%	5%	54	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	43→46	46→45	47→50	43	218/267/345	128	259	14	10	22%	6%	68	-0.5	215/269/338	123	263	14	10	23%	6%	67	-0.5	203/262/317	114	246	13	9	23%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→43	46→45	45→40	40	207/267/331	124	274	14	5	29%	6%	65	-0.7	215/279/345	130	279	13	8	27%	6%	73	-0.1	178/266/339	160	218	17	6	26%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Danny Perales 2011 · AAA	26	40→47	47→50	53→50	39	206/245/343	137	253	15	11	25%	4%	58	-1.2	218/257/330	112	258	11	10	20%	4%	59	-1.1	215/254/313	98	252	9	8	18%	4%	51	-0.7
✕Paul Hoenecke 2016 · AA	26	40→41	46→50	46→40	41	206/250/333	127	254	13	4	25%	5%	57	-1.2	211/244/341	130	269	15	5	27%	4%	57	-1.2	201/223/337	136	245	18	2	27%	2%	44	-0.7
✕Adam Calderone 2010 · AAA	26	43→40	46→50	45	42	216/263/355	139	265	13	8	24%	5%	69	-0.4	199/242/336	137	263	14	10	29%	5%	55	-1.4	180/223/321	141	239	15	10	31%	4%	42	-1.3
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	46	43→45	49→45	38	224/266/338	113	300	10	8	28%	5%	65	-0.7	217/270/334	117	326	12	5	35%	6%	66	-0.6	211/266/326	115	319	13	2	36%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Bubba Starling 2019 · AAA	26	39→46	45	48→50	38	202/248/325	124	270	13	10	30%	5%	55	-1.4	222/264/345	123	299	14	11	29%	5%	66	-0.6	221/258/345	124	289	15	11	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Anderson Miller 2021 · AA	27	39→45	43→45	47→50	36	199/237/307	108	271	12	12	31%	4%	45	-2.1	205/268/345	140	282	18	15	33%	7%	69	-0.4	166/237/308	143	210	22	18	33%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	37→39	47→50	50	39	195/247/328	133	260	15	11	31%	6%	55	-1.4	212/254/352	140	250	18	10	23%	5%	65	-0.7	208/243/357	149	220	23	8	19%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Eric Duncan 2011 · AAA	26	39→41	42→50	45	38	198/236/297	99	262	9	6	28%	4%	41	-2.3	221/260/364	143	283	17	7	28%	4%	70	-0.3	224/261/387	163	274	22	5	27%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Preston Beck 2017 · AAA	26	45→44	43→45	50→45	46	219/276/337	118	268	10	8	22%	7%	69	-0.4	213/265/314	101	276	9	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	206/260/302	96	272	8	2	26%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	39→36	50→45	48→45	43	206/272/358	152	269	18	10	30%	7%	74	-0.1	214/285/341	127	273	14	7	26%	8%	75	-0.0	193/283/277	84	242	8	0	22%	10%	55	-0.5
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	209/268/345	136	287	15	14	32%	7%	69	-0.4	232/305/339	107	304	9	27	25%	8%	82	+0.5	243/325/332	89	317	5	48	23%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Matt Pali 2007 · AA	26	43→46	43→40	45	42	217/262/318	100	261	12	9	22%	5%	58	-1.2	217/265/317	100	269	11	8	23%	5%	59	-1.1	209/259/297	87	255	11	6	22%	4%	48	-1.1
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	193/245/318	125	242	13	7	26%	5%	52	-1.6	210/257/336	126	284	14	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	192/227/334	142	252	20	17	33%	4%	45	-0.4