Ethan Wilson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | AA/A+PHI | 536 | .235/.291/.336 | 8 | 26 | 31 | — | .185/.221/.273 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAPHI | 463 | .250/.311/.443 | 17 | 12 | 69 | — | .215/.265/.360 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AAPHI | 373 | .208/.268/.344 | 10 | 10 | 33 | — | .177/.222/.275 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 117 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 215 | 282 | 374 | 656 | 159 | 253 | 21 | 9 | 293 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 78 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 214 | 286 | 286 | 571 | 71 | 292 | 27 | 6 | 262 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 458 | 424 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 93 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 238 | 292 | 344 | 636 | 106 | 288 | 20 | 6 | 286 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 463 | 420 | 105 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 110 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 250 | 311 | 443 | 754 | 193 | 294 | 24 | 7 | 329 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 300 | 450 | 150 | 143 | 24 | 0 | 185 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 352 | 317 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 211 | 275 | 347 | 622 | 136 | 243 | 21 | 7 | 275 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 117 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 173 | 222 | 291 | 513 | 118 | 229 | 29 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 78 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 181 | 234 | 250 | 484 | 69 | 260 | 33 | 4 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 458 | 437 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 119 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 185 | 219 | 277 | 496 | 92 | 233 | 26 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 463 | 428 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 134 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 215 | 265 | 360 | 625 | 145 | 269 | 29 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 300 | 450 | 150 | 137 | 29 | 0 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 352 | 325 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 94 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 178 | 226 | 274 | 500 | 95 | 221 | 27 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 117 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 173 | 222 | 291 | 513 | 118 | 230 | 29 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 117 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 215 | 282 | 374 | 656 | 159 | 253 | 21 | 9 | 293 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 509 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 145 | 6 | 26 | 9 | 187 | 223 | 275 | 498 | 88 | 243 | 27 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 536 | 494 | 116 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 114 | 6 | 26 | 9 | 235 | 291 | 336 | 627 | 101 | 289 | 21 | 6 | 283 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 463 | 428 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 134 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 215 | 265 | 360 | 625 | 145 | 278 | 29 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 463 | 420 | 105 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 110 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 250 | 311 | 443 | 754 | 193 | 294 | 24 | 7 | 329 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 345 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 177 | 222 | 275 | 497 | 99 | 221 | 27 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 337 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 80 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 208 | 268 | 344 | 613 | 136 | 237 | 21 | 7 | 270 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 117 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 174 | 222 | 294 | 516 | 119 | 229 | 29 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 507 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 145 | 6 | 26 | 9 | 187 | 223 | 276 | 499 | 89 | 237 | 27 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 463 | 431 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 134 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 213 | 265 | 357 | 622 | 144 | 269 | 29 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 350 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 174 | 222 | 271 | 493 | 97 | 216 | 27 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 350 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 174 | 222 | 271 | 493 | 97 | 216 | 27 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1489 | 1392 | 267 | 51 | 8 | 29 | 65 | 413 | 15 | 50 | 23 | 192 | 236 | 302 | 538 | 111 | 247 | 28 | 4 | 233 | 44 | -99 | +1 | +0 | -9 | +32 | -7.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 180 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 191 | 235 | 301 | 536 | 110 | 245 | 28 | 4 | 233 | 44 | -43 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 352 PAwOBA .273 → .222 (−50)K% 21.3% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.31% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.10% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.77% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 16.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.79% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.55% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .273 → .222; ISO .136 → .099; BABIP .243 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 21 PAwOBA .179 → .153 (−26)K% 23.8% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 13.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.87% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .179 → .153; ISO .150 → .111; BABIP .143 → .137. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAReading Fightin Phils · 463 PAwOBA .324 → .270 (−54)K% 23.8% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.70% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.68% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 18.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.74% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.005 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.12% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 101, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .324 → .270; ISO .193 → .150; BABIP .294 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 458 PAwOBA .279 → .215 (−64)K% 20.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.31% | ÷1.022 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.90% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 3.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.75% | ÷1.044 | ×0.870 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 17.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.966 | ×0.850 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.11% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .279 → .215; ISO .106 → .091; BABIP .288 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAReading Fightin Phils · 78 PAwOBA .250 → .209 (−41)K% 26.9% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.49% | ÷1.069 | ×0.970 | ×0.958 | ×1.027 | 21.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×0.958 | ×1.027 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.051 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .250 → .209; ISO .071 → .058; BABIP .292 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 117 PAwOBA .285 → .226 (−59)K% 21.4% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.37% | ÷0.992 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.55% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.07% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | — | 15.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | — | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | — | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.66% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.95% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .285 → .226; ISO .159 → .123; BABIP .253 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).