Ethan WilsonOF
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 26
L/L
6'1" / 210 lbs
AA
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .258 / .342
PA250
HR7
SB5
K%29
BB%5
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
39→39
PWR
41→41
SPD
50→50
EYE
39→39
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.4peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-9M | $-29M | -$20M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 117 | 110 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .164 | .214 | .264 | .477 | .100 | .216 | 29 | 6 | .228 | 33 | -9 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 536 | 509 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 147 | 6 | 26 | 9 | .185 | .221 | .267 | .489 | .083 | .244 | 27 | 3 | .213 | 22 | -48 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -3.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 463 | 429 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 141 | 6 | 12 | 7 | .212 | .260 | .368 | .629 | .156 | .275 | 30 | 5 | .270 | 65 | -18 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 373 | 345 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 104 | 3 | 10 | 5 | .180 | .225 | .287 | .512 | .107 | .226 | 28 | 5 | .221 | 28 | -30 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 250 | 232 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 72 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .211 | .262 | .353 | .616 | .142 | .270 | 29 | 6 | .269 | 64 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 11% | PHI | 336 | 310 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 95 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .210 | .264 | .345 | .609 | .135 | .272 | 28 | 6 | .275 | 68 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 22% | PHI | 364 | 335 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 102 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .215 | .271 | .358 | .630 | .143 | .273 | 28 | 6 | .277 | 70 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | PHI | 373 | 343 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 104 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .213 | .270 | .353 | .623 | .140 | .274 | 28 | 6 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 44% | PHI | 378 | 348 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 106 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .216 | .272 | .356 | .628 | .141 | .273 | 28 | 6 | .276 | 69 | -13 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 58% | PHI | 369 | 339 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 105 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .206 | .265 | .333 | .598 | .127 | .271 | 28 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 76% | PHI | 354 | 325 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 103 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .203 | .262 | .323 | .585 | .120 | .270 | 29 | 6 | .267 | 63 | -15 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 93% | PHI | 326 | 299 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 97 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .201 | .260 | .318 | .578 | .117 | .268 | 30 | 6 | .262 | 58 | -15 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 284 | 262 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 87 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .195 | .252 | .309 | .561 | .115 | .266 | 31 | 6 | .255 | 53 | -15 | -0 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4523 | 4186 | 846 | 165 | 19 | 107 | 255 | 1297 | 40 | 90 | 45 | .202 | .255 | .327 | .582 | .125 | .263 | 29 | 6 | .259 | 56 | -225 | +0 | -20 | -27 | +128 | -14.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 602 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 186 | 6 | 13 | 6 | .203 | .256 | .327 | .583 | .125 | .264 | 29 | 6 | .259 | 56 | -32 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 117 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .215 | .282 | .374 | .656 | .159 | .253 | 21 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 78 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .214 | .286 | .286 | .571 | .071 | .292 | 27 | 6 | .262 | 59 | -4 | -1 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 458 | 424 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 93 | 4 | 25 | 7 | .238 | .292 | .344 | .636 | .106 | .288 | 20 | 6 | .286 | 77 | -12 | +2 | — | — | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 463 | 420 | 105 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 110 | 6 | 12 | 7 | .250 | .311 | .443 | .754 | .193 | .294 | 24 | 7 | .329 | 110 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .150 | .150 | .300 | .450 | .150 | .143 | 24 | 0 | .185 | 0 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 352 | 317 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 9 | 5 | .211 | .275 | .347 | .622 | .136 | .243 | 21 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -12 | -0 | — | — | +10 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ethan Wilson (OGILVIE) | 26 | 39 | 41 | 50 | 39 | .207/.258/.342 | .134 | .270 | 7 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 64 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Conner Capel 2022 · AAA |
25 | 42→45 | 47→45 | 47→55 | 42 | .214/.265/.348 | .133 | .268 | 16 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .218/.289/.347 | .129 | .274 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .207/.288/.330 | .122 | .263 | 13 | 22 | 25% | 9% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB |
26 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 50 | 38 | .213/.258/.351 | .138 | .274 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.252/.324 | .124 | .274 | 13 | 11 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.243/.304 | .118 | .267 | 13 | 12 | 34% | 5% | 45 | -1.3 |
|
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA |
26 | 42→46 | 45 | 47→50 | 43 | .214/.266/.338 | .124 | .259 | 13 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .210/.265/.331 | .121 | .256 | 14 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .198/.257/.310 | .112 | .238 | 13 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 51 | -0.6 |
|
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA |
26 | 43→42 | 48→55 | 51→50 | 39 | .218/.260/.365 | .147 | .277 | 15 | 9 | 27% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .193/.238/.298 | .105 | .290 | 9 | 7 | 35% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .130/.173/.206 | .076 | .218 | 6 | 4 | 42% | 5% | -12 | -2.2 |
|
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA |
26 | 41→42 | 47→45 | 45→40 | 41 | .208/.272/.337 | .129 | .274 | 15 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .214/.278/.342 | .128 | .278 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .177/.265/.331 | .155 | .216 | 16 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -0.2 |
|
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA |
26 | 45 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .218/.268/.325 | .106 | .285 | 9 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .227/.274/.372 | .145 | .296 | 16 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .222/.267/.379 | .157 | .284 | 19 | 22 | 29% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ryan Mount 2013 · AA |
26 | 44 | 46→50 | 50 | 39 | .222/.264/.353 | .130 | .288 | 14 | 11 | 28% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .241/.288/.385 | .144 | .295 | 16 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .273/.320/.460 | .187 | .310 | 21 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 115 | +0.8 |
|
✕Preston Beck 2017 · AAA |
26 | 44→43 | 43→45 | 49→45 | 46 | .216/.275/.333 | .117 | .266 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .213/.265/.316 | .103 | .272 | 9 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.261/.304 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 2 | 26% | 6% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA |
25 | 43→44 | 45→50 | 44→45 | 38 | .214/.258/.334 | .120 | .292 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .222/.274/.341 | .119 | .283 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.282/.338 | .114 | .277 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA |
26 | 41 | 47→40 | 48→55 | 41 | .209/.268/.341 | .133 | .288 | 15 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .231/.302/.338 | .107 | .302 | 9 | 28 | 25% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .241/.322/.332 | .091 | .312 | 6 | 48 | 22% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Luis González 2022 · AAA |
26 | 43→50 | 44→45 | 50 | 46 | .214/.276/.327 | .113 | .266 | 13 | 17 | 25% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .235/.308/.353 | .118 | .305 | 11 | 18 | 25% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .237/.315/.348 | .110 | .302 | 10 | 20 | 23% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Robert Neustrom 2022 · AAA |
25 | 44 | 47→50 | 50 | 43 | .221/.276/.359 | .137 | .282 | 14 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .218/.271/.363 | .145 | .259 | 17 | 14 | 23% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .200/.251/.345 | .145 | .221 | 19 | 17 | 20% | 5% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA |
26 | 45 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 38 | .223/.263/.334 | .111 | .295 | 10 | 8 | 28% | 4% | 63 | -0.9 | .215/.266/.332 | .117 | .321 | 12 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .208/.261/.325 | .117 | .315 | 13 | 2 | 36% | 6% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA |
25 | 40→37 | 46→45 | 48→45 | 44 | .205/.275/.336 | .132 | .274 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.284/.329 | .117 | .274 | 12 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .192/.282/.265 | .072 | .245 | 6 | 0 | 22% | 10% | 51 | -0.6 |
|
✕LJ Talley 2023 · AAA |
26 | 45→47 | 46→45 | 53→50 | 44 | .227/.283/.352 | .125 | .283 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .220/.284/.338 | .118 | .280 | 12 | 12 | 25% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .188/.271/.281 | .093 | .237 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 10% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→38 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .183/.247/.298 | .115 | .269 | 11 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.262/.346 | .145 | .292 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2017 · AAA |
26 | 46 | 48→50 | 47→45 | 39 | .230/.275/.372 | .142 | .311 | 17 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .225/.272/.359 | .134 | .312 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .221/.269/.352 | .131 | .311 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Sócrates Brito 2019 · MLB |
26 | 45→54 | 45→50 | 51→55 | 40 | .226/.266/.352 | .126 | .292 | 12 | 13 | 27% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.269/.368 | .144 | .297 | 14 | 15 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .215/.261/.351 | .136 | .284 | 13 | 20 | 28% | 5% | 64 | -0.6 |
|
✕Luis Liberato 2022 · AAA |
26 | 46→51 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .228/.275/.350 | .122 | .308 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .216/.279/.361 | .145 | .302 | 15 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .205/.274/.347 | .142 | .285 | 15 | 11 | 32% | 8% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |