Ethan Wilson — OGILVIE

Ethan WilsonOF Reading Fightin Phils

Age 26 L/L 6'1" / 210 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .251 / .326

PA20

HR0

K%26

BB%5

ISO121

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	107	23	4	2	3	10	25	0	2	2	215	282	374	656	159	253	21	9	293	84	-2	-0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	78	70	15	2	0	1	5	21	2	1	2	214	286	286	571	71	292	27	6	262	64	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	458	424	101	20	2	7	28	93	4	25	7	238	292	344	636	106	288	20	6	286	80	-11	+2	—	—	+10	0.1
2023	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	420	105	24	3	17	31	110	6	12	7	250	311	443	754	193	294	24	7	329	109	+5	-0	—	—	+10	1.5
2024	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	0	5	0	1	0	150	150	300	450	150	143	24	0	185	12	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	352	317	67	14	1	9	25	75	3	9	5	211	275	347	622	136	243	21	7	275	72	-12	-0	—	—	+8	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	110	19	3	2	2	7	34	0	2	2	173	222	291	513	118	229	29	6	226	39	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	78	72	13	2	0	1	3	26	2	1	2	181	234	250	484	69	247	33	4	201	22	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	458	435	84	16	2	6	17	122	4	25	7	193	230	280	511	87	247	27	4	222	36	-35	+2	—	—	+10	-2.3
2023	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	429	89	20	3	12	22	134	6	12	7	207	256	352	608	145	261	29	5	263	64	-20	-0	—	—	+10	-1.0
2024	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	0	6	0	1	0	150	150	300	450	150	132	29	0	148	-14	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	24	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	352	325	58	12	1	6	17	94	3	9	5	178	226	277	503	98	216	27	5	220	35	-27	-0	—	—	+8	-2.0
2021	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	110	19	3	2	2	7	34	0	2	2	173	222	291	513	118	230	29	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	107	23	4	2	3	10	25	0	2	2	215	282	374	656	159	253	21	9	293	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	536	507	96	17	2	7	20	147	6	26	9	189	229	272	501	83	251	27	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	536	494	116	22	2	8	33	114	6	26	9	235	291	336	627	101	289	21	6	283	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	429	89	20	3	12	22	134	6	12	7	207	256	352	608	145	266	29	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	420	105	24	3	17	31	110	6	12	7	250	311	443	754	193	294	24	7	329	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	345	61	12	1	7	17	100	3	10	5	177	222	278	500	101	221	27	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	373	337	70	14	1	10	25	80	3	10	5	208	268	344	613	136	237	21	7	270	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	117	109	19	3	2	2	7	34	0	2	2	174	222	294	516	119	229	29	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	536	505	96	17	2	7	20	147	6	26	9	190	229	273	502	83	247	27	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	432	89	20	3	12	22	134	6	12	7	206	256	350	606	144	261	29	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	350	61	12	1	7	17	100	3	10	5	174	222	274	496	100	211	27	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	463	432	89	20	3	12	22	134	6	12	7	206	256	350	606	144	261	29	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	350	61	12	1	7	17	100	3	10	5	174	222	274	496	100	211	27	5	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	262	25	5	259	62	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PHI	27%	336	312	65	13	1	8	18	87	3	7	3	208	258	333	592	125	265	26	5	266	66	-14	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
2027	27	MLB CTX	PHI	27%	90	84	18	4	0	2	5	23	1	2	1	214	267	333	600	119	267	26	6	264	66	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	90	84	18	4	0	2	5	23	1	2	1	214	267	333	600	119	271	26	6	264	48	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	130	29	0	14	36	166	7	14	7	214	266	331	597	117	272	26	6	264	48	-26	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1845	1722	334	66	9	36	85	507	18	57	26	194	239	305	545	111	249	27	5	239	48	-15	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	118	23	3	13	30	179	6	20	9	194	240	306	546	112	249	28	5	239	48	-26	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Wilson (OGILVIE)	26	41	40	50	39	206/251/326	120	262	5	5	26%	5%	62	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	43→47	45	47→50	44	215/266/336	121	258	13	10	22%	6%	69	-0.9	211/266/329	118	259	13	10	23%	6%	68	-1.0	198/257/309	111	239	13	9	23%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	46	43→45	49→45	39	224/266/337	112	296	10	8	28%	5%	69	-0.9	215/267/325	110	321	11	5	34%	6%	67	-1.1	208/262/315	107	314	11	2	36%	6%	59	-1.0
✕Preston Beck 2017 · AAA	26	45→44	43→45	50→45	46	221/276/337	116	270	9	8	22%	7%	73	-0.6	217/269/318	101	276	8	5	23%	6%	65	-1.2	210/266/307	97	270	8	2	24%	6%	60	-1.1
✕LJ Talley 2023 · AAA	26	45→46	44→45	53→50	45	225/282/341	116	280	12	11	24%	7%	76	-0.4	218/285/330	112	279	11	12	25%	8%	75	-0.5	185/269/269	84	237	8	12	24%	10%	53	-0.8
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	45	45→40	40	207/268/329	122	272	13	5	28%	6%	69	-0.9	213/277/338	125	276	12	8	27%	6%	74	-0.5	175/262/325	151	214	16	6	26%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	42→47	46→50	50	39	212/257/343	130	272	13	12	27%	4%	67	-1.1	198/251/312	114	276	11	11	31%	5%	58	-1.7	184/241/291	108	266	11	12	34%	5%	48	-1.6
✕Donald Lutz 2015 · MLB	26	43→49	47→50	52→45	37	218/264/358	140	295	14	8	31%	5%	74	-0.6	204/252/300	96	309	9	8	35%	5%	55	-1.9	165/206/211	46	282	4	2	41%	4%	15	-1.9
✕Danny Perales 2011 · AAA	26	40→47	47→50	53→50	39	207/246/342	135	253	14	11	25%	4%	63	-1.4	218/257/329	111	258	11	10	20%	4%	63	-1.3	214/254/311	96	251	8	8	18%	4%	56	-0.8
✕Robert Neustrom 2022 · AAA	25	45→44	45	50	44	222/279/352	130	284	12	10	26%	7%	78	-0.3	215/269/348	133	258	14	14	22%	6%	73	-0.6	195/246/323	128	220	16	17	20%	5%	57	-1.2
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	217/267/324	106	281	8	13	25%	6%	66	-1.1	225/272/362	137	292	15	18	27%	5%	77	-0.3	222/266/365	143	283	17	22	27%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Conner Capel 2022 · AAA	25	42→45	46→45	47→55	43	214/267/342	128	266	14	10	26%	6%	71	-0.8	216/288/340	124	274	13	19	25%	9%	78	-0.3	206/286/324	119	261	12	22	25%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Tyler Massey 2015 · AA	26	45→49	43→45	54→50	41	225/265/333	108	280	10	17	24%	5%	67	-1.1	215/263/308	93	272	6	17	22%	6%	61	-1.5	198/250/272	74	250	1	18	20%	6%	46	-1.3
✕Adam Calderone 2010 · AAA	26	43→40	46→50	45	42	215/262/349	134	263	12	8	23%	5%	70	-0.8	200/244/334	134	260	13	10	28%	5%	60	-1.6	184/226/322	138	240	14	10	29%	4%	51	-1.3
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	208/274/339	131	274	14	10	29%	7%	73	-0.6	216/286/327	111	276	10	7	24%	8%	75	-0.5	200/287/269	68	252	5	0	21%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Tyler Collins 2016 · MLB	26	45→50	45	48→50	44	225/278/347	123	278	13	11	24%	6%	76	-0.4	216/275/333	117	285	13	10	28%	7%	72	-0.7	210/271/327	117	280	14	9	29%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Matt Pali 2007 · AA	26	43→46	43→40	45	42	217/262/314	97	260	12	9	22%	5%	62	-1.4	216/264/312	96	266	10	8	22%	5%	63	-1.4	210/259/290	80	254	9	6	21%	4%	53	-1.3
✕Blake Rutherford 2023 · AAA	26	44→53	41→45	46→50	36	218/249/321	102	284	9	8	26%	3%	58	-1.7	244/289/375	131	307	13	11	24%	5%	86	+0.3	270/317/421	150	334	14	10	22%	5%	105	+1.0
✕Braden Shewmake 2023 · AAA	25	43→40	46→50	53→55	40	217/256/343	126	266	13	11	24%	5%	67	-1.1	205/251/320	115	252	11	21	23%	5%	59	-1.6	189/232/276	87	232	7	22	21%	5%	40	-1.0