Neiker Palacios

P ACL D-backs

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Arizona B…	13	2	20	10.53	5.74	19.0%	17.0%	—	K 12.9% · BB 21.3% · FIP 6.72
2026	19	MIX2 levels	9	4	31	2.64	2.77	25.4%	11.2%	—	K 15.7% · BB 15.0% · FIP 4.39
2027PROJ	20	MLBARI	13	0	14	5.33	5.33	20.1%	15.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBARI	13	0	14	5.09	4.99	20.9%	13.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsWill Kobos (age 20) · Tanner Cooper (age 21) · Juan Mendez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%20.1%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%4.9%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	13	2	20	100	19	17	3	15%	1.5	12.9%	21.3%	-8.3%	3.7%	10.53	6.72	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	13	2	20	100	19	17	3	15%	1.5	12.9%	21.3%	-8.3%	3.7%	10.53	6.72	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	13	2	20	100	19	17	3	15%	1.5	19.0%	17.0%	2.0%	3.0%	10.53	5.74	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	4	31	134	34	15	1	44%	3.4	15.7%	15.0%	0.7%	1.3%	2.64	4.39	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	4	31	134	34	15	1	44%	3.4	15.7%	15.0%	0.7%	1.3%	2.64	4.39	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	4	31	134	34	15	1	44%	3.4	25.4%	11.2%	14.2%	0.7%	2.64	2.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ARI	13	0	14	59	12	9	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	15.2%	4.9%	3.0%	5.33	5.33	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	28	0	29	122	26	16	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.9%	5.09	4.99	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	13	0	14	59	12	8	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.9%	5.09	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	60	13	8	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.9%	5.09	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	112	28	0%	1.1	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.9%	5.09	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		22	6	50	234	34	41	5	27%	2.3	14.5%	17.7%	-3.2%	2.3%	5.72	5.39	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	24	200	930	135	165	22	27%	2.3	14.5%	17.7%	-3.2%	2.3%	5.72	5.39	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Neiker Palacios (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	20.1%	15.2%	3.0%	—	4.99	20.9%	7.6%	29	-0.34	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	88
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	87
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	85
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	85
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	85
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	83
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	83
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	83
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	81
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	81
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	81
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	80
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	80
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	80
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	80
Luis De La Cruz R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	20	SW	4.31	17.5%	16.9%	1.0%	.281	5.19	18.3%	-2.9%	124	+0.88	3.55	158	79
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	79
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	79