Sebastian Perez

P DSL Rays

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKTB	3	3	2	15.43	11.24	20.0%	26.7%	—	K 20.0% · BB 26.7% · FIP 8.45
2026	19	ROKTB	9	5	19	4.19	4.60	17.0%	17.0%	—	K 11.6% · BB 21.3% · FIP 5.64
2027PROJ	20	MLBTB	2	2	12	5.58	5.58	20.2%	17.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBTB	2	2	10	5.29	5.18	21.0%	14.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsChris Viall (age 20) · Eriq Swan (age 22) · Jace Beck (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.58

FIP5.58

K%20.2%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%2.9%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	3	3	2	15	3	4	1	100%	0.8	20.0%	26.7%	-6.7%	6.7%	15.43	8.45	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	3	3	2	15	3	4	1	100%	0.8	20.0%	26.7%	-6.7%	6.7%	15.43	8.45	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	3	3	2	15	3	4	1	100%	0.8	20.0%	26.7%	-6.7%	6.7%	15.43	11.24	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	9	5	19	94	16	16	1	56%	2.1	11.6%	21.3%	-9.7%	1.5%	4.19	5.64	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	9	5	19	94	16	16	1	56%	2.1	11.6%	21.3%	-9.7%	1.5%	4.19	5.64	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	9	5	19	94	16	16	1	56%	2.1	17.0%	17.0%	0.0%	1.1%	4.19	4.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	TB	2	2	12	51	10	9	1	100%	6.0	20.2%	17.2%	2.9%	3.0%	5.58	5.58	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	4	4	20	84	18	12	2	100%	5.0	21.0%	14.8%	6.2%	2.9%	5.29	5.18	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	2	2	10	42	9	6	1	100%	5.0	21.0%	14.8%	6.2%	2.9%	5.29	5.18	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	9	6	1	100%	4.9	21.0%	14.8%	6.2%	2.9%	5.29	4.80	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	183	122	20	100%	4.8	21.0%	14.8%	6.2%	2.9%	5.29	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		12	8	22	109	14	24	2	67%	1.8	12.7%	22.0%	-9.3%	2.2%	5.40	6.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	74	200	1006	128	222	22	67%	1.8	12.7%	22.0%	-9.3%	2.2%	5.40	6.02	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sebastian Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.58	20.2%	17.2%	3.0%	—	5.18	21.0%	6.2%	20	-0.40	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	88
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	83
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	83
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	82
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	82
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	81
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	79
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	78
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	78
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	78
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	77
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	77
Alfred Vega R 2021 · 4.56 FIP	20	SP-	4.56	20.5%	16.0%	2.1%	.203	4.66	13.4%	0.6%	81	+0.10	2.07	234	77
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	77
Wellington Aracena R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	19	SP-	5.43	18.9%	24.7%	1.5%	.343	3.94	20.0%	4.8%	196	-1.49	3.20	304	76
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	76
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	76
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	76
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	76
Deivy Mendez R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	19	SP-	4.43	20.3%	20.5%	0.8%	.308	4.98	22.9%	3.4%	81	+0.55	2.84	130	76