Fabian Soto
P
DSL Angels
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%22.9%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 11 | 11 | 42 | 194 | 43 | 37 | 1 | 100% | 3.8 | 15.1% | 23.8% | -8.8% | 0.6% | 3.24 | 5.20 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 11 | 11 | 42 | 194 | 43 | 37 | 1 | 100% | 3.8 | 22.2% | 19.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 3.24 | 4.01 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.00 | 4.40 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.00 | 5.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | LAA | 5 | 5 | 25 | 105 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 78 | 31 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 44 | 207 | 33 | 50 | 1 | 100% | 3.4 | 16.1% | 24.3% | -8.2% | 0.6% | 3.92 | 5.15 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 60 | 200 | 948 | 152 | 230 | 6 | 100% | 3.4 | 16.1% | 24.3% | -8.2% | 0.6% | 3.92 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Fabian Soto (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.30 | 23.3% | 13.8% | 26 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 88 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 82 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 81 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 81 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.83 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .238 | 4.84 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.83 | 358 | 80 |
| Chris Clark R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.41 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .362 | 4.78 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 303 | +1.37 | 3.41 | 322 | 80 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 80 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 79 |
| Jaxon Wiggins R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.61 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .286 | 3.29 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 79 | -0.32 | 3.12 | 132 | 79 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 79 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 79 |
| Nate Dohm R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 79 |
| Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 78 |
| Chad Patrick R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 78 |
| Dylan Wilson R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.60 | 20.6% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 139 | 78 |
| Levi Wells R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.32 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .360 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 132 | -0.47 | 3.70 | 192 | 78 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2028 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 78 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2028 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 77 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 77 |
| Tanner Burns R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 23.1% | 9.9% | 1.13 | 4.40 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |