Anthony Gantes — OGILVIE

Anthony Gantes P DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%19.5%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	6	39	157	34	13	0	46%	3.0	14.7%	10.4%	4.4%	0.0%	2.52	3.17	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	6	39	157	34	13	0	46%	3.0	14.7%	10.4%	4.4%	0.0%	2.52	3.17	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	13	6	39	157	34	13	0	46%	3.0	21.7%	8.3%	13.4%	0.0%	2.52	2.36	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	6	4	18	72	12	7	0	67%	3.0	11.3%	12.2%	-0.8%	0.0%	2.00	3.68	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	6	4	18	72	12	7	0	67%	3.0	11.3%	12.2%	-0.8%	0.0%	2.00	3.68	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	6	4	18	72	12	7	0	67%	3.0	16.7%	9.7%	6.9%	0.0%	2.00	2.93	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	20	MLB	HOU	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.77	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	7	7	37	157	32	16	4	100%	5.3	20.5%	10.0%	10.5%	2.8%	4.63	4.57	+0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	HOU	3	3	18	76	16	8	2	100%	6.0	20.5%	10.0%	10.5%	2.8%	4.63	4.57	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	18	77	16	8	2	100%	6.1	20.5%	10.0%	10.5%	2.8%	4.63	4.19	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	175	87	22	100%	5.4	20.5%	10.0%	10.5%	2.8%	4.63	4.19	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		19	10	57	229	31	25	0	53%	3.0	13.7%	10.9%	2.7%	0.0%	2.35	3.33	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	35	200	799	109	87	0	53%	3.0	13.7%	10.9%	2.7%	0.0%	2.35	3.33	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Gantes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	19.5%	10.7%	2.9%	—	4.57	20.5%	10.5%	37	-0.20	—	—	—
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	87
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	84
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	84
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	84
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	83
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	83
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	82
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	82
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	81
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	81
Roger Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	16.4%	9.6%	4.0%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	128	80
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	80
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	80
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	80
Adriel Gonzalez R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	20	SP-	4.21	14.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	117	80
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	80
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	79
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	79
Yunior Marte R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	19	SP-	4.22	16.4%	8.5%	2.6%	.321	4.05	18.1%	8.5%	241	-0.17	3.21	297	79
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.2%	10.2%	1.10	4.67
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78