Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 11 | 46 | 176 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 14.3% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.77 | 4.69 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 11 | 46 | 176 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 1.7% | 1.77 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 12 | 5 | 42 | 178 | 45 | 15 | 0 | 42% | 3.5 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 2.79 | 2.98 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 12 | 5 | 42 | 178 | 45 | 15 | 0 | 42% | 3.5 | 25.3% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 2.79 | 2.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Salem RidgeYaks | 11 | 1 | 35 | 171 | 46 | 20 | 6 | 9% | 3.2 | 19.2% | 14.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.31 | 5.89 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.09 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 61 | 284 | 65 | 33 | 9 | — | — | 22.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 6.90 | 5.54 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.50 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 87 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 17 | 122 | 525 | 89 | 62 | 13 | 50% | 3.6 | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.97 | 4.50 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 28 | 200 | 858 | 145 | 101 | 21 | 50% | 3.6 | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.97 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yermain Ruiz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.88 | 18.0% | 7.1% | 28 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 91 |
| Julio Goff R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.80 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .364 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 207 | +0.04 | 4.43 | 251 | 88 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 85 |
| Ruben Galindo R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.13 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .345 | 3.57 | 19.0% | 7.7% | 149 | -1.56 | 2.91 | 239 | 85 |
| Kristian Cardozo R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.98 | 16.3% | 13.5% | 2.8% | .358 | 7.24 | 13.6% | -4.3% | 15 | +2.26 | 3.49 | 138 | 85 |
| Angel Peralta R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.90 | 15.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 105 | 84 |
| Darwin Ramos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.03 | 16.0% | 11.2% | 1.6% | .353 | 3.67 | 15.7% | 5.9% | 177 | -0.36 | 3.35 | 262 | 84 |
| Maiker Manuel R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .278 | 4.62 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 51 | +0.06 | 4.56 | 148 | 84 |
| David McKay R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.37 | 15.2% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.56 | 22.9% | 12.4% | 211 | +0.19 | 3.29 | 288 | 83 |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 83 |
| Engel Daniel Peralta R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.11 | 17.7% | 15.0% | 2.9% | .300 | 5.76 | 15.2% | 2.1% | 15 | +0.65 | 3.34 | 111 | 83 |
| Henry Valencio R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.15 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .293 | 5.11 | 11.9% | -11.9% | 14 | +0.96 | 3.48 | 136 | 83 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .293 | 4.27 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 73 | -0.07 | 3.48 | 153 | 83 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 82 |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 82 |
| Dante Mendoza R 2025 · 5.90 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.90 | 14.9% | 14.1% | 4.1% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 82 |
| Tyler Gray R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.49 | 18.2% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.30 | 11.9% | 3.6% | 72 | -0.19 | 4.30 | 119 | 81 |
| Yunior Montero R 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 81 |
| Kenlly Montas R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.03 | 15.1% | 11.9% | 1.3% | .264 | 4.84 | 12.3% | 3.8% | 90 | +0.81 | 4.03 | 166 | 81 |
| Sabier Marte R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.27 | 14.5% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .239 | 5.23 | 18.2% | 5.1% | 34 | +0.96 | 2.89 | 154 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 17.4% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 5.01 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |