Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 20 | 8 | 65 | 288 | 62 | 27 | 5 | 40% | 3.2 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.57 | 5.13 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 20 | 8 | 65 | 288 | 62 | 27 | 5 | 40% | 3.2 | 21.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 1.7% | 4.57 | 3.44 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 31 | 5 | 67 | 304 | 77 | 36 | 3 | 16% | 2.2 | 18.7% | 14.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 5.67 | 4.09 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 31 | 5 | 67 | 304 | 77 | 36 | 3 | 16% | 2.2 | 25.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 1.0% | 5.67 | 3.00 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 59 | 249 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 3% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 0.7% | 3.19 | 2.91 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 59 | 249 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 3% | 1.6 | 25.3% | 6.8% | 18.5% | 0.4% | 3.19 | 2.06 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 13 | 1 | 23 | 97 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 8% | 1.8 | 19.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 3.09 | 3.78 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 13 | 1 | 23 | 97 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 8% | 1.8 | 25.8% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 1.0% | 3.09 | 2.80 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 2 | 29 | 148 | 35 | 23 | 1 | 8% | 1.2 | 18.6% | 18.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 7.36 | 4.48 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 2 | 29 | 148 | 35 | 23 | 1 | 8% | 1.2 | 23.6% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 0.7% | 7.36 | 3.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SD | 16 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SD | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 126 | 17 | 244 | 1086 | 197 | 133 | 20 | 13% | 1.9 | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 4.73 | 4.12 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 14 | 200 | 891 | 161 | 109 | 16 | 13% | 1.9 | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 4.73 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ruben Galindo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 22.1% | 10.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.46 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 20 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 83 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 82 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 82 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 82 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 81 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 81 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 81 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 81 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 81 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 80 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 80 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 80 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.0% | .323 | 4.34 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 142 | 80 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 80 |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .255 | 4.83 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 47 | +1.34 | 3.49 | 106 | 80 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 80 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 80 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 79 |
| Hunter Mann R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 79 |