Angel Guzman

SS FCL Blue Jays
Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1064ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKTOR183.262/.352/.3440237—.180/.247/.228
202518ROKDSL Blue Jays…182.230/.363/.3653935—.140/.246/.217
202619ROKTOR245.284/.394/.46171377—.212/.290/.327
2027PROJMLE20MLBTOR355.211/.282/.30956680.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBTOR61.217/.289/.32511740.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBTOR138.220/.293/.33623780.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO76
Whiff%75
wRC+71
K%69
Speed69
Z-Con%66
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsDayan Frias (age 20) · Kelvin Alarcon (age 20) · Derwin Barreto (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 133 proj PA
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .307
PA133
HR2
K%25
BB%8
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.40.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$1M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 183160 42920 22300 22 263352344695 81321 1612 318 37 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Blue Jays Blue — 182148 34723 30261 92 230363365728 135254 1416 330 35 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 245204 581127 33434 134 284394461855 176323 1813 377 77 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 183167 30610 15380 22 180247228475 48234 218 223 37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 182157 22412 21331 92 140246217462 76160 1812 220 35 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 245217 46815 20624 134 212290327618 115265 258 282 77 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 183167 30610 15380 22 180247228475 48231 218 223 37 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays — 183160 42920 22300 22 263352344695 81321 1612 318 37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 182157 22412 21331 92 140246217462 76160 1812 220 35 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays Blue — 182148 34723 30261 92 230363365728 135254 1416 330 35 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 245217 46815 20624 134 212290327618 115266 258 282 77 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 245204 581127 33434 134 284394461855 176323 1813 377 77 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 183166 30610 15380 22 181247229476 48234 218 223 37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 182158 22412 21331 92 139246215461 76160 1812 220 35 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 245219 46815 20624 134 210290324615 114265 258 282 77 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 183166 30610 15380 22 181247229476 48234 218 223 37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 182158 22412 21331 92 139246215461 76160 1812 220 35 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 245219 46815 20624 134 210290324615 114265 258 282 77 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLETOR 0% 355320 681325 29873 62 211282309592 98272 258 269 68 -13 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLETOR 34% 178159 34613 15432 31 216288324612 108274 248 277 74 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
202922 MLB MLETOR 48% 284256 561025 23683 52 219292334626 115276 248 283 78 -8 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203023 MLB MLETOR 54% 370332 741427 31884 72 222295342637 120278 248 287 81 -9 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.4
203124 MLB MLETOR 55% 427384 871639 361014 83 224297348645 123279 248 290 83 -9 +0 +0 +5 +9 0.6
203225 MLB MLETOR 56% 458412 9317310 381085 93 226299351650 126280 248 292 84 -9 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.7
203326 MLB MLETOR 56% 474426 9618310 401125 93 225299351650 126280 248 292 84 -9 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.7
203427 MLB MLETOR 55% 479431 9718310 401135 93 224298349646 124279 248 291 83 -10 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.7
203528 MLB MLETOR 55% 476429 951839 401144 83 223296344640 121278 248 288 81 -11 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.5
203629 MLB MLETOR 53% 467421 931739 391134 73 220293338631 118277 248 285 79 -12 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.2
203730 MLB MLETOR 53% 456411 891638 381124 63 218290331621 113276 258 281 76 -13 +0 -2 +5 +10 -0.0
202821 MLB CTXTOR 34% 6155 11201 5151 10 217289325614 109276 258 278 74 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXTOR 48% 138125 27512 11331 31 220293336629 116277 248 284 78 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
203023 MLB CTXTOR 54% 201180 40714 17482 41 223296344639 120279 248 288 81 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203124 MLB CTXTOR 55% 237213 49925 20562 51 225298349647 124280 248 291 83 -5 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203225 MLB CTXTOR 56% 256230 521025 21603 52 227300353652 126281 238 293 84 -5 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.4
203326 MLB CTXTOR 56% 267240 551026 22633 52 226299352652 126281 248 293 84 -5 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.4
203427 MLB CTXTOR 55% 265238 541025 22633 52 225298350648 125280 248 292 83 -5 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.3
203528 MLB CTXTOR 55% 261235 531025 22622 42 224297345642 122280 248 289 81 -6 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.2
203629 MLB CTXTOR 53% 249224 50925 21602 42 221294340633 118278 248 286 79 -6 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.1
203730 MLB CTXTOR 53% 240216 47914 20592 32 219290332623 114277 258 281 76 -7 -0 -1 +3 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21751956 438811542 18151921 3915 224297345642 121282 248 289 77 -49 +2 -2 +23 +47 2.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 13124413 541556 124 224296345641 121281 248 289 77 -15 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 48124322 9381733089 407113846 9735 217291333624 116272 248 282 77 -98 +4 -4 +45 +91 3.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 12623412 551546 135 216290330620 115270 248 282 77 -15 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 245 PAwOBA .373 → .282 (−91)K% 17.6% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.55%÷1.000×1.440——25.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.47%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9958.31%
HBP% /PA1.63%—×0.720—×0.9951.17%
Singles /BIP23.60%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.99520.22%
Doubles /BIP6.83%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9955.14%
Triples /BIP1.24%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9950.93%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9953.37%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .373 → .282; ISO .176 → .134; BABIP .323 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Blue Jays Blue · 182 PAwOBA .328 → .220 (−108)K% 14.3% → 18.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.29%÷0.968×1.220——18.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.48%÷0.988×0.700—×0.99511.62%
HBP% /PA0.55%—×0.700—×0.9950.38%
Singles /BIP18.03%÷1.086×0.680×1.031×0.99511.59%
Doubles /BIP5.74%÷1.023×0.600×1.031×0.9953.45%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷0.900×0.600×1.031×0.9951.12%
Home runs /BIP2.46%÷0.836×0.470—×0.9951.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 117, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .328 → .220; ISO .135 → .085; BABIP .254 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 183 PAwOBA .312 → .223 (−89)K% 16.4% → 20.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.39%÷0.973×1.220——20.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.02%÷1.015×0.700—×1.0088.35%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP23.85%÷0.958×0.680×1.050×1.00817.90%
Doubles /BIP6.92%÷0.964×0.600×1.050×1.0084.56%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷0.900×0.600×1.050×1.0081.09%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.892×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .312 → .223; ISO .081 → .055; BABIP .321 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).