Angel Guzman — OGILVIE

Angel GuzmanSS FCL Blue Jays

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION226 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .294 / .312

PA150

HR2

K%23

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$47M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	183	169	37	7	2	0	13	46	0	2	2	219	275	284	559	65	298	25	7	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	183	160	42	9	2	0	22	30	0	2	2	263	352	344	695	81	321	16	12	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	182	159	26	5	2	3	19	40	1	9	2	164	257	277	534	113	193	22	10	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	182	148	34	7	2	3	30	26	1	9	2	230	363	365	728	135	254	14	16	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	226	200	45	7	2	5	19	56	3	11	4	225	302	355	657	130	280	25	8	280	72	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	226	188	53	9	2	6	31	39	3	11	4	282	392	447	839	165	320	17	14	370	142	+11	+1	+0	+2	+6	2.0
ROS	19	ROK	TOR	0%	150	134	29	5	1	2	13	35	2	4	1	215	294	312	606	97	276	23	9	282	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	276	69	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	TOR	—	226	201	45	7	2	5	19	56	3	11	4	224	302	353	655	129	278	25	8	280	72	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
TOT	19	ROK	TOR	—	376	334	74	12	3	7	32	91	5	15	5	221	299	338	636	117	277	24	8	281	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	353	316	71	13	2	7	30	81	4	7	2	225	300	345	645	120	278	23	8	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	448	401	92	17	3	9	39	101	5	9	3	229	306	354	660	125	280	23	9	297	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.1
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	511	455	105	19	3	11	45	114	6	10	3	231	308	358	667	127	281	22	9	301	89	-7	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.4
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	550	491	116	21	4	13	48	122	6	10	3	236	312	375	687	138	282	22	9	304	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.7
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	575	513	120	22	4	13	51	127	6	11	4	234	311	368	679	135	283	22	9	306	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2032	25	MLB	TOR	57%	588	524	123	22	4	14	52	129	7	11	4	235	312	372	684	137	283	22	9	307	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.9
2033	26	MLB	TOR	56%	593	528	124	22	4	14	53	130	7	11	4	235	313	371	684	136	283	22	9	307	93	-4	+1	+0	+6	+17	2.0
2034	27	MLB	TOR	55%	592	527	124	22	4	14	53	130	7	11	4	235	313	372	685	137	283	22	9	307	93	-4	+1	+0	+6	+17	2.0
2035	28	MLB	TOR	55%	586	521	122	22	4	14	53	130	7	11	3	234	313	372	686	138	283	22	9	307	93	-5	+1	-1	+6	+17	1.9
2036	29	MLB	TOR	53%	575	511	119	21	4	13	53	129	6	10	3	233	312	366	678	133	282	22	9	305	91	-6	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.7
2037	30	MLB	TOR	57%	564	501	116	21	3	13	52	128	6	10	3	232	311	363	675	132	281	23	9	302	89	-7	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.4
2038	31	MLB	TOR	60%	550	489	111	20	3	12	50	126	6	9	3	227	306	354	660	127	279	23	9	298	87	-8	+1	-3	+6	+16	1.1
2039	32	MLB	TOR	61%	531	471	106	19	3	11	49	124	6	8	3	225	306	348	654	123	276	23	9	293	82	-11	+0	-4	+6	+15	0.7
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	121	109	24	4	1	2	10	28	1	2	1	220	292	330	622	110	279	23	8	283	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	217	194	45	8	1	5	19	49	2	4	1	232	307	361	668	129	281	23	9	290	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.4
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	277	248	57	10	2	6	24	62	3	5	2	230	305	359	664	129	283	22	9	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	311	278	65	12	2	7	27	69	3	6	2	234	308	367	675	133	284	22	9	297	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	325	289	68	12	2	8	29	72	4	6	2	235	314	374	687	138	285	22	9	299	87	-5	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2032	25	MLB	TOR	57%	332	296	70	13	2	8	29	73	4	6	2	236	313	375	688	139	285	22	9	300	87	-5	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2033	26	MLB	TOR	56%	335	298	71	13	2	8	30	74	4	6	2	238	316	376	692	138	285	22	9	300	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2034	27	MLB	TOR	55%	328	291	69	12	2	8	30	72	4	6	2	237	317	375	691	137	284	22	9	300	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2035	28	MLB	TOR	55%	322	286	68	12	2	8	29	71	4	6	2	238	317	378	694	140	284	22	9	299	87	-5	+0	-0	+3	+9	0.8
2036	29	MLB	TOR	53%	307	273	63	11	2	7	28	69	3	5	2	231	309	363	672	132	283	22	9	298	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.7
2037	30	MLB	TOR	57%	322	285	66	12	2	7	30	73	4	5	2	232	313	361	675	130	283	23	9	295	84	-6	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2038	31	MLB	TOR	60%	328	291	67	12	2	7	30	75	4	5	2	230	311	357	668	127	281	23	9	291	81	-7	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.4
2039	32	MLB	TOR	61%	325	289	65	11	2	7	30	76	3	5	2	225	304	349	654	125	278	23	9	286	77	-8	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3850	3428	798	142	24	88	345	863	43	67	24	233	311	365	676	132	284	22	9	295	84	-68	+4	-6	+41	+109	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	135	24	4	15	58	146	7	11	4	233	311	366	677	133	284	22	9	295	84	-12	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	7531	6710	1541	278	50	163	673	1692	82	143	47	230	308	359	666	129	281	22	9	299	87	-109	+10	-10	+81	+213	18.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	133	24	4	14	58	146	7	12	4	230	307	358	665	128	281	22	9	299	87	-9	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	183	160	42	9	2	0	22	30	0	2	2	263	352	344	695	81	321	16	12	318	102	+0	-0	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	182	148	34	7	2	3	30	26	1	9	2	230	363	365	728	135	254	14	16	330	111	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,080	90	74	232	306	363	+44	+24	11.1	9.2
	/162	664	15	12	232	306	363	+7.1	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Guzman (OGILVIE)	19	40	30	50	60	221/299/338	117	277	7	15	24%	8%	73	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Michael Chirinos 2019 · A	19	49	36→40	51→55	56	226/296/292	67	252	4	11	12%	9%	66	-0.6	223/285/300	77	247	6	14	12%	8%	63	-0.8	217/274/284	67	224	7	22	7%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Douglas Duran 2012 · A	19	45	40	44→50	49	218/283/312	95	272	7	9	22%	8%	66	-0.6	188/250/251	63	279	3	8	31%	8%	36	-2.7	120/187/132	12	201	0	8	37%	8%	-23	-1.5
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	223/295/301	78	305	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.4	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Francisco Aponte 2010 · A	19	48	36→30	44→60	46	226/292/291	64	293	3	10	23%	7%	64	-0.8	225/299/283	58	281	1	19	18%	9%	65	-0.7	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A	19	45	37→40	43→55	46	212/282/286	74	280	3	7	24%	7%	59	-1.1	233/290/299	66	278	2	10	16%	6%	65	-0.7	249/301/308	60	288	1	12	13%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	52	199/288/278	79	258	5	6	23%	10%	60	-1.0	217/293/293	76	279	5	7	22%	9%	66	-0.6	213/293/279	66	269	5	6	21%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→42	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	69	-0.4	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	76	+0.0	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→50	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	58	-1.2	209/274/295	86	277	4	19	24%	7%	57	-1.2	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	52	-1.6	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	47	-1.9	259/294/370	111	330	12	18	24%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→49	39→45	48→50	50	203/280/297	94	266	5	9	24%	9%	61	-1.0	218/304/287	69	285	3	10	22%	11%	69	-0.4	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	43	36→40	47→65	48	203/270/269	66	256	4	16	21%	8%	50	-1.8	209/282/280	71	262	3	24	20%	8%	57	-1.2	210/296/279	69	262	2	36	19%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Rodrigo Orozco 2014 · A	19	45→55	40	46→50	48	215/281/315	100	269	6	8	22%	7%	66	-0.6	224/285/309	85	275	5	11	19%	7%	66	-0.6	248/302/327	79	313	3	11	20%	7%	72	-0.1