Dayan Frias

3B Columbus Clippers
Age 25 S/R 5'9" / 140 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AACLE429.203/.304/.3035652—.191/.269/.277
202523AAA/AACLE468.216/.321/.31872047—.179/.262/.259
202624AAACLE344.207/.295/.33672242—.175/.243/.271
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBCLE21.183/.258/.2720151-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBCLE87.187/.262/.2831355-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed89
Whiff%75
Z-Con%72
Max EV61
BB%51
K%46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 1.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%
CompsCal Conley (age 25) · Donta' Williams (age 25) · Jacob Pearson (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .258 / .272
PA21
HR0
K%29
BB%10
BABIP250
ISO53
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201917 ROKDSL Indians — 177134 29430 37251 105 216390291681 75259 1421 319 38 — — — — — —
202119 ROKACL Indians — 188152 491234 27383 32 322434520954 197388 2014 408 79 — — — — — —
202220 ALynchburg Hillcats — 519443 1061826 651297 85 239346330675 90323 2513 312 55 — — — — — —
202220 INTLColombia — 3732 6100 4110 00 188278219497 31286 3011 232 43 — — — — — —
202321 A+Lake County Captains — 397338 8819211 51832 83 260361426787 166309 2113 348 83 — — — — — —
202422 AAAkron RubberDucks — 429370 751635 491045 66 203304303607 100264 2411 279 52 — — — — — —
202523 AAAColumbus Clippers — 176158 32701 15410 74 203272266537 63263 239 246 21 — — — — — —
202523 AAAkron RubberDucks — 292241 541306 43814 135 224351353703 129306 2815 321 63 — — — — — —
202624 AAAColumbus Clippers — 344304 631427 36802 226 207295336631 128256 2310 287 42 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201917 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 177144 21320 27301 105 146285194479 49167 1715 224 38 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Indians — 188164 37822 15563 32 226302335638 110294 308 285 79 — — — — — —
202220 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 519460 921524 481797 85 200285267553 67307 349 250 55 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLELake County Captains — 397351 801729 381022 83 228307365672 137280 2610 291 83 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 429383 731534 361305 66 191269277546 86265 308 245 52 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 176162 28501 11510 74 173225222448 49237 296 199 21 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 292252 461005 321044 135 183285282566 99279 3611 261 63 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 344314 551125 26962 226 175243271513 96231 288 231 42 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 177144 21320 27301 105 146285194479 49179 1715 224 38 — — — — — —
201917 ROK RAWDSL Indians — 177134 29430 37251 105 216390291681 75259 1421 319 38 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Indians — 188164 37822 15563 32 226302335638 110312 308 285 79 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAWACL Indians — 188152 491234 27383 32 322434520954 197388 2014 408 79 — — — — — —
202220 A MLE2 teams — 556493 991625 511917 85 201285272557 71314 349 250 55 — — — — — —
202220 A RAW2 teams — 556475 1121926 691407 85 236341322663 86320 2512 306 55 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLELake County Captains — 397351 801729 381022 83 228307365672 137290 2610 291 83 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAWLake County Captains — 397338 8819211 51832 83 260361426787 166309 2113 348 83 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 429383 731534 361305 66 191269277546 86273 308 245 52 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAWAkron RubberDucks — 429370 751635 491045 66 203304303607 100264 2411 279 52 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 468414 751606 431564 209 181265263528 82268 339 238 47 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAW2 teams — 468399 862007 581224 209 216321318639 103287 2612 293 47 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 344314 551125 26962 226 175243271513 96233 288 231 42 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAWColumbus Clippers — 344304 631427 36802 226 207295336631 128256 2310 287 42 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 177147 21320 27301 105 143285190475 48167 1715 224 38 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Indians — 188168 37822 15563 32 220302327630 107294 308 285 79 — — — — — —
202220 A MLE2 teams — 556493 991625 511917 85 201285272557 71307 349 250 55 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLELake County Captains — 397354 801729 381022 83 226307362668 136280 2610 291 83 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 429385 731534 361305 66 190269275544 86265 308 245 52 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 468418 751606 431564 209 179265261525 81263 339 238 47 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 344313 551125 26962 226 176243272514 96231 288 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 429385 731534 361305 66 190269275544 86265 308 245 52 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 468418 751606 431564 209 179265261525 81263 339 238 47 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 344313 551125 26962 226 176243272514 96231 288 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECLE 10% 380342 621315 321113 135 182258273531 90250 298 244 51 -22 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXCLE 10% 2119 3100 260 10 183258272530 90250 2910 244 51 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECLE 35% 251226 43914 21722 93 186262284545 97252 298 250 55 -13 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.7
202826 MLB CTXCLE 35% 8779 14301 7251 31 187262283545 97253 298 250 55 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 8779 14301 7251 31 177253253506 76245 298 250 56 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 1042207 521877 227 176251249500 73245 298 250 56 -35 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.7
Career— MLE — 30202677 5181021538 27589428 9342 194276285561 92271 309 251 56 -26 +1 +0 +2 +10 -1.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 1112238 591926 209 193274283557 90270 309 251 56 -36 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 344 PAwOBA .281 → .231 (−50)K% 23.3% → 27.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.26%÷1.000×1.200——27.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.47%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0487.57%
HBP% /PA0.58%—×0.940—×1.0480.57%
Singles /BIP17.86%÷1.000×0.930×0.960×1.04816.71%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.830×0.960×1.0485.22%
Triples /BIP0.89%÷1.000×0.970×0.960×1.0480.87%
Home runs /BIP3.12%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0482.29%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .281 → .231; ISO .128 → .100; BABIP .256 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 292 PAwOBA .317 → .261 (−56)K% 27.7% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.74%÷0.948×1.220——35.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.73%÷0.953×0.700—×1.02711.11%
HBP% /PA1.37%—×0.850—×1.0271.20%
Singles /BIP21.88%÷1.004×0.970×0.950×1.02720.61%
Doubles /BIP8.12%÷0.986×0.860×0.950×1.0276.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.950×0.950×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP3.75%÷0.926×0.780—×1.0273.24%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .317 → .261; ISO .129 → .105; BABIP .306 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 176 PAwOBA .242 → .199 (−43)K% 23.3% → 29.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.30%÷0.956×1.200——29.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.52%÷1.014×0.690—×1.0506.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP20.51%÷0.997×0.930×0.959×1.05019.28%
Doubles /BIP5.98%÷1.064×0.830×0.959×1.0504.70%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.042×0.970×0.959×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷1.093×0.700—×1.0500.58%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .242 → .199; ISO .063 → .046; BABIP .263 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAkron RubberDucks · 429 PAwOBA .275 → .245 (−30)K% 24.2% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷0.980×1.220——30.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.42%÷0.987×0.700—×1.0428.44%
HBP% /PA1.17%—×0.850—×1.0421.03%
Singles /BIP19.17%÷0.993×0.970×1.008×1.04219.68%
Doubles /BIP6.02%÷0.944×0.860×1.008×1.0425.76%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷1.023×0.950×1.008×1.0421.10%
Home runs /BIP1.88%÷0.966×0.780—×1.0421.58%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 105, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .275 → .245; ISO .100 → .089; BABIP .264 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Lake County Captains · 397 PAwOBA .343 → .291 (−52)K% 20.9% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.91%÷1.028×1.270——25.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.59%÷0.971×0.710—×1.0279.45%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.790—×1.0270.41%
Singles /BIP21.96%÷1.011×0.920×0.987×1.02720.26%
Doubles /BIP7.45%÷0.900×0.810×0.987×1.0276.80%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.150×0.850×0.987×1.0270.59%
Home runs /BIP4.31%÷1.060×0.800—×1.0273.34%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 102, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .343 → .291; ISO .166 → .136; BABIP .309 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALynchburg Hillcats · 519 PAwOBA .305 → .250 (−56)K% 24.9% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.86%÷0.981×1.360——34.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.52%÷0.973×0.690—×1.0309.15%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.780—×1.0301.08%
Singles /BIP25.48%÷0.988×0.920×1.011×1.03024.71%
Doubles /BIP5.73%÷0.955×0.830×1.011×1.0305.19%
Triples /BIP0.64%÷1.150×0.910×1.011×1.0300.52%
Home runs /BIP1.91%÷1.015×0.800—×1.0301.55%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .305 → .250; ISO .090 → .071; BABIP .323 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Indians · 188 PAwOBA .408 → .285 (−124)K% 20.2% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.21%÷0.978×1.440——29.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.30%÷1.050×0.620—×1.0087.91%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.720—×1.0081.16%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷0.948×0.820×0.950×1.00821.79%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷1.065×0.720×0.950×1.0086.81%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷0.990×0.720×0.950×1.0081.83%
Home runs /BIP3.51%÷1.488×0.780—×1.0081.85%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 98, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .408 → .285; ISO .197 → .121; BABIP .388 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 DSLDSL Indians · 177 PAwOBA .318 → .224 (−94)K% 14.1% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.12%÷1.000×1.220——17.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.90%÷1.000×0.700—×1.02214.96%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.700—×1.0220.40%
Singles /BIP20.18%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×1.02213.33%
Doubles /BIP3.67%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0222.14%
Triples /BIP2.75%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0221.60%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .318 → .224; ISO .075 → .048; BABIP .259 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .