Dayan Frias3B
Columbus Clippers
Age 24
S/R
5'9" / 140 lbs
AAA
K +5%HR +5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†30
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .265 / .282
PA320
HR5
SB12
K%32
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
40→40
SPD
55→55
EYE
51↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-6M | $-15M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | 177 | 148 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 36 | 1 | 10 | 5 | .155 | .273 | .203 | .476 | .047 | .200 | 20 | 13 | .228 | 33 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Indians | 188 | 165 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .224 | .297 | .327 | .624 | .103 | .312 | 30 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 556 | 499 | 96 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 45 | 201 | 7 | 8 | 5 | .192 | .269 | .257 | .525 | .064 | .308 | 36 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -37 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +16 | -2.0 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 397 | 353 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 103 | 2 | 8 | 3 | .215 | .292 | .334 | .626 | .119 | .275 | 26 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 429 | 384 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 137 | 5 | 6 | 6 | .180 | .257 | .263 | .520 | .083 | .263 | 32 | 8 | .236 | 39 | -30 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 468 | 416 | 72 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 159 | 4 | 20 | 9 | .173 | .254 | .252 | .506 | .079 | .258 | 34 | 9 | .231 | 35 | -34 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 78 | 70 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .114 | .195 | .171 | .366 | .057 | .152 | 31 | 8 | .170 | -12 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CLE | 242 | 218 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 77 | 2 | 7 | 3 | .179 | .254 | .266 | .520 | .087 | .253 | 32 | 8 | .241 | 43 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.8 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | CLE | 320 | 288 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 101 | 3 | 12 | 5 | .163 | .240 | .243 | .483 | .080 | .232 | 32 | 8 | .224 | 30 | -25 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 25% | CLE | 370 | 330 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 97 | 3 | 11 | 5 | .188 | .270 | .285 | .555 | .097 | .245 | 26 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 43% | CLE | 407 | 362 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 105 | 4 | 12 | 5 | .196 | .280 | .307 | .586 | .110 | .249 | 26 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 58% | CLE | 420 | 373 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 108 | 4 | 12 | 5 | .196 | .281 | .303 | .584 | .107 | .252 | 26 | 10 | .270 | 65 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 68% | CLE | 425 | 378 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 110 | 4 | 11 | 5 | .196 | .280 | .304 | .584 | .108 | .252 | 26 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 77% | CLE | 420 | 373 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 110 | 4 | 11 | 5 | .193 | .278 | .300 | .578 | .107 | .251 | 26 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +12 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 94% | CLE | 414 | 367 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 110 | 4 | 9 | 4 | .193 | .280 | .302 | .582 | .109 | .250 | 27 | 10 | .265 | 61 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 401 | 356 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 108 | 4 | 7 | 4 | .188 | .274 | .289 | .563 | .101 | .248 | 27 | 9 | .261 | 58 | -19 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +11 | -0.9 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 384 | 341 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 105 | 3 | 5 | 3 | .185 | .270 | .279 | .549 | .094 | .246 | 27 | 10 | .257 | 55 | -20 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -1.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 355 | 315 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 100 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .184 | .270 | .283 | .552 | .098 | .245 | 28 | 10 | .251 | 51 | -20 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 311 | 276 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .181 | .266 | .275 | .542 | .094 | .242 | 29 | 9 | .245 | 46 | -19 | -0 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6364 | 5654 | 1073 | 206 | 20 | 98 | 584 | 1813 | 60 | 146 | 73 | .190 | .273 | .285 | .558 | .096 | .257 | 28 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -329 | +0 | -20 | +23 | +180 | -14.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 185 | 6 | 15 | 7 | .191 | .274 | .286 | .560 | .095 | .258 | 28 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -34 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +18 | -1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | 177 | 134 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 5 | .216 | .390 | .291 | .681 | .075 | .259 | 14 | 21 | .319 | 102 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Indians | 188 | 152 | 49 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .322 | .434 | .520 | .954 | .197 | .388 | 20 | 14 | .408 | 171 | +15 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 2.1 |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 519 | 443 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65 | 129 | 7 | 8 | 5 | .239 | .346 | .330 | .675 | .090 | .323 | 25 | 13 | .312 | 97 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL | Colombia | 37 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .278 | .219 | .497 | .031 | .286 | 30 | 11 | .232 | 36 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 397 | 338 | 88 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 51 | 83 | 2 | 8 | 3 | .260 | .361 | .426 | .787 | .166 | .309 | 21 | 13 | .348 | 125 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 2.3 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 429 | 370 | 75 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 104 | 5 | 6 | 6 | .203 | .304 | .303 | .607 | .100 | .264 | 24 | 11 | .279 | 72 | -14 | -1 | — | — | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 176 | 158 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 0 | 7 | 4 | .203 | .272 | .266 | .537 | .063 | .263 | 23 | 9 | .246 | 46 | -11 | -0 | — | — | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 292 | 241 | 54 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 81 | 4 | 13 | 5 | .224 | .351 | .353 | .703 | .129 | .306 | 28 | 15 | .321 | 104 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 1.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dayan Frias (OGILVIE) | 24 | 35 | 40 | 55 | 60 | .188/.265/.282 | .094 | .272 | 5 | 7 | 32% | 9% | 52 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA |
24 | 39→43 | 41→40 | 52→50 | 47 | .189/.268/.284 | .095 | .274 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 53 | -1.5 | .204/.283/.304 | .100 | .299 | 9 | 14 | 32% | 10% | 65 | -0.7 | .195/.282/.288 | .093 | .289 | 8 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA |
24 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .199/.281/.326 | .127 | .271 | 13 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.278/.310 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .167/.262/.269 | .102 | .243 | 9 | 23 | 32% | 10% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Roberto Caro 2018 · AA |
24 | 44→39 | 36→40 | 53→60 | 43 | .202/.271/.274 | .073 | .306 | 2 | 15 | 32% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .217/.287/.297 | .080 | .314 | 3 | 27 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .216/.288/.291 | .074 | .309 | 3 | 35 | 28% | 8% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A |
24 | 39→42 | 38→40 | 53→55 | 43 | .189/.254/.273 | .084 | .278 | 5 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .202/.277/.294 | .092 | .298 | 7 | 19 | 31% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.277/.286 | .086 | .288 | 6 | 21 | 30% | 9% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2015 · AA |
24 | 41 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 39 | .206/.262/.303 | .097 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .212/.282/.306 | .094 | .294 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .289 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
●Trei Cruz 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→48 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 51 | .184/.279/.284 | .100 | .274 | 8 | 13 | 33% | 12% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.284/.322 | .118 | .291 | 11 | 10 | 31% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.296/.342 | .128 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 30% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→29 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .191/.254/.286 | .095 | .257 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .192/.267/.310 | .118 | .259 | 14 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.266/.299 | .113 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 29% | 9% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA |
23 | 37→35 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 47 | .188/.265/.299 | .111 | .257 | 12 | 13 | 30% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.265/.284 | .098 | .270 | 9 | 13 | 32% | 9% | 53 | -1.5 | .142/.231/.224 | .082 | .210 | 8 | 12 | 34% | 9% | 22 | -1.5 |
|
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 42→45 | 55 | 53 | .177/.298/.290 | .113 | .287 | 9 | 22 | 37% | 13% | 69 | -0.4 | .198/.307/.300 | .102 | .308 | 8 | 21 | 34% | 11% | 75 | -0.0 | .196/.302/.282 | .086 | .311 | 7 | 27 | 35% | 11% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Kaleb Cowart 2016 · MLB |
24 | 44→51 | 40→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .211/.263/.307 | .096 | .288 | 8 | 15 | 28% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .221/.272/.340 | .119 | .295 | 10 | 16 | 27% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .219/.272/.343 | .123 | .279 | 11 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2021 · MLB |
24 | 42→41 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 41 | .202/.268/.307 | .106 | .315 | 10 | 14 | 37% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.277/.311 | .106 | .358 | 10 | 14 | 41% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .180/.275/.287 | .107 | .318 | 12 | 19 | 43% | 11% | 54 | -0.3 |
|
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA |
24 | 44→45 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 45 | .213/.279/.317 | .104 | .294 | 10 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.278/.334 | .119 | .306 | 10 | 19 | 31% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.277/.321 | .112 | .309 | 8 | 20 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→41 | 39→45 | 47→55 | 44 | .203/.268/.291 | .089 | .286 | 6 | 12 | 30% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .202/.271/.316 | .114 | .282 | 12 | 20 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .194/.264/.311 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 23 | 32% | 7% | 56 | -0.8 |
|
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A |
24 | 42 | 40 | 50→45 | 47 | .202/.275/.299 | .097 | .279 | 7 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.260/.301 | .099 | .295 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .166/.212/.254 | .088 | .236 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 5% | 19 | -0.9 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jhoan Urena 2018 · AAA |
23 | 43→48 | 43→45 | 50→45 | 44 | .213/.272/.326 | .113 | .293 | 10 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .213/.267/.331 | .118 | .310 | 11 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .202/.254/.318 | .116 | .294 | 12 | 2 | 34% | 6% | 51 | -1.4 |
|
✕Eloy Gutierrez 2009 · AAA |
24 | 39→49 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .195/.252/.307 | .112 | .282 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .243/.302/.341 | .098 | .334 | 8 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .247/.308/.326 | .079 | .342 | 6 | 13 | 27% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A |
24 | 40→36 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 44 | .198/.264/.311 | .113 | .277 | 11 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .192/.256/.313 | .121 | .277 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .169/.235/.296 | .126 | .243 | 11 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 39 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA |
24 | 38 | 42→50 | 52→45 | 40 | .189/.250/.291 | .102 | .286 | 10 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .204/.266/.313 | .109 | .307 | 11 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .164/.224/.258 | .094 | .235 | 10 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 25 | -0.6 |
|
✕Darwin Perez 2013 · AAA |
24 | 45→51 | 38→40 | 51→50 | 44 | .215/.274/.290 | .076 | .290 | 5 | 15 | 27% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.264/.282 | .082 | .286 | 6 | 16 | 30% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .182/.252/.253 | .071 | .269 | 4 | 18 | 32% | 8% | 35 | -2.1 |