Dayan Frias — OGILVIE

Dayan Frias3B Columbus Clippers

Age 24 S/R 5'9" / 140 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION207 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .255 / .258

PA138

HR2

SB6

K%31

BB%9

BABIP250

ISO81

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	177	148	23	3	2	0	23	36	1	10	5	155	273	203	476	47	200	20	13	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	177	134	29	4	3	0	37	25	1	10	5	216	390	291	681	75	259	14	21	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	188	165	37	7	2	2	14	57	3	3	2	224	297	327	624	103	312	30	7	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	188	152	49	12	3	4	27	38	3	3	2	322	434	520	954	197	388	20	14	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	556	498	96	16	1	5	46	204	7	8	5	193	270	259	529	66	313	37	8	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	556	475	112	19	2	6	69	140	7	8	5	236	341	322	663	86	320	25	12	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	397	351	77	19	1	8	38	106	2	8	3	219	299	348	647	128	285	27	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	397	338	88	19	2	11	51	83	2	8	3	260	361	426	787	166	309	21	13	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	429	384	69	15	3	5	35	140	5	6	6	180	257	273	531	94	263	33	8	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	429	370	75	16	3	5	49	104	5	6	6	203	304	303	607	100	264	24	11	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	468	414	68	14	0	6	43	171	4	20	9	164	249	242	491	77	256	37	9	225	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	468	399	86	20	0	7	58	122	4	20	9	216	321	318	639	103	287	26	12	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	CLE	—	207	188	34	6	1	2	17	61	1	15	4	181	252	255	508	74	254	29	8	221	27	-17	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.9
YTD	24	AAA	CLE	—	207	181	38	7	1	2	24	51	1	15	4	210	306	293	599	83	279	25	12	278	71	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
ROS	24	AAA	CLE	10%	138	124	22	4	0	2	12	43	1	6	2	177	255	258	514	81	253	31	9	238	41	-9	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.5
ROS	24	MLB	CLE	10%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	154	214	154	368		254	29	7	233	37	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AAA	CLE	—	221	201	36	6	1	2	18	65	1	16	4	179	250	249	499	70	252	29	8	222	28	-18	+2	+0	+1	+6	-1.0
TOT	24	AAA	CLE	—	345	312	56	10	1	4	29	104	2	21	6	179	254	256	510	77	252	30	8	228	33	-26	+2	+0	+1	+10	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CLE	35%	370	332	62	12	1	6	32	112	3	14	5	187	264	283	547	96	256	30	9	249	49	-21	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.9
2028	26	MLB	CLE	46%	407	366	70	14	1	7	35	120	3	15	5	191	267	292	560	101	259	29	9	257	55	-21	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.7
2029	27	MLB	CLE	50%	420	377	72	14	1	8	37	123	3	16	6	191	269	297	566	106	261	29	9	260	57	-20	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.6
2030	28	MLB	CLE	52%	425	381	73	14	1	8	38	124	3	15	5	192	270	297	567	105	261	29	9	261	58	-20	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.7
2031	29	MLB	CLE	52%	420	377	72	14	1	8	37	124	3	14	5	191	269	297	566	106	260	30	9	259	56	-21	+1	-1	+1	+12	-0.8
2027	25	MLB	CLE	35%	129	116	21	4	0	2	11	39	1	5	2	181	258	267	525	86	257	30	9	244	45	-8	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	CLE	46%	189	170	32	6	1	3	16	56	1	7	3	188	262	288	550	100	260	30	8	251	51	-11	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
2029	27	MLB	CLE	50%	210	188	37	7	1	4	18	62	2	8	3	197	274	309	583	112	261	30	9	255	53	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
2030	28	MLB	CLE	52%	221	197	38	7	1	4	20	65	2	8	3	193	274	299	573	107	262	29	9	255	53	-12	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.5
2031	29	MLB	CLE	52%	218	195	38	7	1	4	19	64	2	7	3	195	273	303	576	108	260	29	9	253	52	-12	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	981	879	168	31	4	17	85	290	8	36	14	191	269	294	562	102	262	30	9	252	51	-54	+2	-1	+4	+28	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	112	21	3	11	56	192	5	24	9	192	269	296	564	103	264	30	9	252	51	-36	+1	-1	+2	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	4395	3917	741	146	14	65	390	1360	38	135	58	189	269	283	552	94	267	31	9	251	51	-246	+4	-2	+16	+125	-10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	110	22	2	10	58	201	6	20	9	190	271	287	557	97	268	31	9	251	51	-36	+0	-0	+2	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	177	134	29	4	3	0	37	25	1	10	5	216	390	291	681	75	259	14	21	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	188	152	49	12	3	4	27	38	3	3	2	322	434	520	954	197	388	20	14	408	171	+15	-0	—	—	+5	2.1
2022	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	519	443	106	18	2	6	65	129	7	8	5	239	346	330	675	90	323	25	13	312	97	-2	-0	—	—	+15	1.3
2022	20	INTL	Colombia	—	37	32	6	1	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	188	278	219	497	31	286	30	11	232	36	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	397	338	88	19	2	11	51	83	2	8	3	260	361	426	787	166	309	21	13	348	125	+11	+0	—	—	+11	2.3
2024	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	429	370	75	16	3	5	49	104	5	6	6	203	304	303	607	100	264	24	11	279	72	-14	-1	—	—	+12	-0.3
2025	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	176	158	32	7	0	1	15	41	0	7	4	203	272	266	537	63	263	23	9	246	46	-11	-0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2025	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	292	241	54	13	0	6	43	81	4	13	5	224	351	353	703	129	306	28	15	321	104	+1	+1	—	—	+8	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	999	18	36	192	267	295	+4	+1	-1.7	-0.9
	/162	664	12	24	192	267	295	+2.4	+0.7	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayan Frias (OGILVIE)	24	35	40	55	60	179/254/256	77	252	4	21	30%	8%	33	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA	24	39→44	41→40	52→50	47	189/268/283	94	275	8	14	32%	10%	53	-1.5	205/285/303	98	305	8	14	32%	10%	65	-0.7	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	38→36	43→45	48→50	49	189/273/296	108	264	11	14	31%	10%	59	-1.1	189/270/286	97	280	9	13	33%	9%	55	-1.4	142/231/225	83	214	8	12	35%	9%	21	-1.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Roberto Caro 2018 · AA	24	43→38	36→40	53→60	42	197/268/272	75	308	2	16	34%	8%	50	-1.8	213/282/294	81	311	4	27	30%	8%	60	-1.0	211/281/286	75	304	3	35	29%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A	24	40	40	50→45	45	194/265/290	97	275	7	10	31%	8%	53	-1.5	200/256/298	98	292	8	7	32%	7%	50	-1.7	161/205/243	82	230	8	0	33%	5%	13	-1.0
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2023 · AA	24	37	41→45	55→60	52	173/295/280	107	289	8	22	38%	13%	66	-0.6	201/308/302	101	316	8	22	35%	11%	76	+0.0	209/299/306	97	351	7	34	38%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Auston Bousfield 2017 · AAA	24	37→44	38→40	51→50	44	183/253/255	72	257	6	13	30%	8%	39	-2.5	192/261/276	84	254	6	13	25%	7%	47	-1.9	187/258/267	80	238	6	13	23%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	44	193/273/319	127	275	13	17	33%	8%	65	-0.7	202/283/330	128	276	13	17	30%	8%	72	-0.2	194/281/320	126	262	13	19	29%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Chavez Young 2021 · A	24	42→47	39→45	52→60	41	201/258/288	88	289	6	20	31%	6%	49	-1.8	212/280/317	105	300	10	28	30%	8%	66	-0.6	199/274/297	98	274	10	36	29%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Zavier Warren 2023 · AA	24	36→39	46→45	52→45	45	188/258/312	125	244	14	7	29%	8%	56	-1.3	189/256/304	115	265	13	7	32%	8%	53	-1.5	177/246/282	105	254	12	7	33%	8%	42	-1.6
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	35→45	41→40	51→50	42	177/250/275	97	266	9	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	197/270/288	91	301	7	12	34%	8%	55	-1.4	193/271/278	85	293	6	13	33%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2021 · MLB	24	43→45	42→45	49→50	42	204/273/306	102	321	9	15	37%	8%	60	-1.0	205/275/313	108	364	10	14	42%	8%	63	-0.8	178/269/286	108	316	13	19	43%	10%	51	-0.3
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A	24	41→37	42→45	51→45	45	199/269/307	108	284	9	6	32%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/306	116	279	10	6	34%	7%	53	-1.5	164/230/284	120	238	10	3	34%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA	24	44	43→45	52→55	45	214/280/322	108	290	11	16	29%	8%	67	-0.5	207/267/326	119	297	10	19	31%	7%	63	-0.9	199/264/312	113	295	8	20	33%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Lucius Fox 2021 · AAA	24	43→48	38→40	56→60	46	205/280/287	82	284	5	27	28%	8%	59	-1.1	203/269/300	97	292	8	24	31%	8%	57	-1.2	189/253/276	87	274	8	24	32%	7%	41	-0.9
✕Ronald Bueno 2017 · AA	24	46	37→40	49→50	44	215/273/294	79	291	4	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	213/272/317	104	280	8	7	25%	7%	63	-0.9	201/261/311	109	257	9	2	24%	7%	52	-1.0