Alberto Hernandez

Alberto HernandezSS Asheville Tourists

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 267 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .260 / .286

PA267

HR1

SB6

K%24

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	174	33	4	2	2	12	39	5	9	7	190	262	270	532	80	230	20	6	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	166	39	6	2	3	20	27	5	9	7	235	335	349	684	114	261	14	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	169	149	30	12	1	1	15	40	3	9	2	201	287	315	603	114	266	24	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	169	140	36	14	1	2	24	31	3	9	2	257	377	414	792	157	315	18	14	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	251	37	4	0	1	17	83	2	4	2	147	207	175	383	28	214	31	6	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	239	47	7	0	2	29	61	2	4	2	197	289	251	540	54	254	23	11	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	314	64	10	2	2	20	85	4	24	7	204	260	268	528	64	267	25	6	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	298	67	13	2	2	36	59	4	24	7	225	317	302	619	77	269	17	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	HOU	—	53	50	14	6	1	0	1	13	0	0	1	280	294	440	734	160	359	25	2	314	98	-0	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
YTD	22	A+	HOU	—	53	49	15	7	1	0	2	10	0	0	1	306	333	490	823	184	366	19	4	346	123	+1	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	22	A+	HOU	0%	267	248	52	12	2	1	15	65	2	6	2	210	260	286	547	77	276	24	6	249	48	-16	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	HOU	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						279	0	0	245	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	HOU	—	54	51	14	6	1	0	1	13	0	0	1	275	288	431	720	157	350	24	2	313	97	-0	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
TOT	22	A+	HOU	—	320	298	66	18	3	1	16	78	2	6	3	221	266	312	578	91	293	24	5	259	57	-16	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	HOU	35%	415	382	83	18	2	5	26	99	4	9	3	217	274	314	588	97	276	24	6	262	59	-19	+1	+0	+4	+12	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	465	428	95	20	3	7	30	109	4	10	4	222	279	332	611	110	278	23	6	273	67	-17	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.1
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	492	452	101	21	3	8	33	114	4	11	4	223	282	336	618	113	279	23	7	279	71	-16	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.4
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	506	462	105	22	3	9	34	117	5	11	4	227	287	346	634	119	279	23	7	282	74	-15	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2031	27	MLB	HOU	54%	509	464	105	22	3	9	35	119	5	11	4	226	288	345	633	119	279	23	7	282	74	-15	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.6
2032	28	MLB	HOU	54%	507	462	105	22	3	9	35	119	5	11	4	227	289	346	635	119	279	23	7	281	73	-15	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.4
2027	23	MLB	HOU	35%	143	132	29	6	1	2	9	34	1	3	1	220	275	326	600	106	278	24	6	258	56	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	215	197	43	9	1	3	14	50	2	5	2	218	277	320	597	102	280	23	7	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	254	233	52	11	1	4	17	59	2	6	2	223	282	330	612	107	281	23	7	275	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	274	252	57	12	1	5	18	64	2	6	2	226	283	341	624	115	282	23	7	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2031	27	MLB	HOU	54%	276	253	57	12	1	5	19	64	2	6	2	225	285	340	625	115	282	23	7	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2032	28	MLB	HOU	54%	275	252	56	12	1	5	19	64	2	6	2	222	282	337	619	115	281	23	7	277	70	-9	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1438	1320	294	62	6	24	96	335	11	32	11	223	281	333	614	111	279	23	7	274	68	-52	+2	-0	+15	+41	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	133	28	3	11	43	151	5	14	5	223	281	335	616	112	279	23	7	274	68	-24	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	4138	3786	810	167	24	54	272	989	43	115	43	214	274	314	588	100	273	24	7	263	59	-190	+6	-1	+44	+117	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	127	26	4	8	43	155	7	18	7	213	275	311	586	97	273	24	7	263	59	-30	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	193	166	39	6	2	3	20	27	5	9	7	235	335	349	684	114	261	14	10	312	97	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.4
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	169	140	36	14	1	2	24	31	3	9	2	257	377	414	792	157	315	18	14	354	129	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	239	47	7	0	2	29	61	2	4	2	197	289	251	540	54	254	23	11	256	54	-14	+0	—	—	+8	-0.7
2025	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	344	298	67	13	2	2	36	59	4	24	7	225	317	302	619	77	269	17	10	283	75	-10	+2	—	—	+10	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,440	24	32	224	280	337	+15	+9	1.0	1.1
	/162	664	11	15	224	280	337	+7.1	+4.1	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberto Hernandez (OGILVIE)	22	40	25	60	40	221/266/312	91	293	1	6	24%	5%	57	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	53→55	47	208/277/280	72	264	1	14	20%	7%	55	-1.4	198/248/269	71	293	2	9	31%	5%	39	-2.5	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	53	-1.5	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	42	-2.3	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	17	-1.1
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	37→40	56→60	41	213/266/295	82	298	4	14	28%	6%	54	-1.4	239/296/340	101	343	9	30	31%	6%	79	+0.3	247/300/330	83	351	7	39	30%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	45→55	37→40	52→50	43	212/261/293	81	267	4	14	22%	5%	51	-1.7	222/272/320	98	275	9	14	22%	6%	63	-0.9	242/303/316	74	289	6	16	17%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Randy Romero 2022 · A	22	46	35→40	59→60	44	214/257/281	66	260	2	21	18%	5%	46	-2.0	199/246/267	68	293	4	13	32%	5%	37	-2.6	166/202/202	36	264	3	19	37%	4%	1	-1.0
✕Franklin Rollin 2018 · A	22	47	39→40	53→55	40	224/262/317	93	276	6	18	21%	4%	57	-1.2	200/247/282	82	259	6	15	24%	5%	42	-2.3	185/236/253	68	236	6	17	24%	5%	27	-1.4
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	42→51	37→45	55	43	202/266/271	69	272	4	18	26%	6%	48	-1.9	225/285/322	97	290	7	20	24%	6%	69	-0.4	230/293/333	103	294	9	23	23%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Derrik Gibson 2012 · A	22	44→54	34→40	53→55	44	205/261/258	54	277	2	19	26%	6%	42	-2.3	214/272/275	61	296	2	15	26%	7%	51	-1.7	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	45	-2.1	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	43	-2.2	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Mikey Edie 2019 · A	22	48	36→30	51→50	37	220/270/286	66	325	3	15	32%	5%	53	-1.5	213/265/284	71	299	4	8	29%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	57	-1.2	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	65	-0.7	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A	21	45→43	35→30	52→55	47	212/278/275	63	281	2	16	24%	8%	54	-1.4	210/271/275	65	269	3	20	22%	6%	51	-1.7	214/271/281	67	280	3	23	23%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	43→47	36→40	50	45	203/261/265	62	273	3	15	26%	7%	43	-2.2	204/274/269	65	289	4	11	28%	8%	51	-1.7	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Errol Robinson 2017 · A	22	45→47	38→40	54→55	40	214/257/295	81	284	4	15	26%	5%	50	-1.8	217/264/301	84	303	7	16	29%	6%	54	-1.4	204/277/255	51	317	3	26	33%	8%	45	-0.7
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46→43	36→30	53→55	46	214/282/276	61	301	3	14	28%	8%	56	-1.3	196/282/239	43	275	1	19	26%	10%	48	-1.9	184/275/215	31	259	1	22	26%	10%	36	-2.1