Alberto HernandezSS
Asheville Tourists
Age 22
R/R
6'0" / 190 lbs
A+
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.0 · 2031
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .265 / .283
PA320
HR3
SB7
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
25→25
SPD
60→60
EYE
43↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.7M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $6M | $23M | +$17M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 193 | 174 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 5 | 9 | 7 | .190 | .262 | .270 | .532 | .080 | .230 | 20 | 6 | .241 | 43 | -13 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 169 | 149 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .201 | .287 | .315 | .603 | .114 | .269 | 24 | 9 | .261 | 58 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 271 | 251 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 85 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .159 | .219 | .203 | .422 | .044 | .230 | 31 | 6 | .189 | 3 | -30 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +8 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 344 | 314 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 24 | 7 | .204 | .260 | .268 | .528 | .064 | .267 | 25 | 6 | .234 | 37 | -24 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +10 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 30 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .241 | .267 | .414 | .680 | .172 | .333 | 27 | 3 | .262 | 59 | -1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | HOU | 290 | 266 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 77 | 3 | 7 | 3 | .211 | .271 | .305 | .575 | .094 | .278 | 27 | 7 | .254 | 52 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +8 | -0.4 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | HOU | 320 | 295 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 85 | 3 | 7 | 4 | .214 | .270 | .315 | .586 | .102 | .288 | 27 | 6 | .255 | 53 | -17 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | HOU | 380 | 347 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 91 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .216 | .279 | .317 | .596 | .101 | .276 | 24 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | HOU | 441 | 401 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 104 | 4 | 11 | 4 | .224 | .290 | .347 | .637 | .122 | .278 | 24 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | HOU | 476 | 432 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 111 | 4 | 12 | 4 | .225 | .292 | .347 | .639 | .123 | .279 | 23 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | HOU | 495 | 448 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 115 | 5 | 12 | 4 | .228 | .297 | .355 | .652 | .127 | .280 | 23 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | HOU | 503 | 453 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 118 | 5 | 12 | 4 | .225 | .295 | .351 | .646 | .126 | .280 | 23 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | HOU | 503 | 452 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 119 | 5 | 12 | 4 | .226 | .297 | .352 | .649 | .126 | .280 | 24 | 8 | .289 | 80 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 496 | 448 | 101 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 119 | 5 | 11 | 4 | .225 | .296 | .353 | .649 | .127 | .279 | 24 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 487 | 440 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 118 | 4 | 10 | 4 | .218 | .289 | .334 | .623 | .116 | .277 | 24 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -13 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +14 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 474 | 428 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 117 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .215 | .287 | .325 | .611 | .110 | .276 | 25 | 8 | .280 | 73 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 457 | 413 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 115 | 4 | 8 | 3 | .213 | .284 | .324 | .609 | .111 | .275 | 25 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -16 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +13 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 428 | 386 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 111 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .212 | .285 | .321 | .606 | .109 | .273 | 26 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 382 | 345 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 102 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .206 | .277 | .310 | .587 | .104 | .271 | 27 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -17 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +11 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6789 | 6147 | 1321 | 270 | 37 | 110 | 522 | 1667 | 67 | 172 | 62 | .215 | .284 | .325 | .608 | .110 | .275 | 25 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -253 | +10 | -20 | +73 | +192 | 0.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 128 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 50 | 160 | 6 | 16 | 6 | .217 | .285 | .331 | .616 | .114 | .278 | 25 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -24 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 0.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 193 | 166 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 27 | 5 | 9 | 7 | .235 | .335 | .349 | .684 | .114 | .261 | 14 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -1 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 169 | 140 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .257 | .377 | .414 | .792 | .157 | .315 | 18 | 14 | .354 | 129 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 271 | 239 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 61 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .197 | .289 | .251 | .540 | .054 | .254 | 23 | 11 | .256 | 54 | -14 | +0 | — | — | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 344 | 298 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 59 | 4 | 24 | 7 | .225 | .317 | .302 | .619 | .077 | .269 | 17 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -10 | +2 | — | — | +10 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alberto Hernandez (OGILVIE) | 22 | 40 | 25 | 60 | 40 | .204/.265/.283 | .080 | .275 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 51 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A |
23 | 45 | 36→40 | 53→55 | 44 | .210/.273/.281 | .071 | .280 | 2 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .196/.241/.267 | .071 | .299 | 3 | 8 | 33% | 5% | 35 | -2.8 | .166/.201/.211 | .044 | .261 | 0 | 8 | 35% | 4% | -1 | -1.2 |
|
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 37→30 | 51→60 | 45 | .202/.271/.271 | .070 | .286 | 4 | 11 | 29% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .211/.307/.281 | .070 | .293 | 4 | 26 | 27% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.340/.278 | .049 | .305 | 3 | 35 | 22% | 10% | 80 | +0.1 |
|
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 39→40 | 53→60 | 40 | .210/.265/.300 | .090 | .306 | 6 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .187/.266/.264 | .077 | .308 | 6 | 22 | 38% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .145/.239/.202 | .057 | .243 | 5 | 33 | 39% | 9% | 19 | -1.1 |
|
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A |
22 | 45→55 | 38→40 | 55→60 | 41 | .214/.268/.296 | .082 | .300 | 4 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .238/.294/.344 | .106 | .336 | 10 | 29 | 30% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .245/.298/.334 | .089 | .343 | 8 | 39 | 29% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A |
22 | 46 | 36→30 | 53→55 | 46 | .214/.282/.276 | .061 | .301 | 3 | 14 | 28% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .202/.292/.246 | .044 | .274 | 1 | 19 | 24% | 10% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.284/.221 | .030 | .260 | 1 | 22 | 24% | 10% | 42 | -1.8 |
|
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A |
23 | 43→53 | 38→40 | 57→60 | 43 | .206/.257/.288 | .083 | .264 | 5 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .238/.299/.313 | .075 | .302 | 4 | 31 | 21% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .248/.310/.323 | .074 | .311 | 3 | 36 | 20% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Evan Crawford 2011 · A |
22 | 45→55 | 38→40 | 58→55 | 37 | .215/.254/.302 | .087 | .299 | 5 | 16 | 29% | 4% | 50 | -1.8 | .237/.281/.320 | .083 | .328 | 4 | 19 | 27% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .260/.305/.335 | .074 | .360 | 2 | 25 | 26% | 4% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A |
22 | 44 | 36→30 | 52→55 | 45 | .204/.278/.271 | .068 | .260 | 2 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .202/.253/.265 | .063 | .268 | 3 | 9 | 24% | 4% | 41 | -2.3 | .193/.226/.221 | .028 | .258 | 0 | 9 | 24% | 2% | 14 | -1.2 |
|
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A |
23 | 47 | 37→30 | 52→60 | 42 | .219/.287/.296 | .076 | .318 | 4 | 13 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .226/.311/.291 | .065 | .315 | 3 | 28 | 26% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.319/.287 | .055 | .311 | 2 | 37 | 23% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Keith Grieshaber 2017 · A |
22 | 48 | 35→40 | 51→55 | 40 | .224/.268/.291 | .068 | .296 | 2 | 11 | 24% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .235/.295/.322 | .087 | .295 | 5 | 18 | 21% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .247/.315/.342 | .096 | .299 | 6 | 26 | 18% | 6% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A |
22 | 41→50 | 37→45 | 54→55 | 42 | .198/.259/.269 | .070 | .263 | 5 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .219/.279/.315 | .096 | .280 | 7 | 20 | 23% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .225/.289/.349 | .123 | .323 | 14 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Errol Robinson 2017 · A |
22 | 45→48 | 38→40 | 54→55 | 40 | .214/.258/.296 | .082 | .285 | 4 | 14 | 26% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .218/.267/.306 | .088 | .299 | 7 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .201/.275/.251 | .051 | .314 | 3 | 26 | 34% | 9% | 44 | -0.7 |
|
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A |
22 | 40→45 | 37→45 | 50→60 | 41 | .194/.243/.261 | .068 | .252 | 6 | 15 | 25% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .204/.262/.299 | .095 | .274 | 8 | 19 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .227/.288/.355 | .128 | .309 | 13 | 42 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A |
22 | 41→50 | 39→45 | 57→55 | 45 | .197/.265/.287 | .090 | .262 | 6 | 17 | 26% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .220/.297/.304 | .084 | .293 | 6 | 16 | 25% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .229/.318/.327 | .099 | .300 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A |
21 | 43 | 38→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .207/.263/.285 | .078 | .260 | 5 | 17 | 22% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .207/.257/.291 | .084 | .292 | 7 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .194/.239/.274 | .079 | .290 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 3% | 34 | -0.7 |
|
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A |
22 | 43 | 37→45 | 51→50 | 45 | .202/.257/.285 | .083 | .254 | 3 | 11 | 21% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .202/.249/.280 | .078 | .275 | 3 | 11 | 26% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .195/.231/.264 | .069 | .262 | 0 | 19 | 24% | 4% | 29 | -0.6 |
|
✕Matt Sheely 2009 · A |
22 | 45 | 37→30 | 56→50 | 42 | .212/.260/.285 | .073 | .282 | 3 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.269/.265 | .058 | .308 | 2 | 17 | 31% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .201/.267/.243 | .042 | .310 | 1 | 20 | 32% | 6% | 38 | -0.9 |
|
✕Mikey Edie 2019 · A |
22 | 47 | 35→30 | 51→50 | 35 | .214/.264/.277 | .063 | .323 | 2 | 15 | 33% | 4% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.258/.278 | .071 | .287 | 4 | 8 | 28% | 4% | 46 | -2.0 | .193/.240/.251 | .058 | .266 | 3 | 7 | 27% | 3% | 27 | -1.7 |
|
✕Derrik Gibson 2012 · A |
22 | 43→53 | 35→40 | 53→55 | 44 | .202/.258/.259 | .056 | .269 | 2 | 19 | 24% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .216/.275/.278 | .062 | .294 | 2 | 15 | 25% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .249/.312/.317 | .069 | .316 | 3 | 11 | 20% | 7% | 75 | +0.0 |