Alberto Hernandez

SS Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2396ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420AHOU271.197/.289/.2512419—.157/.226/.190
202521AHOU344.225/.317/.30222448—.206/.269/.273
202622AA/A+HOU151.212/.275/.3653042—.178/.228/.313
2027PROJMLE23MLBHOU3.209/.264/.3040057-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB24MLBHOU60.214/.270/.3201164-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB25MLBHOU112.217/.275/.3302268-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Z-Con%94
Chase%78
K%71
Whiff%71
BB%37
ISO34
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%
CompsAlfredo González (age 23) · Onix Vega (age 23) · Will Piwnica-Worms (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .264 / .304
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%6
BABIP267
ISO88
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Arb-1$3M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ROKDSL HOU Blue — 193166 39623 20275 97 235335349684 114261 1410 312 29 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Astros — 169140 361412 24313 92 257377414792 157315 1814 354 61 — — — — — —
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271239 47702 29612 42 197289251540 54254 2311 256 19 — — — — — —
202521 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 344298 671322 36594 247 225317302619 77269 1710 283 48 — — — — — —
202622 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 11097 19602 10231 00 196278320597 124230 219 268 40 — — — — — —
202622 A+Asheville Tourists — 4140 10411 190 01 250268475743 225300 222 321 48 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 193172 27411 14335 97 157241209450 52181 177 211 29 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 169149 291111 15423 92 195281302583 107256 259 259 61 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271248 39501 20812 42 157226190415 32226 307 196 19 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 344311 641122 23804 247 206269273543 68256 237 239 48 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 110100 17502 7281 00 170231280511 110210 256 228 40 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 4140 8311 1120 01 200220400620 200250 292 239 48 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 193172 27411 14335 97 157241209450 52186 177 211 29 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWDSL HOU Blue — 193166 39623 20275 97 235335349684 114261 1410 312 29 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 169149 291111 15423 92 195281302583 107262 259 259 61 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 169140 361412 24313 92 257377414792 157315 1814 354 61 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271248 39501 20812 42 157226190415 32228 307 196 19 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271239 47702 29612 42 197289251540 54254 2311 256 19 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 344311 641122 23804 247 206269273543 68265 237 239 48 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 344298 671322 36594 247 225317302619 77269 1710 283 48 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 151140 25812 8401 01 179228293521 114230 265 231 42 — — — — — —
202622 AA RAW2 teams — 151137 291013 11321 01 212275365640 153250 217 283 42 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 193172 27411 14335 97 157241209450 52181 177 211 29 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 169149 291111 15423 92 195281302583 107256 259 259 61 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271247 39501 20812 42 158226190416 32226 307 196 19 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 344314 641122 23804 247 204269271540 67256 237 239 48 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 151141 25812 8401 01 177228291519 113221 265 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271247 39501 20812 42 158226190416 32226 307 196 19 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 344314 641122 23804 247 204269271540 67256 237 239 48 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 151141 25812 8401 01 177228291519 113221 265 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEHOU 2% 292270 551313 18692 52 206261299560 93263 246 253 57 -15 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXHOU 2% 33 0000 010 00 209264304568 95267 330 257 57 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEHOU 31% 192177 37813 12451 31 211267315583 104265 236 262 64 -8 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
202925 MLB MLEHOU 45% 252232 491114 16592 42 214272326597 111267 236 268 68 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.2
203026 MLB MLEHOU 51% 300275 601325 20702 52 216275332606 116268 237 272 70 -11 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
203127 MLB MLEHOU 53% 320292 641426 22753 52 217276333609 117268 237 273 71 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
203228 MLB MLEHOU 53% 329301 661426 22773 42 216276333609 116269 237 273 71 -11 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.1
203329 MLB MLEHOU 57% 324297 641416 22772 31 214274327601 113268 247 270 69 -12 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.3
202824 MLB CTXHOU 31% 6056 12301 4140 10 214270320591 106270 237 266 64 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202925 MLB CTXHOU 45% 112103 23512 7261 21 217275330605 113271 236 272 68 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
203026 MLB CTXHOU 51% 153141 31713 10361 21 219278336614 117272 247 275 70 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
203127 MLB CTXHOU 53% 168154 34813 11391 21 220279337616 118273 237 276 71 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
203228 MLB CTXHOU 53% 176161 35813 12411 21 219279337616 117273 237 276 71 -6 +0 -0 +2 +4 -0.1
203329 MLB CTXHOU 57% 185169 37813 13441 11 217277331608 114272 247 273 69 -7 -0 -1 +2 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 854784 17239515 572005 105 219277339616 120274 237 274 57 -31 +0 -1 +9 +19 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 13130411 431524 84 219276338615 119274 237 274 57 -24 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 29802719 5501191538 20271129 7230 202265299564 97257 247 253 57 -70 +1 -2 +20 +40 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 1192638 441556 167 201263295558 94255 247 253 57 -24 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 110 PAwOBA .266 → .228 (−38)K% 20.9% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.91%÷1.000×1.220——25.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0426.63%
HBP% /PA0.91%—×0.870—×1.0420.82%
Singles /BIP14.86%÷1.000×0.920×0.990×1.04214.11%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷1.000×0.840×0.990×1.0427.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×0.990×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0422.25%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .266 → .228; ISO .124 → .105; BABIP .230 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 41 PAwOBA .311 → .239 (−72)K% 22.0% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.95%÷1.000×1.310——28.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.44%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0121.48%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP12.90%÷1.000×0.870—×1.01211.36%
Doubles /BIP12.90%÷1.000×0.780—×1.01210.19%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0122.77%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0122.87%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .311 → .239; ISO .225 → .174; BABIP .300 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 344 PAwOBA .280 → .239 (−41)K% 17.2% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.15%÷0.996×1.360——23.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.47%÷1.072×0.690—×1.0156.84%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.780—×1.0150.92%
Singles /BIP20.92%÷0.979×0.920×1.030×1.01520.55%
Doubles /BIP5.44%÷1.035×0.830×1.030×1.0154.56%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷0.953×0.910×1.030×1.0150.84%
Home runs /BIP0.84%÷1.005×0.800—×1.0150.68%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .280 → .239; ISO .077 → .066; BABIP .269 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 271 PAwOBA .249 → .196 (−53)K% 22.5% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.51%÷1.020×1.360——30.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.33%÷1.024×0.690—×1.0307.17%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.780—×1.0300.59%
Singles /BIP21.35%÷1.038×0.920×1.006×1.03019.60%
Doubles /BIP3.93%÷1.132×0.830×1.006×1.0302.99%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×1.006×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP1.12%÷1.118×0.800—×1.0300.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .249 → .196; ISO .054 → .039; BABIP .254 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Astros · 169 PAwOBA .348 → .259 (−89)K% 18.3% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.34%÷1.058×1.440——24.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.20%÷1.007×0.620—×1.0088.81%
HBP% /PA1.78%—×0.720—×1.0081.29%
Singles /BIP17.43%÷1.014×0.820×1.028×1.00814.61%
Doubles /BIP12.84%÷0.939×0.720×1.028×1.00810.20%
Triples /BIP0.92%÷0.900×0.720×1.028×1.0080.76%
Home runs /BIP1.83%÷1.379×0.780—×1.0081.05%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 112, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .348 → .259; ISO .157 → .116; BABIP .315 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL HOU Blue · 193 PAwOBA .307 → .211 (−97)K% 14.0% → 17.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.99%÷1.001×1.220——17.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.36%÷1.027×0.700—×1.0087.12%
HBP% /PA2.59%—×0.700—×1.0081.83%
Singles /BIP20.14%÷0.980×0.680×1.033×1.00814.55%
Doubles /BIP4.32%÷1.015×0.600×1.033×1.0082.66%
Triples /BIP1.44%÷0.900×0.600×1.033×1.0081.00%
Home runs /BIP2.16%÷0.989×0.470—×1.0081.03%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .307 → .211; ISO .114 → .067; BABIP .261 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).