Dawel Joseph — OGILVIE

Dawel JosephSS DSL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.9 · 2033

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .275 / .294

PA180

HR3

K%31

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

25→25

SPD

60→60

EYE

60→60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$26M	+$25M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+2.7	$28M	+$23M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.5	$27M	+$18M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+2.2	$24M	+$13M
Totals		$29M		$163M	+$135M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	179	158	14	4	0	0	19	74	2	3	2	.089	.196	.114	.309	.025	.167	41	11	.155	-23	-25	-0	+0	+2	+5	-1.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	211	176	21	4	0	2	25	92	8	20	5	.119	.258	.176	.435	.057	.226	44	12	.213	21	-19	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	SEA	180	160	32	6	1	3	16	56	2	4	1	.200	.281	.306	.587	.106	.279	31	9	.263	59	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	SEA	259	229	47	9	1	5	25	76	3	6	2	.205	.292	.319	.611	.114	.287	29	10	.287	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2028	21	MLB 28%	SEA	378	331	72	13	2	9	39	107	5	10	2	.218	.309	.350	.660	.133	.289	28	10	.299	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.1
2029	22	MLB 48%	SEA	464	406	90	17	2	12	49	127	6	12	3	.222	.315	.362	.677	.140	.290	27	11	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.6
2030	23	MLB 65%	SEA	520	452	102	19	3	14	56	139	7	14	3	.226	.320	.374	.694	.148	.290	27	11	.313	98	-1	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.1
2031	24	MLB 82%	SEA	556	481	110	20	3	16	62	147	8	14	3	.229	.327	.383	.709	.154	.290	26	11	.318	101	+1	+2	+0	+6	+16	2.5
2032	25	MLB	SEA	577	499	115	21	3	17	65	152	8	15	3	.230	.329	.387	.715	.156	.291	26	11	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	+6	+16	2.7
2033	26	MLB	SEA	588	507	116	21	3	17	68	155	8	15	3	.229	.329	.383	.712	.154	.292	26	12	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+6	+17	2.9
2034	27	MLB	SEA	590	508	117	21	3	18	69	156	8	15	3	.230	.332	.390	.721	.159	.292	26	12	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+6	+17	2.9
2035	28	MLB	SEA	587	505	115	21	3	17	69	156	8	14	2	.228	.330	.382	.712	.154	.291	27	12	.321	104	+3	+2	-1	+6	+17	2.7
2036	29	MLB	SEA	578	497	113	20	3	17	68	155	8	13	2	.227	.330	.382	.712	.155	.290	27	12	.319	102	+2	+2	-1	+6	+16	2.5
2037	30	MLB	SEA	568	488	110	20	3	16	67	155	8	13	2	.225	.329	.377	.706	.152	.289	27	12	.316	100	+0	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.2
2038	31	MLB	SEA	554	477	104	19	2	15	65	153	7	11	1	.218	.321	.361	.681	.143	.287	28	12	.312	97	-2	+2	-3	+6	+16	1.9
2039	32	MLB	SEA	536	461	100	18	2	14	63	151	7	11	0	.217	.320	.356	.676	.139	.286	28	12	.308	94	-4	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.6
2040	33	MLB	SEA	506	435	92	16	2	13	59	146	7	10	0	.211	.315	.347	.662	.136	.284	29	12	.302	89	-6	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.2
2041	34	MLB	SEA	460	398	82	14	2	11	53	137	6	9	0	.206	.309	.334	.643	.128	.282	30	12	.296	84	-8	+2	-5	+5	+13	0.7
2042	35	MLB	SEA	404	349	70	12	2	9	47	124	5	8	0	.201	.304	.324	.628	.123	.280	31	12	.288	79	-10	+2	-6	+4	+11	0.2
2043	36	MLB	SEA	344	298	58	10	1	7	39	109	4	7	0	.195	.296	.305	.602	.111	.276	32	11	.279	72	-11	+1	-6	+4	+10	-0.2
2044	37	MLB	SEA	280	244	46	8	1	5	31	92	3	6	0	.189	.288	.291	.579	.102	.272	33	11	.270	64	-11	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9319	8059	1726	313	42	237	1054	2659	128	230	37	.214	.315	.352	.666	.137	.286	29	11	.303	90	-106	+31	-38	+100	+264	25.5
/ 162G	—			650	562	121	22	3	17	74	185	9	16	3	.215	.316	.356	.672	.141	.287	28	11	.303	90	-7	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	179	150	20	6	0	0	27	52	2	3	2	.133	.274	.173	.447	.040	.204	29	15	.227	32	-14	-0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	211	161	30	7	0	3	40	64	8	20	5	.186	.373	.286	.659	.099	.281	30	19	.318	102	+0	+2	—	—	+6	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dawel Joseph (OGILVIE)	19	20	25	60	60	.194/.275/.294	.100	.279	3	4	31%	9%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	36	41→45	47→60	41	.181/.239/.272	.091	.247	9	13	30%	6%	37	-2.6	.219/.271/.301	.082	.284	7	20	24%	6%	57	-1.2	.234/.281/.297	.063	.300	5	24	23%	5%	58	-0.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	40	36→30	48→50	45	.190/.258/.255	.065	.266	4	12	28%	8%	41	-2.3	.207/.263/.250	.043	.259	1	14	19%	7%	40	-2.4	.233/.291/.254	.020	.278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	42	37→30	53→45	44	.198/.262/.269	.072	.264	4	12	26%	7%	46	-2.0	.228/.288/.282	.054	.279	3	7	18%	6%	60	-1.0	.243/.302/.283	.040	.290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	42→36	38→45	47→60	48	.195/.289/.277	.082	.295	5	8	32%	10%	61	-1.0	.192/.285/.295	.103	.282	10	14	33%	9%	64	-0.8	.179/.278/.292	.113	.261	13	23	34%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	47	39→45	51→50	42	.223/.278/.315	.092	.300	5	13	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.211/.257/.296	.085	.311	4	11	32%	5%	50	-1.8	.178/.220/.246	.068	.283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→40	53→50	46	.208/.263/.283	.075	.252	3	13	19%	6%	49	-1.8	.243/.293/.316	.073	.281	3	15	14%	5%	70	-0.3	.292/.336/.357	.066	.329	1	19	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A	19	43	37→45	49→55	41	.203/.263/.279	.075	.288	4	8	30%	6%	49	-1.8	.223/.288/.330	.107	.269	10	12	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.225/.291/.340	.115	.260	12	15	18%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	.196/.257/.274	.078	.264	4	12	26%	6%	45	-2.1	.198/.267/.280	.082	.273	6	17	28%	7%	51	-1.7	.193/.273/.274	.081	.258	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.7
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	39	35→30	49→55	44	.184/.249/.245	.061	.269	3	14	31%	8%	34	-2.8	.201/.291/.247	.046	.283	1	15	26%	10%	53	-1.5	.210/.308/.237	.027	.280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	40	37→40	52→55	38	.193/.244/.267	.075	.278	4	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.194/.239/.254	.060	.283	3	8	31%	5%	31	-3.0	.181/.217/.201	.020	.252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	40	39→40	50	47	.189/.277/.272	.083	.292	6	12	34%	10%	54	-1.4	.193/.265/.266	.073	.318	4	10	37%	8%	46	-2.0	.140/.204/.175	.034	.267	0	8	44%	7%	-3	-1.2
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	.199/.253/.272	.072	.302	4	9	34%	6%	42	-2.3	.214/.277/.288	.074	.305	3	10	28%	7%	56	-1.3	.221/.291/.292	.071	.306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43	38→30	52→60	41	.205/.262/.288	.083	.287	4	12	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.223/.282/.290	.067	.291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	.224/.333/.269	.045	.305	1	34	23%	14%	74	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)