Dawel Joseph — OGILVIE

Dawel JosephSS DSL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION219 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .250 / .222

PA20

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	179	150	20	6	0	0	27	52	2	3	2	133	274	173	447	40	204	29	15	227	40	-13	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	211	161	30	7	0	3	40	64	8	20	5	186	373	286	659	99	281	30	19	318	101	+0	+2	—	—	+5	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	159	14	4	0	0	18	75	2	3	2	88	190	113	303	25	159	42	10	149	-13	-24	-0	—	—	+4	-2.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	176	20	4	0	2	25	92	8	20	5	114	254	170	424	57	213	44	12	211	29	-18	+2	—	—	+5	-1.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	159	14	4	0	0	18	75	2	3	2	88	190	113	303	25	167	42	10	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	179	150	20	6	0	0	27	52	2	3	2	133	274	173	447	40	204	29	15	227	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	176	20	4	0	2	25	92	8	20	5	114	254	170	424	57	214	44	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	211	161	30	7	0	3	40	64	8	20	5	186	373	286	659	99	281	30	19	318	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	157	14	4	0	0	18	75	2	3	2	89	190	115	305	25	159	42	10	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	176	20	4	0	2	25	92	8	20	5	114	254	170	424	57	213	44	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	179	157	14	4	0	0	18	75	2	3	2	89	190	115	305	25	159	42	10	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	211	176	20	4	0	2	25	92	8	20	5	114	254	170	424	57	213	44	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	SEA	—	219	186	32	3	1	3	25	89	6	14	4	172	290	247	538	75	302	41	11	247	53	-12	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	SEA	—	219	170	45	5	1	4	41	62	6	14	4	265	424	376	800	112	387	28	19	370	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	167	250	222	472	56	271	30	10	253	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	SEA	—	239	204	35	4	1	3	27	95	6	15	4	172	287	245	532	74	296	40	11	248	54	-13	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	276	241	46	8	1	4	28	85	5	7	2	191	288	282	570	91	276	31	10	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	391	341	69	12	2	7	40	117	7	10	3	202	299	311	610	109	279	30	10	277	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	472	413	85	15	2	9	48	138	8	12	3	206	301	317	618	111	280	29	10	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	526	458	96	17	2	11	54	152	9	13	4	210	305	328	633	118	281	29	10	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	560	489	102	18	2	12	57	161	9	14	4	209	303	327	630	119	282	29	10	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	580	505	106	18	3	12	60	167	10	14	4	210	306	329	635	119	282	29	10	289	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	62%	590	514	109	19	3	13	61	169	10	15	4	212	308	337	644	125	282	29	10	290	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	63%	591	514	108	19	2	13	62	170	10	15	4	210	307	331	638	121	282	29	10	290	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	587	510	105	18	2	12	62	170	10	14	4	206	304	320	624	114	281	29	11	289	82	-13	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	578	502	104	18	2	12	61	168	10	13	4	207	305	323	628	116	281	29	11	287	81	-13	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	568	494	100	17	2	11	60	167	9	13	4	202	300	312	612	109	280	29	11	285	79	-14	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	554	481	97	16	2	11	59	164	9	12	3	202	301	312	612	110	277	30	11	281	76	-16	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	536	466	92	15	2	10	56	161	9	11	3	197	296	303	598	105	274	30	10	276	73	-17	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	95	83	15	3	0	1	10	29	2	2	1	181	284	253	537	72	274	31	11	253	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	189	165	33	6	1	3	19	57	3	5	1	200	294	303	597	103	276	30	10	262	74	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	256	224	46	8	1	5	26	75	4	6	2	205	299	317	616	112	278	29	10	268	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	298	261	53	9	1	6	30	86	5	7	2	203	297	314	611	111	279	29	10	272	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	317	277	57	10	1	6	32	91	5	8	2	206	299	314	613	108	280	29	10	274	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	350	305	64	11	2	7	36	101	6	9	2	210	305	328	633	118	280	29	10	275	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	62%	368	321	67	11	2	8	38	106	6	9	3	209	304	330	634	121	279	29	10	275	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	63%	375	327	69	12	2	8	39	108	6	9	3	211	306	333	640	122	279	29	10	275	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	382	333	69	12	2	8	40	111	6	9	3	207	303	327	631	120	279	29	10	274	82	-8	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	376	327	66	11	1	8	40	110	6	9	2	202	300	315	615	113	278	29	11	273	81	-9	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	369	321	64	11	1	7	39	108	6	8	2	199	298	305	603	106	277	29	11	270	79	-9	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	360	313	62	10	1	7	38	107	6	8	2	198	297	304	600	105	275	30	11	267	76	-10	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	348	302	59	10	1	6	37	105	6	7	2	195	296	295	590	99	272	30	11	262	73	-11	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4083	3559	724	124	16	80	424	1194	67	96	27	203	300	315	615	111	279	29	10	270	75	-101	+8	-7	+44	+88	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	116	20	3	13	67	190	11	15	4	205	301	319	620	115	281	29	10	270	75	-16	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7219	6281	1256	219	27	139	753	2162	125	187	53	200	298	310	608	110	278	30	10	279	75	-172	+14	-10	+73	+148	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	113	20	2	13	68	195	11	17	5	200	298	311	609	111	277	30	10	279	75	-16	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,275	84	100	206	299	319	+46	+27	6.0	5.3
/162	664	13	16	+7.1	+4.2	0.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dawel Joseph (OGILVIE)	19	20	25	60	60	180/279/254	74	271	2	7	32%	10%	58	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Rather Trujillo 2008 · A	19	39	34→30	51→50	46	180/269/232	51	236	2	15	22%	7%	48	-2.5	215/304/283	68	261	3	14	17%	8%	72	-0.7	223/314/293	70	263	2	14	14%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	42→41	34→30	51→50	42	199/262/249	50	277	2	16	28%	6%	47	-2.5	210/309/255	45	289	1	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	195/321/224	30	275	1	24	25%	14%	65	-0.5
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	55	-1.9	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	59	-1.6	157/239/224	68	251	6	32	37%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	43	35→40	52→55	49	203/266/262	59	256	3	15	21%	8%	51	-2.2	192/274/272	80	272	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	193/277/283	91	280	6	24	31%	10%	59	-0.8
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	53	-2.1	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	65	-1.2	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	42	36→30	55	47	197/281/261	64	262	3	17	24%	8%	59	-1.7	210/300/290	80	274	4	25	23%	8%	72	-0.7	193/293/271	78	257	5	32	24%	9%	65	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps