Dawel Joseph — OGILVIE

Dawel JosephSS DSL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION136 act + 90 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .276 / .238

PA90

HR1

K%32

BB%10

BABIP262

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.1M
Totals		$10M		$15M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	179	158	14	4	0	0	19	74	2	3	2	89	196	114	309	25	167	41	11	156	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	179	150	20	6	0	0	27	52	2	3	2	133	274	173	447	40	204	29	15	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	211	176	21	4	0	2	25	92	8	20	5	119	258	176	435	57	226	44	12	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	211	161	30	7	0	3	40	64	8	20	5	186	373	286	659	99	281	30	19	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	136	115	21	1	1	1	16	58	4	11	3	183	304	235	538	52	351	43	12	237	40	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	136	105	28	1	1	1	26	40	4	11	3	267	430	324	753	57	415	29	19	358	132	+5	+1	+0	+1	+4	1.1
ROS	19	ROK	SEA	0%	90	79	14	2	0	1	9	29	2	3	1	176	276	238	514	63	276	32	10	250	50	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	236	39	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	SEA	—	136	116	21	1	1	1	16	58	4	11	3	181	304	233	536	52	345	43	12	237	40	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	SEA	—	226	194	35	3	1	2	25	87	6	14	4	180	292	236	529	57	309	38	11	242	44	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	268	235	44	7	1	3	27	83	4	7	2	187	282	264	546	77	278	31	10	262	59	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	385	337	67	11	2	6	39	116	6	10	3	199	293	297	590	98	280	30	10	273	67	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	469	411	83	14	2	8	47	138	8	12	3	202	296	304	600	102	282	29	10	279	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	523	458	96	16	3	10	52	152	8	13	3	210	301	323	624	114	283	29	10	283	75	-15	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.7
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	558	488	102	17	3	11	56	162	9	14	4	209	302	324	626	115	284	29	10	285	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2032	25	MLB	SEA	60%	579	506	106	17	3	12	59	167	9	14	4	209	303	326	629	117	284	29	10	286	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2033	26	MLB	SEA	62%	589	514	108	18	3	12	60	170	10	15	4	210	305	327	632	117	283	29	10	286	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.0
2034	27	MLB	SEA	63%	591	515	108	18	3	12	61	171	10	15	4	210	305	326	632	117	283	29	10	287	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.0
2035	28	MLB	SEA	65%	587	511	107	17	3	12	61	171	10	14	4	209	306	325	631	115	283	29	10	286	77	-15	+1	-1	+6	+17	0.8
2036	29	MLB	SEA	65%	578	504	104	17	3	11	60	169	9	13	4	206	302	317	619	111	282	29	10	284	75	-16	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.6
2037	30	MLB	SEA	65%	568	495	101	16	2	11	59	168	9	13	3	204	300	311	611	107	281	30	10	281	74	-17	+1	-2	+6	+16	0.5
2038	31	MLB	SEA	65%	554	482	97	16	2	10	58	165	9	12	3	201	299	305	604	104	279	30	10	278	71	-18	+1	-3	+6	+16	0.2
2039	32	MLB	SEA	65%	536	467	92	15	2	9	56	162	8	11	3	197	294	296	589	99	276	30	10	273	67	-20	+1	-4	+6	+15	-0.2
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	92	82	14	2	0	1	9	28	1	2	1	171	261	232	493	61	275	30	10	249	48	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	187	163	32	5	1	3	19	56	3	5	1	196	292	294	586	98	278	30	10	259	56	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	254	223	44	7	1	4	25	75	4	6	2	197	290	291	581	94	279	30	10	265	61	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	296	259	54	9	1	6	30	86	5	7	2	208	303	320	623	112	280	29	10	269	64	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	315	275	57	9	2	6	32	91	5	8	2	207	301	320	621	113	281	29	10	271	65	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2032	25	MLB	SEA	60%	349	305	63	10	2	7	35	101	6	9	2	207	301	321	622	115	281	29	10	272	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2033	26	MLB	SEA	62%	368	322	67	11	2	7	37	106	6	9	2	208	301	320	621	112	281	29	10	272	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2034	27	MLB	SEA	63%	375	328	68	11	2	7	38	109	6	9	2	207	301	317	618	110	281	29	10	272	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2035	28	MLB	SEA	65%	382	333	68	11	2	7	40	111	6	9	2	204	301	312	613	108	280	29	10	271	66	-15	+1	-0	+4	+11	0.1
2036	29	MLB	SEA	65%	376	328	67	11	2	7	39	110	6	9	2	204	300	314	614	110	280	29	10	270	65	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.0
2037	30	MLB	SEA	65%	369	322	65	10	2	7	38	109	6	8	2	202	298	311	608	109	279	30	10	267	63	-16	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.2
2038	31	MLB	SEA	65%	360	314	62	10	1	6	37	107	6	8	2	197	294	293	587	96	277	30	10	264	60	-16	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.3
2039	32	MLB	SEA	65%	348	304	59	9	1	6	36	105	5	7	2	194	290	289	579	95	274	30	10	259	56	-17	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4071	3559	720	115	19	74	415	1194	65	96	24	202	297	308	605	105	279	29	10	268	63	-171	+10	-7	+44	+115	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	115	18	3	12	66	191	10	15	4	202	296	308	604	106	280	29	10	268	63	-27	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	7265	6336	1264	209	32	130	748	2189	121	189	52	199	296	304	600	105	280	30	10	276	69	-252	+17	-10	+78	+206	3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	114	19	3	12	67	196	11	17	5	201	298	309	606	108	282	30	10	276	69	-23	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	179	150	20	6	0	0	27	52	2	3	2	133	274	173	447	40	204	29	15	227	32	-14	-0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	211	161	30	7	0	3	40	64	8	20	5	186	373	286	659	99	281	30	19	318	102	+0	+2	—	—	+6	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,258	78	100	205	296	312	+46	+27	3.9	3.7
	/162	664	12	16	205	296	312	+7.1	+4.2	0.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dawel Joseph (OGILVIE)	19	20	25	60	60	180/292/236	57	309	2	14	38%	11%	44	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Rather Trujillo 2008 · A	19	39	34→30	51→50	46	180/269/232	51	236	2	15	22%	7%	41	-2.3	215/304/283	68	261	3	14	17%	8%	69	-0.4	223/314/293	70	263	2	14	14%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Ryan Vega 2016 · A	19	40	35→40	52→45	41	190/245/253	62	253	3	9	25%	5%	34	-2.8	221/274/312	91	286	8	7	24%	6%	62	-0.9	199/262/287	88	273	8	6	29%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	50	-1.8	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	54	-1.4	155/238/219	64	252	5	32	37%	8%	22	-1.0
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	33	-2.9	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	70	-0.3	221/275/340	119	279	13	9	25%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Ozziel Sanchez-Galan 2017 · A	19	38	36→30	50	47	180/266/243	63	253	3	10	28%	9%	42	-2.3	196/266/277	81	293	4	7	32%	7%	50	-1.8	175/243/259	84	266	3	3	33%	6%	32	-0.8
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	39→37	38→40	48→40	47	187/266/269	83	245	4	8	24%	8%	49	-1.8	193/286/294	101	260	9	6	27%	11%	63	-0.8	179/279/276	97	240	10	4	28%	12%	55	-0.8
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Alex Gonzalez 2010 · A	19	40	33→30	54→60	41	187/254/231	43	281	1	22	32%	7%	33	-2.9	211/277/265	54	295	1	15	26%	7%	51	-1.7	216/290/265	49	291	1	14	24%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jonatan Santana 2007 · A	19	37	36→40	49→55	42	176/228/234	58	224	3	8	23%	5%	22	-3.7	198/259/261	63	244	3	12	19%	7%	42	-2.3	202/264/265	64	238	3	16	16%	7%	42	-0.7