Dawel Joseph

SS DSL Mariners
Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2411ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKSEA179.133/.274/.17303-9—.083/.201/.109
202518ROKSEA211.186/.373/.28632028—.110/.263/.168
202619ROKSEA219.265/.424/.37641446—.158/.290/.219
2027PROJMLE20MLBSEA329.179/.266/.2493749-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBSEA56.185/.271/.2661156-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBSEA127.190/.276/.2822362-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Chase%85
BB%72
wOBA66
wRC+64
Speed53
ISO48
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsFrankeny Fernandez (age 20) · Robert Gonzalez (age 20) · Glenn Santiago (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 117 proj PA
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .263 / .247
PA117
HR1
K%29
BB%9
ISO70
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Arb-1$0.2M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Mariners — 179150 20600 27522 32 133274173447 40204 2915 227 -9 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Mariners — 211161 30703 40648 205 186373286659 99281 3019 318 28 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL Mariners — 219170 45514 41626 144 265424376800 112387 2819 370 46 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 179156 13400 21632 32 83201109310 26135 3512 155 -9 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 211173 19402 28788 205 110263168431 58177 3713 210 28 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 219183 29312 28766 144 158290219509 60240 3513 236 46 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 179156 13400 21632 32 83201109310 26140 3512 155 -9 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 179150 20600 27522 32 133274173447 40204 2915 227 -9 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 211173 19402 28788 205 110263168431 58179 3713 210 28 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 211161 30703 40648 205 186373286659 99281 3019 318 28 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 219183 29312 28766 144 158290219509 60252 3513 236 46 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 219170 45514 41626 144 265424376800 112387 2819 370 46 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 179154 13400 21632 32 84201110312 26135 3512 155 -9 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 211173 19402 28788 205 110263168431 58177 3713 210 28 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 219183 29312 28766 144 158290219509 60240 3513 236 46 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 179154 13400 21632 32 84201110312 26135 3512 155 -9 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 211173 19402 28788 205 110263168431 58177 3713 210 28 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 219183 29312 28766 144 158290219509 60240 3513 236 46 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLESEA 0% 329292 53923 30964 72 179266249515 70255 299 241 49 -20 +1 +0 +4 +7 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLESEA 34% 162144 27512 15472 41 186272270542 83258 299 251 56 -8 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
202922 MLB MLESEA 48% 263234 45814 24743 62 192277286563 94261 289 260 62 -12 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.3
203023 MLB MLESEA 54% 356315 621126 33995 92 197282298580 102263 289 266 66 -14 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.2
203124 MLB MLESEA 55% 416370 731327 381155 103 200285308593 107266 289 271 70 -15 +1 +0 +4 +9 -0.1
203225 MLB MLESEA 56% 450400 801428 411236 113 203287315602 111267 279 274 72 -15 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.1
203326 MLB MLESEA 60% 467415 841529 431276 113 203287315602 112267 279 275 72 -16 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.1
203427 MLB MLESEA 62% 473420 851529 441306 113 202286313599 110267 279 273 71 -16 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.0
203528 MLB MLESEA 63% 470418 841529 431306 103 200284308592 108266 289 271 69 -17 +1 -1 +5 +10 -0.2
203629 MLB MLESEA 64% 462412 811428 421295 93 198282302584 104265 289 267 67 -18 +1 -1 +5 +10 -0.4
202821 MLB CTXSEA 34% 5650 10201 5161 10 185271266537 82256 299 250 56 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202922 MLB CTXSEA 48% 127112 22412 12362 31 190276282558 92259 289 258 62 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXSEA 54% 193171 33613 18542 51 195280294574 99261 289 264 66 -8 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203124 MLB CTXSEA 55% 231205 40714 21643 62 199283303587 105264 289 269 70 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
203225 MLB CTXSEA 56% 252224 45815 23693 62 201285310595 109265 279 272 72 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203326 MLB CTXSEA 60% 280248 50915 26764 72 201285311596 109265 279 272 72 -9 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203427 MLB CTXSEA 62% 293260 51915 27804 72 200284308593 108264 279 271 71 -10 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203528 MLB CTXSEA 63% 297264 51915 27824 62 199282304586 105264 289 268 69 -11 +0 -0 +3 +6 -0.1
203629 MLB CTXSEA 64% 294262 51915 27823 62 196280298578 102262 289 265 67 -12 +0 -1 +3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20231796 35363835 18655926 4714 197281299580 102263 289 268 62 -75 +4 -1 +22 +44 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 11320311 601808 154 196281298579 102262 289 268 62 -24 +1 -0 +7 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 42453744 7011241867 411122561 12035 187278284562 96256 2910 259 62 -139 +7 -2 +39 +79 -1.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650573 10719310 631889 185 187277283560 96257 2910 259 62 -25 +1 -0 +7 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Mariners · 219 PAwOBA .364 → .236 (−127)K% 28.3% → 34.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.31%÷1.000×1.220——34.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.26%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99512.72%
HBP% /PA2.74%—×0.700—×0.9951.91%
Singles /BIP32.41%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×0.99520.83%
Doubles /BIP4.63%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×0.9952.63%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×0.9950.53%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9951.73%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .364 → .236; ISO .112 → .058; BABIP .387 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Mariners · 211 PAwOBA .314 → .210 (−105)K% 30.3% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.33%÷1.003×1.220——36.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.96%÷0.996×0.700—×1.00813.43%
HBP% /PA3.79%—×0.700—×1.0082.67%
Singles /BIP20.62%÷0.986×0.680×0.950×1.00813.61%
Doubles /BIP7.22%÷0.989×0.600×0.950×1.0084.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.950×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.09%÷0.936×0.470—×1.0081.56%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .314 → .210; ISO .099 → .055; BABIP .281 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Mariners · 179 PAwOBA .223 → .155 (−68)K% 29.1% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.05%÷1.004×1.220——35.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.08%÷0.938×0.700—×1.02211.52%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.700—×1.0220.80%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷0.976×0.680×0.951×1.0229.68%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷0.940×0.600×0.951×1.0223.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.934×0.600×0.951×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.012×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 88, 3B 87, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .223 → .155; ISO .040 → .024; BABIP .204 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).