Paulino Santana

LF Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTFG #283MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP42ETA2029FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ATEX	67	.217/.299/.333	0	3	13	—	.148/.224/.230
2025	18	ROKTEX	239	.265/.343/.412	5	8	33	—	.178/.237/.265
2026	19	ATEX	566	.264/.388/.433	15	29	84	—	.220/.319/.352
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBTEX	640	.197/.284/.308	11	15	70	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBTEX	196	.206/.293/.337	5	5	78	-0.3
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBTEX	289	.214/.301/.361	8	7	86	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$3M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wRC+81

wOBA77

ISO68

Speed67

BB%66

Chase%57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 77%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 20) · Max Muncy (age 20) · Sean Henry (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .282 / .305

PA320

HR6

SB8

K%32

BB%9

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	195	57	6	4	0	52	38	12	20	5	292	467	364	831	72	361	15	20	392	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	60	13	1	3	0	4	29	3	3	4	217	299	333	632	117	419	43	6	288	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	239	211	56	10	3	5	21	65	4	8	4	265	343	412	756	147	354	27	9	335	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	566	469	124	26	4	15	80	141	15	29	9	264	388	433	821	168	347	25	14	370	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	209	38	4	2	0	38	48	12	20	5	182	340	220	560	38	229	18	15	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	9	1	2	0	3	40	3	3	4	148	224	230	453	82	392	60	4	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	239	219	39	6	2	3	13	95	4	8	4	178	237	265	502	87	279	40	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	566	492	108	21	4	12	57	192	15	29	9	220	319	352	671	132	326	34	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	209	38	4	2	0	38	48	12	20	5	182	340	220	560	38	235	18	15	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	195	57	6	4	0	52	38	12	20	5	292	467	364	831	72	361	15	20	392	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	306	280	48	7	4	3	16	136	7	11	8	171	234	257	491	86	312	44	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	306	271	69	11	6	5	25	94	7	11	8	255	333	395	728	140	366	31	8	325	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	566	492	108	21	4	12	57	192	15	29	9	220	319	352	671	132	332	34	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	566	469	124	26	4	15	80	141	15	29	9	264	388	433	821	168	347	25	14	370	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	208	38	4	2	0	38	48	12	20	5	183	340	221	561	38	229	18	15	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	306	280	48	7	4	3	16	136	7	11	8	171	234	257	491	86	304	44	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	566	489	108	21	4	12	57	192	15	29	9	221	319	354	673	133	326	34	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	208	38	4	2	0	38	48	12	20	5	183	340	221	561	38	229	18	15	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	306	280	48	7	4	3	16	136	7	11	8	171	234	257	491	86	304	44	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	566	489	108	21	4	12	57	192	15	29	9	221	319	354	673	133	326	34	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	640	566	111	21	4	11	56	203	13	15	6	197	284	308	592	110	282	32	9	271	70	-23	+1	-2	-7	+14	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	570	503	103	19	4	12	51	176	11	14	5	205	292	332	624	127	284	31	9	283	78	-15	+1	-1	-6	+12	-0.9
2029	22	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	597	526	112	20	4	16	54	179	12	15	5	212	299	355	654	142	285	30	9	295	86	-10	+1	-1	-6	+13	-0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	627	553	120	22	4	18	57	184	12	16	5	218	304	370	675	153	287	29	9	303	91	-7	+1	-0	-7	+14	0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	638	563	125	22	4	20	58	184	12	15	5	222	308	381	689	159	288	29	9	309	95	-4	+1	+1	-7	+14	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	641	565	128	23	4	21	59	182	12	15	5	224	310	387	697	163	288	28	9	312	97	-2	+1	+1	-7	+14	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	639	563	126	22	4	21	59	181	12	14	5	224	310	389	699	165	288	28	9	312	98	-2	+1	+1	-7	+14	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	637	562	126	22	4	21	59	182	11	14	5	223	309	386	696	163	287	29	9	311	97	-3	+1	+1	-7	+14	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	631	557	124	22	4	20	58	182	11	12	5	221	307	381	689	160	286	29	9	308	95	-4	+0	-0	-7	+14	0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	621	548	120	21	4	19	57	180	11	10	4	219	304	375	679	156	285	29	9	305	92	-6	+0	-1	-7	+13	0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	609	539	115	20	3	18	55	179	10	9	4	215	301	367	667	151	282	29	9	300	89	-8	+0	-1	-7	+13	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	196	172	35	6	1	5	18	61	4	5	2	206	293	337	630	131	283	31	9	286	78	-5	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	289	255	54	9	2	8	26	87	6	7	3	214	301	361	662	148	285	30	9	298	86	-5	+0	-0	-3	+6	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	340	300	66	11	2	11	31	100	6	8	3	219	306	378	684	159	286	29	9	306	91	-4	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	354	312	70	12	2	12	32	102	7	9	3	223	310	389	699	166	288	29	9	312	95	-2	+1	+0	-4	+8	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	359	316	71	12	2	12	33	102	7	8	3	226	312	396	707	170	288	28	9	315	97	-1	+0	+0	-4	+8	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	359	317	72	12	2	13	33	102	6	8	3	226	312	398	710	172	288	28	9	316	98	-1	+0	+0	-4	+8	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	352	311	70	12	2	12	32	100	6	8	3	225	311	395	706	170	287	28	9	315	97	-1	+0	+0	-4	+8	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	346	305	68	11	2	12	32	100	6	7	3	223	309	390	699	167	286	29	9	312	95	-2	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	332	293	65	11	2	11	30	96	6	6	2	220	306	383	689	163	285	29	9	308	92	-3	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	348	307	67	11	2	11	32	102	6	5	3	217	302	375	677	158	282	29	9	303	89	-5	-0	-1	-4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3275	2888	638	107	19	107	299	952	60	71	28	221	307	382	689	161	287	29	9	309	87	-29	+3	-1	-35	+71	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	126	21	4	21	59	189	12	14	6	220	306	380	686	161	286	29	9	309	87	-6	+1	-0	-7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7662	6743	1449	255	51	207	706	2286	154	202	73	215	304	360	664	145	290	30	9	297	87	-71	+8	-3	-70	+141	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	123	22	4	18	60	194	13	17	6	215	304	362	666	147	289	30	9	297	87	-7	+1	-0	-7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Isbell'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,483 PA	6.8	4,483	13	250	248*	300*	403*	-42	+24	9.5	10.1
/162	664	2	37	-6.2	+3.6	1.4	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.4	3,595	104	78	218	301	370	-23	+5	4.3	4.3
/162	664	19	14	-4.3	+0.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Danny Moeller'07-'16 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,912 PA	4.4	2,912	15	171	242*	323*	402*	-31	-13	2.8	2.8
/162	664	3	39	-7.0	-3.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paulino Santana (OGILVIE)	20	20→41	40→54	55	50	196/282/305	109	282	6	8	32%	9%	70	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	39→49	47→55	50	41	193/269/328	134	304	15	12	39%	8%	69	-0.9	221/286/348	127	329	13	9	35%	7%	80	-0.2	234/300/394	160	319	20	5	31%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	204/269/312	108	298	11	15	34%	8%	65	-1.2	229/283/355	126	291	11	19	24%	6%	80	-0.2	251/305/379	128	300	11	17	19%	6%	91	+0.6
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2024 · A	20	41→44	42→60	45→30	40	201/268/308	107	300	10	5	34%	7%	63	-1.3	207/289/374	167	303	21	3	37%	9%	88	+0.4	207/300/402	195	286	26	2	35%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→49	39→55	51→55	43	201/272/293	93	294	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	221/297/300	79	293	5	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	234/309/359	124	316	12	20	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	39→36	41→60	47→50	46	193/265/292	98	258	9	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	209/266/356	147	291	17	11	33%	7%	74	-0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	40→50	42→55	52→55	42	198/252/297	99	246	10	13	24%	5%	55	-2.0	232/272/383	151	296	15	19	26%	4%	82	+0.0	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Luke Adams 2024 · A	20	42→39	44→50	53→55	51	201/318/323	122	288	11	21	31%	11%	88	+0.4	207/347/351	144	268	15	19	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→42	46→55	50	46	197/276/332	135	270	13	8	31%	9%	73	-0.6	186/272/313	127	276	12	8	34%	10%	67	-1.1	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→42	43→55	47→45	42	202/266/309	107	265	11	7	28%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/394	172	288	23	5	31%	5%	86	+0.3	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Alexis Hernandez 2024 · A	21	44→50	39→50	52→50	48	209/282/296	87	276	7	15	26%	8%	66	-1.1	216/289/327	111	296	11	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	220/295/346	126	292	14	18	28%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	43→53	43→50	56→55	47	207/283/329	122	293	8	13	30%	9%	74	-0.6	215/284/346	131	317	11	16	33%	9%	78	-0.3	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Jake Marisnick 2011 · A	20	42→52	41→60	55	41	206/267/310	104	276	7	18	27%	6%	63	-1.3	238/294/365	127	306	11	19	25%	5%	86	+0.3	229/291/435	206	302	27	18	33%	6%	103	+0.8
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Jose Siri 2015 · A	20	41→51	39→60	54→55	39	197/244/287	89	270	5	15	28%	5%	49	-2.4	190/219/301	111	302	9	17	39%	3%	42	-2.9	235/282/445	210	322	27	25	35%	5%	100	+0.9
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	42→48	45→50	53→55	40	206/268/336	130	291	12	19	32%	6%	70	-0.8	209/279/335	126	306	11	17	33%	7%	74	-0.5	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	39→45	46→50	51→55	41	199/261/328	129	275	14	13	32%	7%	65	-1.2	195/257/323	128	268	13	17	31%	7%	63	-1.4	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8

Paulino Santana

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps