Ryan Mitchell — OGILVIE

Ryan MitchellOF Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION496 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP320

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	19	A MLE	STL	—	496	411	71	8	1	10	75	233	4	41	12	173	306	270	576	97	351	47	15	267	67	-20	+3	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	STL	—	496	386	89	9	2	13	100	164	4	41	12	231	394	365	759	135	353	33	20	350	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	STL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		321	44	11	286	80	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	STL	—	505	419	72	8	1	10	76	237	4	42	12	172	305	267	572	95	348	47	15	267	67	-20	+4	-0	-3	+11	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	43%	536	452	92	14	2	13	74	200	5	20	6	204	322	330	652	126	321	37	14	299	89	-7	+2	-2	-3	+12	0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	61%	579	489	103	16	2	16	79	207	6	21	6	211	328	350	677	139	319	36	14	308	94	-4	+2	-2	-3	+13	0.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	68%	617	522	112	17	3	18	83	214	7	23	7	215	330	362	692	148	318	35	13	313	98	-1	+2	-2	-4	+13	0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	71%	627	531	116	18	3	19	84	213	7	23	7	218	333	371	704	153	318	34	13	317	101	+0	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	71%	634	537	117	18	3	19	85	215	7	23	7	218	332	369	701	151	318	34	13	319	102	+2	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	71%	639	541	119	18	3	20	86	216	7	24	7	220	334	375	710	155	318	34	13	320	103	+2	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	71%	642	543	119	18	3	20	87	217	7	24	7	219	334	374	708	155	318	34	14	321	103	+3	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	69%	639	540	118	18	3	20	87	216	7	24	7	219	334	374	708	156	318	34	14	321	103	+3	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	69%	633	534	116	18	2	20	87	215	7	22	6	217	334	371	705	154	318	34	14	320	103	+2	+2	-3	-4	+14	1.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	67%	621	523	112	17	2	19	86	212	7	20	6	214	333	363	696	149	315	34	14	317	101	+1	+2	-4	-4	+13	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	66%	610	514	109	16	2	18	84	210	7	18	5	212	331	356	687	144	313	34	14	314	99	-1	+2	-4	-4	+13	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	STL	71%	595	502	105	16	2	17	82	207	6	15	4	209	327	351	678	141	311	35	14	310	96	-3	+1	-5	-4	+13	0.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	STL	74%	577	487	100	15	2	16	79	203	6	12	4	205	323	343	666	138	307	35	14	305	93	-5	+1	-6	-3	+13	-0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	STL	77%	547	461	93	13	2	15	75	195	6	9	3	202	321	336	657	134	303	36	14	299	88	-8	+1	-6	-3	+12	-0.5
2027	20	MLB CTX	STL	43%	231	195	39	6	1	5	32	86	2	9	2	200	319	318	637	118	320	37	14	288	89	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	61%	352	297	61	9	1	9	48	126	4	13	4	205	324	333	657	128	318	36	14	296	94	-2	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	68%	420	356	76	12	2	11	56	145	5	15	4	213	329	351	680	138	317	35	13	301	98	-1	+1	-2	-3	+9	0.6
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	71%	446	378	81	13	2	12	60	152	5	16	5	214	330	354	684	140	316	34	13	304	101	+0	+1	-2	-3	+10	0.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	71%	450	382	83	13	2	13	60	152	5	17	5	217	331	364	695	147	317	34	13	306	102	+1	+1	-2	-3	+10	0.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	71%	453	384	83	13	2	13	61	153	5	17	5	216	331	362	693	146	317	34	13	308	103	+2	+1	-2	-3	+10	0.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	71%	455	385	83	13	2	13	62	154	5	17	5	216	332	361	693	145	317	34	14	308	103	+2	+1	-2	-3	+10	0.9
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	69%	444	375	82	13	2	13	61	150	5	16	5	219	336	368	704	149	317	34	14	308	103	+2	+1	-2	-3	+10	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	69%	435	367	80	12	2	13	60	148	5	15	4	218	336	368	703	150	316	34	14	307	103	+1	+1	-2	-3	+9	0.8
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	67%	415	350	74	11	1	12	57	142	5	14	4	211	330	351	682	140	313	34	14	305	101	+0	+1	-3	-2	+9	0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	66%	401	339	71	11	1	11	55	138	4	12	3	209	327	345	672	136	312	34	14	302	99	-1	+1	-3	-2	+9	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	STL	71%	422	356	73	11	1	11	58	147	5	11	3	205	325	334	659	129	309	35	14	298	96	-2	+1	-4	-3	+9	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	STL	74%	429	362	73	11	1	11	59	151	5	9	3	202	322	329	650	127	306	35	14	293	93	-4	+1	-4	-3	+9	-0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	STL	77%	420	355	70	10	1	10	58	150	4	7	2	197	317	315	632	118	301	36	14	287	88	-6	+1	-5	-3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5773	4881	1029	158	21	157	787	1994	64	188	54	211	328	348	676	137	316	35	14	302	98	-10	+16	-33	-35	+125	6.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	550	116	18	2	18	89	225	7	21	6	211	329	349	678	138	316	35	14	302	98	-1	+2	-4	-4	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8505	7184	1532	232	34	250	1159	2944	92	279	82	213	330	359	689	146	318	35	14	314	98	-16	+23	-47	-51	+184	9.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	549	118	18	3	19	89	225	7	21	6	215	332	362	694	148	321	35	14	314	98	-1	+2	-4	-4	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	9.2	6,095	178	196	214	327	360	-37	+0	13.4	11.1
/162	664	19	21	-4.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Mitchell (OGILVIE)	19	31→55	33→50	58→57	50	189/311/298	109	321	7	18	40%	14%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	47→50	53→55	46	189/281/323	135	287	14	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	211/290/332	121	325	11	16	35%	9%	78	-0.3	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.2	198/270/312	114	300	8	13	34%	9%	65	-1.2	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→49	41→45	52→55	47	211/293/316	105	325	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	210/312/335	125	297	14	12	31%	12%	87	+0.4	208/305/322	114	282	13	14	29%	11%	79	-0.2
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	222/274/319	97	291	7	16	25%	6%	68	-1.0	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	42→46	42→45	51→55	53	197/305/310	112	291	8	16	32%	12%	79	-0.2	210/302/306	96	297	6	20	28%	11%	76	-0.4	217/288/319	102	277	9	23	24%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Jaff Decker 2009 · A	19	53→49	43→55	53→55	59	249/353/369	120	330	10	10	25%	13%	109	+2.0	230/321/393	163	306	18	8	29%	11%	103	+1.6	214/305/383	170	280	20	8	30%	10%	95	+0.7
✕Khalil Lee 2017 · A	19	43→51	44→45	50→55	43	202/283/323	121	316	10	9	36%	9%	73	-0.6	204/278/318	114	334	10	17	39%	8%	70	-0.9	209/305/319	110	333	10	25	36%	9%	78	-0.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46	42→50	52→50	42	215/278/321	106	327	10	12	35%	8%	70	-0.8	219/284/361	142	316	14	12	33%	8%	82	-0.0	221/283/367	147	304	15	14	31%	7%	81	-0.0
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
●Travis Snider 2007 · A	19	47→53	50→55	47→50	43	237/292/389	152	313	18	7	30%	7%	91	+0.7	242/299/400	158	345	17	3	33%	7%	96	+1.0	245/307/425	181	322	22	5	30%	8%	102	+1.3
✕Abraham Almonte 2007 · A	18	41→51	45→55	54→55	54	205/293/332	127	260	12	26	25%	11%	79	-0.2	208/266/308	100	276	8	19	26%	7%	62	-1.4	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Samuel Zavala 2023 · A	19	43→44	47→45	48→50	45	213/280/355	142	293	13	10	31%	8%	79	-0.2	192/286/304	112	288	12	12	34%	11%	71	-0.8	189/288/289	99	265	11	12	30%	11%	65	-1.0
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→65	54→50	43	223/277/358	134	288	13	16	27%	6%	78	-0.3	226/292/383	157	272	18	14	23%	8%	90	+0.6	243/311/468	224	317	29	3	32%	8%	115	+1.8
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	48→50	51→55	43	224/286/370	146	300	16	14	30%	7%	84	+0.2	230/291/358	128	299	14	18	27%	7%	84	+0.1	242/290/375	133	303	14	21	24%	5%	85	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps