Theo Gillen

CF Montgomery Biscuits

Age 21 L/R 6'2" / 195 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #16MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP57ETA2028MLB%12%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ATB	324	.267/.438/.387	5	36	96	—	.234/.369/.333
2026	20	AATB	268	.288/.392/.504	10	16	123	—	.274/.351/.468
2026	20	A+TB	265	.342/.452/.589	12	28	133	—	.291/.369/.500
2027PROJ12% MLB	21	MLBTB	38	.247/.333/.415	1	2	111	0.2
2028PROJ60% MLB	22	MLBTB	327	.252/.339/.430	11	13	117	1.6
2029PROJ76% MLB	23	MLBTB	443	.255/.342/.438	16	15	120	2.4

Next 3 projected WAR 4.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$8M2032Arb-2$13M2033Arb-3$20M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed89

wRC+88

wOBA87

ISO80

Chase%79

Whiff%79

Career WAR4 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 49, comp-based) · star 13% · didn't stick 50%

CompsColby Rasmus (age 21) · Pete Crow-Armstrong (age 21) · Corbin Carroll (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†111

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .333 / .415

PA38

HR1

K%26

BB%11

BABIP309

ISO121

MLB%12%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$78M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$16M	+$16M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$18M	+$17M
2031	Arb-1	$8M	+2.9	$19M	+$14M
2032	Arb-2	$13M	+2.8	$16M	+$9M
2033	Arb-3	$20M	+2.7	$14M	+$4M
Totals		$44M		$96M	+$70M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	26	4	1	0	0	8	14	0	1	0	154	353	192	545	38	333	41	24	282	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	243	65	12	1	5	64	75	10	36	3	267	438	387	825	119	359	23	20	376	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	268	226	65	11	4	10	36	53	3	16	5	288	392	504	897	217	333	20	13	391	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	265	219	75	12	3	12	38	63	6	28	5	342	452	589	1.042	247	432	24	14	451	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	295	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	261	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	234	369	333	702	100	334	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	268	237	65	11	4	9	25	65	3	16	5	274	351	468	819	194	333	24	9	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	265	234	68	10	3	11	23	82	6	28	5	291	369	500	869	209	387	31	9	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	333	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	26	4	1	0	0	8	14	0	1	0	154	353	192	545	38	333	41	24	282	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	261	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	234	369	333	702	100	356	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	243	65	12	1	5	64	75	10	36	3	267	438	387	825	119	359	23	20	376	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	533	471	132	21	7	19	48	147	9	44	10	280	358	476	834	195	366	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	533	445	140	23	7	22	74	116	9	44	10	315	422	546	968	231	379	22	14	421	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	295	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	265	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	230	369	328	697	98	334	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	533	471	132	21	7	19	48	147	9	44	10	280	358	476	834	195	360	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	295	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	265	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	230	369	328	697	98	334	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	533	471	132	21	7	19	48	147	9	44	10	280	358	476	834	195	360	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	12%	581	510	126	21	5	19	57	147	9	25	5	246	332	416	748	171	306	25	10	333	111	+8	+3	-1	+2	+13	1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	TB	12%	38	33	7	1	0	1	4	10	1	2	0	247	333	415	749	168	309	26	11	333	111	+1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	60%	547	480	120	20	5	19	54	134	8	21	4	251	337	432	769	181	306	24	10	341	117	+11	+3	-0	+2	+12	2.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	76%	583	511	130	22	5	21	58	140	9	20	4	254	340	440	780	186	306	24	10	345	120	+14	+2	+0	+2	+13	3.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	80%	611	536	137	23	5	23	61	144	9	19	4	256	342	444	786	189	306	24	10	347	121	+15	+2	+1	+2	+13	3.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	81%	627	550	141	24	5	23	63	147	9	18	4	256	342	445	786	189	305	23	10	347	121	+16	+2	+1	+2	+14	3.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	82%	634	557	141	24	5	23	63	149	9	17	4	255	341	443	783	187	304	24	10	346	120	+15	+2	+1	+2	+14	3.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	80%	634	557	141	24	5	23	63	149	9	16	3	254	340	440	779	186	304	24	10	345	119	+15	+2	+1	+2	+14	3.4
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	80%	629	552	140	24	5	23	63	150	9	14	3	252	337	435	772	183	303	24	10	342	118	+13	+2	-0	+2	+14	3.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	77%	619	545	136	23	4	22	61	149	8	13	3	249	335	428	763	179	301	24	10	338	115	+11	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.8
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	76%	609	536	132	22	4	21	60	149	8	11	3	246	331	420	751	174	299	24	10	334	112	+9	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	76%	595	525	127	21	4	20	58	147	7	8	3	242	326	410	736	168	296	25	10	328	108	+6	+0	-2	+2	+13	1.9
2038	32	MLB MLE	TB	75%	576	508	121	20	4	18	56	145	7	7	4	237	320	397	717	160	292	25	10	320	103	+2	-0	-3	+2	+12	1.3
2039	33	MLB MLE	TB	75%	546	483	111	18	3	16	52	141	6	5	7	230	312	381	693	151	287	26	10	310	96	-2	-2	-4	+2	+12	0.6
2040	34	MLB MLE	TB	71%	499	445	99	15	3	14	46	132	5	4	19	222	303	362	665	141	280	26	9	299	88	-7	-7	-4	+2	+11	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	60%	327	287	73	12	3	11	32	80	5	13	3	252	339	430	769	178	309	24	10	341	117	+7	+1	-0	+1	+7	1.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	76%	443	389	100	16	4	16	44	106	7	15	3	255	342	438	780	183	309	24	10	345	120	+10	+2	+0	+2	+10	2.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	80%	486	427	110	18	4	18	49	115	7	15	3	257	343	442	785	185	309	24	10	347	121	+12	+2	+1	+2	+11	2.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	81%	508	445	114	19	4	18	51	119	7	15	3	257	343	443	786	185	308	23	10	347	121	+13	+2	+1	+2	+11	2.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	82%	517	453	116	19	4	19	52	121	7	14	3	257	342	441	783	184	307	23	10	346	120	+13	+2	+1	+2	+11	2.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	80%	509	446	114	19	4	18	51	120	7	13	3	255	341	438	779	182	307	24	10	345	119	+12	+1	+1	+2	+11	2.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	80%	500	439	112	18	4	18	50	119	7	11	3	254	339	433	772	179	306	24	10	342	118	+10	+1	-0	+2	+11	2.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	77%	479	422	105	17	4	16	48	115	6	10	2	251	336	427	763	175	305	24	10	338	115	+9	+1	-1	+2	+10	2.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	76%	465	410	102	17	3	16	46	113	6	8	2	248	332	418	751	171	303	24	10	334	112	+7	+1	-1	+2	+10	1.8
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	76%	450	397	96	16	3	14	44	112	6	6	2	244	328	408	736	165	299	25	10	328	108	+4	+0	-2	+2	+10	1.5
2038	32	MLB CTX	TB	75%	434	384	91	14	3	13	42	110	5	5	3	238	321	395	717	157	295	25	10	320	103	+1	-0	-2	+2	+9	1.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	TB	75%	410	363	85	13	3	12	39	106	5	4	5	232	314	380	694	148	290	26	10	311	96	-2	-1	-3	+1	+9	0.5
2040	34	MLB CTX	TB	71%	353	313	70	10	2	10	33	94	4	3	13	223	304	361	666	138	284	27	9	299	88	-5	-5	-3	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5881	5175	1288	208	45	199	581	1430	79	132	48	249	334	422	756	173	305	24	10	335	113	+91	+7	-9	+21	+127	24.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	142	23	5	22	64	158	9	15	5	248	333	421	755	173	304	24	10	335	113	+10	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8920	7826	1941	326	68	299	889	2224	127	268	81	248	334	422	756	174	307	25	10	335	113	+121	+10	-13	+29	+174	32.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	142	24	5	22	65	162	9	20	6	249	335	425	759	175	308	25	10	335	113	+10	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#2Brady Anderson'88-'02 * career totals — 15 seasons, 7,737 PA	11.7	7,737	210	315	246*	350*	424*	-32	-26	34.5	32.2
/162	664	18	27	-2.7	-2.2	3.0	pk7: 30
#3Ruppert Jones'76-'87 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,038 PA	7.6	5,038	147	143	245*	328*	438*	-7	+38	24.5	22.6
/162	664	19	19	-0.9	+5.0	3.2	pk7: 21
#4Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.9	5,921	205	135	248	329	425	-35	+12	22.4	19.6
/162	664	23	15	-3.9	+1.3	2.5	pk7: 17
#5Jose Cruz'97-'08 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,448 PA	8.2	5,448	204	113	237*	325*	431*	-24	-5	18.2	16.5
/162	664	25	14	-2.9	-0.6	2.2	pk7: 15
#6Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Theo Gillen (OGILVIE)	21	49→55	47→54	59	60	243/329/413	169	306	10	14	25%	10%	111	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	45→54	53→65	54→50	47	233/303/412	180	281	20	15	25%	8%	101	+1.4	238/304/402	164	285	19	12	23%	8%	99	+1.2	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
★Pete Crow-Armstrong 2023 · A	21	52→53	48→65	55→60	41	255/308/405	150	338	15	21	28%	6%	100	+1.3	236/288/405	169	305	18	31	28%	6%	94	+0.9	247/308/475	228	288	29	35	25%	7%	118	+2.8
●Corbin Carroll 2023 · MLB	22	52→53	58→60	62→60	48	258/340/480	222	335	23	25	29%	9%	130	+3.5	251/333/465	214	290	24	34	22%	9%	124	+3.1	245/330/467	222	275	25	37	21%	10%	124	+3.4
✕Evan Carter 2024 · MLB	21	51→55	48→50	55	53	249/338/400	151	321	14	22	25%	11%	110	+2.1	225/311/368	143	287	14	21	25%	10%	94	+0.9	200/289/333	133	250	13	24	24%	10%	77	-0.2
●Jordan Walker 2023 · AA	21	55→58	50→55	54→50	44	269/329/436	167	354	17	16	28%	7%	116	+2.5	245/306/393	148	317	16	11	26%	7%	97	+1.1	236/293/390	154	305	18	13	28%	7%	92	+0.7
●B.J. Upton 2006 · MLB	21	56→60	49→60	58→60	49	270/336/428	157	342	15	29	24%	9%	116	+2.5	267/346/408	141	342	14	34	24%	10%	115	+2.4	264/354/415	151	338	15	35	24%	12%	120	+2.9
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	56→59	52→60	58→55	42	277/324/454	177	345	18	24	25%	6%	118	+2.6	273/311/443	170	320	19	19	21%	5%	111	+2.1	268/297/436	169	304	21	14	20%	3%	105	+1.6
●Jackson Chourio 2024 · AAA	20	48→57	50→60	56→55	41	243/288/398	155	310	17	24	27%	6%	91	+0.7	267/311/444	177	322	20	22	23%	6%	111	+2.1	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
●Oneil Cruz 2022 · AAA	23	50→57	54→60	57→60	41	254/303/442	188	332	22	21	30%	6%	107	+1.9	239/302/430	191	317	23	20	30%	8%	104	+1.6	242/319/436	194	325	25	34	32%	10%	113	+2.0
●Joc Pederson 2014 · AA	22	49→54	51→65	53→55	46	249/311/413	164	306	19	22	25%	8%	104	+1.6	232/331/421	189	310	24	16	30%	12%	114	+2.3	259/358/487	228	294	30	5	22%	11%	139	+3.0
●Carlos Correa 2016 · MLB	21	55→61	54→60	56→55	51	279/342/469	190	322	20	21	20%	8%	128	+3.3	272/345/463	191	318	22	11	21%	10%	128	+3.3	263/344/444	182	303	22	0	20%	10%	124	+3.1
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	46→48	56→60	55	47	238/309/441	203	302	22	23	28%	9%	110	+2.1	236/301/437	201	274	23	20	23%	8%	106	+1.8	238/319/427	189	288	21	17	24%	10%	111	+2.3
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	44→50	53→55	60→55	49	227/311/414	187	277	19	29	25%	9%	104	+1.6	222/287/376	154	278	16	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	226/286/365	138	282	13	24	24%	7%	83	+0.1
●Riley Greene 2022 · AAA	21	54→62	51→60	57→50	43	258/322/426	168	365	18	13	33%	8%	111	+2.1	265/332/421	156	363	15	8	29%	9%	113	+2.3	268/343/489	221	341	28	3	28%	9%	134	+3.9
●Wyatt Langford 2024 · AAA	22	53→50	56→55	53→55	55	270/355/472	202	322	22	19	23%	11%	133	+3.7	246/328/416	170	300	18	20	23%	10%	111	+2.1	240/328/410	170	291	19	21	23%	11%	109	+1.8
●James Wood 2024 · AA	21	49→59	52→60	55	42	234/305/414	179	354	19	15	37%	8%	101	+1.4	258/343/454	196	357	22	17	31%	11%	124	+3.1	264/360/472	208	351	25	19	29%	13%	135	+4.1
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	51→56	50→60	56→55	49	244/328/411	167	344	17	15	32%	10%	109	+2.0	260/336/467	207	319	24	16	25%	10%	125	+3.2	263/338/474	211	310	25	18	23%	9%	129	+3.8
●Gregory Polanco 2014 · AA	22	51→57	46→60	55	47	253/305/388	136	295	13	25	19%	7%	95	+1.0	257/312/400	143	304	14	23	19%	8%	101	+1.4	250/314/453	203	277	24	14	19%	8%	115	+2.1
✕Jordan Lawlar 2023 · AA	21	53→55	48→50	60	44	250/321/400	150	359	16	25	33%	8%	104	+1.6	235/312/377	142	318	13	27	28%	8%	96	+1.0	231/307/395	164	304	17	30	28%	8%	96	+0.6
●Eddie Rosario 2012 · A	20	46→55	54→60	55→50	41	241/281/417	176	291	22	16	26%	5%	93	+0.8	249/287/392	143	310	13	10	23%	5%	89	+0.5	279/311/486	207	297	28	7	17%	4%	123	+2.9

Theo Gillen

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps