Michael Trausch — OGILVIE

Michael Trausch P Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131139vR 147

ERA6.00

FIP6.00

K%20.5%

BB%21.7%

K-BB%-1.2%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	17	2	27	131	39	25	0	12%	1.6	20.2%	23.9%	-3.6%	0.0%	3.00	4.41	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	17	2	27	131	39	25	0	12%	1.6	20.2%	23.9%	-3.6%	0.0%	3.00	4.41	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	17	2	27	131	39	25	0	12%	1.6	29.8%	19.1%	10.7%	0.0%	3.00	2.99	—
2025	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	29	0	41	179	50	29	1	0%	1.4	20.7%	19.1%	1.6%	0.7%	3.05	4.16	—
2025	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	29	0	41	179	50	29	1	0%	1.4	20.7%	19.1%	1.6%	0.7%	3.05	4.16	—
2025	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	29	0	41	179	50	29	1	0%	1.4	27.9%	16.2%	11.7%	0.6%	3.05	3.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	39	0	58	239	79	44	2	0%	1.5	24.5%	21.7%	2.7%	1.1%	2.65	4.38	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	39	0	58	239	79	44	2	0%	1.5	24.5%	21.7%	2.7%	1.1%	2.65	4.38	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	TEX	39	0	58	239	79	44	2	0%	1.5	33.1%	18.4%	14.6%	0.8%	2.65	3.10	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	247	53	45	7	0%	1.0	21.5%	18.4%	3.1%	2.7%	5.62	5.49	-0.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	254	56	41	7	0%	1.1	22.2%	16.2%	6.0%	2.7%	5.30	5.15	-0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	TEX	28	0	29	122	26	22	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	18.4%	3.1%	2.7%	5.62	5.49	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	40	0	42	177	39	29	5	0%	1.1	22.2%	16.2%	6.0%	2.7%	5.30	5.15	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	0	71	299	65	51	8	0%	1.1	21.9%	17.1%	4.8%	2.7%	5.43	4.91	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	144	23	0%	1.1	21.9%	17.1%	4.8%	2.7%	5.43	4.91	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		85	2	126	549	122	117	4	2%	1.5	22.2%	21.4%	0.8%	0.7%	2.86	4.32	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	3	200	871	194	186	6	2%	1.5	22.2%	21.4%	0.8%	0.7%	2.86	4.32	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Trausch (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.00	20.5%	21.7%	2.7%	—	5.32	21.8%	4.6%	119	-0.68	—	—	—
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	88
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	87
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	86
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	85
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	85
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	84
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	83
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	83
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	83
Ramon Perez L 2021 · 4.98 FIP	22	SU	4.98	19.9%	17.9%	2.4%	.290	3.08	28.9%	14.2%	31	-1.90	3.08	199	82
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	82
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	81
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	80
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	80
Armando Vasquez L 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	21.5%	18.0%	2.9%	.312	6.10	20.8%	2.7%	36	+0.95	4.22	131	80
Gerardo Concepción L 2015 · 5.40 FIP	23	SU	5.40	14.0%	18.5%	2.1%	.352	4.53	16.9%	6.5%	60	-0.87	4.53	104	80
Alex Katz L 2017 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	14.4%	18.0%	1.7%	.314	4.48	16.3%	1.2%	56	-0.63	2.69	240	79
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	79
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	79
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	21.5%	18.5%	1.05	5.61
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99