Michael Trausch
P
Hickory Crawdads
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127136vR 145
ERA5.63
FIP5.63
K%20.5%
BB%18.8%
K-BB%1.7%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 17 | 2 | 27 | 131 | 39 | 25 | 0 | 12% | 1.6 | 20.2% | 23.9% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 4.41 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 17 | 2 | 27 | 131 | 39 | 25 | 0 | 12% | 1.6 | 29.8% | 19.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 2.99 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 29 | 0 | 41 | 179 | 50 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.7% | 19.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 3.05 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 29 | 0 | 41 | 179 | 50 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.9% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 0.6% | 3.05 | 3.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 25 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 55 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.8% | 19.4% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 2.63 | 3.84 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TEX | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 18.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.63 | 5.63 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 18.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.63 | 5.63 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 82 | 346 | 94 | 61 | 6 | — | — | 27.0% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 4.26 | 4.81 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 42 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 16.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.33 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 45 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 46 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.88 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 16.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.33 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 31 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.88 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 0 | 95 | 401 | 89 | 58 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 5.05 | 4.56 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 122 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 5.05 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 71 | 2 | 106 | 468 | 104 | 96 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.3% | 20.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 2.89 | 4.12 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 134 | 4 | 200 | 883 | 197 | 181 | 5 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.3% | 20.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 2.89 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Trausch (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.63 | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.97 | 22.1% | 7.4% | 142 | -0.66 | — | — | — |
| Jeff Belge L 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.03 | 24.0% | 18.8% | 2.9% | .343 | 3.76 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 131 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 175 | 87 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 86 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 21.9% | 18.5% | 1.6% | .361 | 4.59 | 24.8% | 6.0% | 99 | +0.14 | 3.16 | 146 | 86 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .329 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 109 | -0.74 | 4.06 | 135 | 85 |
| Gil Luna L 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 1.9% | .303 | 5.05 | 19.7% | -6.0% | 73 | -0.31 | 4.57 | 113 | 85 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.78 | 22.5% | 21.0% | 3.5% | .206 | 4.70 | 19.1% | -0.1% | 90 | -1.08 | 4.28 | 136 | 85 |
| Brendan Nail L 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 84 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 84 |
| Dillon Larsen L 2028 · 6.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.31 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.57 | 18.0% | -4.1% | 91 | -1.74 | 4.04 | 120 | 84 |
| Angel Hernandez L 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.64 | 23.4% | 21.0% | 3.4% | .262 | 4.42 | 21.2% | 1.6% | 123 | -1.22 | 3.33 | 182 | 84 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .248 | 6.50 | 13.1% | -1.8% | 52 | +1.87 | 4.63 | 101 | 84 |
| Triston Polley L 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 20.0% | 2.4% | .361 | 4.78 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 136 | -0.27 | 4.19 | 151 | 83 |
| Ramon Perez L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.13 | 19.9% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.13 | 28.9% | 14.2% | 31 | -2.00 | 3.13 | 199 | 83 |
| Kai Peterson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.75 | 20.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .250 | 5.11 | 22.1% | 3.3% | 19 | +0.36 | 3.60 | 111 | 82 |
| Felix Polanco L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.04 | 18.7% | 19.9% | 1.8% | .290 | 3.64 | 18.8% | 12.8% | 27 | -1.40 | 3.64 | 105 | 82 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.81 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .304 | 5.26 | 17.3% | 0.4% | 52 | +0.45 | 4.81 | 108 | 82 |
| Armando Vasquez L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.15 | 21.5% | 18.0% | 2.9% | .312 | 6.51 | 20.8% | 2.7% | 36 | +1.36 | 4.25 | 131 | 81 |
| Kyle Dohy L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.60 | 25.4% | 19.7% | 2.1% | .361 | 3.17 | 28.3% | 14.8% | 54 | -1.43 | 2.56 | 167 | 81 |
| Bryan King L 2028 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.31 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 2.6% | .317 | 2.89 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 77 | -2.42 | 2.49 | 226 | 80 |
| Christian Chamberlain L 2027 · 6.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.50 | 23.4% | 21.7% | 4.8% | .330 | 4.26 | 24.3% | 4.8% | 99 | -2.24 | 3.91 | 148 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 21.7% | 15.7% | 1.05 | 5.22 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |