Alexander Fuentes

P ACL Giants

Age 22 RHP 6'6" / 261 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	12	11	41	4.39	2.61	17.9%	6.0%	—	K 12.2% · BB 7.5% · FIP 3.40
2025	20	ROKSF	12	5	34	2.62	2.31	25.2%	11.0%	—	K 17.1% · BB 13.7% · FIP 3.39
2026	21	MIX2 levels	8	5	21	4.35	4.84	32.7%	16.3%	—	K 24.5% · BB 20.3% · FIP 6.29
2027PROJ	22	MLBSF	9	9	45	5.30	5.30	21.6%	16.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSF	4	4	23	4.94	4.84	22.5%	14.1%	-0.0
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBSF	6	6	33	4.73	4.62	23.2%	12.8%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control40Command40FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsWilian Bormie (age 22) · Zach Linginfelter (age 24) · Jake Lyons (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%21.6%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CTRL—40

CMD3040

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	11	41	184	33	11	1	92%	3.4	12.2%	7.5%	4.7%	0.7%	4.39	3.40	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	11	41	184	33	11	1	92%	3.4	12.2%	7.5%	4.7%	0.7%	4.39	3.40	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	12	11	41	184	33	11	1	92%	3.4	17.9%	6.0%	12.0%	0.5%	4.39	2.61	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	12	5	34	155	39	17	0	42%	2.9	17.1%	13.7%	3.4%	0.0%	2.62	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	12	5	34	155	39	17	0	42%	2.9	17.1%	13.7%	3.4%	0.0%	2.62	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	12	5	34	155	39	17	0	42%	2.9	25.2%	11.0%	14.2%	0.0%	2.62	2.31	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	5	21	98	32	16	4	62%	2.6	24.5%	20.3%	4.2%	4.9%	4.35	6.29	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	5	21	98	32	16	4	62%	2.6	24.5%	20.3%	4.2%	4.9%	4.35	6.29	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	5	21	98	32	16	4	62%	2.6	32.7%	16.3%	16.3%	4.1%	4.35	4.84	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SF	9	9	45	190	41	30	6	100%	5.0	21.6%	16.0%	5.6%	3.0%	5.30	5.30	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	9	9	46	195	44	27	6	100%	5.1	22.5%	14.1%	8.5%	2.9%	5.06	4.96	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	48	201	46	26	6	100%	5.9	23.2%	12.8%	10.4%	2.9%	4.85	4.74	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	48	203	48	24	6	100%	6.0	23.5%	12.0%	11.5%	2.9%	4.69	4.60	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	48	203	48	24	6	100%	6.0	23.7%	11.9%	11.8%	2.9%	4.62	4.57	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	47	200	47	24	6	100%	5.9	23.7%	12.0%	11.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.61	+0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	4	4	23	97	22	14	3	100%	5.8	22.5%	14.1%	8.5%	2.7%	4.94	4.84	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	SF	6	6	33	139	32	18	4	100%	5.5	23.2%	12.8%	10.4%	2.7%	4.73	4.62	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	39	165	39	20	4	100%	5.6	23.5%	12.0%	11.5%	2.7%	4.57	4.48	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	42	177	42	21	5	100%	6.0	23.7%	11.9%	11.8%	2.7%	4.50	4.45	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	43	182	43	22	5	100%	6.1	23.7%	12.0%	11.8%	2.7%	4.49	4.49	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	31	180	759	178	94	20	100%	5.8	23.4%	12.4%	11.0%	2.7%	4.61	4.17	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	198	105	22	100%	5.8	23.4%	12.4%	11.0%	2.7%	4.61	4.17	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		32	21	96	437	73	55	6	66%	3.0	16.7%	12.6%	4.1%	1.4%	3.75	4.04	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	44	200	910	152	114	13	66%	3.0	16.7%	12.6%	4.1%	1.4%	3.75	4.04	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Fuentes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	21.6%	16.0%	3.0%	—	4.76	23.1%	10.1%	142	-0.54	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	86
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	85
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	85
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	84
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	83
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	83
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	81
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	81
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.4%	8.5%	211	-0.23	3.28	265	81
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	81
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	80
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.48	352	80
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	80
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	79
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.6%	11.6%	249	-0.34	4.54	318	79
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	79
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	79
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	47	23.1%	13.1%	1.13	4.85
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35