Alexander Fuentes

Alexander Fuentes P ACL Giants

Age 21 RHP 6'6" / 261 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%19.4%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	11	41	184	33	11	1	92%	3.4	12.2%	7.5%	4.7%	0.7%	4.39	3.40	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	11	41	184	33	11	1	92%	3.4	12.2%	7.5%	4.7%	0.7%	4.39	3.40	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	12	11	41	184	33	11	1	92%	3.4	17.9%	6.0%	12.0%	0.5%	4.39	2.61	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	12	5	34	155	39	17	0	42%	2.9	17.1%	13.7%	3.4%	0.0%	2.62	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	12	5	34	155	39	17	0	42%	2.9	17.1%	13.7%	3.4%	0.0%	2.62	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	12	5	34	155	39	17	0	42%	2.9	25.2%	11.0%	14.2%	0.0%	2.62	2.31	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	San Jose Giants	8	5	21	98	32	16	4	62%	2.6	24.5%	20.3%	4.2%	4.9%	4.35	6.29	—
YTD	21	A MLE	San Jose Giants	8	5	21	98	32	16	4	62%	2.6	24.5%	20.3%	4.2%	4.9%	4.35	6.29	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	SF	7	5	18	86	31	14	3	71%	2.6	36.0%	16.3%	19.8%	3.5%	4.00	4.03	—
2026	21	A RAW	SF	1	0	3	12	1	2	1	0%	2.7	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	8.3%	6.75	9.08	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SF	8	8	39	163	34	16	5	100%	4.8	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	2.8%	4.60	4.51	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	SF	4	4	19	80	17	8	2	100%	4.8	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	2.8%	4.60	4.51	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	80	17	8	2	100%	4.8	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	2.8%	4.60	4.13	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	179	84	21	100%	5.1	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	2.8%	4.60	4.13	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		32	21	96	437	73	55	6	66%	3.0	16.7%	12.6%	4.1%	1.4%	3.75	4.04	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	44	200	910	152	114	13	66%	3.0	16.7%	12.6%	4.1%	1.4%	3.75	4.04	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Fuentes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	19.4%	11.0%	2.8%	—	4.51	20.9%	10.9%	39	-0.28	—	—	—
Florencio Serrano R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	21	SP-	3.84	19.3%	8.5%	2.4%	.264	4.80	14.1%	3.4%	117	+0.96	3.84	206	85
Jonathan Petit R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.3%	9.1%	3.2%	.272	5.11	15.6%	2.4%	113	+0.47	2.70	189	85
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	84
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	83
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	83
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	83
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	82
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	81
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	81
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	81
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	81
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	81
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	81
Jose Gonzalez R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	21	SP-	4.11	16.0%	10.4%	1.9%	.318	3.51	21.0%	14.0%	293	-0.60	2.47	369	81
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	81
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	81
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	81
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	80
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	80
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.3%	10.4%	1.08	4.67
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21