Justin BarryOF
FCL Red Sox
Age 19
R/R
5'11" / 159 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.2 · 2033
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .271 / .324
PA81
HR2
K%31
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
41↗46
SPD
53↗58
EYE
42↗47
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.2peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.0 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.2 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.2 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.1 | $22M | +$18M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.8 | $19M | +$13M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $8M | +1.6 | $18M | +$10M |
| Totals | $21M | $122M | +$101M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 161 | 143 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .140 | .217 | .238 | .454 | .098 | .202 | 35 | 6 | .200 | 11 | -16 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 91 | 85 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .129 | .178 | .271 | .448 | .141 | .229 | 53 | 4 | .188 | 2 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 81 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .216 | .284 | .365 | .649 | .149 | .280 | 31 | 7 | .271 | 65 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | BOS | 171 | 152 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .224 | .302 | .375 | .677 | .151 | .288 | 30 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | BOS | 310 | 274 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 87 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .226 | .309 | .380 | .689 | .153 | .289 | 28 | 9 | .306 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | BOS | 412 | 364 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 112 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .225 | .311 | .382 | .692 | .157 | .290 | 27 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | BOS | 480 | 423 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 128 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .232 | .319 | .400 | .718 | .168 | .290 | 27 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | BOS | 525 | 459 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 54 | 138 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .235 | .325 | .407 | .732 | .172 | .291 | 26 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 552 | 482 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 19 | 58 | 144 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .234 | .325 | .407 | .732 | .172 | .291 | 26 | 11 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 566 | 493 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 61 | 148 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .235 | .328 | .410 | .738 | .174 | .292 | 26 | 11 | .330 | 111 | +7 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.2 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 571 | 497 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 62 | 150 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .233 | .327 | .406 | .733 | .173 | .292 | 26 | 11 | .330 | 111 | +7 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 569 | 495 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 62 | 150 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .234 | .328 | .408 | .736 | .174 | .292 | 26 | 11 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 561 | 488 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 20 | 61 | 150 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .232 | .326 | .406 | .731 | .174 | .291 | 27 | 11 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 1.8 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 552 | 479 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 61 | 149 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .232 | .327 | .403 | .730 | .171 | .289 | 27 | 11 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 1.6 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 538 | 467 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 18 | 59 | 148 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .227 | .323 | .394 | .717 | .167 | .288 | 28 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 520 | 452 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 57 | 145 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .226 | .320 | .389 | .710 | .164 | .286 | 28 | 11 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 491 | 429 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 53 | 141 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .217 | .311 | .368 | .680 | .152 | .284 | 29 | 11 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 444 | 388 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 131 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .214 | .308 | .361 | .669 | .147 | .283 | 30 | 11 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 390 | 341 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 119 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .211 | .305 | .355 | .660 | .144 | .280 | 31 | 11 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +2 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 330 | 288 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 104 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .205 | .300 | .344 | .643 | .139 | .277 | 32 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8315 | 7273 | 1631 | 281 | 46 | 269 | 865 | 2324 | 104 | 194 | 20 | .224 | .315 | .386 | .702 | .162 | .288 | 28 | 10 | .314 | 98 | -16 | +31 | -31 | -50 | +236 | 17.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 128 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 68 | 182 | 8 | 15 | 2 | .225 | .317 | .388 | .705 | .163 | .289 | 28 | 10 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 161 | 135 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .207 | .318 | .356 | .674 | .148 | .253 | 23 | 11 | .301 | 88 | -2 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 91 | 82 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .220 | .289 | .402 | .691 | .183 | .306 | 34 | 8 | .305 | 91 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Justin Barry (OGILVIE) | 19 | 20→25 | 41→46 | 53→58 | 47 | .201/.271/.324 | .123 | .280 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 8% | 65 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A |
19 | 39→41 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .191/.270/.293 | .102 | .283 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .199/.283/.318 | .119 | .317 | 11 | 15 | 37% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A |
19 | 41→34 | 42→60 | 47→50 | 44 | .203/.269/.309 | .106 | .273 | 10 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .209/.266/.356 | .147 | .291 | 17 | 11 | 33% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .209/.277/.424 | .216 | .279 | 30 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A |
19 | 43 | 46→50 | 51→55 | 47 | .214/.294/.340 | .125 | .274 | 14 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.281/.362 | .142 | .292 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.253/.387 | .182 | .264 | 22 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A |
19 | 40→44 | 41→55 | 48→50 | 50 | .198/.276/.300 | .102 | .259 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .193/.268/.290 | .097 | .299 | 8 | 7 | 35% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .213/.322/.409 | .196 | .275 | 24 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A |
19 | 40 | 43→55 | 47→55 | 38 | .201/.250/.313 | .113 | .265 | 10 | 10 | 28% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .214/.278/.346 | .132 | .291 | 14 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .221/.297/.387 | .166 | .294 | 19 | 20 | 30% | 8% | 97 | +0.7 |
|
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A |
19 | 42→35 | 47→60 | 53→40 | 42 | .213/.270/.351 | .139 | .273 | 14 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.270/.403 | .199 | .260 | 27 | 4 | 33% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .189/.259/.396 | .207 | .229 | 30 | 3 | 33% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A |
19 | 45 | 41→55 | 55 | 43 | .216/.285/.315 | .099 | .290 | 7 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.313/.323 | .119 | .295 | 10 | 23 | 31% | 12% | 83 | +0.6 | .202/.308/.336 | .135 | .284 | 11 | 26 | 30% | 12% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
●Jo Adell 2018 · A |
19 | 46→44 | 42→65 | 54→50 | 36 | .223/.265/.336 | .114 | .318 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .223/.273/.380 | .157 | .319 | 17 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .218/.285/.446 | .228 | .252 | 34 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
●Christopher Morel 2018 · A |
19 | 38→46 | 42→60 | 50 | 48 | .191/.261/.293 | .102 | .228 | 11 | 17 | 22% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .202/.253/.303 | .101 | .268 | 9 | 11 | 27% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .224/.302/.431 | .208 | .280 | 28 | 10 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 |
|
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A |
19 | 49→37 | 40→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .229/.303/.328 | .098 | .328 | 7 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .197/.323/.323 | .126 | .275 | 12 | 20 | 30% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .179/.324/.312 | .133 | .244 | 14 | 22 | 29% | 12% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A |
19 | 42 | 45→55 | 45→40 | 43 | .206/.283/.328 | .122 | .292 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .197/.275/.334 | .137 | .303 | 16 | 4 | 38% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .194/.284/.363 | .169 | .278 | 23 | 2 | 37% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jhailyn Ortiz 2018 · A |
19 | 40→35 | 45→50 | 50→45 | 37 | .198/.261/.317 | .119 | .303 | 13 | 9 | 37% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .170/.226/.286 | .116 | .286 | 14 | 3 | 44% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .184/.253/.325 | .140 | .284 | 19 | 5 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.0 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A |
19 | 46→36 | 40→45 | 50 | 43 | .220/.300/.314 | .095 | .296 | 7 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .204/.282/.283 | .079 | .308 | 6 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A |
20 | 38→36 | 49→50 | 53→50 | 42 | .198/.271/.352 | .155 | .274 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .199/.257/.341 | .142 | .284 | 16 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .197/.258/.362 | .165 | .284 | 22 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A |
19 | 43→42 | 45→40 | 53→65 | 45 | .213/.281/.336 | .123 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.288/.298 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .165/.260/.259 | .093 | .238 | 9 | 30 | 32% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A |
19 | 39 | 38→55 | 47→45 | 39 | .185/.251/.256 | .071 | .289 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .226/.287/.352 | .126 | .291 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.309/.417 | .169 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 103 | +0.7 |
|
✕George Feliz 2022 · A |
19 | 43 | 43→50 | 54→40 | 40 | .209/.266/.321 | .111 | .302 | 11 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .175/.236/.268 | .093 | .312 | 9 | 13 | 43% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .168/.232/.286 | .119 | .279 | 15 | 9 | 43% | 6% | 36 | -1.0 |
|
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A |
20 | 40 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 41 | .203/.270/.328 | .125 | .273 | 12 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.271/.357 | .145 | .264 | 19 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .206/.264/.348 | .141 | .251 | 20 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 65 | -0.5 |