Justin Barry — OGILVIE

Justin BarryOF Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 159 lbs A H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 44 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .250 / .275

PA44

HR1

K%32

BB%7

BABIP240

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	143	20	4	2	2	10	57	4	8	0	140	217	238	454	98	205	35	6	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	135	28	7	2	3	18	37	4	8	0	207	318	356	674	148	253	23	11	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	91	85	11	3	0	3	4	48	1	7	0	129	178	271	448	141	229	53	4	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	91	82	18	6	0	3	7	31	1	7	0	220	289	402	691	183	306	34	8	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	BOS	—	53	44	7	1	0	0	8	21	1	7	3	159	302	182	484	23	304	40	15	230	34	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
YTD	19	A	BOS	—	53	40	8	1	0	0	12	15	1	7	3	200	396	225	621	25	320	28	23	316	100	-0	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.1
ROS	19	A	BOS	0%	44	40	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	2	0	175	250	275	525	100	267	32	7	250	50	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	245	46	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	A	BOS	—	53	45	7	1	0	0	8	21	1	7	3	156	302	178	480	22	292	40	15	230	34	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
TOT	19	A	BOS	—	97	84	14	2	0	1	11	35	2	9	3	167	278	226	505	60	271	36	11	239	41	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	205	184	36	6	1	4	16	62	3	6	1	196	271	304	575	109	271	30	8	262	59	-9	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	70	63	12	2	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	190	271	270	541	79	277	30	9	257	55	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	70	64	12	2	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	188	271	266	537	78	262	30	9	257	55	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	112	19	0	9	56	195	9	19	0	189	272	266	538	77	264	30	9	257	55	-33	+4	+0	-4	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	501	452	74	14	3	10	33	181	9	23	1	164	235	274	509	111	240	36	7	227	32	-39	+4	+0	-3	+14	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	96	18	4	13	43	235	12	30	1	164	236	275	510	111	240	36	7	227	32	-50	+6	+0	-4	+18	-3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	135	28	7	2	3	18	37	4	8	0	207	318	356	674	148	253	23	11	301	88	-2	+2	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	91	82	18	6	0	3	7	31	1	7	0	220	289	402	691	183	306	34	8	305	91	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Barry (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	39→44	56→61	52	167/278/226	60	271	1	9	36%	11%	41	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	45→40	53→45	44	200/265/322	122	263	12	14	28%	7%	61	-1.0	204/268/306	102	270	9	10	27%	7%	58	-1.2	186/255/279	93	257	8	7	29%	7%	44	-0.7
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→31	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	57	-1.2	189/259/288	99	290	9	12	35%	8%	50	-1.7	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	29	-3.2	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	51	-1.7	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	39	-2.5	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	46	-2.0	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Sergio Garcia 2010 · A	19	40	39→45	52→60	40	195/248/284	89	274	6	20	30%	6%	43	-2.2	193/245/291	98	271	10	23	31%	6%	44	-2.1	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	33	-2.9	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	70	-0.3	221/275/340	119	279	13	9	25%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Miguel Bleis 2023 · A	19	39→30	43→45	55	35	194/241/305	111	282	10	17	34%	5%	46	-2.0	180/232/276	96	269	9	23	35%	5%	35	-2.8	159/215/248	89	231	10	28	35%	6%	19	-2.2
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Angel Molina 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	50→55	40	183/236/266	82	230	7	15	24%	4%	34	-2.8	195/240/284	89	253	7	8	25%	4%	40	-2.4	176/207/266	90	220	8	0	24%	2%	20	-1.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	44	-2.1	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	58	-1.2	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3