Justin Barry
OF Salem RidgeYaks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Red Sox R… | 161 | .207/.318/.356 | 3 | 8 | 12 | — | .128/.217/.213 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKBOS | 91 | .220/.289/.402 | 3 | 7 | 13 | — | .129/.178/.235 |
| 2026 | 19 | ABOS | 80 | .206/.375/.317 | 1 | 11 | 52 | — | .162/.288/.250 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBBOS | 190 | .205/.273/.308 | 3 | 4 | 65 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBBOS | 42 | .216/.284/.332 | 1 | 1 | 70 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 161 | 135 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 207 | 318 | 356 | 674 | 148 | 253 | 23 | 11 | 301 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | — | 91 | 82 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 220 | 289 | 402 | 691 | 183 | 306 | 34 | 8 | 305 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 206 | 375 | 317 | 692 | 111 | 324 | 31 | 20 | 329 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 161 | 141 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 128 | 217 | 213 | 429 | 85 | 152 | 29 | 7 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 91 | 85 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 129 | 178 | 235 | 413 | 106 | 226 | 51 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 162 | 287 | 250 | 537 | 88 | 296 | 42 | 14 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 161 | 141 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 128 | 217 | 213 | 429 | 85 | 167 | 29 | 7 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 161 | 135 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 207 | 318 | 356 | 674 | 148 | 253 | 23 | 11 | 301 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 91 | 85 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 129 | 178 | 235 | 413 | 106 | 237 | 51 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Red Sox | — | 91 | 82 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 220 | 289 | 402 | 691 | 183 | 306 | 34 | 8 | 305 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 162 | 287 | 250 | 537 | 88 | 303 | 42 | 14 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 206 | 375 | 317 | 692 | 111 | 324 | 31 | 20 | 329 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 161 | 144 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 125 | 217 | 208 | 425 | 83 | 152 | 29 | 7 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 91 | 86 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 128 | 178 | 233 | 410 | 105 | 226 | 51 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 162 | 287 | 250 | 537 | 88 | 296 | 42 | 14 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 161 | 144 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 125 | 217 | 208 | 425 | 83 | 152 | 29 | 7 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 91 | 86 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 128 | 178 | 233 | 410 | 105 | 226 | 51 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 162 | 287 | 250 | 537 | 88 | 296 | 42 | 14 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | BOS | 0% | 190 | 172 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 205 | 273 | 308 | 581 | 104 | 285 | 30 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | BOS | 34% | 122 | 111 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 279 | 324 | 603 | 114 | 287 | 30 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | BOS | 34% | 42 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 284 | 332 | 616 | 116 | 296 | 29 | 7 | 278 | 70 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 359 | 645 | 128 | 308 | 29 | 7 | 278 | 38 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 139 | 31 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 186 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 230 | 285 | 356 | 641 | 126 | 308 | 29 | 7 | 278 | 38 | -23 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 509 | 455 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 180 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 160 | 241 | 257 | 498 | 97 | 238 | 35 | 8 | 225 | 38 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 51 | 230 | 10 | 38 | 5 | 160 | 240 | 256 | 496 | 96 | 238 | 35 | 8 | 225 | 38 | -24 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 80 PAwOBA .322 → .245 (−77)K% 31.2% → 42.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 14.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 19.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 9.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.17% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .322 → .245; ISO .111 → .083; BABIP .324 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 91 PAwOBA .299 → .187 (−112)K% 34.1% → 50.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.07% | ÷0.965 | ×1.440 | — | — | 50.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.988 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 14.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.101 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 7.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.815 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 5.67% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .299 → .187; ISO .183 → .120; BABIP .306 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 161 PAwOBA .301 → .186 (−115)K% 23.0% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.98% | ÷0.965 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.18% | ÷1.044 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.48% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 10.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.124 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.953 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.52% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 80, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .301 → .186; ISO .148 → .080; BABIP .253 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).