Justin Barry — OGILVIE

Justin BarryOF Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 159 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION80 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%38

BB%12

BABIP274

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	135	28	7	2	3	18	37	4	8	0	207	318	356	674	148	253	23	11	301	90	-2	+2	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	91	82	18	6	0	3	7	31	1	7	0	220	289	402	691	183	306	34	8	305	92	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	142	19	4	1	2	11	55	4	8	0	134	217	218	435	85	183	34	7	202	23	-15	+2	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	85	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	129	178	235	413	106	225	51	4	186	12	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	142	19	4	1	2	11	55	4	8	0	134	217	218	435	85	191	34	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	135	28	7	2	3	18	37	4	8	0	207	318	356	674	148	253	23	11	301	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	85	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	129	178	235	413	106	237	51	4	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	91	82	18	6	0	3	7	31	1	7	0	220	289	402	691	183	306	34	8	305	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	145	19	4	1	2	11	55	4	8	0	131	217	214	430	83	183	34	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	86	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	128	178	233	410	105	225	51	4	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	145	19	4	1	2	11	55	4	8	0	131	217	214	430	83	183	34	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	86	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	128	178	233	410	105	225	51	4	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	BOS	—	80	69	11	3	0	1	10	36	1	11	3	159	275	246	521	87	312	45	12	233	44	-5	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	BOS	—	80	63	13	4	0	1	16	25	1	11	3	206	375	317	692	111	324	31	20	329	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	BOS	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		269	38	12	252	57	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	BOS	—	88	76	12	3	0	1	11	39	1	11	3	158	273	237	510	79	306	44	12	235	45	-6	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	205	184	36	7	1	4	17	64	2	6	1	196	271	310	581	114	271	31	8	263	64	-9	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2027	20	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	70	63	12	3	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	190	271	286	557	95	277	31	9	257	64	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	63	12	3	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	190	271	286	557	95	275	31	9	257	40	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	111	28	0	9	56	204	9	19	0	190	271	284	555	94	274	31	9	257	40	-28	+4	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	465	418	67	14	2	8	33	168	7	21	1	160	234	261	494	100	238	36	7	227	40	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	94	20	3	11	46	235	10	29	1	161	234	262	496	101	240	36	7	227	40	-28	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Barry (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	39→44	58→63	53	186/260/286	101	269	2	4	32%	8%	57	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	62	-1.4	194/241/346	152	272	18	8	35%	5%	63	-1.4	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Miguel Bleis 2023 · A	19	39→31	43→45	55	36	196/243/309	114	285	10	17	34%	5%	54	-2.0	184/236/283	99	270	10	23	34%	5%	45	-2.7	166/221/262	96	232	11	28	33%	6%	33	-2.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	42→40	53→45	45	194/262/300	106	257	10	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	201/266/295	94	268	8	10	26%	7%	60	-1.6	184/255/271	87	254	7	7	29%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	42	43→50	54→45	40	207/264/320	113	297	11	10	33%	7%	64	-1.3	172/234/263	91	308	8	13	44%	6%	40	-3.0	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Michael Crouse 2010 · A	19	37→39	38→50	56→55	39	179/240/260	81	282	4	21	36%	7%	42	-2.9	188/253/309	121	310	11	20	40%	7%	58	-1.7	195/263/321	126	297	12	19	36%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Cole Roederer 2019 · A	19	41→32	43→45	53→50	41	205/260/318	113	293	11	15	33%	7%	62	-1.4	190/260/289	99	288	8	12	34%	8%	56	-1.9	187/254/298	112	272	13	12	34%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	58	-1.7	205/275/321	116	272	10	18	27%	7%	70	-0.9	198/272/329	132	263	13	19	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Franklin Paz 2011 · A	20	42	40→50	53→50	44	204/270/305	101	280	7	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	209/265/324	115	278	11	11	28%	6%	66	-1.1	193/244/323	130	242	15	12	27%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/244/260	78	273	5	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	186/240/278	92	291	8	9	37%	6%	46	-2.6	178/231/275	98	279	10	10	38%	6%	40	-1.2
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Sergio Garcia 2010 · A	19	40	39→45	52→60	40	195/248/284	89	274	6	20	30%	6%	50	-2.3	189/240/278	89	271	9	23	32%	6%	46	-2.6	222/247/328	107	293	10	17	28%	3%	57	-0.8
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9