Owen Hall
P
FCL Tigers
Age 20
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 105
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
K%22.5%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 4 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.00 | 5.48 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 4 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.00 | 5.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 11 | 9 | 36 | 166 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 82% | 3.2 | 14.7% | 15.8% | -1.1% | 5.9% | 6.56 | 7.10 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 32 | 133 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | DET | — | — | 67 | 299 | 66 | 35 | 11 | — | — | 22.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.65 | 5.94 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 33 | 140 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 35 | 147 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 36 | 152 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.6% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.1% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 2.8% | 4.13 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 40 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 4.00 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 41 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 40 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.7% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 4.01 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.6% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 3.0% | 4.06 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | DET | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 25 | 106 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.6% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 4.16 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 25.1% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 3.98 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.93 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 2.7% | 3.93 | 3.90 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.7% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 3.94 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.6% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 43 | 43 | 243 | 1028 | 258 | 94 | 28 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 3.65 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 212 | 77 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 3.65 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 13 | 45 | 205 | 33 | 35 | 11 | 87% | 3.0 | 16.3% | 17.2% | -0.9% | 5.3% | 6.65 | 6.79 | -1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 58 | 200 | 918 | 150 | 158 | 48 | 87% | 3.0 | 16.3% | 17.2% | -0.9% | 5.3% | 6.65 | 6.79 | -3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Owen Hall (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.29 | 23.9% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 89 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 85 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 85 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 82 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 81 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.60 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.16 | 12.0% | 1.0% | 65 | +0.56 | 4.13 | 153 | 81 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 81 |
| Nate Dohm R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 80 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.83 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .238 | 4.84 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.83 | 358 | 80 |
| Kamdyn Perry R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.18 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 3.7% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.18 | 123 | 80 |
| Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 80 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 79 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 79 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2029 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 79 |
| Jared Karros R 2028 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 79 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 79 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 79 |
| Levi Wells R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.32 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .360 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 132 | -0.47 | 3.70 | 192 | 79 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 79 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 36 | 24.7% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Trevor May ('23) | 8 | 51 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 1.18 | 3.83 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |