Josh Trentadue P Frisco RoughRiders
Age 24 LHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104114vR 123
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%22.8%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
K: +1.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -4.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -4.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +15.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+16STAMTotal WAR: +0.87 (115 IP)+0.9WAR
0.10.20.20.2262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF5055
CTRL45
CMD3545
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202321ROKACL Rangers303138200%1.161.5%15.4%46.2%0.0%0.00-0.15
202321ROKACL Rangers303138200%1.161.5%15.4%46.2%0.0%0.000.10
202422ADown East Wood Ducks248713219229233%2.921.2%10.7%10.5%0.8%4.463.10
202422ADown East Wood Ducks248713219229233%2.928.7%9.0%19.6%0.6%4.462.10
202523MIX2 levels2216773189434573%3.523.1%12.0%11.0%1.7%2.343.63
202523MIX2 levels2216773189434573%3.529.6%10.7%18.9%1.6%2.342.83
▸ 2026 Season
202624AAFrisco RoughRiders219482155724743%2.321.5%12.3%9.2%3.9%6.564.99-0.2
ROS24MLBTEX64067284653570%1.122.8%12.4%10.3%2.6%4.584.58+0.1
ROS24MLBTEX10141100%1.022.8%12.4%10.3%2.6%4.584.58-0.0
2026 TOT24MLBTEX115499122591424.4%11.9%12.5%2.9%5.414.75+0.9
2026 FULL24MLBTEX1611022.8%12.4%10.4%2.6%4.584.19+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBTEX65068287673380%1.023.2%11.5%11.8%2.7%4.484.43+0.2
202826MLBTEX65068287673280%1.023.4%11.3%12.2%2.7%4.434.40+0.3
202927MLBTEX64067283663280%1.023.4%11.2%12.2%2.7%4.434.43+0.2
202725MLBTEX29030127291530%1.023.2%11.5%11.8%2.7%4.484.43+0.0
202826MLBTEX43045190452150%1.023.4%11.3%12.2%2.7%4.434.40+0.1
202927MLBTEX50052220512560%1.023.4%11.2%12.2%2.7%4.434.43+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career123012954312761150%1.023.4%11.3%12.1%2.7%4.444.04+2.0
/ 200 IP190020084419795230%1.123.4%11.3%12.1%2.7%4.444.04+3.2
Career70331998671961011647%2.822.6%11.6%10.9%1.9%4.073.71+3.9
/ 200 IP70332008711971011747%2.822.6%11.6%10.9%1.9%4.073.71+3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Josh Trentadue (OGILVIE) 4.58 22.8%12.4%2.6% 4.42 23.4%12.1%203 -0.16
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP 24 SW 4.64 22.0%14.9%2.8%.289 2.98 26.6%12.9%99 -1.66 2.15 175 89
Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP 24 SW 4.66 21.4%10.8%3.6%.263 4.29 21.0%9.5%219 -0.37 2.34 338 88
Ismael Guillón L 2026 · 4.28 FIP 24 SW 4.28 24.9%12.5%3.1%.206 4.45 20.1%6.0%100 +0.17 4.28 193 83
Angel Perdomo L 2026 · 3.47 FIP 24 SW 3.47 22.6%11.8%1.4%.315 4.10 32.7%17.7%100 +0.63 2.79 540 82
Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP 24 SP- 4.84 20.5%10.5%3.9%.315 4.77 18.0%7.5%56 -0.07 4.77 154 82
Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 24 SP- 3.89 23.3%11.3%2.4%.286 4.89 18.1%2.5%99 +1.00 3.89 176 80
Tommy Vail L 2027 · 3.91 FIP 25 SW 3.91 27.5%15.3%2.2%.237 5.18 19.7%3.3%81 +1.27 3.91 151 80
Nick Sando L 2026 · 4.09 FIP 24 SW 4.09 20.6%12.7%2.0%.251 2.81 26.7%11.2%21 -1.28 2.81 174 79
Nick Maronde L 2027 · 3.67 FIP 25 SW 3.67 18.3%8.9%1.8%.359 3.64 16.3%8.9%48 -0.03 3.64 133 78
Nate Peterson L 2026 · 5.14 FIP 24 SP- 5.14 19.2%11.4%4.0%.296 3.95 15.5%4.2%121 -1.19 3.67 288 76
Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP 24 SW 5.23 17.4%9.4%4.4%.318 3.54 17.5%8.1%62 -1.69 3.54 186 76
Larson Kindreich L 2026 · 5.39 FIP 24 SW 5.39 21.5%18.8%3.1%.269 4.71 23.0%9.0%79 -0.68 4.15 214 75
Liam Sullivan L 2026 · 5.49 FIP 24 SP- 5.49 20.1%15.8%3.8%.289 4.38 121 75
Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP 24 SW 4.74 17.7%12.8%2.7%.338 4.62 12.7%2.7%41 -0.12 4.27 156 74
Jason Blanchard L 2027 · 4.24 FIP 25 SP- 4.24 24.8%14.2%2.6%.382 4.08 21.7%10.6%156 -0.16 2.44 171 74
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP 22 SW 3.74 24.2%10.4%2.5%.287 3.74 143 74
Brady Basso L 2025 · 3.99 FIP 23 SP- 3.99 21.8%8.7%3.0%.333 4.17 22.1%15.5%179 +0.18 2.24 269 74
Carson Palmquist L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 24 SW 4.62 21.4%13.5%2.9%.292 4.42 16.2%1.5%61 -0.20 4.28 383 74
Matt Stalcup L 2027 · 3.43 FIP 25 SW 3.43 16.2%9.7%0.8%.266 6.06 11.5%-1.2%56 +2.63 3.43 145 74
Zack Thompson L 2026 · 3.72 FIP 24 SW 3.72 23.6%9.9%2.5%.243 4.67 23.7%9.6%208 +0.95 2.03 402 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46823.2%11.6%1.044.48
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41