Josh Trentadue — OGILVIE

Josh Trentadue P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 24 LHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%22.8%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL—45

CMD3545

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	3	0	3	13	8	2	0	0%	1.1	61.5%	15.4%	46.2%	0.0%	0.00	-0.15	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	3	0	3	13	8	2	0	0%	1.1	61.5%	15.4%	46.2%	0.0%	0.00	-0.15	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	3	0	3	13	8	2	0	0%	1.1	61.5%	15.4%	46.2%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	24	8	71	321	92	29	2	33%	2.9	21.2%	10.7%	10.5%	0.8%	4.46	3.10	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	24	8	71	321	92	29	2	33%	2.9	21.2%	10.7%	10.5%	0.8%	4.46	3.10	—
2024	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	24	8	71	321	92	29	2	33%	2.9	28.7%	9.0%	19.6%	0.6%	4.46	2.10	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	16	77	318	94	34	5	73%	3.5	23.1%	12.0%	11.0%	1.8%	2.34	3.67	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	16	77	318	94	34	5	73%	3.5	23.1%	12.0%	11.0%	1.8%	2.34	3.67	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	16	77	318	94	34	5	73%	3.5	29.6%	10.7%	18.9%	1.6%	2.34	2.83	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	38	9	73	324	90	33	8	24%	1.9	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.0%	5.65	4.25	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	38	9	73	324	90	33	8	24%	1.9	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.0%	5.65	4.25	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	TEX	38	9	73	324	90	33	8	24%	1.9	27.8%	10.2%	17.6%	2.5%	5.65	3.40	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	6	24	5	3	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.1%	10.7%	2.6%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	79	348	95	36	9	—	—	27.4%	10.3%	17.1%	2.5%	5.57	4.27	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	69	0	73	307	71	34	8	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.2%	12.0%	2.7%	4.44	4.40	+0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	69	0	73	307	72	34	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.0%	12.4%	2.7%	4.39	4.37	+0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	68	0	72	302	71	33	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.0%	12.4%	2.8%	4.40	4.40	+0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	TEX	66	0	70	293	68	33	8	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.1%	12.2%	2.9%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	TEX	63	0	66	280	65	32	8	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.3%	11.7%	3.0%	4.55	4.62	-0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	TEX	59	0	62	263	60	31	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.6%	11.1%	3.2%	4.70	4.80	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	30	0	32	135	31	15	4	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.2%	12.0%	2.7%	4.44	4.40	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	47	0	49	207	49	23	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.0%	12.4%	2.7%	4.39	4.37	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	53	0	56	236	55	26	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.0%	12.4%	2.8%	4.40	4.40	+0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TEX	56	0	59	249	58	28	7	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.1%	12.2%	2.9%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	TEX	55	0	58	245	56	28	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.3%	11.7%	3.0%	4.55	4.62	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53	0	56	236	54	27	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.6%	11.1%	3.2%	4.70	4.80	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		294	0	309	1305	303	146	38	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.2%	12.0%	2.9%	4.49	4.15	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	94	25	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.2%	12.0%	2.9%	4.49	4.15	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		87	33	224	976	222	111	18	38%	2.6	22.8%	11.4%	11.4%	1.8%	4.05	3.62	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	29	200	870	198	99	16	38%	2.6	22.8%	11.4%	11.4%	1.8%	4.05	3.62	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Trentadue (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	22.8%	12.1%	2.6%	—	4.39	23.4%	12.3%	217	-0.14	—	—	—
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.26	20.8%	9.6%	219	-0.34	2.32	359	86
Ismael Guillón L 2016 · 4.38 FIP	24	SW	4.38	24.9%	12.5%	3.3%	.206	4.43	20.1%	6.0%	100	+0.05	4.35	193	82
Angel Perdomo L 2018 · 3.57 FIP	24	SW	3.57	22.6%	11.8%	1.6%	.315	4.01	32.7%	17.7%	100	+0.44	2.82	540	80
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	80
Zack Thompson L 2022 · 3.80 FIP	24	SW	3.80	23.6%	9.9%	2.6%	.243	4.60	22.9%	10.4%	208	+0.80	2.03	402	80
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	78
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	77
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	77
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	76
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	75
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	75
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.68	19.1%	5.7%	190	-0.27	1.91	302	74
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	74
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	74
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	74
Daniel McGrath L 2018 · 3.62 FIP	24	SW	3.62	16.7%	10.6%	1.1%	.318	3.52	20.8%	9.8%	112	-0.10	3.52	474	74
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	74
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	73
Keyshawn Askew L 2023 · 3.70 FIP	23	SW	3.70	24.1%	12.4%	1.9%	.278	3.91	17.4%	-0.6%	99	+0.21	3.32	262	73
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	69	23.2%	11.3%	1.09	4.49
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81