Dustin DickersonSS Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION153 act + 167 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .285 / .293
PA167
HR2
SB5
K%29
BB%10
BABIP278
ISO95
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -17.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-18BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 A+Quad Cities River Bandits 122106 21201 12283 10 198298245543 47256 2310 244 45
202322 A+Quad Cities River Bandits 122103 23201 15213 10 223339272611 49268 1712 290 80
202423 A+Quad Cities River Bandits 434369 67602 531295 95 182293214507 33270 3012 237 40
202423 A+Quad Cities River Bandits 434352 79902 691005 95 224358267625 43304 2316 297 86
202524 AA2 teams 452400 71814 421275 218 177264233496 55246 289 230 34
202524 AA2 teams 452376 83915 661035 218 221345290634 69288 2315 298 86
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 AAAKC 153133 24912 14532 50 180268308577 128272 359 251 50 -9 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
YTD25 AAAKC 153126 261012 21432 50 206329349678 143286 2814 304 91 -2 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.5
ROS25 AAAKC 10% 167147 29612 16492 51 197285293577 95267 2910 252 51 -9 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
ROS25 MLBKC 10% 1715 3100 250 00 200294267561 67264 2912 242 43 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL25 AAAKC 170148 271012 16582 50 182271304575 122275 349 250 50 -10 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
TOT25 AAAKC 320280 531524 301024 101 189277300577 111275 329 252 51 -18 +2 +0 +3 +9 -0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBKC 35% 365323 621215 351054 103 192279282561 90267 2910 261 58 -17 +1 +0 +4 +10 -0.2
202827 MLBKC 44% 388343 681316 381104 103 198286294580 96269 2810 266 62 -17 +1 +0 +4 +11 -0.1
202928 MLBKC 49% 401355 691316 391134 103 194281287569 93270 2810 268 63 -17 +1 -1 +4 +11 -0.1
202726 MLBKC 35% 127113 21402 12371 31 186270274544 88264 299 250 50 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202827 MLBKC 44% 171150 30612 17492 51 200290293583 93266 2910 255 53 -9 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
202928 MLBKC 49% 196173 34613 19552 51 197284295578 98267 2810 257 55 -10 +1 -0 +2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 511451 881727 501465 133 195283288571 93269 2910 254 53 -27 +1 -0 +5 +14 -0.6
/ 162G 650574 1132239 641866 174 197285293577 96272 2910 254 53 -35 +2 -0 +7 +18 -0.8
Career 23292043 38760526 23566127 6623 189282262543 72264 2810 251 50 -131 +4 -1 +25 +66 -3.7
/ 162G 650570 1081717 661848 186 189283260543 70264 2810 251 50 -37 +1 -0 +7 +18 -1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 A+Quad Cities River Bandits 122103 23201 15213 10 223339272611 49268 1712 290 80 -3 +0 +3 0.1
202423 A+Quad Cities River Bandits 434352 79902 691005 95 224358267625 43304 2316 297 86 -7 -0 +12 0.5
202524 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 4638 12200 651 10 316422368791 53353 1113 360 133 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202524 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 406338 71715 60984 208 210336281617 71278 2415 291 81 -9 +1 +12 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
1526714198282291+6+3-0.2-0.1
/162664917+7.1+3.8-0.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dustin Dickerson (OGILVIE) 25 35 30 55 60 189/277/300 111275 410 32% 9% 51 -0.4
Nick Meyer
2022 · AAA
25 42 38→40 47→50 43 204/265/279 75266 712 25% 6% 50 -1.7 216/287/315 99282 1115 26% 8% 69 -0.4 204/282/29591265121826%9%58-0.5
Nick Natoli
2013 · AA
25 42 37→30 52→50 50 197/280/272 74269 410 26% 10% 55 -1.4 181/253/250 69264 411 30% 8% 38 -2.6 143/220/1904721511131%8%6-3.1
Dwayne Bailey
2011 · AAA
24 42 35→30 53→50 40 195/250/250 55290 214 32% 6% 35 -2.8 219/281/290 71320 312 30% 7% 59 -1.1 227/294/2866033421130%8%59-0.7
Colt Sedbrook
2010 · AA
25 45→44 38→30 51→50 48 214/305/293 79273 614 22% 8% 72 -0.2 205/298/278 73263 512 22% 8% 66 -0.6 176/285/2224622821221%8%45-1.2
Chris Givin
2022 · AA
25 38 38→30 50→45 42 186/246/261 75259 66 30% 7% 37 -2.6 202/265/279 77274 67 26% 7% 50 -1.8 195/263/252572564524%8%40-1.1
Logan Warmoth
2021 · AA
25 42→40 37→45 53→55 40 194/263/268 74309 313 36% 7% 46 -2.0 197/275/304 107312 1020 37% 8% 61 -1.0 195/273/297102277112431%8%57-0.7
Ryan Dent
2014 · AAA
25 43→42 38→40 47→50 41 207/257/275 68284 614 29% 6% 45 -2.1 205/259/297 92289 710 30% 6% 52 -1.6 200/254/297972846930%5%48-1.2
Drew Jackson
2018 · AA
25 42→43 40→45 49→55 42 203/268/292 89272 815 27% 6% 55 -1.4 195/266/301 106281 1117 32% 7% 56 -1.3 186/271/302116271122634%8%57-0.7
Alfredo Lopez
2016 · AA
26 46 36→30 48→50 47 218/278/286 68274 314 21% 7% 56 -1.3 245/288/316 71293 416 17% 5% 68 -0.5 272/308/3214931721914%5%72-0.1
Chris Rabago
2019 · AA
26 42 38→40 54→55 43 199/256/282 83271 418 27% 6% 46 -2.0 189/251/275 86266 714 30% 7% 43 -2.2 157/227/2216423361133%7%17-1.3
Matt Whatley
2021 · A
25 39→36 37→40 52→50 47 185/262/257 71256 515 28% 8% 43 -2.2 191/254/274 83276 810 32% 7% 44 -2.1 167/230/2548722612831%6%27-1.2
Auston Bousfield
2018 · AAA
25 39→44 40 49→50 45 192/257/276 85250 814 26% 7% 46 -2.0 197/267/283 86262 612 25% 8% 52 -1.6 172/252/237652362926%8%33-1.8
Andrew Guillotte
2018 · AAA
25 43→46 38→40 48→50 43 206/262/283 77266 516 24% 6% 49 -1.8 208/267/284 76280 413 25% 7% 51 -1.7 217/285/2826527731121%8%59-0.7
Stephen Perez
2016 · AA
25 41→47 36→30 50 46 196/258/263 67261 313 25% 8% 43 -2.2 201/270/270 69274 514 26% 8% 50 -1.8 195/270/2535826851527%8%44-1.0
T.J. White
2017 · AA
25 43→44 39→45 52→45 42 206/268/297 90269 610 25% 6% 56 -1.3 209/270/340 131276 146 28% 6% 68 -0.5 198/262/34815025218229%6%64-0.3
Chris Roller
2022 · AA
25 38 39→50 53→55 39 187/246/274 87273 616 32% 6% 40 -2.4 190/267/311 121291 1216 36% 8% 60 -1.0 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
Tim Arakawa
2017 · AAA
24 43→42 36→30 48→50 50 205/276/273 67268 410 24% 9% 53 -1.5 213/278/296 83301 812 29% 8% 59 -1.1 204/273/27672302101334%8%53-0.7
Ross Wilson
2014 · AA
25 42→47 38→40 47→45 45 199/271/278 79264 57 26% 7% 53 -1.5 205/267/311 106274 106 28% 6% 59 -1.1 195/256/31612025513228%5%57-0.8
Rowdey Jordan
2023 · AA
24 43→42 39→45 48→55 45 204/271/295 91290 612 30% 8% 56 -1.3 206/274/333 127284 1420 31% 7% 68 -0.5 199/268/331132272162331%7%62-0.6
Ryan Lormand
2011 · AAA
25 43 36→40 53→55 39 203/245/275 72282 316 28% 5% 39 -2.5 199/248/276 77281 415 29% 6% 40 -2.4 145/192/1773321001929%6%-12-1.3