Henniel Alcala — OGILVIE

Henniel AlcalaC ACL Cubs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 54 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .278 / .306

PA54

HR1

K%28

BB%7

BABIP273

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$26M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	71	11	2	0	2	3	20	3	0	0	155	221	268	488	113	176	25	4	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	69	13	3	0	2	5	14	3	0	0	188	273	319	592	130	200	18	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	117	21	2	0	1	11	36	7	2	2	179	289	222	511	43	238	26	8	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	111	27	3	0	1	17	24	7	2	2	243	378	297	675	54	289	17	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	99	81	10	2	0	0	8	35	9	4	2	123	276	148	424	25	213	35	8	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	99	77	14	3	0	0	12	23	9	4	2	182	357	221	578	39	255	23	12	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	CHC	—	81	71	16	2	0	2	7	23	1	0	0	225	304	338	642	113	292	28	9	305	92	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
YTD	20	ROK	CHC	—	81	66	20	3	0	3	12	16	1	0	0	303	418	485	903	182	347	20	15	393	159	+5	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.9
ROS	20	ROK	CHC	0%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	278	28	7	263	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	CHC	—	81	72	16	2	0	2	7	23	1	0	0	222	304	333	637	111	286	28	9	305	92	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
TOT	20	ROK	CHC	—	135	120	26	4	0	3	11	38	2	1	0	217	293	325	618	108	284	28	8	288	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CHC	34%	206	185	40	7	1	4	16	56	3	3	1	216	289	330	619	114	283	27	8	277	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2028	22	MLB	CHC	48%	330	296	65	11	2	7	26	88	5	6	2	220	294	341	635	122	284	27	8	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2029	23	MLB	CHC	54%	413	370	82	14	2	9	33	109	7	8	3	222	298	343	641	122	285	26	8	287	78	-10	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.9
2030	24	MLB	CHC	55%	470	422	93	16	2	10	38	123	7	9	3	220	296	339	634	118	286	26	8	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2031	25	MLB	CHC	56%	501	448	99	17	2	11	40	131	8	10	3	221	296	342	638	121	287	26	8	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.3
2032	26	MLB	CHC	60%	518	463	103	18	2	11	42	135	8	10	3	222	298	341	639	119	286	26	8	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2033	27	MLB	CHC	62%	520	464	103	18	2	11	43	136	8	10	3	222	299	341	640	119	286	26	8	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2034	28	MLB	CHC	63%	520	464	102	18	2	11	43	137	8	10	3	220	297	338	635	119	286	26	8	290	80	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2035	29	MLB	CHC	64%	517	461	102	18	2	11	43	137	8	10	3	221	299	341	639	119	285	26	8	288	79	-13	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2036	30	MLB	CHC	65%	509	454	98	17	2	10	42	136	8	9	3	216	294	328	622	112	283	27	8	285	76	-14	+1	-2	+9	+14	0.9
2027	21	MLB	CHC	34%	71	65	13	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	200	268	277	545	77	284	27	7	266	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	22	MLB	CHC	48%	160	143	31	5	1	3	13	43	3	3	1	217	296	329	624	112	285	27	8	273	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	23	MLB	CHC	54%	224	200	45	8	1	5	18	59	4	4	1	225	302	350	652	125	287	26	8	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	24	MLB	CHC	55%	261	234	52	9	1	6	21	68	4	5	2	222	297	346	643	124	288	26	8	280	72	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2031	25	MLB	CHC	56%	281	252	56	10	1	6	23	73	4	6	2	222	297	341	639	119	288	26	8	280	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	26	MLB	CHC	60%	311	278	62	11	1	7	25	81	5	6	2	223	299	345	644	122	288	26	8	281	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.5
2033	27	MLB	CHC	62%	322	288	63	11	1	7	26	84	5	6	2	219	295	337	631	118	287	26	8	281	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2034	28	MLB	CHC	63%	328	293	64	11	1	7	27	86	5	6	2	218	295	334	630	116	287	26	8	280	72	-10	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.5
2035	29	MLB	CHC	64%	329	294	64	11	1	7	27	87	5	6	2	218	294	333	628	116	286	26	8	278	71	-11	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2036	30	MLB	CHC	65%	331	295	64	11	1	7	28	89	5	6	2	217	296	332	628	115	285	27	8	275	69	-12	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2618	2343	514	89	9	56	213	689	41	49	16	219	296	337	633	117	284	26	8	278	71	-86	+3	-3	+47	+74	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	127	22	2	14	53	171	10	12	4	218	295	335	630	117	282	26	8	278	71	-21	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	4875	4345	939	162	19	99	392	1294	90	92	31	216	294	330	625	114	282	27	8	283	75	-139	+6	-4	+87	+138	9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	126	22	3	13	52	173	12	12	4	218	295	333	628	116	285	27	8	283	75	-19	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	69	13	3	2	5	14	3	0	0	188	273	319	592	130	200	18	6	265	61	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	111	27	3	1	17	24	7	2	2	243	378	297	675	54	289	17	12	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	99	77	14	3	0	12	23	9	4	2	182	357	221	578	39	255	23	12	291	81	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,719	57	52	221	294	340	+49	+28	6.1	5.7
	/162	664	14	13	221	294	340	+11.9	+6.8	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Henniel Alcala (OGILVIE)	20	34→39	31→36	47→52	53	217/293/325	108	284	3	1	28%	8%	79	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	38→44	40	50→55	41	188/259/274	86	266	7	11	31%	6%	46	-2.0	209/272/298	89	302	7	14	31%	6%	58	-1.2	202/259/293	90	292	8	18	32%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Luis Palacios 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	45→50	44	205/265/285	81	267	6	7	25%	6%	51	-1.7	184/229/259	75	281	5	5	35%	5%	28	-3.2	142/174/195	54	228	4	4	38%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	41	39→40	50	48	191/281/275	84	291	6	12	33%	10%	56	-1.3	194/264/268	74	320	4	9	37%	8%	46	-2.0	140/204/175	34	267	0	8	44%	7%	-3	-1.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Deivi Mejia 2010 · A	20	40	41→40	46→30	41	197/265/294	97	276	9	5	30%	6%	54	-1.4	205/261/294	89	269	7	4	25%	6%	52	-1.6	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Rayner Contreras 2007 · A	20	45	38→40	48→50	42	216/266/294	78	291	5	6	27%	6%	53	-1.5	231/286/322	91	300	6	10	24%	6%	69	-0.4	240/289/319	79	320	5	11	25%	5%	66	-0.2
●Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	52	-1.6	236/347/327	91	303	7	8	22%	10%	99	+1.7	226/327/323	97	289	8	8	22%	9%	87	+0.4
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3