Henniel Alcala — OGILVIE

Henniel AlcalaC ACL Cubs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.8 · 2033

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .287 / .324

PA86

HR2

K%28

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗40

PWR

30↗35

SPD

47↗52

EYE

48↗53

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.7	$26M	+$25M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.8	$28M	+$27M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.6	$26M	+$25M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.5	$26M	+$21M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.2	$24M	+$16M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+1.9	$21M	+$12M
Totals		$24M		$150M	+$126M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	79	71	12	2	0	2	3	20	3	0	0	.169	.234	.282	.515	.113	.196	25	4	.210	19	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	139	118	21	2	0	1	10	36	7	2	2	.178	.281	.220	.502	.042	.235	26	7	.230	34	-10	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	99	81	10	2	0	0	8	35	9	4	2	.123	.276	.148	.424	.025	.213	35	8	.201	12	-10	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	CHC	86	78	17	3	1	2	7	24	1	1	0	.218	.291	.359	.650	.141	.285	28	8	.280	72	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	CHC	173	153	34	6	1	4	15	46	3	4	1	.222	.304	.353	.657	.131	.287	27	9	.296	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	CHC	305	269	62	11	2	8	28	78	5	6	2	.230	.315	.375	.690	.145	.288	26	9	.304	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+9	1.2
2029	23	MLB 48%	CHC	396	349	80	15	2	10	38	99	6	8	2	.229	.316	.370	.685	.140	.289	25	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.8
2030	24	MLB 62%	CHC	458	403	95	17	3	13	45	113	7	10	2	.236	.323	.390	.713	.154	.289	25	10	.315	99	-0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2031	25	MLB 80%	CHC	493	434	101	18	3	14	49	121	7	10	2	.233	.320	.385	.705	.152	.290	25	10	.318	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.5
2032	26	MLB 94%	CHC	513	448	106	19	3	15	52	125	8	10	2	.237	.327	.393	.720	.156	.290	24	10	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2033	27	MLB	CHC	520	454	107	19	3	15	53	128	8	10	2	.236	.326	.390	.716	.154	.290	25	10	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2034	28	MLB	CHC	520	453	106	19	3	15	54	129	8	10	2	.234	.326	.389	.715	.155	.290	25	10	.319	102	+1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.6
2035	29	MLB	CHC	516	450	104	19	3	14	53	129	8	10	1	.231	.323	.380	.703	.149	.289	25	10	.317	101	+0	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2036	30	MLB	CHC	508	443	102	18	3	14	53	129	7	9	1	.230	.322	.379	.701	.149	.288	25	10	.314	98	-1	+1	-2	+9	+14	2.2
2037	31	MLB	CHC	480	420	95	17	2	13	50	124	7	8	0	.226	.319	.369	.688	.143	.286	26	10	.310	95	-3	+2	-3	+9	+14	1.9
2038	32	MLB	CHC	449	394	86	15	2	11	46	118	6	7	0	.218	.309	.350	.660	.132	.285	26	10	.305	92	-4	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.5
2039	33	MLB	CHC	408	357	78	14	2	10	42	110	6	6	0	.218	.311	.353	.664	.134	.283	27	10	.300	88	-6	+1	-4	+7	+12	1.0
2040	34	MLB	CHC	355	311	66	11	2	8	36	99	5	6	0	.212	.304	.338	.642	.125	.281	28	10	.293	83	-7	+1	-5	+6	+10	0.6
2041	35	MLB	CHC	296	260	53	9	1	6	30	85	4	5	0	.204	.296	.315	.611	.112	.279	29	10	.286	77	-8	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.1
2042	36	MLB	CHC	238	209	42	7	1	5	24	71	3	4	0	.201	.292	.316	.608	.115	.276	30	10	.277	70	-8	+1	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	CHC	179	157	31	5	1	3	18	55	2	3	0	.197	.288	.299	.587	.102	.272	31	10	.267	63	-8	+1	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7210	6312	1408	248	38	183	714	1874	120	133	21	.223	.314	.361	.675	.138	.285	26	10	.304	91	-76	+18	-38	+129	+204	24.2
/ 162G	—			650	569	126	22	3	16	64	169	11	12	2	.221	.312	.355	.667	.134	.284	26	10	.304	91	-7	+2	-3	+12	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	79	69	13	3	2	5	14	3	0	0	.188	.273	.319	.592	.130	.200	18	6	.265	61	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	139	111	27	3	1	17	24	7	2	2	.243	.378	.297	.675	.054	.289	17	12	.315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	99	77	14	3	0	12	23	9	4	2	.182	.357	.221	.578	.039	.255	23	12	.291	81	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Henniel Alcala (OGILVIE)	20	35→40	30→35	47→52	53	.212/.287/.324	.112	.285	2	1	28%	8%	72	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	.203/.300/.294	.091	.264	9	7	25%	10%	70	-0.3	.191/.289/.274	.083	.279	7	4	31%	11%	60	-1.0	.164/.268/.232	.068	.248	6	2	32%	11%	39	-0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	42	43→45	47→40	47	.204/.301/.317	.113	.282	11	9	29%	9%	77	+0.1	.216/.277/.335	.119	.281	14	4	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.209/.267/.315	.106	.274	13	2	27%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→42	43→50	47→40	45	.213/.279/.320	.107	.262	11	5	23%	7%	67	-0.5	.211/.287/.337	.126	.265	13	4	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Jose Paez 2014 · A	20	46	39→45	51→50	38	.218/.263/.312	.093	.303	5	12	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.209/.259/.289	.080	.322	4	10	34%	6%	50	-1.8	.195/.251/.252	.057	.320	4	11	38%	6%	32	-0.6
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	.215/.280/.308	.092	.280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.270/.311	.094	.277	7	4	23%	6%	60	-1.0	.236/.301/.377	.140	.278	16	2	21%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	42	.228/.277/.347	.120	.291	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.283/.368	.141	.281	17	7	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.287/.379	.156	.259	20	5	22%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	.212/.278/.308	.097	.264	8	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	.227/.291/.336	.109	.276	10	14	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.227/.291/.331	.104	.281	10	15	22%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	.227/.314/.329	.102	.280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.215/.317/.288	.073	.287	4	7	24%	10%	76	+0.1	.207/.331/.267	.060	.268	4	7	21%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Jonathan Galvez 2011 · A	20	44→48	43→45	49→55	46	.210/.289/.319	.109	.300	10	12	32%	9%	71	-0.3	.227/.281/.348	.121	.324	11	19	31%	6%	74	-0.1	.232/.281/.348	.116	.327	10	23	31%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→41	43→50	47→55	47	.210/.276/.316	.107	.260	11	9	24%	7%	65	-0.7	.212/.278/.349	.137	.268	15	17	26%	7%	74	-0.1	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→50	52→50	43	.226/.287/.342	.117	.320	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.0	.206/.274/.311	.105	.300	9	11	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)