Henniel Alcala — OGILVIE

Henniel AlcalaC ACL Cubs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION96 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP283

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$31M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	69	13	3	0	2	5	14	3	0	0	188	273	319	592	130	200	18	6	265	66	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	111	27	3	0	1	17	24	7	2	2	243	378	297	675	54	289	17	12	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	99	77	14	3	0	0	12	23	9	4	2	182	357	221	578	39	255	23	12	291	83	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	71	11	2	0	2	3	20	3	0	0	155	221	268	488	113	169	25	4	202	23	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	118	21	2	0	1	10	35	7	2	2	178	281	220	502	42	220	25	7	230	42	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	81	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	123	276	148	424	25	200	34	8	202	23	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	71	11	2	0	2	3	20	3	0	0	155	221	268	488	113	176	25	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	69	13	3	0	2	5	14	3	0	0	188	273	319	592	130	200	18	6	265	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	118	21	2	0	1	10	35	7	2	2	178	281	220	502	42	233	25	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	111	27	3	0	1	17	24	7	2	2	243	378	297	675	54	289	17	12	315	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	81	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	123	276	148	424	25	208	34	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	99	77	14	3	0	0	12	23	9	4	2	182	357	221	578	39	255	23	12	291	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	73	11	2	0	2	3	20	3	0	0	151	221	260	481	110	169	25	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	121	21	2	0	1	10	35	7	2	2	174	281	215	496	41	220	25	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	82	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	122	276	146	422	24	200	34	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	73	11	2	0	2	3	20	3	0	0	151	221	260	481	110	169	25	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	121	21	2	0	1	10	35	7	2	2	174	281	215	496	41	220	25	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	82	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	122	276	146	422	24	200	34	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	CHC	—	96	84	18	3	0	2	9	29	1	1	0	214	298	321	619	107	291	30	9	284	78	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CHC	—	62	48	16	4	0	2	12	9	1	1	0	333	475	542	1.017	208	368	15	19	443	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	CHC	—	34	30	6	0	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	200	273	300	573	100	263	32	9	256	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	CHC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		281	22	11	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	CHC	—	105	92	19	3	0	2	10	31	1	1	0	207	291	304	596	98	279	30	10	283	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	206	185	40	7	1	4	16	54	3	3	1	216	289	330	619	114	283	26	8	281	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	330	295	67	12	2	7	27	84	5	6	2	227	303	353	655	125	284	25	8	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	413	369	84	15	2	9	34	104	7	8	2	228	305	352	657	125	286	25	8	292	84	-8	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	470	421	95	17	2	10	38	118	8	9	3	226	302	347	649	121	287	25	8	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	501	447	101	18	2	11	41	125	8	10	3	226	302	349	651	123	287	25	8	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	518	462	104	19	2	11	43	129	8	10	3	225	302	346	648	121	286	25	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	464	104	19	2	11	43	130	8	10	3	224	301	345	646	121	286	25	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	463	104	19	2	11	44	131	8	10	3	225	303	346	648	121	286	25	8	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	517	460	102	18	2	11	44	131	8	10	3	222	301	341	642	120	285	25	9	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	509	453	100	18	2	10	43	130	8	9	3	221	300	336	635	115	284	26	8	289	82	-11	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2037	31	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	481	429	94	16	2	10	41	125	8	8	3	219	299	336	635	117	281	26	9	285	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+10	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	449	401	86	15	2	8	38	118	7	8	2	214	294	322	615	107	278	26	8	280	76	-13	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	CHC	59%	409	366	76	13	1	7	34	110	6	6	2	208	286	306	592	98	274	27	8	273	71	-14	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	71	64	13	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	203	282	281	563	78	285	25	8	270	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	160	143	32	6	1	3	13	41	3	3	1	224	302	343	645	119	286	26	8	276	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	224	200	44	8	1	4	18	56	4	4	1	220	297	330	627	110	288	25	8	280	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	261	234	53	10	1	5	21	65	4	5	2	226	301	342	643	115	288	25	8	283	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	281	251	57	10	2	6	23	70	5	6	2	227	305	355	659	127	288	25	8	283	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	291	260	60	11	2	6	24	73	5	6	2	231	308	358	666	127	288	25	8	283	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	288	257	58	10	2	6	24	72	5	6	2	226	304	350	654	125	288	25	8	283	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	285	254	57	10	1	6	24	72	5	6	2	224	304	343	646	118	287	25	8	282	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	276	247	55	10	1	6	23	70	4	5	2	223	299	344	643	121	287	25	8	281	84	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	268	239	52	9	1	5	23	69	4	5	2	218	297	326	623	109	285	26	9	278	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	251	224	49	9	1	5	21	65	4	4	1	219	297	335	632	116	283	26	8	274	79	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	252	225	48	8	1	5	21	66	4	4	1	213	292	324	616	111	279	26	8	269	76	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	CHC	59%	241	215	45	8	1	4	20	65	4	4	1	209	289	312	600	102	275	27	8	262	71	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3149	2813	623	111	15	62	261	802	52	59	19	221	299	338	637	116	286	25	8	278	79	-67	+4	-8	+56	+68	5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	129	23	3	13	54	166	11	12	4	222	300	339	639	117	287	26	8	278	79	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6169	5493	1200	212	24	123	508	1580	111	113	37	218	298	333	631	115	281	26	8	286	79	-125	+8	-15	+104	+127	10.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	127	22	3	13	54	166	12	12	4	219	300	335	635	116	282	26	8	286	79	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.9	3,250	66	60	222	297	340	+58	+32	7.9	6.8
/162	664	14	12	+11.9	+6.5	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Henniel Alcala (OGILVIE)	20	39→44	34→39	47→52	56	209/284/303	93	281	1	2	27%	8%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/295	93	261	9	6	24%	10%	74	-0.6	189/286/270	81	279	7	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	163/267/230	67	248	6	2	33%	11%	45	-1.0
✕Seth Conner 2012 · A	20	44	41→40	47→45	47	211/285/309	98	278	8	6	26%	8%	70	-0.8	203/274/278	75	282	5	4	27%	7%	59	-1.6	185/263/242	57	258	3	0	27%	7%	48	-0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	72	-0.7	180/233/251	71	285	5	4	36%	5%	37	-3.3	143/191/216	73	246	8	0	44%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	229/273/319	90	284	5	5	21%	5%	67	-1.1	231/268/304	73	271	5	6	16%	4%	61	-1.5	233/267/296	63	268	5	5	15%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/287/306	88	288	3	11	24%	8%	70	-0.9	245/307/361	116	300	9	13	20%	7%	90	+0.6	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	57	-1.8	232/342/321	89	299	6	8	22%	10%	96	+1.0	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A	21	44	41→45	45→50	46	214/281/315	101	286	8	9	27%	8%	70	-0.8	197/264/296	99	314	8	8	37%	7%	59	-1.6	131/203/233	101	238	8	7	45%	7%	21	-1.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	70	-0.8	215/292/337	122	284	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.2	215/282/336	121	275	14	2	26%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→45	39→45	48→45	51	230/308/317	87	304	7	11	25%	10%	80	-0.1	213/286/312	99	280	8	6	25%	9%	71	-0.8	207/279/322	115	260	13	5	25%	9%	69	-0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	41→37	39→45	50→40	51	195/281/288	93	256	6	9	25%	10%	65	-1.2	193/287/297	104	256	11	4	27%	11%	69	-0.9	180/276/283	102	231	12	2	26%	11%	61	-1.1
✕Wilmer Perez 2018 · A	20	46	39→45	47→45	42	221/272/317	96	280	6	6	23%	5%	67	-1.1	221/269/307	86	282	5	7	23%	5%	63	-1.4	204/251/263	59	263	3	6	22%	3%	47	-0.6
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	46	37→45	53→45	46	215/277/285	71	288	4	10	25%	8%	61	-1.5	229/281/339	110	310	11	8	28%	6%	75	-0.5	215/267/317	102	288	11	9	28%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	188/230/267	79	283	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	147/184/208	60	226	4	0	36%	2%	5	-1.5
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	56	-1.9	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	47→45	46	221/286/323	102	285	10	12	26%	8%	74	-0.6	228/311/363	135	276	12	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	222/308/359	137	264	13	9	20%	10%	88	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps