Derik AlcantaraOF
Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 21
L/R
6'0" / 160 lbs
A
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.8 · 2032
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .315 / .377
PA227
HR5
K%21
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
60↗65
PWR
35↗40
SPD
53↗58
EYE
50↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.7 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.6 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.5 | $15M | +$12M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.3 | $14M | +$9M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.0 | $11M | +$6M |
| Totals | $15M | $88M | +$73M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 131 | 119 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 3 | .218 | .273 | .286 | .559 | .067 | .230 | 7 | 6 | .257 | 55 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 110 | 97 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 1 | .268 | .336 | .371 | .708 | .103 | .282 | 12 | 8 | .312 | 97 | -0 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | 2 teams | 241 | 213 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 2 | 10 | 5 | .211 | .285 | .305 | .590 | .094 | .253 | 20 | 8 | .260 | 57 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 40 | 37 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .081 | .150 | .108 | .258 | .027 | .115 | 28 | 8 | .118 | -51 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CHC | 187 | 167 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .228 | .303 | .353 | .656 | .126 | .277 | 21 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | CHC | 227 | 204 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .201 | .276 | .309 | .584 | .108 | .247 | 22 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | CHC | 296 | 263 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 54 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .240 | .320 | .380 | .700 | .141 | .272 | 18 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | CHC | 386 | 342 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 70 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .243 | .324 | .389 | .713 | .146 | .274 | 18 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | CHC | 446 | 395 | 96 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 80 | 4 | 10 | 4 | .243 | .325 | .395 | .720 | .152 | .275 | 18 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | CHC | 479 | 423 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 86 | 5 | 11 | 4 | .246 | .330 | .400 | .729 | .154 | .276 | 18 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | CHC | 498 | 439 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 89 | 5 | 12 | 4 | .246 | .331 | .401 | .732 | .155 | .277 | 18 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | CHC | 505 | 443 | 109 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 52 | 91 | 5 | 12 | 4 | .246 | .332 | .402 | .734 | .156 | .277 | 18 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 504 | 441 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 91 | 5 | 11 | 4 | .245 | .333 | .399 | .732 | .154 | .277 | 18 | 11 | .327 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 497 | 437 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 52 | 92 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .245 | .332 | .400 | .732 | .156 | .277 | 19 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 488 | 430 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 92 | 4 | 10 | 3 | .240 | .326 | .388 | .714 | .149 | .276 | 19 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 476 | 419 | 100 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 91 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .239 | .326 | .387 | .712 | .148 | .275 | 19 | 11 | .319 | 103 | +1 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 458 | 403 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 90 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .238 | .325 | .382 | .707 | .144 | .274 | 20 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 429 | 377 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 87 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .231 | .319 | .363 | .683 | .133 | .273 | 20 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 383 | 337 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 81 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .228 | .316 | .362 | .678 | .134 | .272 | 21 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 330 | 290 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .224 | .312 | .348 | .660 | .124 | .271 | 22 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -5 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2041 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 272 | 241 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .216 | .300 | .324 | .624 | .108 | .270 | 23 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -6 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7116 | 6276 | 1493 | 276 | 42 | 175 | 713 | 1339 | 66 | 166 | 52 | .238 | .322 | .379 | .701 | .141 | .274 | 19 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -10 | +12 | -31 | -43 | +202 | 13.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 136 | 25 | 4 | 16 | 65 | 122 | 6 | 15 | 5 | .237 | .321 | .379 | .700 | .141 | .273 | 19 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 131 | 113 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | .265 | .352 | .372 | .723 | .106 | .273 | 5 | 11 | .321 | 104 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 110 | 93 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 1 | .344 | .430 | .462 | .892 | .118 | .353 | 8 | 12 | .391 | 157 | +7 | +2 | — | — | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 99 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .192 | .344 | .282 | .626 | .090 | .209 | 13 | 17 | .291 | 81 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 142 | 122 | 39 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 4 | .320 | .403 | .475 | .878 | .156 | .358 | 13 | 11 | .382 | 150 | +8 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Derik Alcantara (OGILVIE) | 21 | 60→65 | 35→40 | 53→58 | 55 | .243/.315/.377 | .135 | .291 | 5 | 5 | 21% | 9% | 97 | +0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A |
21 | 51→61 | 44→40 | 49→40 | 52 | .249/.317/.367 | .118 | .295 | 12 | 4 | 20% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .228/.288/.319 | .091 | .284 | 7 | 2 | 21% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .273/.337/.381 | .107 | .337 | 11 | 2 | 21% | 8% | 103 | +1.1 |
|
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A |
21 | 52→62 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 48 | .250/.318/.360 | .110 | .306 | 9 | 11 | 21% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .269/.332/.397 | .128 | .319 | 12 | 17 | 19% | 7% | 108 | +2.3 | .268/.333/.391 | .123 | .317 | 12 | 18 | 19% | 7% | 103 | +1.6 |
|
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A |
22 | 52→60 | 41→45 | 55 | 48 | .247/.306/.350 | .103 | .310 | 7 | 16 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .264/.324/.374 | .110 | .307 | 8 | 18 | 16% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .265/.329/.365 | .100 | .306 | 7 | 20 | 15% | 8% | 94 | +1.1 |
|
●Jon Jay 2007 · A |
22 | 56→65 | 40→45 | 50 | 49 | .267/.320/.367 | .100 | .306 | 7 | 11 | 15% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .256/.306/.365 | .109 | .302 | 10 | 12 | 18% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .287/.347/.405 | .118 | .332 | 9 | 15 | 15% | 6% | 111 | +2.1 |
|
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A |
21 | 51→60 | 45→50 | 48→55 | 48 | .248/.300/.374 | .126 | .278 | 11 | 12 | 16% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .251/.296/.362 | .111 | .291 | 9 | 18 | 17% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .270/.354/.410 | .140 | .305 | 12 | 16 | 15% | 9% | 112 | +2.0 |
|
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA |
21 | 52→58 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 53 | .248/.314/.348 | .100 | .291 | 8 | 13 | 17% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .222/.296/.324 | .102 | .270 | 9 | 9 | 20% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .263/.355/.386 | .123 | .307 | 11 | 2 | 17% | 11% | 113 | +2.8 |
|
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A |
22 | 46→54 | 45→55 | 55→45 | 53 | .229/.307/.355 | .125 | .265 | 13 | 10 | 19% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .239/.318/.350 | .111 | .280 | 10 | 8 | 17% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .238/.339/.417 | .179 | .270 | 23 | 4 | 20% | 12% | 114 | +1.9 |
|
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A |
22 | 47→57 | 42→40 | 56→55 | 51 | .229/.303/.336 | .107 | .265 | 9 | 17 | 17% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .248/.301/.331 | .083 | .281 | 5 | 14 | 13% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .256/.317/.334 | .078 | .294 | 4 | 14 | 13% | 8% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A |
21 | 49→57 | 42→55 | 56→55 | 41 | .237/.286/.348 | .111 | .312 | 9 | 19 | 26% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .271/.315/.439 | .168 | .332 | 18 | 21 | 23% | 5% | 112 | +2.6 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2019 · AA |
21 | 48→58 | 43→50 | 50 | 46 | .233/.290/.345 | .112 | .296 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .249/.309/.402 | .153 | .314 | 17 | 10 | 25% | 8% | 100 | +1.7 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |
|
●Colt Keith 2023 · A |
21 | 49→53 | 46→55 | 53→45 | 45 | .236/.300/.372 | .137 | .327 | 13 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .251/.308/.410 | .159 | .313 | 18 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 102 | +1.8 | .253/.314/.408 | .154 | .307 | 18 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
✕Colin Moran 2014 · A |
21 | 48→57 | 43→55 | 50→30 | 45 | .234/.283/.345 | .110 | .286 | 10 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.290/.349 | .103 | .318 | 9 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .271/.332/.429 | .158 | .324 | 19 | 0 | 21% | 8% | 111 | +1.6 |
|
●Adam Eaton 2011 · A |
22 | 55→65 | 43→45 | 51→55 | 45 | .260/.338/.379 | .119 | .334 | 10 | 14 | 24% | 7% | 107 | +2.2 | .278/.355/.391 | .113 | .337 | 8 | 23 | 18% | 8% | 117 | +2.9 | .282/.355/.409 | .127 | .336 | 9 | 15 | 17% | 8% | 114 | +2.9 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A |
21 | 48→53 | 42→50 | 51→55 | 42 | .228/.286/.337 | .109 | .309 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.293/.326 | .100 | .295 | 6 | 15 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
✕Tyson Gillies 2010 · A |
21 | 57→64 | 41→45 | 56→55 | 46 | .272/.334/.379 | .108 | .335 | 8 | 24 | 20% | 6% | 104 | +2.0 | .261/.317/.367 | .106 | .332 | 7 | 17 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.3 | .239/.283/.350 | .111 | .318 | 8 | 15 | 26% | 4% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A |
20 | 51→58 | 42→55 | 51→50 | 41 | .244/.289/.355 | .111 | .326 | 9 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .259/.300/.414 | .155 | .299 | 17 | 12 | 19% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .266/.310/.441 | .174 | .301 | 19 | 10 | 18% | 6% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Cal Stevenson 2019 · A |
22 | 56 | 39→45 | 59→60 | 63 | .261/.354/.362 | .101 | .304 | 4 | 15 | 15% | 13% | 108 | +2.3 | .235/.310/.327 | .092 | .293 | 7 | 13 | 20% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .240/.333/.358 | .118 | .308 | 11 | 30 | 23% | 12% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Domonic Brown 2009 · A |
21 | 48→55 | 41→55 | 51→55 | 47 | .234/.289/.333 | .099 | .285 | 9 | 14 | 21% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .252/.310/.400 | .148 | .314 | 15 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 100 | +1.7 | .254/.320/.417 | .163 | .315 | 18 | 20 | 24% | 8% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jorbit Vivas 2022 · A |
21 | 53→56 | 47→45 | 47→50 | 47 | .262/.324/.402 | .140 | .294 | 14 | 7 | 16% | 6% | 107 | +2.2 | .237/.316/.354 | .117 | .267 | 11 | 10 | 15% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.310/.330 | .108 | .251 | 10 | 14 | 16% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Alexi Amarista 2010 · A |
21 | 56→60 | 40→45 | 53→55 | 50 | .265/.317/.371 | .106 | .302 | 5 | 20 | 14% | 6% | 94 | +1.3 | .251/.290/.350 | .099 | .290 | 5 | 17 | 15% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .243/.277/.341 | .098 | .278 | 6 | 17 | 14% | 4% | 67 | -0.5 |