Jack Lines — OGILVIE

Jack LinesSS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 133 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .280 / .296

PA133

HR2

K%32

BB%8

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$11M		$26M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	139	112	18	6	0	1	13	60	11	7	2	161	309	241	550	80	327	43	9	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	139	105	20	6	0	1	20	42	11	7	2	190	375	276	651	86	302	30	14	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TB	—	133	118	24	5	1	2	10	42	4	3	1	203	288	314	601	110	289	32	8	267	62	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	230	204	42	9	1	4	18	70	6	4	1	206	289	319	608	113	291	30	8	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+7	0.2
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	348	309	65	14	2	6	27	104	9	7	1	210	293	327	620	117	292	30	8	283	75	-10	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	427	379	82	17	2	9	34	125	11	8	2	216	300	343	643	127	293	29	8	288	79	-10	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.7
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	479	426	93	19	3	10	38	139	12	9	2	218	300	347	648	129	294	29	8	291	81	-10	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	508	450	98	20	3	11	40	148	13	10	2	218	300	349	649	131	294	29	8	292	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.1
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	524	464	101	21	3	11	42	152	13	10	2	218	301	347	648	129	294	29	8	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	530	469	103	21	3	12	43	154	13	10	2	220	303	354	657	134	294	29	8	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	529	468	102	21	3	11	43	155	13	10	2	218	302	346	648	128	293	29	8	293	82	-11	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.1
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	521	460	99	20	3	11	43	153	13	9	2	215	300	343	644	128	293	29	8	291	81	-11	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.9
2036	30	MLB	TB	57%	512	453	97	20	2	11	42	152	12	8	2	214	298	340	638	126	292	30	8	288	79	-12	+1	-2	+5	+15	0.7
2037	31	MLB	TB	60%	499	443	93	19	2	10	41	150	12	7	1	210	294	330	624	120	290	30	8	284	76	-14	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.4
2038	32	MLB	TB	61%	481	427	88	18	2	9	39	146	12	5	1	206	291	321	612	115	286	30	8	279	72	-15	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.1
2039	33	MLB	TB	62%	452	401	81	16	2	8	37	140	11	4	1	202	287	312	599	110	282	31	8	273	67	-17	+0	-4	+5	+13	-0.3
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	79	71	14	3	0	1	6	24	2	2	0	197	278	282	560	85	294	30	8	258	56	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	169	150	32	6	1	3	13	50	4	3	1	213	293	327	620	113	295	30	8	266	61	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	232	206	45	9	1	5	18	68	6	4	1	218	300	345	645	126	296	29	8	271	65	-9	+0	+0	+2	+7	0.0
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	266	236	51	10	2	5	21	77	7	5	1	216	299	339	638	123	297	29	8	274	68	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	284	252	56	11	2	6	23	82	7	5	1	222	305	353	658	131	297	29	8	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	295	262	57	11	2	6	24	86	7	6	1	218	300	344	644	126	297	29	8	276	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	293	260	57	11	2	6	24	85	7	6	1	219	302	346	649	127	297	29	8	276	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	290	257	56	11	2	6	24	85	7	5	1	218	302	346	648	128	297	29	8	275	69	-10	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.1
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	278	246	54	11	1	6	23	82	7	5	1	220	304	346	650	126	296	29	8	273	67	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2036	30	MLB	TB	57%	292	259	55	11	1	6	24	87	7	4	1	212	297	332	629	120	295	30	8	271	66	-11	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.1
2037	31	MLB	TB	60%	297	264	55	11	1	6	24	89	7	4	1	208	292	326	617	117	293	30	8	267	63	-13	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.2
2038	32	MLB	TB	61%	295	262	54	11	1	5	24	90	7	3	1	206	290	313	603	107	290	31	8	262	59	-14	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.4
2039	33	MLB	TB	62%	282	250	51	10	1	5	23	87	7	2	1	204	289	312	601	108	286	31	8	256	54	-15	+0	-3	+3	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3352	2975	637	126	17	66	271	992	82	54	12	214	297	334	632	120	296	30	8	270	65	-133	+6	-9	+36	+95	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	123	24	3	13	53	192	16	10	2	213	297	333	630	120	294	30	8	270	65	-26	+1	-2	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	6312	5583	1186	246	32	126	510	1890	165	111	24	212	297	336	633	123	294	30	8	286	77	-163	+13	-15	+68	+179	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	122	25	3	13	53	195	17	11	2	212	298	334	632	122	295	30	8	286	77	-17	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	118	90	15	5	0	1	15	36	10	4	1	167	348	256	603	89	259	31	13	292	82	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	21	15	5	1	0	0	5	6	1	3	1	333	524	400	924	67	556	29	24	435	191	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,485	70	58	213	294	337	+37	+24	5.0	4.5
	/162	664	13	11	213	294	337	+7.1	+4.6	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Lines (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	198/280/296	99	289	2	3	32%	8%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Ryan Mount 2007 · A	20	42	42→50	49→50	42	207/266/309	103	292	10	8	32%	7%	58	-1.2	223/268/340	117	294	12	11	27%	5%	66	-0.6	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	40→39	42→55	47→45	41	197/258/304	107	294	9	8	35%	7%	53	-1.5	182/243/308	126	303	14	5	42%	7%	49	-1.8	175/248/341	166	298	20	3	46%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	56	-1.3	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	61	-1.0	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	54	-1.4	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	45→50	47→50	41	200/276/327	127	305	11	9	36%	8%	68	-0.5	188/268/292	104	312	9	8	39%	8%	56	-1.3	154/245/248	94	260	8	8	40%	9%	34	-0.7
✕Wendell Rijo 2016 · A	20	42→41	42→55	49→50	40	204/258/310	106	288	8	12	31%	6%	55	-1.4	194/248/276	82	270	6	10	29%	6%	41	-2.3	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→44	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	37	-2.6	192/245/252	60	278	3	13	30%	6%	33	-2.9	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	41→47	41→50	49→50	44	202/257/305	102	265	8	10	26%	7%	53	-1.5	223/285/351	128	285	12	10	25%	7%	77	+0.1	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A	20	39→49	41→50	50→65	37	194/233/299	104	272	8	12	31%	5%	40	-2.4	232/286/371	139	325	12	13	30%	7%	82	+0.5	238/300/385	147	332	12	14	30%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→50	52→50	40	213/257/311	98	286	6	9	27%	5%	53	-1.5	209/259/322	113	277	11	9	27%	6%	59	-1.1	227/286/389	162	266	21	9	23%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Keury De La Cruz 2012 · A	20	40→49	42→50	48→50	42	197/252/305	108	265	8	9	28%	6%	51	-1.7	225/254/354	129	301	13	10	29%	3%	64	-0.8	225/251/351	127	299	13	10	29%	3%	59	-0.9
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6