Joseph Sullivan

OF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 198 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #261MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP46ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AAHOU	140	.191/.360/.264	2	8	63	—	.181/.324/.250
2025	23	A+HOU	341	.233/.411/.462	15	34	68	—	.166/.293/.311
2026	24	AAHOU	343	.221/.328/.391	11	20	59	—	.186/.267/.322
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBHOU	6	.189/.289/.316	0	0	73	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBHOU	107	.193/.291/.325	3	4	76	-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBHOU	158	.195/.292/.327	4	5	76	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed77

Chase%72

BB%66

ISO63

wOBA45

wRC+43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsKameron Misner (age 25) · Elijah Dunham (age 25) · Alerick Soularie (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .289 / .316

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP282

ISO127

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	68	17	5	0	0	13	11	7	8	4	250	420	324	744	74	293	12	15	354	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	140	110	21	2	0	2	23	42	6	8	1	191	360	264	623	73	284	30	16	304	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	341	262	61	11	2	15	65	91	14	34	8	233	411	462	872	229	295	27	19	393	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	69	54	16	2	1	1	13	16	1	8	2	296	441	426	867	130	395	23	19	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	343	294	65	13	2	11	41	107	6	20	8	221	328	391	720	170	305	31	12	324	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	72	15	4	0	0	9	15	7	8	4	208	352	264	616	56	246	17	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	140	116	21	2	0	2	18	49	6	8	1	181	324	250	574	69	283	35	13	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	341	289	48	8	2	10	38	122	14	34	8	166	293	311	605	145	236	36	11	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	343	307	57	11	2	9	28	131	6	20	8	186	267	322	589	137	275	38	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	72	15	4	0	0	9	15	7	8	4	208	352	264	616	56	259	17	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	68	17	5	0	0	13	11	7	8	4	250	420	324	744	74	293	12	15	354	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	550	463	78	11	2	13	64	196	21	50	11	168	297	285	583	117	254	36	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	550	426	98	15	3	18	101	149	21	50	11	230	401	406	808	176	307	27	18	370	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	343	307	57	11	2	9	28	131	6	20	8	186	267	322	589	137	286	38	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	343	294	65	13	2	11	41	107	6	20	8	221	328	391	720	170	305	31	12	324	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	73	15	4	0	0	9	15	7	8	4	205	352	260	613	55	246	17	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	550	460	78	11	2	13	64	196	21	50	11	170	297	287	584	117	250	36	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	343	306	57	11	2	9	28	131	6	20	8	186	267	324	590	137	275	38	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	89	73	15	4	0	0	9	15	7	8	4	205	352	260	613	55	246	17	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	550	460	78	11	2	13	64	196	21	50	11	170	297	287	584	117	250	36	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	343	306	57	11	2	9	28	131	6	20	8	186	267	324	590	137	275	38	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	380	331	62	11	2	9	37	135	9	15	4	187	287	314	601	127	278	36	10	276	73	-12	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	189	289	316	605	127	282	33	17	277	73	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	345	300	58	10	2	9	34	120	8	12	3	191	290	323	613	132	279	35	10	280	76	-10	+1	-0	-2	+7	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	42%	375	327	64	11	2	10	37	129	8	11	3	193	290	325	615	132	279	34	10	281	76	-11	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	107	93	17	3	0	3	11	37	2	4	1	193	291	325	616	132	283	35	10	282	76	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	42%	158	139	27	5	1	4	15	54	3	5	1	195	292	327	618	132	283	34	9	282	76	-4	+1	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	265	232	44	8	1	7	26	91	5	9	2	190	285	323	608	134	272	34	10	282	70	-8	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	108	20	2	17	64	223	12	22	5	190	285	322	607	132	272	34	10	282	70	-18	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2018	1744	323	56	9	49	203	703	57	113	33	185	291	312	603	127	273	35	10	272	70	-31	+3	-0	-6	+22	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	104	18	3	16	65	226	18	36	11	185	289	313	603	128	272	35	10	272	70	-19	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Dave Nicholson'60-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,661 PA	2.5	1,661	61	6	213*	321*	402*	-16	-6	2.5	2.5
/162	664	24	2	-6.6	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	271	7	9	193	288	325	-2	-0	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	17	21	-4.0	-0.6	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joseph Sullivan (OGILVIE)	25	36→40	47→50	55	67	185/285/311	126	278	8	12	35%	10%	73	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kameron Misner 2023 · AA	25	44→43	47→50	55	46	208/295/344	136	321	14	24	37%	10%	82	+0.0	199/287/338	139	314	14	23	37%	10%	78	-0.3	199/277/338	139	286	15	27	34%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	44	48→50	58→60	47	221/295/372	151	285	15	28	27%	8%	88	+0.5	208/279/348	140	290	14	25	31%	8%	77	-0.3	192/263/324	133	273	13	24	33%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Alerick Soularie 2024 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	46	198/284/317	119	288	13	23	34%	10%	72	-0.7	207/283/318	111	293	11	24	31%	8%	72	-0.7	172/252/257	85	238	9	42	30%	8%	49	-0.6
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	48→50	54→55	44	215/286/349	133	304	17	18	33%	9%	80	-0.2	216/282/348	132	295	14	16	30%	8%	78	-0.3	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	45	46→50	53→50	49	225/307/354	128	288	14	18	26%	9%	89	+0.5	207/285/346	139	265	15	12	27%	9%	79	-0.2	185/264/323	139	233	15	10	27%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	46	44→45	58→55	45	220/286/342	122	307	10	20	30%	8%	78	-0.3	214/279/328	114	315	9	17	32%	8%	72	-0.7	185/259/242	57	311	0	9	37%	8%	44	-0.5
✕Ernesto Martinez Jr. 2024 · AA	25	43→51	46→50	52→55	44	214/283/341	127	286	14	19	30%	8%	77	-0.3	227/293/352	125	297	12	14	26%	7%	83	+0.1	222/290/350	128	292	12	14	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕T.J. Mittelstaedt 2013 · AA	25	42→48	45	52→50	46	203/281/330	126	302	12	15	34%	10%	74	-0.6	189/273/316	127	314	13	10	40%	10%	68	-1.0	141/244/260	119	241	15	5	44%	12%	44	-1.7
✕Zach Kokoska 2024 · A	25	42	50→55	52→55	42	218/286/377	158	288	18	18	30%	7%	86	+0.3	188/256/346	158	271	19	17	37%	6%	69	-0.9	165/235/324	159	236	20	19	38%	6%	54	-1.1
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→46	44→45	53→55	46	188/273/305	116	293	11	14	37%	10%	65	-1.2	220/303/367	147	343	14	14	36%	10%	91	+0.6	203/286/331	129	310	11	20	35%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	48	202/300/324	122	284	13	26	31%	10%	80	-0.1	219/310/324	105	288	8	16	25%	10%	84	+0.1	218/323/308	90	279	5	13	21%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	39→43	51→55	52→50	45	204/280/371	167	286	19	14	34%	9%	83	+0.1	217/293/379	162	329	18	12	36%	10%	89	+0.5	211/292/367	157	326	17	12	38%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2024 · AA	25	40	41→40	55→60	55	188/310/287	98	279	7	19	31%	13%	77	-0.3	205/300/300	95	324	7	26	35%	10%	74	-0.5	195/286/284	89	320	5	34	37%	10%	63	-0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2022 · AAA	26	46	45	55→65	43	217/293/333	116	334	13	25	36%	9%	79	-0.2	222/297/337	115	324	13	24	33%	9%	81	-0.1	219/293/321	101	294	11	52	28%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→41	41→45	55→50	48	190/277/293	103	282	8	19	33%	10%	64	-1.3	198/279/320	122	314	11	14	37%	10%	71	-0.8	175/269/315	140	286	13	11	40%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→38	43→60	54→50	48	191/277/305	114	266	10	14	30%	10%	67	-1.1	202/272/351	149	275	16	14	31%	8%	75	-0.5	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	205/268/307	102	282	8	19	28%	7%	63	-1.3	191/255/287	97	258	7	25	27%	7%	51	-1.7

Joseph Sullivan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps