Jonah Cox
CF Richmond Flying Squirrels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/ASF | 460 | .267/.378/.370 | 5 | 58 | 66 | — | .215/.303/.287 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+SF | 597 | .257/.334/.398 | 10 | 58 | 63 | — | .215/.276/.328 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AASF | 235 | .415/.472/.647 | 7 | 34 | 171 | — | .385/.428/.587 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBSF | 169 | .252/.296/.384 | 4 | 16 | 87 | 0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 25 | MLBSF | 16 | .209/.264/.326 | 0 | 2 | 69 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 26 | MLBSF | 109 | .210/.267/.329 | 2 | 10 | 70 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 27 | MLBSF | 142 | .211/.268/.330 | 3 | 13 | 71 | 0.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 120 | 110 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 264 | 325 | 373 | 698 | 109 | 397 | 33 | 4 | 316 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 25 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 421 | 560 | 579 | 1.139 | 158 | 444 | 4 | 16 | 504 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 185 | 160 | 36 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 59 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 225 | 326 | 350 | 676 | 125 | 333 | 32 | 12 | 308 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 275 | 229 | 68 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 62 | 9 | 38 | 3 | 297 | 412 | 384 | 797 | 87 | 400 | 23 | 13 | 366 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 597 | 525 | 135 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 134 | 7 | 58 | 11 | 257 | 334 | 398 | 733 | 141 | 326 | 22 | 9 | 323 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 169 | 151 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 65 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 252 | 296 | 384 | 680 | 132 | 415 | 38 | 6 | 290 | 87 | -3 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 52 | 47 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 468 | 519 | 660 | 1.179 | 191 | 568 | 17 | 10 | 515 | 187 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 183 | 160 | 64 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 400 | 458 | 644 | 1.101 | 244 | 464 | 17 | 9 | 462 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 169 | 151 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 65 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 252 | 296 | 384 | 680 | 132 | 415 | 38 | 6 | 290 | 82 | -4 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 120 | 112 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 188 | 242 | 259 | 501 | 71 | 360 | 46 | 2 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 25 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 333 | 440 | 476 | 916 | 143 | 345 | 4 | 8 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 185 | 167 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 82 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 156 | 234 | 228 | 461 | 72 | 293 | 44 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 275 | 239 | 61 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 88 | 9 | 38 | 3 | 255 | 350 | 326 | 677 | 71 | 386 | 32 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 597 | 540 | 116 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 169 | 7 | 58 | 11 | 215 | 276 | 328 | 604 | 113 | 286 | 28 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 169 | 152 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 65 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 250 | 296 | 382 | 678 | 132 | 415 | 38 | 6 | 296 | 87 | -3 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 52 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 417 | 462 | 583 | 1.045 | 167 | 531 | 21 | 8 | 444 | 187 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 183 | 165 | 62 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 376 | 418 | 588 | 1.006 | 212 | 436 | 21 | 6 | 414 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 145 | 132 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 56 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 212 | 283 | 280 | 563 | 68 | 360 | 39 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 145 | 129 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 287 | 366 | 403 | 769 | 116 | 407 | 28 | 6 | 348 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 406 | 88 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 171 | 11 | 58 | 9 | 217 | 306 | 293 | 599 | 76 | 362 | 37 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 460 | 389 | 104 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 121 | 11 | 58 | 9 | 267 | 378 | 370 | 748 | 103 | 375 | 26 | 13 | 343 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 597 | 540 | 116 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 169 | 7 | 58 | 11 | 215 | 276 | 328 | 604 | 113 | 296 | 28 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | Eugene Emeralds | — | 597 | 525 | 135 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 134 | 7 | 58 | 11 | 257 | 334 | 398 | 733 | 141 | 326 | 22 | 9 | 323 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 404 | 365 | 121 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 114 | 1 | 50 | 13 | 332 | 376 | 504 | 880 | 173 | 457 | 28 | 6 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 404 | 358 | 124 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 105 | 1 | 50 | 13 | 346 | 399 | 536 | 935 | 190 | 463 | 26 | 8 | 397 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 145 | 131 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 56 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 214 | 283 | 282 | 565 | 69 | 357 | 39 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 405 | 88 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 171 | 11 | 58 | 9 | 217 | 306 | 294 | 600 | 77 | 349 | 37 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 597 | 546 | 116 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 169 | 7 | 58 | 11 | 212 | 276 | 324 | 601 | 112 | 286 | 28 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 404 | 375 | 121 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 114 | 1 | 50 | 13 | 323 | 376 | 491 | 867 | 168 | 439 | 28 | 6 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 405 | 88 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 171 | 11 | 58 | 9 | 217 | 306 | 294 | 600 | 77 | 349 | 37 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 597 | 546 | 116 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 169 | 7 | 58 | 11 | 212 | 276 | 324 | 601 | 112 | 286 | 28 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 404 | 375 | 121 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 114 | 1 | 50 | 13 | 323 | 376 | 491 | 867 | 168 | 439 | 28 | 6 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 10% | 380 | 351 | 74 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 127 | 2 | 36 | 5 | 213 | 268 | 336 | 604 | 123 | 303 | 33 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -14 | +5 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 10% | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 264 | 326 | 591 | 118 | 299 | 31 | 6 | 264 | 69 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 35% | 315 | 289 | 62 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 103 | 2 | 30 | 4 | 214 | 271 | 339 | 610 | 125 | 303 | 33 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -11 | +4 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 44% | 323 | 296 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 105 | 2 | 30 | 5 | 215 | 272 | 340 | 612 | 125 | 302 | 33 | 7 | 274 | 71 | -11 | +4 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 49% | 324 | 297 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 104 | 2 | 28 | 4 | 215 | 273 | 339 | 612 | 124 | 300 | 32 | 7 | 274 | 71 | -11 | +4 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 50% | 314 | 288 | 62 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 100 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 214 | 272 | 337 | 609 | 123 | 299 | 32 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -11 | +3 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 51% | 305 | 279 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 97 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 213 | 271 | 333 | 605 | 120 | 297 | 32 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -11 | +3 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 35% | 109 | 100 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 210 | 267 | 329 | 596 | 119 | 298 | 33 | 6 | 267 | 70 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 44% | 142 | 130 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 211 | 268 | 330 | 599 | 120 | 297 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 71 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 49% | 158 | 145 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 51 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 211 | 269 | 330 | 599 | 119 | 296 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 71 | -5 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 50% | 157 | 144 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 210 | 269 | 327 | 596 | 117 | 294 | 32 | 7 | 267 | 71 | -5 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 51% | 154 | 141 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 209 | 268 | 324 | 592 | 115 | 292 | 32 | 7 | 266 | 69 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 889 | 811 | 176 | 23 | 10 | 18 | 60 | 297 | 5 | 75 | 14 | 217 | 275 | 337 | 611 | 120 | 315 | 33 | 7 | 272 | 76 | -29 | +9 | -2 | +4 | +19 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 128 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 217 | 4 | 55 | 10 | 216 | 275 | 334 | 608 | 118 | 313 | 33 | 7 | 272 | 76 | -21 | +7 | -2 | +3 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3342 | 3035 | 693 | 93 | 43 | 60 | 228 | 1071 | 37 | 334 | 57 | 228 | 290 | 347 | 637 | 118 | 330 | 32 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -65 | +22 | -4 | +8 | +41 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 135 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 208 | 7 | 65 | 11 | 229 | 290 | 347 | 637 | 119 | 330 | 32 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -22 | +8 | -1 | +3 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 183 PAwOBA .455 → .414 (−40)K% 16.9% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 31.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 7.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 3.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.62% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .455 → .414; ISO .244 → .213; BABIP .464 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 52 PAwOBA .502 → .444 (−58)K% 17.3% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 42.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 40.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 9.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 2.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .502 → .444; ISO .191 → .160; BABIP .568 → .531. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 597 PAwOBA .315 → .262 (−54)K% 22.4% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.45% | ÷1.070 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.88% | ÷0.950 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.27% | ÷1.011 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.988 | 21.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.988 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.909 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | ×0.988 | 2.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.14% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .315 → .262; ISO .141 → .116; BABIP .326 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASan Jose Giants · 275 PAwOBA .358 → .297 (−61)K% 22.5% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.55% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.09% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.53% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×0.990 | 32.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.59% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×0.990 | 3.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×0.990 | 2.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .358 → .297; ISO .087 → .071; BABIP .400 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 185 PAwOBA .302 → .219 (−83)K% 31.9% → 44.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.89% | ÷0.968 | ×1.350 | — | — | 44.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.89% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.74% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 23.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.97% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 2.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.96% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 2.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 2.44% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .302 → .219; ISO .125 → .084; BABIP .333 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AStockton Ports · 120 PAwOBA .308 → .229 (−79)K% 33.3% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | — | 2.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.86% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | — | 30.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | — | 2.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.945 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | — | 2.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.945 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .308 → .229; ISO .109 → .079; BABIP .397 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Athletics · 25 PAwOBA .492 → .375 (−117)K% 4.0% → 5.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 5.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 9.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 5.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.974 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 27.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.051 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.149 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .492 → .375; ISO .158 → .110; BABIP .444 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).