Jonah Cox — OGILVIE

Jonah CoxCF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 204 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION212 act + 141 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.261 / .314 / .414

PA141

HR3

SB13

K%28

BB%6

BABIP351

ISO153

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT45

xwOBA

110.263

POWER40

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

6390.0

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

8428.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$15M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.3	$15M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+2.2	$13M	+$7M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+2.0	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$28M		$70M	+$51M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	145	132	30	2	2	2	6	55	7	20	2	227	297	318	615	91	373	38	4	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	145	129	37	3	3	2	9	41	7	20	2	287	366	403	769	116	407	28	6	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	460	406	85	7	5	4	41	179	11	58	9	209	299	281	580	71	362	39	9	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	460	389	104	9	8	5	58	121	11	58	9	267	378	370	748	103	375	26	13	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	597	542	114	17	10	9	37	165	7	58	11	210	270	328	598	118	284	28	6	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	597	525	135	24	10	10	54	134	7	58	11	257	334	398	733	141	326	22	9	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	SF	—	212	191	68	11	6	7	11	55	1	31	7	356	394	586	980	230	466	26	5	396	161	+15	+3	+0	+1	+6	2.5
YTD	24	AA	SF	—	212	186	71	12	6	7	16	46	1	31	7	382	433	624	1.057	242	474	22	8	440	195	+23	+3	+0	+1	+6	3.3
ROS	24	AA	SF	10%	141	130	34	5	3	3	9	40	1	13	3	261	314	414	728	153	343	28	6	311	96	-1	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.5
ROS	24	MLB	SF	10%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	154	214	154	368		337	29	7	299	87	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	SF	—	226	204	70	11	6	7	12	59	1	32	7	343	382	559	941	216	450	26	5	390	156	+14	+4	+0	+1	+6	2.6
TOT	24	AA	SF	—	353	321	102	16	9	10	20	95	2	44	10	317	361	517	878	199	419	27	6	362	135	+14	+5	+0	+1	+10	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SF	35%	660	606	150	22	10	13	42	187	7	53	11	248	304	381	685	134	334	28	6	304	91	-7	+6	+0	+2	+19	2.1
2028	26	MLB	SF	46%	660	604	151	23	10	14	44	184	7	53	11	250	308	391	699	141	331	28	7	307	93	-5	+6	+0	+2	+19	2.2
2029	27	MLB	SF	50%	660	603	149	23	9	14	45	183	7	53	11	247	307	385	692	138	329	28	7	308	94	-5	+6	+0	+2	+19	2.3
2030	28	MLB	SF	52%	660	602	149	23	9	14	46	183	7	50	10	248	308	385	694	138	328	28	7	307	93	-5	+6	-1	+2	+19	2.2
2031	29	MLB	SF	52%	658	600	148	23	9	14	46	184	7	47	9	247	308	385	693	138	327	28	7	305	92	-6	+6	-1	+2	+19	2.0
2032	30	MLB	SF	52%	645	589	143	22	9	13	45	182	6	41	8	243	303	377	680	134	326	28	7	303	90	-7	+5	-2	+2	+18	1.6
2033	31	MLB	SF	52%	405	370	88	13	5	8	28	115	4	22	5	238	299	365	663	127	324	28	7	299	87	-6	+2	-3	+1	+11	0.7
2027	25	MLB	SF	35%	229	210	52	8	4	4	15	65	2	18	4	248	304	381	685	133	329	28	7	292	82	-5	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.5
2028	26	MLB	SF	46%	306	280	68	10	5	6	20	85	3	25	5	243	300	379	679	136	325	28	7	295	84	-6	+3	+0	+1	+9	0.7
2029	27	MLB	SF	50%	331	302	74	11	5	7	23	92	3	27	5	245	305	384	689	139	323	28	7	295	84	-6	+3	+0	+1	+9	0.8
2030	28	MLB	SF	52%	344	314	77	12	5	7	24	95	3	26	5	245	305	382	687	137	322	28	7	295	84	-6	+3	-0	+1	+10	0.8
2031	29	MLB	SF	52%	341	311	75	11	5	7	24	95	3	24	5	241	302	376	678	135	322	28	7	293	83	-7	+3	-1	+1	+10	0.6
2032	30	MLB	SF	52%	333	304	73	11	5	6	23	94	3	21	4	240	300	368	668	128	321	28	7	291	81	-7	+3	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2033	31	MLB	SF	52%	209	190	46	7	3	4	15	60	2	12	2	242	304	374	678	132	319	29	7	287	78	-5	+2	-1	+1	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2107	1924	467	70	32	41	145	590	19	154	30	243	302	376	679	134	326	28	7	293	82	-42	+19	-4	+8	+60	4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	145	22	10	13	45	182	6	48	9	244	304	380	685	136	328	28	7	293	82	-13	+6	-1	+2	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5691	5184	1241	180	81	108	389	1657	71	468	90	239	301	368	669	128	329	29	7	295	84	-103	+58	-7	+20	+161	13.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	142	21	9	12	44	189	8	53	10	240	301	367	668	127	330	29	7	295	84	-12	+7	-1	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	120	110	29	2	2	2	5	40	5	14	2	264	325	373	698	109	397	33	4	316	100	+0	+2	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	25	19	8	1	1	0	4	1	2	6	0	421	560	579	1.139	158	444	4	16	504	243	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	185	160	36	3	4	3	22	59	2	20	6	225	326	350	676	125	333	32	12	308	94	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	275	229	68	6	4	2	36	62	9	38	3	297	412	384	797	87	400	23	13	366	138	+12	+6	—	—	+8	2.7
2025	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	597	525	135	24	10	10	54	134	7	58	11	257	334	398	733	141	326	22	9	323	106	+4	+7	—	—	+17	2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Michael Bournlast yr '16 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,312 PA	10	5,312	36	340	266	330	358	+17	+56	22.1	21.6
	/162	664	4	42	266	330	358	+2.1	+7.0	2.8	pk7: 21
#3Whit Merrifieldlast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,866 PA	9	4,866	94	218	280	328	413	+14	+7	22.2	21.5
	/162	664	13	30	280	328	413	+1.9	+0.9	3.0	pk7: 21
#4Billy Hamiltonlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,202 PA	7	3,202	23	295	240	294	328	+11	+78	11.2	11.2
	/162	664	5	61	240	294	328	+2.4	+16.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Dave Robertslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,910 PA	7	2,910	21	231	268	346	370	-9	-7	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	5	53	268	346	370	-2.2	-1.6	2.3	pk7: 10
#6Willy Taveraslast yr '09 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,605 PA	5	2,605	8	193	276	321	328	+9	+38	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	2	49	276	321	328	+2.4	+9.7	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	2,125	43	155	246	302	381	+8	+8	6.4	6.4
	/162	664	13	48	246	302	381	+2.4	+2.3	2.0	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonah Cox (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	60	40	317/361/517	199	419	10	44	27%	6%	135	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Wes Rogers 2018 · A	24	47→48	39→40	63→65	43	223/277/311	89	300	5	39	26%	6%	63	-0.9	195/249/269	74	292	5	24	33%	6%	40	-2.4	170/224/227	57	262	4	20	35%	6%	17	-2.3
✕Adam Engel 2016 · A	24	42→48	39→50	61→60	38	203/255/284	81	299	6	33	33%	6%	46	-2.0	204/262/314	110	293	8	25	31%	6%	57	-1.2	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Darren Ford 2010 · A	24	47→53	40→45	60→65	44	222/288/316	94	316	7	34	30%	8%	69	-0.4	223/273/324	101	306	8	33	28%	6%	64	-0.8	224/271/302	78	307	6	49	27%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	47→45	39→40	64→70	40	216/309/302	86	322	7	41	32%	6%	77	+0.1	216/302/305	89	306	6	49	29%	5%	74	-0.1	223/313/324	101	306	6	64	26%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2019 · A	24	44→52	42→45	58→65	40	218/269/322	105	278	10	35	25%	5%	63	-0.9	215/268/316	101	286	10	38	27%	5%	60	-1.0	198/256/298	99	269	11	46	29%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	46→45	43→50	57→65	42	221/284/333	112	302	10	27	29%	6%	72	-0.2	215/268/322	107	303	8	24	30%	5%	62	-0.9	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	46→50	43→45	58→60	40	224/279/336	112	299	10	29	28%	5%	70	-0.3	217/266/319	102	288	8	20	26%	5%	59	-1.1	203/230/287	84	267	3	25	25%	2%	32	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40→45	55→65	40	189/270/275	87	300	7	31	37%	8%	53	-1.5	224/290/323	99	311	6	26	28%	7%	72	-0.2	245/309/346	101	327	3	32	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Ben DeLuzio 2019 · AA	24	52→49	37→45	59→60	39	241/288/317	77	343	3	34	30%	5%	68	-0.5	226/285/323	97	324	5	23	30%	6%	69	-0.4	217/279/323	106	304	7	28	29%	6%	63	-0.5
●Tyler Graham 2009 · A	25	50→56	37→40	60→65	41	236/282/306	71	304	4	39	23%	5%	63	-0.9	256/300/336	80	328	6	41	23%	5%	79	+0.3	274/325/343	69	348	2	52	20%	5%	87	+0.5
✕Ryan LaMarre 2012 · AA	23	51→54	39→45	56→60	41	240/295/321	82	321	7	31	26%	6%	72	-0.2	229/291/313	84	304	6	23	25%	7%	69	-0.4	234/305/370	135	335	13	23	32%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Kenny Wilson 2014 · AA	24	44→51	39→40	56→60	41	208/274/293	85	294	6	28	30%	6%	58	-1.2	223/277/310	87	312	5	27	28%	6%	62	-0.9	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Jon Berti 2014 · A	24	44→54	36→45	57→60	46	207/278/275	68	275	3	30	24%	7%	54	-1.4	229/282/310	81	286	4	28	20%	5%	64	-0.8	275/357/407	132	345	13	35	22%	9%	118	+1.5
✕Cam Eden 2022 · A	24	49→48	43→40	62→65	46	228/314/338	110	329	10	35	31%	9%	87	+0.8	203/275/304	101	309	10	42	35%	7%	62	-0.9	191/263/268	77	283	6	49	32%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2012 · AA	24	42→52	43→55	59→60	41	202/269/316	113	307	10	34	36%	8%	61	-1.0	217/263/331	114	313	12	31	33%	5%	63	-0.9	237/298/404	167	340	15	21	33%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	47→55	42→45	62→65	45	225/295/333	109	304	9	41	28%	8%	77	+0.1	235/310/338	103	316	7	32	26%	9%	84	+0.6	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
●Óscar Mercado 2019 · AAA	24	49→54	39→55	54→60	44	234/285/320	86	294	6	30	22%	6%	68	-0.5	238/295/373	135	284	13	24	21%	6%	87	+0.8	240/303/397	157	276	16	22	19%	7%	94	+1.0