Cole Conn — OGILVIE

Cole ConnC Midland RockHounds

Age 25 S/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION252 act + 168 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .301 / .342

PA168

HR3

SB8

K%28

BB%9

BABIP300

ISO121

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$18M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	32	28	5	0	0	0	3	10	1	5	1	179	281	179	460		278	31	9	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	32	26	6	0	0	0	5	7	1	5	1	231	375	231	606		316	22	16	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	384	328	64	11	1	6	38	109	9	10	2	195	296	290	586	95	266	28	10	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	384	312	74	13	1	7	54	80	9	10	2	237	365	353	718	115	291	21	14	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	297	266	47	8	1	4	22	100	7	5	4	177	258	259	517	83	262	34	7	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	297	253	60	14	2	4	35	73	7	5	4	237	346	356	701	119	315	25	12	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	OAK	—	252	223	58	12	2	7	25	65	2	22	3	260	340	426	766	166	336	26	10	333	113	+4	+3	+0	+4	+7	1.9
YTD	25	AA	OAK	—	252	208	61	14	2	7	40	50	2	22	3	293	412	481	893	188	355	20	16	395	160	+17	+3	+0	+4	+7	3.3
ROS	25	AA	OAK	2%	168	149	33	7	1	3	15	47	2	8	1	221	301	342	643	121	298	28	9	294	83	-3	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.6
ROS	25	MLB	OAK	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						295	33	0	282	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	AA	OAK	—	255	226	58	12	2	7	25	66	2	22	3	257	336	420	756	164	331	26	10	332	113	+4	+3	+0	+5	+7	1.9
TOT	25	AA	OAK	—	420	372	91	19	3	10	40	112	4	30	4	245	325	392	717	148	321	27	10	317	101	+0	+4	+0	+8	+12	2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	OAK	31%	343	305	69	14	2	7	31	94	4	11	2	226	306	354	660	128	296	27	9	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.1
2028	27	MLB	OAK	42%	371	330	74	15	2	8	34	101	4	11	2	224	304	355	659	130	295	27	9	297	85	-6	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.3
2029	28	MLB	OAK	48%	388	344	77	15	2	8	36	105	5	10	2	224	306	349	655	125	295	27	9	297	85	-6	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.2
2030	29	MLB	OAK	49%	390	346	77	15	2	8	36	106	5	9	2	223	305	347	652	124	294	27	9	296	84	-7	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.1
2031	30	MLB	OAK	50%	390	347	77	15	2	8	36	107	4	8	2	222	302	346	648	124	292	27	9	293	82	-8	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.9
2032	31	MLB	OAK	55%	368	327	71	14	2	7	34	102	4	7	1	217	299	336	635	119	290	28	9	289	79	-9	+1	-3	+7	+10	0.7
2027	26	MLB	OAK	31%	106	94	21	4	1	2	10	29	1	4	1	223	305	351	656	128	293	27	9	283	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	27	MLB	OAK	42%	156	139	31	6	1	3	14	42	2	5	1	223	303	345	649	122	293	27	9	285	76	-4	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2029	28	MLB	OAK	48%	186	165	37	7	1	4	17	50	2	5	1	224	304	352	656	127	292	27	9	286	77	-5	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.4
2030	29	MLB	OAK	49%	193	171	38	7	1	4	18	52	2	4	1	222	304	345	649	123	291	27	9	285	76	-5	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2031	30	MLB	OAK	50%	196	174	38	7	1	4	18	54	2	4	1	218	299	339	638	121	290	28	9	282	74	-6	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.3
2032	31	MLB	OAK	55%	202	179	39	8	1	4	19	56	2	4	1	218	300	341	641	123	288	28	9	278	71	-7	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1042	925	204	39	6	21	96	284	11	26	6	221	301	344	645	123	292	27	9	283	75	-30	+3	-4	+19	+30	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	127	24	4	13	60	177	7	16	4	220	301	343	644	123	292	27	9	283	75	-19	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	3131	2770	594	114	15	59	285	881	45	84	19	214	298	330	628	116	289	28	9	283	75	-88	+9	-7	+56	+89	6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	123	24	3	12	59	183	9	17	4	214	297	329	625	115	289	28	9	283	75	-18	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	32	26	6	0	0	0	5	7	1	5	1	231	375	231	606		316	22	16	302	89	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	199	173	36	7	0	3	21	42	2	5	1	208	301	301	602	92	252	21	11	276	69	-7	+1	—	—	+6	-0.1
2024	23	A	Stockton Ports	—	185	139	38	6	1	4	33	38	7	5	1	273	436	417	853	144	343	21	18	380	149	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2025	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	178	156	35	6	2	0	17	45	4	4	2	224	316	288	605	64	312	25	10	282	74	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2025	24	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	119	97	25	8	0	4	18	28	3	1	2	258	390	464	854	206	318	24	15	379	148	+6	-1	—	—	+3	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,045	21	25	223	301	348	+19	+12	3.0	3.0
	/162	664	14	16	223	301	348	+11.9	+7.6	1.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Conn (OGILVIE)	25	40	25	50	45	245/325/392	148	321	10	30	27%	10%	101	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA	25	44	40→45	49→50	50	211/291/304	94	290	7	11	28%	10%	67	-0.5	238/301/356	118	292	11	14	21%	8%	85	+0.7	249/306/373	124	288	12	17	18%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	41→40	53→50	47	203/277/300	97	290	8	12	31%	9%	60	-1.0	208/289/309	101	313	9	15	33%	10%	68	-0.5	198/288/293	95	302	8	17	34%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/293	79	273	6	14	22%	8%	72	-0.2	205/298/278	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	176/285/222	46	228	2	12	21%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Jose Herrera 2022 · AAA	25	42	44→40	49→40	49	209/288/326	117	282	12	6	29%	10%	72	-0.2	214/283/299	85	280	8	4	25%	8%	63	-0.9	208/277/269	62	268	4	1	23%	8%	50	-0.7
●Trei Cruz 2023 · AA	25	37→47	42→45	51→50	49	181/275/288	107	278	9	13	35%	11%	57	-1.2	204/280/326	122	294	12	10	32%	9%	69	-0.4	223/300/348	125	306	12	10	29%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Elih Marrero 2022 · A	25	47	38→40	53→55	47	222/288/308	86	296	5	19	25%	8%	66	-0.6	207/278/290	83	302	6	22	31%	8%	58	-1.2	194/266/277	83	281	8	27	32%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA	25	40	41→40	43→45	41	195/268/292	97	287	9	7	33%	7%	55	-1.4	215/288/307	92	290	7	9	27%	7%	68	-0.5	211/289/296	86	282	7	7	26%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→45	49→50	47	223/294/335	113	295	9	12	26%	8%	77	+0.1	253/326/358	105	332	7	10	24%	9%	95	+1.4	261/335/360	99	340	7	8	23%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Jake Lemmerman 2014 · AA	25	43→50	41→45	52→45	47	208/287/310	101	285	9	10	28%	8%	68	-0.5	196/265/303	107	280	10	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	146/216/244	98	209	10	4	34%	8%	19	-1.6
✕Riley Unroe 2021 · AAA	25	45→48	42→50	48→55	44	218/279/323	105	295	10	12	28%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/345	123	290	12	17	26%	8%	77	+0.1	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	46→45	40	52→50	51	218/297/316	98	272	6	14	21%	9%	73	-0.1	252/313/328	76	307	4	11	18%	8%	82	+0.5	279/336/340	61	333	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Leo Rivas 2023 · AAA	25	44→54	40	53→65	46	213/282/304	90	289	8	20	28%	8%	63	-0.8	232/329/331	99	311	9	36	25%	12%	91	+1.1	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Matt Scheffler 2023 · AA	25	46	40	51→50	48	217/302/308	91	302	7	11	28%	9%	73	-0.1	207/288/285	78	288	6	13	28%	8%	62	-0.9	171/259/218	47	244	3	14	28%	8%	31	-1.3
✕Ripken Reyes 2023 · AA	26	47	37→40	49→50	50	220/322/296	76	275	4	10	20%	8%	80	+0.4	216/321/307	91	257	7	16	18%	8%	83	+0.6	208/315/297	89	246	7	16	17%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Noah Campbell 2023 · AA	24	46→45	39→45	51→50	45	213/290/305	92	318	6	13	32%	9%	67	-0.5	217/301/327	110	351	8	9	36%	10%	78	+0.2	211/305/324	113	351	8	6	38%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Karexon Sanchez 2013 · AA	25	46→48	43→45	50	44	220/291/334	113	307	11	13	30%	8%	76	+0.0	238/311/359	121	320	12	12	27%	8%	90	+1.0	244/322/364	121	311	14	10	25%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	42	209/281/304	95	283	9	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	206/259/318	112	293	12	10	33%	5%	57	-1.2	188/228/300	112	272	15	9	36%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Tyler Friis 2021 · AA	25	44	40	47→50	51	212/281/303	91	257	7	12	20%	8%	63	-0.9	223/278/310	87	295	6	17	24%	7%	63	-0.9	232/278/291	59	306	0	30	23%	6%	56	-0.3
✕Jon Del Campo 2013 · AAA	25	49	43→45	50→55	39	242/274/356	114	309	10	13	25%	4%	72	-0.2	251/284/357	106	319	11	18	24%	4%	77	+0.1	259/294/370	111	330	12	18	24%	4%	85	+0.4