Cole Conn

C Midland RockHounds
Age 26 S/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1718ETA2030MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+/AOAK384.237/.365/.35371062—.196/.294/.288
202524AA/A+OAK297.237/.346/.3564553—.188/.271/.276
202625AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs518.280/.389/.456133295—.241/.316/.377
2027PROJMLE26MLBOAK3.229/.305/.35100820.0
2028PROJ25% MLB27MLBOAK55.230/.306/.35111820.1
2029PROJ39% MLB28MLBOAK98.229/.304/.35022810.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed80
Chase%60
Whiff%60
K%56
Z-Con%51
BB%42
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 1.9, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%
CompsTaylor Walls (age 26) · Drew Millas (age 26) · Callix Crabbe (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .305 / .351
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP299
ISO122
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 ROKACL Athletics — 3226 6000 571 51 231375231606 316 2216 302 29 — — — — — —
202423 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 199173 36703 21422 51 208301301602 92252 2111 276 33 — — — — — —
202423 AStockton Ports — 185139 38614 33387 51 273436417853 144343 2118 380 93 — — — — — —
202524 AAMidland RockHounds — 178156 35620 17454 42 224316288605 64312 2510 282 42 — — — — — —
202524 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 11997 25804 18283 12 258390464854 206318 2415 379 70 — — — — — —
202625 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 163146 431116 16361 53 295368507875 212356 2210 385 90 — — — — — —
202625 AAMidland RockHounds — 311256 721527 48604 233 281403438840 156340 1915 376 95 — — — — — —
202625 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 4434 7410 861 40 206372382754 176241 1418 338 115 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 3228 5000 3101 51 179281179460 259 319 211 29 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 199179 29503 15552 51 162235240475 78210 288 217 33 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEStockton Ports — 185150 35513 22517 51 233358340698 107304 2812 305 93 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 178162 32520 11564 42 198266253519 56290 316 231 42 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 119103 18503 12373 12 175280311590 136234 3110 272 70 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 163151 36914 11431 53 238294391685 152310 267 301 90 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 311273 661326 31734 233 242328370698 128301 2310 309 95 — — — — — —
202322 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 3228 5000 3101 51 179281179460 278 319 211 29 — — — — — —
202322 ROK RAWACL Athletics — 3226 6000 571 51 231375231606 316 2216 302 29 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 384329 651116 371069 102 198296292588 94266 2810 259 62 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAW2 teams — 384312 741317 54809 102 237365353718 115291 2114 326 62 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 297265 511023 23927 54 192275279554 87279 318 247 54 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 297253 601424 35737 54 237346356701 119315 2512 321 54 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 518461 11224311 471276 326 243321380701 137310 259 306 93 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW3 teams — 518436 12230413 721026 326 280389456846 177336 2014 376 93 — — — — — —
202322 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 3228 5000 3101 51 179281179460 259 319 211 29 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 384335 651116 371069 102 194296287583 93255 2810 259 62 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 297265 511023 23927 54 192275279554 87268 318 247 54 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 518460 11224311 471276 326 243321380701 137304 259 306 93 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 384335 651116 371069 102 194296287583 93255 2810 259 62 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 297265 511023 23927 54 192275279554 87268 318 247 54 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 518460 11224311 471276 326 243321380701 137304 259 306 93 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEOAK 2% 380339 761527 33975 113 223299339639 117288 269 289 82 -8 +1 -1 +7 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXOAK 2% 33 0000 010 00 229305351656 121299 330 296 82 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEOAK 25% 225201 44914 19573 62 223299340639 117288 258 289 82 -5 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.4
202928 MLB MLEOAK 39% 253226 501015 22653 62 222298339637 117287 269 288 81 -6 +0 -1 +5 +5 0.4
203029 MLB MLEOAK 45% 263236 521015 22683 51 221297336632 115286 268 286 80 -6 +1 -2 +5 +6 0.3
203130 MLB MLEOAK 49% 269241 531115 23693 41 219294332626 113284 269 283 78 -7 +0 -3 +5 +6 0.1
203231 MLB MLEOAK 52% 246220 481014 21643 21 216290326616 110282 269 279 75 -7 +0 -3 +4 +5 -0.1
202827 MLB CTXOAK 25% 5549 11201 5141 10 230306351657 122298 259 296 82 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.1
202928 MLB CTXOAK 39% 9889 20412 8251 21 229304350655 121297 268 295 81 -2 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.1
203029 MLB CTXOAK 45% 118106 24512 10301 21 227303347650 120296 258 293 80 -3 +0 -1 +2 +3 0.1
203130 MLB CTXOAK 49% 132119 27612 11341 21 226300343643 117294 268 290 78 -3 +0 -1 +2 +3 0.0
203231 MLB CTXOAK 52% 128115 26612 11331 11 223296336633 114291 269 286 75 -4 -0 -2 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 531478 1082349 451365 84 226299347647 121295 268 291 76 -13 +0 -5 +9 +12 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 13228511 551666 105 226299347646 121294 268 291 76 -16 +0 -6 +12 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 26422346 5111011246 23069840 8021 218299330628 112287 269 281 76 -35 +2 -10 +25 +31 1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 12625311 5717210 205 218300329629 111289 269 281 76 -16 +1 -5 +12 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 311 PAwOBA .366 → .309 (−57)K% 19.3% → 23.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.29%÷1.000×1.220——23.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.47%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99810.11%
HBP% /PA1.29%—×0.870—×0.9981.12%
Singles /BIP24.49%÷1.000×0.920×0.990×0.99822.25%
Doubles /BIP7.65%÷1.000×0.840×0.990×0.9986.35%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷1.000×0.940×0.990×0.9980.95%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9982.85%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .366 → .309; ISO .156 → .133; BABIP .340 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 163 PAwOBA .375 → .301 (−74)K% 22.1% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.09%÷1.000×1.200——26.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.82%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0337.00%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.940—×1.0330.60%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.000×0.930×0.950×1.03320.74%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×1.0338.15%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷1.000×0.970×0.950×1.0330.87%
Home runs /BIP5.45%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0333.94%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .375 → .301; ISO .212 → .160; BABIP .356 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 178 PAwOBA .277 → .231 (−46)K% 25.3% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.28%÷0.988×1.220——31.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.55%÷1.078×0.700—×1.0126.28%
HBP% /PA2.25%—×0.870—×1.0121.98%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.012×0.920×1.050×1.01223.49%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷1.131×0.840×1.050×1.0124.27%
Triples /BIP1.80%÷1.150×0.940×1.050×1.0121.56%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.043×0.800—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .277 → .231; ISO .064 → .051; BABIP .312 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 119 PAwOBA .373 → .272 (−101)K% 23.5% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.53%÷0.969×1.270——30.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.13%÷1.048×0.710—×0.98810.13%
HBP% /PA2.52%—×0.790—×0.9881.97%
Singles /BIP18.84%÷1.078×0.920×0.955×0.98815.17%
Doubles /BIP11.59%÷1.199×0.810×0.955×0.9887.39%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850×0.955×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP5.80%÷0.921×0.800—×0.9884.98%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .373 → .272; ISO .206 → .156; BABIP .318 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 199 PAwOBA .273 → .217 (−56)K% 21.1% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.11%÷0.974×1.270——27.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.55%÷0.974×0.710—×0.9987.68%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.790—×0.9980.79%
Singles /BIP19.85%÷1.036×0.920×0.958×0.99816.85%
Doubles /BIP5.34%÷0.992×0.810×0.958×0.9984.17%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850×0.958×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.29%÷0.867×0.800—×0.9982.11%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .273 → .217; ISO .092 → .077; BABIP .252 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AStockton Ports · 185 PAwOBA .375 → .305 (−70)K% 20.5% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.54%÷1.015×1.360——27.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.84%÷1.021×0.690—×0.99011.94%
HBP% /PA3.78%—×0.780—×0.9902.92%
Singles /BIP26.73%÷1.004×0.920×0.996×0.99024.16%
Doubles /BIP5.94%÷0.979×0.830×0.996×0.9904.96%
Triples /BIP0.99%÷0.900×0.910×0.996×0.9900.99%
Home runs /BIP3.96%÷1.164×0.800—×0.9902.69%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .375 → .305; ISO .144 → .115; BABIP .343 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Athletics · 32 PAwOBA .295 → .211 (−85)K% 21.9% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.88%÷1.018×1.440——30.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.62%÷1.030×0.620—×0.9759.17%
HBP% /PA3.12%—×0.720—×0.9752.19%
Singles /BIP31.58%÷0.974×0.820—×0.97525.91%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.051×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.149×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .295 → .211; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .316 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .