Jake Berkland — OGILVIE

Jake BerklandSS Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 21 R/R A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .308 / .305

PA86

HR1

K%27

BB%11

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	75	50	11	1	1	0	22	14	1	10	4	220	466	280	746	60	306	19	29	362	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	75	57	11	1	1	0	15	19	1	10	4	193	370	246	615	53	283	25	20	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	75	57	11	1	1	0	15	19	1	10	4	193	370	246	615	53	289	25	20	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	75	50	11	1	1	0	22	14	1	10	4	220	466	280	746	60	306	19	29	362	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	75	59	11	1	1	0	15	19	1	10	4	186	370	237	607	51	283	25	20	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	75	59	11	1	1	0	15	19	1	10	4	186	370	237	607	51	283	25	20	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	185	160	34	5	2	2	21	50	2	7	1	213	311	308	618	95	290	27	11	285	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	189	164	36	5	2	3	21	50	2	7	1	216	313	317	631	102	291	26	11	289	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	305	265	59	9	3	5	34	80	3	11	2	219	315	326	641	107	292	26	11	293	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	387	337	74	11	4	6	43	101	4	14	2	221	316	333	649	112	293	26	11	296	87	-6	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	434	379	85	13	4	8	48	112	4	16	2	223	317	339	656	116	293	26	11	298	88	-6	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	463	405	91	14	4	9	50	119	5	16	2	224	317	343	660	119	293	26	11	300	89	-6	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	475	415	92	14	4	9	52	123	5	16	2	223	316	341	657	117	292	26	11	299	88	-7	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	479	419	92	14	4	8	52	125	5	15	2	222	314	336	650	114	291	26	11	296	87	-8	+2	-1	+5	+10	1.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	474	416	91	14	4	8	51	125	4	12	2	219	311	330	641	111	290	26	11	293	84	-9	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	467	410	89	14	4	7	50	124	4	10	1	216	308	322	631	106	289	27	11	288	81	-10	+2	-2	+5	+10	0.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	455	400	86	13	4	7	48	123	4	6	1	212	303	313	616	101	286	27	11	283	77	-12	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	438	386	80	12	3	6	46	120	3	2	1	207	298	301	599	94	282	27	11	275	73	-14	+0	-4	+5	+9	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	65	57	13	2	1	1	7	17	1	2	0	217	314	319	633	103	292	26	11	290	82	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	148	129	27	4	1	2	17	39	1	5	1	220	315	328	643	108	293	26	11	294	85	-3	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	204	177	39	6	2	3	23	53	2	7	1	222	317	335	652	113	294	26	11	297	87	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	238	208	46	7	2	4	26	61	2	9	1	224	317	341	658	117	294	26	11	300	88	-3	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	258	225	51	8	2	5	28	66	3	9	1	225	318	345	663	120	293	26	11	301	89	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	261	228	51	8	2	5	28	67	3	9	1	224	317	343	660	119	293	26	11	300	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	262	230	51	8	2	5	28	68	2	8	1	222	315	338	653	116	292	26	11	297	87	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	253	222	49	8	2	4	27	67	2	6	1	220	312	332	644	112	291	26	11	294	84	-5	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	245	215	46	7	2	4	26	65	2	5	1	217	309	324	633	107	289	27	11	289	81	-5	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	257	226	48	7	2	4	27	69	2	3	1	213	304	315	619	102	286	27	11	283	77	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
2038	32	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	238	209	44	7	2	3	25	65	2	1	0	208	298	303	601	95	283	27	11	276	73	-8	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2429	2126	465	72	20	40	262	637	22	64	9	219	311	328	639	109	291	26	11	293	84	-47	+9	-6	+26	+53	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	124	19	5	11	70	170	6	17	2	218	310	327	637	109	289	26	11	293	84	-13	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4727	4128	902	136	42	77	520	1244	45	138	22	219	313	328	640	109	292	26	11	292	84	-90	+18	-10	+50	+101	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	125	19	6	11	72	171	6	19	3	220	315	333	647	113	293	26	11	292	84	-13	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#4Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,514	41	69	220	309	329	+27	+21	5.7	5.2
/162	664	11	18	+7.1	+5.5	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Berkland (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	211/308/305	94	290	1	3	27%	11%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Pinto 2024 · A	21	48	38→45	56→65	53	222/315/303	82	283	4	25	21%	10%	81	-0.1	237/306/380	143	292	14	11	23%	8%	95	+0.9	237/306/381	144	288	10	4	20%	8%	90	+0.2
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	48→49	42→50	55	53	232/307/339	107	284	9	20	21%	10%	85	+0.2	227/290/330	103	280	8	20	21%	8%	76	-0.4	245/294/375	130	284	13	21	18%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	48→53	44→50	61→55	46	231/292/359	128	308	9	28	27%	8%	84	+0.1	243/298/376	133	291	13	16	20%	7%	90	+0.6	248/309/365	117	296	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Jett Williams 2024 · AA	20	44→48	45→50	60→55	54	209/324/338	129	296	11	25	30%	12%	93	+0.8	216/310/345	129	299	10	23	28%	11%	88	+0.4	214/300/348	134	288	11	26	27%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A	21	45→55	44→45	55→65	43	223/276/341	119	284	11	22	25%	6%	74	-0.6	237/281/346	109	298	8	37	22%	5%	76	-0.4	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	45→46	40→45	55→50	53	211/302/310	100	290	7	16	27%	11%	77	-0.3	227/287/348	121	312	12	11	29%	8%	80	-0.2	232/274/365	133	311	17	8	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→50	57→55	50	221/307/345	123	302	9	19	28%	10%	86	+0.3	220/283/335	115	289	10	21	26%	7%	75	-0.5	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Felix Valerio 2022 · A	21	48→49	43→45	52→55	52	233/311/351	118	279	9	18	19%	9%	90	+0.6	208/274/316	108	258	10	19	23%	7%	68	-1.0	193/256/290	97	241	10	20	24%	6%	53	-1.2
✕Nick Morabito 2024 · A	21	48→58	37→40	55→65	44	217/297/293	76	324	4	18	32%	8%	71	-0.8	250/316/335	85	345	6	36	27%	7%	87	+0.4	255/322/343	88	346	7	42	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Brice Matthews 2024 · A	22	45	44→50	54→60	46	211/306/329	118	322	12	22	35%	10%	84	+0.1	217/298/371	154	326	18	30	36%	9%	90	+0.6	208/288/365	156	305	19	33	36%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Luisangel Acuña 2022 · A	20	46→56	43→45	55→60	44	224/285/329	105	303	11	25	29%	7%	74	-0.5	247/299/356	109	328	10	34	26%	7%	85	+0.2	257/304/361	104	328	9	39	23%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Ryan Brett 2013 · A	21	51→58	39→45	59→60	45	241/287/334	93	297	6	27	20%	6%	76	-0.4	253/293/362	109	307	8	23	20%	5%	84	+0.2	256/293/368	112	307	9	21	19%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	48	42→45	57→55	50	227/304/340	113	301	7	21	26%	9%	84	+0.2	218/283/329	111	294	9	18	27%	8%	74	-0.6	209/274/311	102	283	9	19	28%	8%	63	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps