Carson Roccaforte

Carson RoccaforteOF Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 195 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION384 act + 256 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .268 / .345

PA256

HR8

SB11

K%37

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO157

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	138	122	26	5	1	0	13	53	1	16	3	213	294	270	565	57	366	38	9	251	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	138	116	34	7	2	0	19	34	1	16	3	293	397	388	785	95	405	25	14	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	484	76	14	3	8	43	179	3	34	13	157	230	248	478	91	225	33	8	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	471	98	23	5	10	56	139	3	34	13	208	296	342	638	134	269	26	10	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	635	559	108	26	7	16	66	242	5	50	14	193	284	351	635	157	302	38	10	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	635	530	138	38	7	20	95	190	5	50	14	260	378	472	849	211	364	30	15	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	KC	—	384	341	67	11	4	15	30	148	5	17	15	196	271	384	655	188	283	39	8	281	73	-12	-3	+0	-2	+11	-0.6
YTD	24	AA	KC	—	384	327	79	14	5	17	44	115	5	17	15	242	340	471	811	229	308	30	11	351	127	+12	-3	+0	-2	+11	1.8
ROS	24	AA	KC	2%	256	229	43	8	2	8	22	94	3	11	7	188	268	345	613	157	276	37	9	277	70	-9	-1	+1	-2	+7	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB	KC	2%	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						273	40	0	265	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	KC	—	389	346	67	11	4	15	30	150	5	17	15	194	268	379	646	185	278	39	8	281	73	-12	-3	+0	-2	+11	-0.6
TOT	24	AA	KC	—	640	570	110	19	6	23	52	242	8	28	22	193	270	368	638	175	279	38	8	279	72	-20	-3	+1	-4	+18	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	KC	31%	370	333	65	12	3	12	31	130	3	13	8	195	270	357	627	162	278	35	8	283	75	-11	-1	+1	-2	+10	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	KC	45%	407	365	73	14	3	13	35	139	4	14	8	200	277	362	639	162	279	34	9	287	78	-10	-0	+1	-2	+12	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	KC	49%	420	376	75	14	3	13	37	141	4	14	8	199	278	356	635	157	280	34	9	289	79	-10	-0	+2	-3	+12	0.1
2030	28	MLB	KC	52%	425	381	78	15	3	14	37	142	4	13	8	205	282	370	652	165	280	33	9	289	79	-10	-1	+1	-3	+12	-0.0
2027	25	MLB	KC	31%	115	103	21	4	1	4	10	40	1	4	2	204	281	379	659	175	274	35	9	272	66	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	KC	45%	181	161	33	6	2	6	16	62	2	6	4	205	285	379	664	174	276	34	9	276	69	-6	-0	+1	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	KC	49%	207	185	37	7	2	6	18	70	2	7	4	200	278	357	635	157	276	34	9	278	71	-7	-0	+1	-1	+6	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	KC	52%	219	196	39	7	2	7	19	73	2	7	4	199	276	362	639	163	276	33	9	278	71	-7	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	727	650	130	24	7	23	63	247	7	24	14	200	278	365	642	165	279	34	9	276	70	-25	-1	+2	-4	+21	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	116	21	6	21	56	221	6	21	13	200	277	365	642	165	277	34	9	276	70	-22	-1	+2	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	3186	2849	544	108	25	84	284	1120	27	165	69	191	271	335	605	144	276	35	9	271	66	-124	+5	+6	-19	+90	-4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	111	22	5	17	58	228	6	34	14	191	271	334	605	143	276	35	9	271	66	-25	+1	+1	-4	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	101	26	6	2	0	19	31	1	11	3	257	380	356	737	99	366	25	16	338	117	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	16	15	8	1	0	0	0	3	0	5	0	533	533	600	1.133	67	615	19	0	476	223	+2	+1	—	—	+0	0.4
2024	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	471	98	23	5	10	56	139	3	34	13	208	296	342	638	134	269	26	10	288	78	-13	+2	—	—	+15	0.4
2025	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	212	183	53	15	2	5	27	61	2	10	5	290	387	475	862	186	410	29	13	383	151	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.9
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	339	279	66	15	5	13	55	101	2	33	7	237	366	466	832	229	317	30	16	366	138	+15	+4	—	—	+10	2.9
2025	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	84	68	19	8	0	2	13	28	1	7	2	279	402	485	888	206	425	33	15	386	153	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	10	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.2
	/162	664	19	24	227	280	381	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	728	23	24	202	277	367	-4	+8	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	21	22	202	277	367	-4.0	+7.3	-0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Roccaforte (OGILVIE)	24	30→39	40→49	60→57	45	193/270/368	175	279	23	28	38%	8%	72	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	199/272/316	117	310	10	19	36%	8%	63	-0.8	200/289/343	143	318	15	23	38%	11%	78	+0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→47	44→50	53→55	45	189/273/309	120	297	11	14	38%	10%	62	-0.9	217/302/371	154	344	15	14	38%	10%	89	+1.0	212/288/350	139	311	14	25	34%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	40→44	47→55	54→55	40	202/271/332	130	303	15	14	37%	8%	67	-0.5	217/284/358	141	307	17	15	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/362	150	289	16	27	31%	8%	80	+0.4	202/275/357	155	275	17	29	32%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→40	50→55	48→50	45	190/268/346	156	268	17	12	35%	9%	69	-0.4	213/285/388	175	304	20	12	35%	9%	87	+0.8	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2022 · A	25	36→46	47→45	54→60	39	184/254/324	140	289	15	16	40%	8%	58	-1.2	233/286/352	119	332	11	32	31%	6%	77	+0.1	245/299/365	120	341	10	36	29%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Estevan Florial 2022 · MLB	24	39→49	48→55	47→60	41	197/265/341	144	297	16	15	38%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/379	163	322	18	29	36%	8%	83	+0.6	210/277/376	166	312	19	35	37%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	45→50	55→60	37	197/258/317	121	307	12	20	38%	7%	57	-1.2	201/270/325	124	305	11	26	36%	7%	65	-0.7	191/267/321	130	289	12	34	35%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→37	43→60	54→50	48	193/272/304	111	262	10	14	29%	9%	60	-1.0	191/270/313	122	269	12	13	31%	9%	62	-0.9	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Carlos Moncrief 2013 · A	24	38→48	47→55	54→50	37	187/253/326	140	316	14	14	43%	8%	58	-1.2	225/277/374	149	300	16	11	29%	6%	79	+0.3	230/284/374	144	289	16	11	25%	7%	80	+0.3
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	45	58→55	43	210/270/336	126	291	11	20	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/269/323	114	308	9	17	33%	7%	63	-0.9	188/264/249	61	327	0	9	38%	8%	40	-0.4
✕Izzy Wilson 2022 · AA	24	41→33	48→45	54→55	40	205/269/339	134	314	17	25	39%	8%	68	-0.5	205/266/350	145	301	18	18	36%	7%	69	-0.4	174/239/323	149	244	19	17	36%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/275/311	119	295	12	16	36%	9%	64	-0.8	197/281/310	113	291	12	26	34%	9%	66	-0.6	177/270/280	103	254	13	39	33%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Daz Cameron 2021 · MLB	24	41→45	45→55	51→55	41	203/272/332	128	287	12	16	32%	7%	67	-0.5	213/276/351	138	290	15	20	30%	7%	74	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Slade Heathcott 2015 · AA	24	44→43	42→45	50	37	213/261/322	109	311	9	15	34%	5%	59	-1.1	229/280/342	113	319	11	10	30%	6%	72	-0.2	218/286/353	135	311	15	11	33%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Ernesto Martinez Jr. 2023 · A	24	43→52	49→50	58→55	44	209/294/356	147	317	17	24	37%	9%	83	+0.6	225/291/349	124	304	12	16	28%	7%	79	+0.3	229/297/366	138	300	14	11	27%	7%	84	+0.4