Junior Suarez — OGILVIE

Junior Suarez P DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.67

FIP5.67

K%23.0%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	0	16	75	23	11	0	0%	1.2	20.9%	18.3%	2.5%	0.0%	4.50	3.66	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	0	16	75	23	11	0	0%	1.2	30.7%	14.7%	16.0%	0.0%	4.50	2.29	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	9	0	11	55	15	9	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	20.5%	-1.9%	2.5%	8.44	5.47	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	9	0	11	55	15	9	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	20.5%	-1.9%	2.5%	8.44	5.47	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	9	0	11	55	15	9	1	0%	1.2	27.3%	16.4%	10.9%	1.8%	8.44	4.04	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	4	0	9	38	10	8	1	0%	2.3	26.3%	21.1%	5.3%	2.6%	4.82	4.99	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	4	0	9	38	10	8	1	0%	2.3	26.3%	21.1%	5.3%	2.6%	4.82	4.99	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	4	0	9	38	10	8	1	0%	2.3	26.3%	21.1%	5.3%	2.6%	4.82	4.92	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	13	0	25	109	36	22	0	0%	1.9	22.5%	25.2%	-2.8%	0.0%	3.20	4.40	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	13	0	25	109	36	22	0	0%	1.9	22.5%	25.2%	-2.8%	0.0%	3.20	4.40	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	13	0	25	109	36	22	0	0%	1.9	33.0%	20.2%	12.8%	0.0%	3.20	2.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	—	13	0	14	59	14	12	2	0%	1.1	23.0%	20.0%	3.0%	2.9%	5.67	5.67	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	—	23	0	24	100	24	17	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	16.7%	7.0%	2.9%	5.31	5.17	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	—	11	0	12	51	12	8	1	0%	1.1	23.8%	16.7%	7.0%	2.9%	5.31	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	12	8	1	0%	1.1	23.8%	16.7%	7.0%	2.9%	5.31	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	206	137	17	0%	1.1	23.8%	16.7%	7.0%	2.9%	5.31	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		39	0	61	277	60	60	2	0%	1.6	21.8%	21.8%	-0.1%	0.8%	4.70	4.49	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	0	200	903	197	197	8	0%	1.6	21.8%	21.8%	-0.1%	0.8%	4.70	4.49	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Junior Suarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.67	23.0%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.17	23.8%	7.0%	24	-0.50	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	89
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	87
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	87
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	86
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	85
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	84
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	83
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	82
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	82
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	81
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	81
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	80
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	80
Brendan Cellucci L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	26.3%	18.6%	2.4%	.398	4.63	23.4%	6.9%	172	+0.06	3.98	288	78
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	78
Armando Vasquez L 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	21.5%	18.0%	2.9%	.312	6.10	20.8%	2.7%	36	+0.95	4.22	131	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	78
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	77
Destin Dotson L 2022 · 5.84 FIP	22	SU	5.84	23.0%	19.9%	4.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	113	77
Ronan Kopp L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	22	SU	4.60	25.0%	19.9%	2.0%	.312	3.98	25.4%	8.3%	104	-0.62	2.93	284	76