Andrew Bolívar — OGILVIE

Andrew Bolívar P FCL Cardinals

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.01

FIP6.01

K%19.4%

BB%20.4%

K-BB%-1.0%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	10	43	185	53	26	1	83%	3.6	19.5%	17.6%	1.9%	0.6%	4.22	4.00	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	12	10	43	185	53	26	1	83%	3.6	19.5%	17.6%	1.9%	0.6%	4.22	4.00	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	12	10	43	185	53	26	1	83%	3.6	28.6%	14.1%	14.6%	0.5%	4.22	2.75	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	11	4	30	151	28	31	2	36%	2.7	12.6%	25.7%	-13.1%	1.6%	8.19	6.17	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	11	4	30	151	28	31	2	36%	2.7	12.6%	25.7%	-13.1%	1.6%	8.19	6.17	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	11	4	30	151	28	31	2	36%	2.7	18.5%	20.5%	-2.0%	1.3%	8.19	5.22	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	14	3	28	134	33	31	2	21%	2.0	16.7%	28.9%	-12.2%	2.1%	5.72	6.50	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	14	3	28	134	33	31	2	21%	2.0	16.7%	28.9%	-12.2%	2.1%	5.72	6.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	STL	14	3	28	134	33	31	2	21%	2.0	24.6%	23.1%	1.5%	1.5%	5.72	4.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	STL	38	0	40	170	35	29	5	0%	1.1	20.4%	17.1%	3.2%	2.8%	5.63	5.49	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	STL	19	0	20	84	17	14	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	17.1%	3.2%	2.8%	5.63	5.49	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	84	17	14	2	0%	1.0	20.4%	17.1%	3.3%	2.8%	5.63	5.11	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	141	20	0%	1.1	20.4%	17.1%	3.3%	2.8%	5.63	5.11	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		37	17	101	470	78	110	6	46%	2.7	16.5%	23.4%	-6.9%	1.3%	5.81	5.41	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	34	200	934	154	219	13	46%	2.7	16.5%	23.4%	-6.9%	1.3%	5.81	5.41	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Bolívar (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.01	19.4%	20.4%	2.9%	—	5.49	20.4%	3.2%	40	-0.52	—	—	—
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	86
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	86
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	86
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	85
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	83
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	83
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	81
Yeiber Cartaya R 2023 · 5.38 FIP	20	SW	5.38	16.4%	21.2%	1.8%	.307	4.38	20.4%	3.8%	235	-1.00	4.12	283	81
Dominic Hambley R 2023 · 5.81 FIP	20	SW	5.81	16.4%	20.4%	2.8%	.318	4.66	17.9%	-4.3%	73	-1.15	4.44	131	81
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	17	SP-	6.24	18.4%	20.7%	3.8%	.333	4.28	17.1%	5.1%	129	-1.96	4.02	167	81
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	81
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	81
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	81
Yeriel Santos R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	19	SW	5.89	17.4%	22.9%	2.5%	.239	5.80	16.0%	-0.9%	276	-0.09	4.44	351	81
Leudy Martinez R 2019 · 5.99 FIP	19	SW	5.99	15.2%	22.0%	2.5%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	116	79
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	79
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	79
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.0%	18.2%	1.10	5.76
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99