Jay Beshears1B
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 24
R/R
6'3" / 220 lbs
AA
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .282 / .317
PA231
HR4
K%28
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
40→40
SPD
45→45
EYE
53↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-5M | $-20M | -$15M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 114 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .176 | .219 | .250 | .469 | .074 | .295 | 40 | 3 | .196 | 8 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 541 | 478 | 94 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 132 | 11 | 7 | 5 | .197 | .281 | .276 | .557 | .079 | .258 | 24 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -30 | -1 | +0 | -10 | +15 | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 243 | 215 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 78 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .163 | .253 | .274 | .528 | .112 | .230 | 32 | 9 | .240 | 42 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 46 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .195 | .283 | .366 | .648 | .171 | .333 | 46 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | 185 | 165 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .212 | .290 | .345 | .635 | .133 | .278 | 30 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.4 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | MIA | 231 | 206 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 76 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .209 | .288 | .350 | .638 | .141 | .296 | 33 | 8 | .271 | 66 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | MIA | 295 | 262 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 73 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .210 | .294 | .332 | .626 | .122 | .266 | 25 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | MIA | 354 | 313 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 86 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .214 | .299 | .345 | .644 | .131 | .268 | 24 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | MIA | 381 | 338 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 93 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .219 | .302 | .358 | .660 | .139 | .270 | 24 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | MIA | 396 | 351 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 97 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .217 | .300 | .350 | .651 | .134 | .270 | 24 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | MIA | 396 | 351 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 98 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .217 | .300 | .350 | .651 | .134 | .269 | 25 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | MIA | 396 | 351 | 74 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 100 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .211 | .295 | .339 | .634 | .128 | .267 | 25 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -10 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | MIA | 385 | 341 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 99 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .205 | .291 | .326 | .616 | .120 | .266 | 26 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -11 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +11 | -0.9 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 368 | 325 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 96 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .290 | .317 | .607 | .114 | .264 | 26 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -12 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 340 | 301 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 91 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .199 | .285 | .309 | .594 | .110 | .262 | 27 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +1 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 297 | 264 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 82 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .197 | .281 | .303 | .584 | .106 | .260 | 28 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -12 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4691 | 4163 | 853 | 189 | 17 | 89 | 412 | 1226 | 77 | 58 | 22 | .205 | .288 | .323 | .611 | .118 | .266 | 26 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -159 | +3 | -20 | -84 | +133 | -12.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 117 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 57 | 170 | 11 | 8 | 3 | .203 | .287 | .317 | .604 | .114 | .263 | 26 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -22 | +0 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 114 | 105 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .229 | .281 | .314 | .595 | .086 | .324 | 29 | 4 | .270 | 65 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 344 | 308 | 67 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 64 | 6 | 5 | 3 | .218 | .288 | .308 | .597 | .091 | .264 | 19 | 7 | .271 | 65 | -13 | -0 | — | — | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 133 | 97 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .320 | .496 | .454 | .950 | .134 | .414 | 20 | 23 | .428 | 185 | +13 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 64 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .115 | .254 | .192 | .446 | .077 | .167 | 34 | 12 | .219 | 26 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 39 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .289 | .308 | .421 | .729 | .132 | .345 | 21 | 0 | .324 | 106 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 204 | 169 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .201 | .332 | .355 | .687 | .154 | .256 | 25 | 15 | .313 | 97 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jay Beshears (OGILVIE) | 24 | 30 | 40 | 45 | 60 | .203/.282/.317 | .115 | .273 | 4 | 3 | 28% | 9% | 68 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA |
25 | 40 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 47 | .197/.273/.309 | .112 | .261 | 11 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.298/.361 | .150 | .289 | 18 | 7 | 32% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .205/.302/.363 | .158 | .282 | 20 | 3 | 32% | 10% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Clint Coulter 2017 · AA |
24 | 42→43 | 45→50 | 42→40 | 43 | .212/.279/.337 | .125 | .265 | 13 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .203/.260/.326 | .123 | .282 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .205/.273/.359 | .153 | .249 | 19 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Daniel Arribas 2017 · A |
24 | 41→39 | 42→40 | 48→45 | 43 | .206/.270/.309 | .103 | .276 | 11 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .197/.271/.288 | .091 | .282 | 8 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .128/.235/.162 | .033 | .216 | 0 | 15 | 36% | 11% | 9 | -1.0 |
|
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA |
24 | 42→41 | 41→50 | 45 | 43 | .206/.265/.304 | .098 | .278 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .212/.292/.338 | .126 | .286 | 12 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .214/.305/.368 | .154 | .264 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 10% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A |
24 | 45→42 | 44→45 | 48→45 | 45 | .223/.279/.341 | .118 | .272 | 11 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .204/.267/.308 | .104 | .287 | 10 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .106/.190/.154 | .049 | .182 | 8 | 7 | 43% | 9% | -14 | -1.1 |
|
✕Huascar Fuentes 2016 · A |
24 | 44 | 45→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .214/.292/.347 | .133 | .268 | 11 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .200/.262/.292 | .092 | .280 | 6 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .179/.233/.243 | .065 | .264 | 3 | 4 | 31% | 3% | 25 | -1.0 |
|
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A |
25 | 45→38 | 41→40 | 43→45 | 43 | .220/.284/.318 | .098 | .283 | 9 | 5 | 25% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .195/.268/.281 | .086 | .273 | 8 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .096/.196/.130 | .034 | .153 | 4 | 0 | 37% | 6% | -15 | -1.3 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA |
25 | 44→43 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 42 | .213/.278/.333 | .119 | .289 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.300/.381 | .157 | .295 | 17 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→40 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 48 | .192/.276/.305 | .113 | .261 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .193/.276/.302 | .109 | .277 | 10 | 6 | 32% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .109/.220/.196 | .087 | .164 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 9% | 11 | -1.0 |
|
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→29 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .191/.254/.286 | .095 | .257 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .192/.267/.310 | .118 | .259 | 14 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.266/.299 | .113 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 29% | 9% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A |
24 | 39→40 | 47→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .200/.280/.332 | .132 | .273 | 14 | 11 | 31% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .197/.270/.316 | .119 | .279 | 13 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .182/.253/.288 | .106 | .262 | 11 | 14 | 33% | 7% | 46 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ruben Ibarra 2023 · A |
24 | 41→36 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 42 | .209/.285/.346 | .136 | .292 | 17 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .204/.277/.352 | .148 | .277 | 20 | 3 | 32% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .191/.269/.345 | .154 | .252 | 22 | 1 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA |
23 | 39→41 | 43→50 | 40→45 | 46 | .196/.269/.309 | .112 | .266 | 11 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .200/.265/.306 | .106 | .264 | 9 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .227/.282/.376 | .149 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Eric Wagaman 2022 · A |
24 | 37→47 | 42→50 | 42→45 | 40 | .185/.243/.287 | .102 | .273 | 10 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .219/.276/.365 | .146 | .272 | 17 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .241/.289/.388 | .147 | .287 | 15 | 11 | 22% | 6% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A |
24 | 44→43 | 47→50 | 50 | 45 | .220/.295/.356 | .136 | .284 | 15 | 9 | 27% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .214/.280/.343 | .129 | .299 | 14 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .199/.264/.325 | .126 | .287 | 14 | 4 | 34% | 5% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Anthony García 2016 · AAA |
24 | 40→46 | 48→55 | 44→45 | 45 | .206/.280/.347 | .141 | .257 | 15 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .217/.283/.355 | .138 | .262 | 15 | 6 | 23% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .218/.290/.362 | .145 | .263 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA |
24 | 39→47 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 48 | .193/.275/.309 | .117 | .272 | 11 | 5 | 31% | 10% | 63 | -0.8 | .217/.294/.333 | .116 | .291 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .219/.297/.324 | .105 | .288 | 11 | 4 | 26% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jeyson Sanchez 2018 · A |
24 | 38 | 47→50 | 45→50 | 43 | .200/.264/.333 | .133 | .253 | 15 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .195/.268/.310 | .115 | .262 | 12 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .137/.233/.220 | .084 | .182 | 10 | 0 | 30% | 7% | 20 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 45 | .213/.275/.318 | .106 | .281 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .216/.308/.313 | .097 | .284 | 6 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .210/.315/.303 | .093 | .277 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |