Ruben Ibarra1B
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 27
R/R
6'3" / 290 lbs
AA
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .282 / .366
PA250
HR9
K%32
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
60→60
SPD
40→40
EYE
47↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-9M | $-21M | -$12M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 106 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .161 | .298 | .218 | .516 | .057 | .260 | 36 | 10 | .241 | 43 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 258 | 232 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 83 | 7 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .277 | .366 | .644 | .164 | .262 | 32 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 402 | 355 | 71 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 32 | 129 | 11 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .286 | .361 | .647 | .161 | .260 | 32 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 441 | 399 | 75 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 144 | 7 | 1 | 1 | .188 | .259 | .303 | .562 | .115 | .258 | 33 | 7 | .250 | 50 | -25 | -0 | +0 | -8 | +12 | -2.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 400 | 353 | 69 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 30 | 133 | 14 | 0 | 0 | .195 | .285 | .397 | .681 | .201 | .245 | 33 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +11 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 72 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .161 | .268 | .290 | .558 | .129 | .267 | 43 | 8 | .242 | 43 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 178 | 158 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .278 | .348 | .627 | .152 | .271 | 34 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | CIN | 250 | 220 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 92 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .186 | .275 | .332 | .607 | .145 | .270 | 37 | 8 | .275 | 68 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | CIN | 267 | 236 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 73 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .203 | .291 | .356 | .646 | .153 | .252 | 27 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | CIN | 309 | 272 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .297 | .375 | .672 | .165 | .254 | 27 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | CIN | 336 | 297 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 92 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .205 | .291 | .360 | .652 | .155 | .255 | 27 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | CIN | 340 | 301 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .291 | .359 | .650 | .153 | .254 | 28 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | CIN | 334 | 295 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .293 | .363 | .656 | .156 | .252 | 28 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -8 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 57% | CIN | 312 | 276 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 90 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .196 | .282 | .330 | .611 | .134 | .251 | 29 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 75% | CIN | 273 | 243 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .273 | .321 | .594 | .132 | .248 | 30 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -10 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3956 | 3504 | 696 | 123 | 5 | 132 | 322 | 1196 | 94 | 8 | 2 | .199 | .284 | .350 | .633 | .151 | .256 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -115 | +1 | -20 | -71 | +112 | -9.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 115 | 20 | 1 | 22 | 53 | 197 | 15 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .284 | .352 | .637 | .153 | .257 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -19 | +0 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 106 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .195 | .365 | .268 | .634 | .073 | .278 | 27 | 15 | .305 | 92 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 94 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .188 | .266 | .365 | .631 | .176 | .200 | 22 | 7 | .284 | 75 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 164 | 140 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .286 | .383 | .486 | .868 | .200 | .355 | 26 | 10 | .382 | 150 | +9 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 402 | 340 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 98 | 11 | 1 | 0 | .238 | .349 | .441 | .790 | .203 | .276 | 24 | 12 | .351 | 127 | +12 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 2.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 326 | 288 | 67 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 82 | 6 | 0 | 1 | .233 | .315 | .417 | .731 | .184 | .281 | 25 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 115 | 94 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .255 | .372 | .340 | .712 | .085 | .344 | 26 | 15 | .325 | 107 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 400 | 336 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 21 | 47 | 103 | 14 | 0 | 0 | .232 | .350 | .470 | .820 | .238 | .265 | 26 | 12 | .362 | 135 | +16 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 2.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ruben Ibarra (OGILVIE) | 27 | 40 | 60 | 40 | 50 | .203/.282/.366 | .163 | .271 | 9 | 1 | 32% | 8% | 82 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA |
27 | 36→46 | 53→60 | 44→40 | 39 | .196/.262/.365 | .168 | .273 | 22 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .205/.255/.373 | .168 | .285 | 21 | 3 | 35% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .190/.237/.349 | .159 | .269 | 21 | 0 | 37% | 5% | 55 | -1.0 |
|
✕Cody Decker 2014 · AAA |
27 | 36→39 | 57→65 | 40→30 | 40 | .205/.266/.402 | .197 | .273 | 26 | 3 | 35% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .195/.257/.371 | .176 | .274 | 23 | 2 | 36% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .183/.255/.341 | .158 | .267 | 21 | 0 | 38% | 8% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Travis Taijeron 2016 · AAA |
27 | 41 | 52→55 | 40 | 42 | .207/.290/.379 | .172 | .308 | 20 | 3 | 37% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .197/.281/.344 | .147 | .317 | 16 | 3 | 40% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .180/.273/.340 | .160 | .291 | 19 | 3 | 41% | 9% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Brad Glenn 2014 · AAA |
27 | 41→46 | 53→55 | 43→45 | 39 | .219/.267/.390 | .171 | .286 | 22 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .226/.272/.366 | .140 | .304 | 16 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .221/.265/.347 | .127 | .300 | 14 | 1 | 30% | 5% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jared Clark 2012 · A |
26 | 41→39 | 52→55 | 42→45 | 42 | .216/.277/.374 | .158 | .287 | 21 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .209/.294/.392 | .183 | .281 | 24 | 4 | 33% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .191/.295/.399 | .209 | .235 | 29 | 1 | 32% | 12% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕Mike Bianucci 2013 · AAA |
27 | 39 | 51→60 | 44→40 | 37 | .212/.256/.365 | .154 | .269 | 20 | 4 | 30% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.270/.413 | .186 | .273 | 25 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .226/.265/.434 | .208 | .258 | 31 | 2 | 26% | 4% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
✕Matt Davidson 2018 · MLB |
27 | 38→44 | 54→60 | 42→30 | 37 | .206/.260/.376 | .170 | .282 | 23 | 2 | 36% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.287/.409 | .191 | .297 | 26 | 2 | 34% | 7% | 94 | +1.3 | .214/.287/.413 | .199 | .285 | 28 | 0 | 34% | 8% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
✕Chris Jacobs 2015 · AA |
26 | 43→41 | 55 | 44→40 | 43 | .221/.299/.402 | .181 | .307 | 24 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .219/.285/.345 | .126 | .313 | 14 | 4 | 33% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .208/.263/.289 | .081 | .314 | 8 | 2 | 34% | 6% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA |
27 | 38→39 | 51→55 | 43→40 | 37 | .205/.251/.370 | .165 | .274 | 19 | 3 | 33% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .212/.257/.366 | .154 | .289 | 18 | 6 | 32% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .198/.244/.354 | .156 | .261 | 19 | 4 | 32% | 5% | 57 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jake Scheiner 2023 · AA |
27 | 41→49 | 53→55 | 42→40 | 44 | .218/.289/.393 | .175 | .284 | 22 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .214/.294/.386 | .172 | .280 | 21 | 6 | 30% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .196/.286/.370 | .174 | .252 | 22 | 5 | 31% | 10% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA |
27 | 41→38 | 53→55 | 43→40 | 33 | .213/.273/.381 | .168 | .309 | 22 | 5 | 37% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .203/.260/.350 | .147 | .315 | 19 | 5 | 40% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .174/.223/.318 | .144 | .265 | 23 | 3 | 43% | 4% | 42 | -1.4 |
|
✕Bill Rhinehart 2012 · AA |
27 | 42→45 | 55 | 44→40 | 43 | .225/.278/.410 | .185 | .269 | 24 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .221/.277/.374 | .153 | .276 | 18 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .198/.249/.307 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 1 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brandon Sing 2007 · AAA |
26 | 39→42 | 53→50 | 38→40 | 49 | .206/.294/.376 | .170 | .270 | 21 | 4 | 31% | 10% | 89 | +0.9 | .193/.253/.304 | .111 | .272 | 12 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .158/.189/.217 | .059 | .227 | 4 | 6 | 32% | 4% | -2 | -2.0 |
|
✕Anthony García 2019 · AAA |
27 | 42→46 | 50→55 | 42→45 | 46 | .218/.286/.367 | .150 | .257 | 18 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.293/.364 | .139 | .286 | 16 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .220/.288/.320 | .100 | .296 | 13 | 2 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brett Carroll 2010 · MLB |
27 | 43→45 | 52→55 | 40→50 | 42 | .224/.278/.391 | .167 | .275 | 19 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .212/.280/.352 | .140 | .267 | 15 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .207/.272/.347 | .140 | .262 | 17 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA |
28 | 39 | 54→65 | 44→45 | 39 | .211/.271/.392 | .182 | .293 | 23 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .207/.269/.356 | .149 | .313 | 17 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .173/.240/.327 | .153 | .267 | 20 | 6 | 41% | 8% | 52 | -0.4 |
|
✕Tommy Giles 2010 · AA |
26 | 43→41 | 54→55 | 41→40 | 42 | .225/.284/.404 | .178 | .292 | 22 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .217/.279/.364 | .147 | .284 | 17 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .182/.246/.304 | .122 | .227 | 14 | 2 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -0.7 |
|
✕Kevin West 2007 · AAA |
27 | 43→44 | 51→50 | 40→30 | 43 | .224/.288/.379 | .155 | .271 | 19 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .222/.278/.359 | .137 | .285 | 17 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .216/.269/.339 | .123 | .279 | 16 | 0 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
●Matt Clark 2014 · AAA |
27 | 44→45 | 50→60 | 42→30 | 43 | .226/.282/.375 | .149 | .292 | 19 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .232/.287/.406 | .174 | .284 | 24 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .226/.284/.410 | .184 | .271 | 25 | 0 | 26% | 7% | 93 | +0.9 |
|
●Xavier Scruggs 2014 · AA |
26 | 39→47 | 52→55 | 44→45 | 41 | .201/.279/.364 | .163 | .301 | 21 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.291/.366 | .151 | .297 | 17 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .218/.296/.370 | .152 | .289 | 17 | 4 | 29% | 8% | 84 | +0.5 |