Ruben Ibarra — OGILVIE

Ruben Ibarra1B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 R/R 6'3" / 290 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION463 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP257

ISO157

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	82	16	3	0	1	16	29	6	0	0	195	365	268	634	73	278	27	15	305	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	94	85	16	3	0	4	7	21	2	1	0	188	266	365	631	176	200	22	7	284	78	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	164	140	40	7	0	7	17	42	5	2	1	286	383	486	868	200	355	26	10	382	145	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	402	340	81	13	1	18	47	98	11	1	0	238	349	441	790	203	276	24	12	351	123	+11	+0	—	—	+9	2.1
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	326	288	67	17	0	12	29	82	6	0	1	233	315	417	731	184	281	25	9	325	106	+2	-0	—	—	+7	0.9
2024	25	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	115	94	24	2	0	2	17	30	1	1	0	255	372	340	712	85	344	26	15	325	106	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	336	78	17	0	21	47	103	14	0	0	232	350	470	820	238	265	26	12	362	131	+15	+0	—	—	+9	2.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	87	14	2	0	1	11	38	6	0	0	161	298	218	516	57	243	36	10	239	48	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	94	87	12	2	0	3	5	27	2	1	0	138	202	264	466	126	163	29	5	208	27	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	164	146	33	6	0	6	11	58	5	2	1	226	302	390	693	164	320	35	7	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	69	10	1	15	32	135	11	1	0	194	281	355	636	161	250	34	8	275	72	-13	+0	—	—	+9	-0.4
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	326	298	54	11	0	8	20	99	6	0	1	181	247	299	546	117	237	30	6	245	52	-19	-0	—	—	+7	-1.2
2024	25	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	115	100	20	2	0	1	12	40	1	1	0	200	292	250	542	50	292	35	10	249	55	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	353	68	13	0	16	30	124	14	0	0	193	282	365	648	173	237	31	8	283	78	-11	+0	—	—	+9	-0.2
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	87	14	2	0	1	11	38	6	0	0	161	298	218	516	57	260	36	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	82	16	3	0	1	16	29	6	0	0	195	365	268	634	73	278	27	15	305	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	258	232	46	8	0	9	17	85	7	3	1	198	273	349	623	151	264	33	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	258	225	56	10	0	11	24	63	7	3	1	249	340	440	780	191	294	24	9	346	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	69	10	1	15	32	135	11	1	0	194	281	355	636	161	258	34	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	402	340	81	13	1	18	47	98	11	1	0	238	349	441	790	203	276	24	12	351	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	398	75	13	0	10	32	140	7	1	1	188	261	296	557	108	258	32	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	441	382	91	19	0	14	46	112	7	1	1	238	330	398	727	160	296	25	10	325	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	353	68	13	0	16	30	124	14	0	0	193	282	365	648	173	241	31	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	336	78	17	0	21	47	103	14	0	0	232	350	470	820	238	265	26	12	362	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	88	14	2	0	1	11	38	6	0	0	159	298	216	514	57	243	36	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	258	232	46	8	0	9	17	85	7	3	1	198	273	349	623	151	263	33	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	356	69	10	1	15	32	135	11	1	0	194	281	354	635	160	250	34	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	399	75	13	0	10	32	140	7	1	1	188	261	296	557	108	251	32	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	353	68	13	0	16	30	124	14	0	0	193	282	365	648	173	237	31	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	356	69	10	1	15	32	135	11	1	0	194	281	354	635	160	250	34	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	399	75	13	0	10	32	140	7	1	1	188	261	296	557	108	251	32	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	353	68	13	0	16	30	124	14	0	0	193	282	365	648	173	237	31	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	CIN	—	463	415	81	16	0	18	35	144	9	1	0	195	272	364	636	169	245	31	8	278	74	-14	+0	+0	-8	+10	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	CIN	—	463	395	91	18	0	23	53	118	9	1	0	230	333	451	784	220	264	25	11	345	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	CIN	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		253	30	10	285	79	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	CIN	—	473	424	82	16	0	18	36	147	9	1	0	193	271	358	629	165	243	31	8	278	74	-14	+0	+0	-8	+10	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	267	239	48	9	0	10	21	81	5	1	0	201	279	364	643	163	256	30	8	287	80	-6	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.6
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	72	65	14	3	0	3	6	22	1	0	0	215	292	400	692	185	260	31	8	281	80	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	65	14	3	0	3	6	22	1	0	0	215	292	400	692	185	275	31	8	281	69	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	126	27	0	27	54	199	9	0	0	215	291	399	689	184	274	31	8	281	69	-15	+0	-2	-12	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1884	1673	321	55	1	61	144	606	50	6	2	192	276	335	611	143	254	32	8	270	69	-6	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	110	19	0	21	50	209	17	2	1	191	275	333	608	142	252	32	8	270	69	-15	+0	-2	-12	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ruben Ibarra (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	40	50	197/274/358	161	253	9	1	31%	8%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2010 · MLB	27	43→45	51→55	41→50	42	222/278/385	163	273	19	4	26%	6%	86	+0.3	211/280/344	133	268	14	10	26%	7%	77	-0.3	204/273/328	124	261	13	10	26%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA	27	36→46	51→55	44→40	40	196/261/355	158	270	20	4	35%	7%	73	-0.6	205/256/371	166	287	21	3	35%	5%	74	-0.5	190/237/347	157	269	20	0	37%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Travis Taijeron 2016 · AAA	27	41→40	51→55	40	42	205/290/369	165	306	19	3	37%	8%	87	+0.4	197/280/342	145	318	15	3	40%	9%	77	-0.3	177/271/328	151	289	17	3	41%	9%	68	-0.8
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→50	43→40	41	214/272/372	157	286	21	5	32%	7%	80	-0.1	214/281/376	162	272	20	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	162/239/356	193	176	26	0	27%	8%	61	-0.3
✕Brad Glenn 2014 · AAA	27	41→46	51→55	43→45	40	218/266/377	160	281	19	4	30%	6%	79	-0.2	222/268/350	128	299	13	4	29%	6%	73	-0.6	217/262/333	117	295	12	1	30%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Cody Decker 2014 · AAA	27	37→39	56→65	40→30	40	206/267/395	189	273	24	2	34%	7%	84	+0.1	195/256/367	172	275	22	3	36%	7%	74	-0.6	182/253/337	156	264	21	0	38%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Anthony García 2019 · AAA	27	42→47	49→55	42→45	47	219/289/369	150	259	17	5	23%	7%	86	+0.3	226/295/363	137	290	16	7	26%	8%	86	+0.3	220/288/319	100	297	12	2	29%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Mike Bianucci 2013 · AAA	27	40	50→60	44→40	37	214/258/364	150	270	19	4	29%	4%	74	-0.6	229/271/407	178	275	24	4	26%	5%	88	+0.5	226/265/420	194	260	28	2	25%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Wladimir Balentien 2010 · MLB	26	43→45	52→55	44→50	47	224/287/391	167	270	19	7	25%	8%	90	+0.6	232/287/399	167	280	20	11	24%	7%	92	+0.7	228/276/401	173	268	21	14	24%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39→40	50→55	44→40	38	206/252/366	160	275	18	3	32%	5%	71	-0.8	210/256/354	144	284	16	6	31%	6%	70	-0.9	195/240/341	146	255	17	4	30%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA	27	42→38	52→55	43→40	34	214/276/378	163	309	20	5	36%	5%	84	+0.1	200/259/332	132	313	16	6	39%	6%	66	-1.1	169/220/297	127	262	19	3	42%	5%	42	-1.7
✕Jared Clark 2012 · A	26	41	51→55	42→45	42	213/277/365	152	292	20	5	33%	8%	80	-0.1	210/296/390	180	283	23	4	33%	10%	93	+0.8	189/293/395	206	234	28	1	32%	12%	92	+0.7
✕Bill Rhinehart 2012 · AA	27	42→46	54→55	43→40	44	225/282/406	181	266	23	4	25%	7%	92	+0.7	217/273/353	136	275	15	5	26%	7%	76	-0.4	193/244/291	98	251	9	1	26%	6%	47	-1.5
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2017 · AAA	27	45→46	51→55	38→45	43	233/282/400	167	264	19	4	21%	5%	91	+0.6	220/279/390	170	261	21	6	24%	6%	87	+0.4	197/260/366	169	227	22	4	24%	6%	72	-0.3
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	42	51→55	44→40	37	221/259/382	161	285	19	4	30%	5%	78	-0.3	216/259/362	146	284	17	5	29%	5%	73	-0.6	206/250/352	146	261	17	2	28%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Kiel Roling 2013 · AA	26	40→38	50→55	42→30	37	209/255/358	149	289	19	4	34%	6%	70	-0.8	217/265/369	152	286	18	4	30%	6%	77	-0.3	206/255/366	160	258	20	0	28%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Shelley Duncan 2007 · AAA	27	38→45	54→60	45	42	209/263/382	173	246	22	4	26%	6%	80	-0.2	221/287/404	183	258	24	5	25%	8%	93	+0.8	223/298/399	176	259	22	2	23%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	45→42	50	44→40	46	227/302/379	152	300	18	3	30%	9%	93	+0.8	209/268/339	130	274	14	5	28%	6%	71	-0.8	175/227/281	106	226	10	2	27%	5%	40	-1.5
✕Kevin West 2007 · AAA	27	42→44	48→50	39→30	43	218/283/357	139	269	17	4	25%	6%	81	-0.1	223/280/354	131	289	15	5	27%	6%	78	-0.3	216/269/337	121	280	15	0	28%	6%	69	-0.7
✕Logan Hill 2019 · AA	26	39→40	50	40→45	39	205/268/354	149	289	18	5	35%	7%	75	-0.5	210/270/350	140	297	15	4	33%	6%	74	-0.5	198/259/338	140	276	15	1	33%	6%	65	-1.1