Jonah Advincula — OGILVIE

Jonah AdvinculaOF Lake County Captains

Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION120 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .312 / .286

PA16

HR0

K%19

BB%12

BABIP268

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	16	4	1	2	0	9	1	1	3	0	250	538	562	1.101	312	250	4	33	460	198	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	373	306	76	10	3	5	54	75	9	32	4	248	377	350	726	101	310	20	14	335	113	+6	+5	—	—	+8	1.9
2025	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	148	123	23	5	0	0	20	24	1	17	1	187	306	228	533	41	228	16	14	253	57	-8	+3	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	205	158	44	5	4	5	39	28	5	26	8	278	436	456	891	177	307	14	19	397	155	+13	+2	—	—	+4	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	20	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	200	385	450	835	250	197	4	19	367	135	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	322	64	8	2	3	38	99	9	32	4	199	301	264	565	65	271	27	10	264	65	-16	+5	—	—	+8	-0.3
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	148	128	20	4	0	0	15	31	1	17	1	156	250	188	438	31	201	21	10	209	28	-13	+3	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	205	169	38	4	3	4	28	37	5	26	8	225	351	355	707	130	255	18	14	318	101	+0	+2	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	20	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	200	385	450	835	250	200	4	19	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	27	16	4	1	2	0	9	1	1	3	0	250	538	562	1.101	312	250	4	33	460	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	322	64	8	2	3	38	99	9	32	4	199	301	264	565	65	274	27	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	373	306	76	10	3	5	54	75	9	32	4	248	377	350	726	101	310	20	14	335	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	298	58	8	3	4	42	68	6	43	9	195	306	282	588	87	235	19	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	353	281	67	10	4	5	59	52	6	43	9	238	382	356	737	117	272	15	17	336	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	21	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	190	385	429	813	238	197	4	19	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	323	64	8	2	3	38	99	9	32	4	198	301	263	564	65	271	27	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	302	58	8	3	4	42	68	6	43	9	192	306	278	585	86	232	19	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	21	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	190	385	429	813	238	197	4	19	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	323	64	8	2	3	38	99	9	32	4	198	301	263	564	65	271	27	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	302	58	8	3	4	42	68	6	43	9	192	306	278	585	86	232	19	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	CLE	—	120	102	22	7	2	3	14	20	4	19	3	216	333	412	745	196	241	17	12	325	106	+1	+3	+0	-1	+3	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ RAW	CLE	—	87	67	16	5	2	1	17	11	3	15	3	239	414	418	832	179	273	13	20	380	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA RAW	CLE	—	33	28	9	3	0	3	4	4	1	4	0	321	424	750	1.174	429	286	12	12	495	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	A+ MLE	CLE	0%	16	14	3	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	214	312	286	598	71	270	19	12	302	91	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	25	A+ MLE	CLE	—	136	116	25	8	2	3	16	23	4	20	3	216	331	397	727	181	244	17	12	322	104	+1	+3	+0	-1	+3	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	38%	347	299	66	12	3	6	39	72	6	18	3	221	323	341	664	120	269	21	11	305	93	-3	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	376	324	73	14	3	7	42	79	7	17	3	225	327	352	679	127	271	21	11	307	94	-3	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	393	339	76	14	3	8	44	84	7	15	3	224	326	354	680	130	271	21	11	307	94	-3	+2	-1	-2	+9	0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	CLE	62%	395	341	76	14	3	8	44	85	7	13	2	223	324	352	676	129	271	22	11	305	93	-3	+2	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	CLE	63%	395	341	75	14	3	7	44	86	7	11	2	220	321	340	662	120	270	22	11	303	91	-4	+1	-2	-2	+9	0.1
2032	31	MLB MLE	CLE	63%	385	333	72	13	3	7	43	85	6	9	2	216	317	336	653	120	268	22	11	299	88	-5	+1	-3	-2	+8	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	38%	132	114	25	5	1	2	15	28	2	7	1	219	321	333	654	114	268	21	11	290	93	-1	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	196	169	37	7	1	4	22	41	3	9	2	219	320	343	663	124	269	21	11	292	94	-1	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	235	203	46	9	2	5	26	50	4	9	2	227	326	365	691	138	270	21	11	292	94	-2	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	CLE	62%	243	210	47	9	2	5	27	52	4	8	1	224	324	357	681	133	270	21	11	291	93	-2	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	CLE	63%	248	214	48	9	2	5	28	54	4	7	1	224	325	355	680	131	269	22	11	289	91	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2032	31	MLB CTX	CLE	63%	244	211	45	8	2	4	27	54	4	6	1	213	314	327	641	114	266	22	11	285	88	-3	+1	-2	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1298	1121	248	47	10	25	145	279	21	46	8	221	322	348	670	127	271	21	11	290	87	-12	+6	-4	-8	+28	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	561	125	24	5	13	73	140	11	23	4	223	325	353	677	130	273	22	11	290	87	-6	+3	-2	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3060	2631	567	99	25	50	343	662	56	162	28	216	319	329	648	114	267	22	11	296	87	-22	+11	-7	-14	+50	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	559	120	21	5	11	73	141	12	34	6	215	318	329	647	114	265	22	11	296	87	-6	+3	-2	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,299	24	45	222	319	347	-8	+0	2.0	2.0
/162	664	12	23	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonah Advincula (OGILVIE)	25	55	45	60	60	217/322/332	115	270	5	24	21%	11%	91	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	52→59	38→40	55	56	245/322/328	83	289	5	25	16%	10%	87	+0.4	213/283/302	89	276	7	18	23%	9%	68	-1.0	193/264/283	90	251	7	13	25%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Richie Palacios 2022 · AAA	25	51→53	44→45	56→55	52	246/325/378	132	302	9	20	21%	9%	101	+1.4	238/318/359	121	286	10	18	19%	10%	94	+0.9	230/321/345	115	272	10	20	18%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jace Peterson 2015 · MLB	25	53→57	40→50	58→55	51	251/316/351	100	304	5	25	19%	8%	91	+0.6	236/314/337	101	291	7	13	20%	10%	87	+0.4	238/316/380	142	295	14	19	23%	10%	95	+0.6
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA	25	51→61	35→40	59→60	49	233/326/293	61	318	2	30	25%	9%	83	+0.1	244/345/331	87	312	5	33	21%	10%	98	+1.2	237/348/319	82	305	5	37	21%	10%	95	+0.5
✕Travis Jankowski 2017 · MLB	26	56→63	38→40	58→65	51	260/327/343	82	331	4	34	21%	9%	93	+0.8	246/318/319	73	325	4	29	23%	9%	84	+0.1	260/338/329	69	331	4	29	20%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Delino DeShields 2019 · MLB	26	48→55	39→45	56→65	53	228/311/310	83	294	7	31	23%	10%	80	-0.1	230/309/324	94	304	7	28	24%	10%	82	+0.0	227/310/316	89	305	6	31	25%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Eric Patterson 2008 · AAA	25	50→55	44→50	57→60	46	245/294/368	123	295	11	25	21%	6%	86	+0.3	241/295/373	132	304	11	30	23%	7%	88	+0.4	240/296/380	140	306	11	36	24%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Carl Loadenthal 2007 · AA	25	54→62	40	53→60	48	256/316/350	95	315	8	22	21%	8%	91	+0.6	257/313/318	61	327	3	26	21%	7%	81	-0.1	261/317/305	45	332	1	30	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Zack Granite 2018 · MLB	25	56→60	38→40	57→60	49	266/311/349	83	298	5	28	13%	6%	87	+0.4	234/276/304	70	263	4	21	12%	5%	64	-1.3	212/259/275	64	245	3	20	15%	5%	49	-1.4
✕Antoan Richardson 2009 · AA	25	51→59	37→40	61→60	49	236/315/309	74	310	4	32	24%	9%	81	-0.1	232/319/295	63	311	3	26	24%	9%	80	-0.2	260/355/321	61	344	1	30	22%	11%	95	+0.7
✕Roger Bernadina 2009 · MLB	25	56→63	41→45	59→60	45	262/315/363	101	342	7	32	24%	7%	93	+0.8	254/311/373	119	317	11	28	22%	7%	94	+0.9	251/316/377	126	303	13	30	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Greg Allen 2018 · MLB	25	51→57	39→45	56→65	47	243/315/331	88	294	6	27	19%	6%	86	+0.3	241/305/341	100	305	7	26	22%	6%	85	+0.2	252/325/355	103	322	6	35	22%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Juan Silva 2015 · A	24	50→46	41→45	56→55	52	235/315/337	102	312	8	29	26%	10%	87	+0.4	217/291/304	87	283	5	17	23%	9%	71	-0.8	198/269/272	74	259	3	10	23%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Rey Fuentes 2016 · MLB	25	55→63	41→40	59→60	43	264/308/359	95	332	8	30	22%	5%	89	+0.5	244/290/326	82	321	6	24	24%	5%	74	-0.5	237/286/310	73	314	4	23	25%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Drew Stubbs 2010 · MLB	25	49→57	42→50	57→60	45	233/298/340	107	320	9	31	28%	8%	82	-0.0	237/307/368	131	324	14	32	29%	9%	92	+0.7	235/304/374	140	334	14	24	32%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Julio Borbon 2011 · MLB	25	57→62	38→40	56→60	47	273/313/350	77	307	6	27	13%	5%	88	+0.5	257/301/350	93	297	6	25	15%	5%	84	+0.2	276/309/341	66	321	4	28	15%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	46→48	40→45	59→60	44	218/292/312	94	289	7	32	26%	7%	74	-0.5	225/316/336	111	307	10	25	28%	9%	88	+0.5	221/319/328	107	303	11	22	28%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Micah Johnson 2015 · AAA	24	55→59	40→45	59→60	44	261/305/362	101	328	6	29	22%	6%	88	+0.5	248/295/337	89	327	5	26	24%	6%	79	-0.2	244/294/326	81	329	5	28	26%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	49→52	38→40	57→60	51	227/326/306	79	286	5	25	20%	9%	86	+0.3	239/325/324	85	293	6	24	19%	9%	88	+0.5	257/354/339	82	314	4	22	17%	11%	101	+0.8
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2012 · MLB	25	55→65	36→45	59→60	49	256/312/322	66	311	2	31	18%	7%	82	-0.0	251/298/339	88	309	5	35	19%	6%	80	-0.1	256/323/358	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	93	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps