Jonah AdvinculaOF
Lake County Captains
Age 25
L/R
6'2" / 190 lbs
A+
K +5%HR +5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.9 · 2028
wRC+†91
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .322 / .341
PA318
HR6
SB15
K%22
BB%11
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
45→45
SPD
60→60
EYE
60→60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $7M | $2M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 27 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .200 | .385 | .450 | .835 | .250 | .200 | 4 | 19 | .375 | 145 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 373 | 322 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 93 | 9 | 32 | 4 | .205 | .306 | .270 | .576 | .065 | .275 | 25 | 10 | .269 | 64 | -15 | +5 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 353 | 298 | 61 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 67 | 6 | 43 | 9 | .205 | .315 | .299 | .614 | .094 | .247 | 19 | 12 | .276 | 69 | -12 | +5 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 318 | 276 | 64 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 69 | 5 | 15 | 3 | .232 | .327 | .351 | .678 | .120 | .282 | 22 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | CLE | 347 | 302 | 71 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 75 | 5 | 14 | 2 | .235 | .328 | .361 | .689 | .126 | .284 | 22 | 11 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | CLE | 376 | 327 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 82 | 6 | 13 | 2 | .235 | .330 | .364 | .694 | .128 | .285 | 22 | 11 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 37% | CLE | 393 | 342 | 80 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 87 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .234 | .328 | .360 | .688 | .126 | .285 | 22 | 11 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | CLE | 395 | 344 | 80 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 88 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .233 | .327 | .358 | .684 | .125 | .285 | 22 | 11 | .309 | 94 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | CLE | 395 | 344 | 79 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 90 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .230 | .324 | .352 | .676 | .122 | .284 | 23 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +2 | -2 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | CLE | 385 | 336 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 89 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .229 | .322 | .354 | .676 | .125 | .283 | 23 | 11 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 75% | CLE | 368 | 321 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 87 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .221 | .315 | .333 | .648 | .112 | .281 | 24 | 11 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 83% | CLE | 340 | 296 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 83 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .220 | .315 | .328 | .642 | .108 | .280 | 24 | 11 | .293 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB 89% | CLE | 297 | 260 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 75 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .215 | .308 | .319 | .628 | .104 | .279 | 25 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -8 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4367 | 3788 | 851 | 128 | 35 | 78 | 469 | 986 | 69 | 180 | 26 | .225 | .321 | .339 | .660 | .114 | .281 | 23 | 11 | .299 | 87 | -66 | +26 | -20 | -26 | +124 | 3.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 564 | 127 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 70 | 147 | 10 | 27 | 4 | .225 | .321 | .340 | .662 | .115 | .281 | 23 | 11 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +4 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 27 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .250 | .538 | .562 | 1.101 | .312 | .250 | 4 | 33 | .460 | 211 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 373 | 306 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 54 | 75 | 9 | 32 | 4 | .248 | .377 | .350 | .726 | .101 | .310 | 20 | 14 | .335 | 114 | +6 | +5 | — | — | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 148 | 123 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | 1 | 17 | 1 | .187 | .306 | .228 | .533 | .041 | .228 | 16 | 14 | .253 | 52 | -8 | +3 | — | — | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 205 | 158 | 44 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 5 | 26 | 8 | .278 | .436 | .456 | .891 | .177 | .307 | 14 | 19 | .397 | 162 | +14 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 2.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jonah Advincula (OGILVIE) | 25 | 55 | 45 | 60 | 60 | .227/.322/.341 | .113 | .282 | 6 | 15 | 22% | 11% | 91 | +0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Richie Palacios 2022 · AAA |
25 | 51→53 | 45→50 | 56→55 | 51 | .246/.323/.383 | .137 | .302 | 10 | 19 | 22% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 | .239/.318/.366 | .127 | .288 | 10 | 18 | 19% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .231/.321/.350 | .119 | .272 | 11 | 20 | 18% | 10% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Eric Patterson 2008 · AAA |
25 | 50→56 | 45→50 | 58→60 | 46 | .246/.295/.373 | .127 | .298 | 11 | 26 | 21% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .241/.293/.371 | .130 | .304 | 11 | 30 | 23% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .239/.296/.378 | .139 | .306 | 11 | 36 | 24% | 7% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brett Nommensen 2012 · AA |
25 | 51→47 | 41→45 | 55 | 50 | .243/.320/.350 | .107 | .289 | 8 | 20 | 18% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .233/.304/.330 | .097 | .293 | 7 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .209/.280/.290 | .081 | .268 | 6 | 9 | 23% | 8% | 57 | -0.5 |
|
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA |
25 | 51→59 | 39→40 | 55 | 56 | .239/.315/.326 | .087 | .282 | 6 | 23 | 17% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .214/.284/.302 | .088 | .277 | 7 | 19 | 23% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .192/.263/.282 | .090 | .251 | 7 | 13 | 25% | 8% | 47 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jace Peterson 2015 · MLB |
25 | 53→57 | 39→50 | 58→55 | 52 | .251/.317/.350 | .099 | .302 | 5 | 26 | 18% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .236/.312/.337 | .101 | .291 | 7 | 14 | 20% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .242/.319/.391 | .150 | .298 | 15 | 19 | 23% | 9% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2021 · AA |
25 | 46→53 | 41→50 | 55 | 47 | .222/.299/.324 | .102 | .287 | 8 | 19 | 24% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .235/.305/.378 | .143 | .274 | 14 | 17 | 19% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
✕Trevor Crowe 2009 · AAA |
25 | 53→55 | 42→45 | 55 | 49 | .256/.315/.368 | .113 | .310 | 8 | 24 | 20% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | .241/.294/.337 | .096 | .292 | 6 | 23 | 18% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .237/.287/.317 | .080 | .287 | 5 | 23 | 19% | 6% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Carl Loadenthal 2007 · AA |
25 | 53→60 | 41→40 | 53→60 | 48 | .252/.312/.347 | .095 | .310 | 8 | 22 | 21% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .255/.311/.319 | .064 | .326 | 3 | 26 | 21% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .257/.313/.302 | .045 | .331 | 1 | 30 | 21% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB |
24 | 50→53 | 43→45 | 57→60 | 45 | .242/.297/.359 | .117 | .307 | 10 | 27 | 24% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .242/.304/.345 | .103 | .323 | 7 | 30 | 25% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .241/.310/.333 | .092 | .331 | 6 | 36 | 27% | 8% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
●Leo Heras 2015 · AAA |
25 | 47→57 | 46→50 | 54→55 | 49 | .235/.303/.370 | .135 | .284 | 13 | 18 | 22% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .222/.289/.332 | .110 | .294 | 8 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .244/.318/.385 | .141 | .314 | 13 | 18 | 25% | 9% | 97 | +0.9 |
|
✕Cameron Coughlan 2006 · AA |
24 | 53→56 | 41→40 | 53→60 | 53 | .252/.324/.350 | .098 | .307 | 8 | 25 | 20% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .242/.317/.337 | .095 | .314 | 7 | 22 | 23% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .238/.322/.321 | .082 | .320 | 5 | 25 | 25% | 9% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Kevin Thompson 2006 · AAA |
26 | 51→53 | 47→50 | 57→60 | 49 | .250/.322/.396 | .147 | .311 | 12 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 104 | +2.0 | .241/.306/.374 | .133 | .296 | 11 | 27 | 21% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .237/.302/.362 | .124 | .288 | 10 | 31 | 20% | 8% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA |
25 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 55→70 | 47 | .218/.294/.336 | .118 | .284 | 11 | 30 | 26% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .223/.328/.341 | .118 | .288 | 11 | 40 | 24% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .229/.321/.344 | .115 | .305 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Juan Silva 2016 · AAA |
25 | 47 | 40→45 | 55 | 51 | .224/.301/.320 | .096 | .290 | 6 | 24 | 24% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 | .218/.290/.309 | .091 | .285 | 6 | 15 | 24% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .198/.269/.262 | .063 | .277 | 4 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 46 | -0.5 |
|
✕Alex Sanchez 2002 · MLB |
25 | 47→57 | 44→40 | 55→65 | 50 | .229/.292/.356 | .128 | .270 | 11 | 22 | 20% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .274/.318/.355 | .081 | .319 | 3 | 42 | 14% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .289/.324/.358 | .068 | .334 | 2 | 47 | 13% | 5% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Brian Bogusevic 2009 · AA |
25 | 54→55 | 46→45 | 56→55 | 47 | .265/.323/.407 | .142 | .319 | 13 | 17 | 21% | 7% | 107 | +2.2 | .239/.294/.337 | .098 | .317 | 8 | 20 | 25% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .259/.317/.387 | .128 | .326 | 13 | 19 | 23% | 7% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕Greg Allen 2017 · AA |
24 | 52→56 | 40→45 | 55→65 | 50 | .247/.326/.341 | .094 | .290 | 6 | 26 | 16% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .244/.312/.337 | .093 | .304 | 6 | 27 | 21% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .251/.325/.358 | .107 | .320 | 7 | 35 | 22% | 6% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Adalberto Santos 2013 · AA |
25 | 56→55 | 40→45 | 56→55 | 49 | .264/.324/.367 | .103 | .321 | 6 | 22 | 19% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .249/.311/.342 | .093 | .317 | 6 | 18 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .243/.309/.329 | .086 | .312 | 6 | 19 | 22% | 8% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Rey Fuentes 2016 · MLB |
25 | 55→61 | 41→40 | 59→60 | 43 | .263/.308/.359 | .096 | .333 | 8 | 30 | 23% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .245/.290/.327 | .082 | .322 | 6 | 24 | 24% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .237/.287/.309 | .072 | .315 | 4 | 23 | 25% | 6% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A |
24 | 47→42 | 46→50 | 62→55 | 51 | .232/.311/.373 | .141 | .276 | 13 | 23 | 21% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .217/.292/.348 | .131 | .277 | 11 | 15 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .207/.277/.320 | .112 | .287 | 8 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 65 | -0.2 |