Jonah Advincula

OF Lake County Captains
Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1760MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+CLE373.248/.377/.35053268—.205/.306/.270
202524AA/A+CLE353.238/.382/.35654372—.203/.315/.298
202625AA/A+CLE120.263/.417/.516419105—.215/.333/.409
2027PROJMLE26MLBCLE200.229/.331/.347311950.2
2028PROJ26% MLB27MLBCLE34.228/.329/.34412950.1
2029PROJ39% MLB28MLBCLE67.227/.327/.34312940.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed99
Whiff%98
K%96
BB%93
Chase%91
Z-Con%87
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsJacob Hurtubise (age 26) · Flavio Romero (age 27) · José Caballero (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .328 / .344
PA84
HR1
SB5
K%20
BB%11
ISO118
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 ROKACL Guardians — 2716 4120 911 30 2505385621.101 312250 433 460 129 — — — — — —
202423 A+Lake County Captains — 373306 761035 54759 324 248377350726 101310 2014 335 68 — — — — — —
202524 AAAkron RubberDucks — 148123 23500 20241 171 187306228533 41228 1614 253 32 — — — — — —
202524 A+Lake County Captains — 205158 44545 39285 268 278436456891 177307 1419 397 101 — — — — — —
202625 AAAkron RubberDucks — 3328 9303 441 40 3214247501.174 429286 1212 495 157 — — — — — —
202625 A+Lake County Captains — 8767 16521 17113 153 239414418832 179273 1320 380 85 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 2720 4120 511 30 200385450835 250192 419 359 129 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLELake County Captains — 373322 66823 38939 324 205306270576 65273 2510 268 68 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 148128 21400 15311 171 164257195452 31208 2110 215 32 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLELake County Captains — 205169 39444 28355 268 231356373729 142254 1714 318 101 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 3329 8302 351 40 276364586950 310253 159 400 157 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLELake County Captains — 8773 14421 11143 153 192322342664 151224 1613 294 85 — — — — — —
202322 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 2720 4120 511 30 200385450835 250200 419 359 129 — — — — — —
202322 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 2716 4120 911 30 2505385621.101 312250 433 460 129 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLELake County Captains — 373322 66823 38939 324 205306270576 65275 2510 268 68 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAWLake County Captains — 373306 761035 54759 324 248377350726 101310 2014 335 68 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 353298 61844 42666 439 205315299614 94246 1912 275 72 — — — — — —
202524 A+ RAW2 teams — 353281 671045 59526 439 238382356737 117272 1517 336 72 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLE2 teams — 120102 22723 14194 193 216333412745 196237 1612 323 105 — — — — — —
202625 A+ RAW2 teams — 12095 25824 21154 193 263417516932 253276 1218 411 105 — — — — — —
202322 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 2721 4120 511 30 190385429813 238192 419 359 129 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLELake County Captains — 373323 66823 38939 324 204306269576 65273 2510 268 68 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 353302 61844 42666 439 202315295610 93235 1912 275 72 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLE2 teams — 120101 22723 14194 193 218333416749 198232 1612 323 105 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLELake County Captains — 373323 66823 38939 324 204306269576 65273 2510 268 68 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 353302 61844 42666 439 202315295610 93235 1912 275 72 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLE2 teams — 120101 22723 14194 193 218333416749 198232 1612 323 105 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLECLE 0% 200172 39723 23403 112 229331347678 118278 2012 309 95 -1 +1 +0 -1 +4 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLECLE 26% 130112 26512 15262 61 229329348677 119278 2012 309 95 -1 +1 +0 -1 +3 0.2
202928 MLB MLECLE 39% 171147 33613 19353 61 228327346673 118278 2011 307 94 -1 +1 -1 -1 +4 0.2
202827 MLB CTXCLE 26% 3429 7101 471 20 228329344673 116277 2112 307 95 -0 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.1
202928 MLB CTXCLE 39% 6759 13301 7141 20 227327343670 116277 2110 306 94 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 10188 20402 11212 40 227327341668 114277 2111 306 82 -1 +1 -0 -1 +2 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650566 12926013 7113513 260 228328343670 115278 2111 306 82 -5 +5 -2 -4 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 12581074 228381316 14325726 11419 212319317636 104261 2011 289 82 -3 +2 -1 -2 +8 0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650555 1182078 7413313 5910 213319317636 105263 2011 289 82 -4 +4 -1 -4 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 87 PAwOBA .368 → .294 (−74)K% 12.6% → 16.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.64%÷1.000×1.270——16.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.39%÷1.000×0.710—×0.97812.77%
HBP% /PA3.45%—×0.790—×0.9782.66%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.920×0.966×0.97812.41%
Doubles /BIP8.93%÷1.000×0.810×0.966×0.9786.83%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.850×0.966×0.9782.87%
Home runs /BIP1.79%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9781.40%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .368 → .294; ISO .179 → .149; BABIP .273 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 33 PAwOBA .481 → .400 (−81)K% 12.1% → 14.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.12%÷1.000×1.220——14.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.12%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9988.47%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.850—×0.9982.57%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.970—×0.99812.10%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.860—×0.99810.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9989.73%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .481 → .400; ISO .429 → .349; BABIP .286 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lake County Captains · 205 PAwOBA .391 → .318 (−73)K% 13.7% → 17.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.66%÷1.020×1.270——17.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.02%÷0.991×0.710—×0.98813.46%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.790—×0.9881.90%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.031×0.920×0.971×0.98819.76%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷1.138×0.810×0.971×0.9882.63%
Triples /BIP3.08%÷0.952×0.850×0.971×0.9882.64%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷1.011×0.800—×0.9883.01%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .391 → .318; ISO .177 → .148; BABIP .307 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 148 PAwOBA .251 → .215 (−36)K% 16.2% → 20.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.22%÷0.948×1.220——20.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.51%÷0.953×0.700—×1.01210.05%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.850—×1.0120.58%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.004×0.970×0.952×1.01216.92%
Doubles /BIP5.05%÷0.986×0.860×0.952×1.0124.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.950×0.952×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .251 → .215; ISO .041 → .035; BABIP .228 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Lake County Captains · 373 PAwOBA .330 → .268 (−61)K% 20.1% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.11%÷1.023×1.270——24.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.48%÷0.999×0.710—×0.99810.26%
HBP% /PA2.41%—×0.790—×0.9981.90%
Singles /BIP25.11%÷0.995×0.920×0.978×0.99822.66%
Doubles /BIP4.33%÷0.978×0.810×0.978×0.9983.50%
Triples /BIP1.30%÷1.023×0.850×0.978×0.9981.05%
Home runs /BIP2.16%÷1.190×0.800—×0.9981.45%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .330 → .268; ISO .101 → .076; BABIP .310 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Guardians · 27 PAwOBA .469 → .359 (−110)K% 3.7% → 5.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA3.70%÷1.005×1.440——5.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA33.33%÷1.030×0.620—×0.97519.56%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.720—×0.9752.60%
Singles /BIP6.67%÷1.024×0.820—×0.9755.21%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷0.967×0.720—×0.9754.84%
Triples /BIP13.33%÷0.925×0.720—×0.97510.12%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.349×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 170, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .469 → .359; ISO .312 → .307; BABIP .250 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).