Jonah Advincula — OGILVIE

Jonah AdvinculaOF Akron RubberDucks

Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 285 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .329 / .346

PA285

HR5

SB16

K%22

BB%11

BABIP283

ISO118

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	20	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	200	385	450	835	250	200	4	19	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	16	4	1	2	0	9	1	1	3	0	250	538	562	1.101	312	250	4	33	460	211	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	373	322	65	8	2	3	38	97	9	32	4	202	304	267	571	65	276	26	10	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	373	306	76	10	3	5	54	75	9	32	4	248	377	350	726	101	310	20	14	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	353	297	58	8	4	4	43	71	6	43	9	195	309	290	599	94	239	20	12	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	353	281	67	10	4	5	59	52	6	43	9	238	382	356	737	117	272	15	17	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	CLE	—	33	29	9	3	0	3	3	5	1	4	0	310	394	724	1.118	414	286	15	9	421	180	+3	+1	+0	-0	+1	0.5
YTD	25	AA	CLE	—	33	28	9	3	0	3	4	4	1	4	0	321	424	750	1.174	429	286	12	12	495	237	+5	+1	+0	-0	+1	0.7
ROS	25	AA	CLE	2%	285	246	56	10	2	5	32	62	5	16	2	228	329	346	674	118	279	22	11	304	91	-3	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.6
ROS	25	MLB	CLE	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	200	333	200	533		280	17	17	292	81	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	AA	CLE	—	39	34	10	3	0	3	4	6	1	4	0	294	385	647	1.032	353	280	15	10	401	165	+3	+1	+0	-0	+1	0.5
TOT	25	AA	CLE	—	318	275	65	13	2	8	35	67	6	20	2	236	335	385	721	149	284	21	11	316	100	+0	+3	+0	-2	+9	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CLE	39%	347	300	69	12	3	7	38	76	6	15	2	230	328	360	688	130	278	22	11	306	92	-3	+2	+0	-2	+10	0.7
2028	27	MLB	CLE	53%	376	326	74	13	3	7	41	83	6	14	2	227	324	350	674	123	279	22	11	307	93	-3	+2	+0	-2	+11	0.8
2029	28	MLB	CLE	60%	393	341	77	13	3	8	43	87	6	13	2	226	323	352	675	126	279	22	11	307	93	-3	+2	-1	-2	+11	0.7
2030	29	MLB	CLE	62%	395	343	78	13	3	8	43	89	6	11	2	227	324	353	677	125	279	23	11	306	92	-4	+1	-1	-2	+11	0.5
2031	30	MLB	CLE	63%	395	343	77	13	3	8	43	90	6	10	2	224	321	350	671	125	278	23	11	303	90	-4	+1	-2	-2	+11	0.3
2032	31	MLB	CLE	63%	385	334	74	13	2	7	42	89	6	9	1	222	319	335	655	114	275	23	11	299	87	-6	+1	-3	-2	+11	0.1
2033	32	MLB	CLE	64%	368	320	69	12	2	6	40	86	5	8	1	216	312	322	634	106	272	23	11	293	83	-7	+1	-4	-2	+10	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	CLE	39%	134	116	26	4	1	3	15	29	2	6	1	224	323	353	677	129	279	22	11	294	83	-3	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2028	27	MLB	CLE	53%	198	171	39	7	1	4	22	44	3	8	1	228	327	351	677	123	280	22	11	296	84	-3	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.2
2029	28	MLB	CLE	60%	235	203	47	8	2	5	26	52	4	8	1	232	330	365	695	133	280	22	11	296	85	-4	+1	-0	-1	+7	0.2
2030	29	MLB	CLE	62%	244	211	48	8	2	5	27	55	4	7	1	227	326	355	682	128	279	23	11	295	84	-5	+1	-1	-1	+7	0.1
2031	30	MLB	CLE	63%	248	215	49	8	2	5	27	56	4	6	1	228	325	353	679	126	278	23	11	292	82	-5	+1	-1	-1	+7	-0.0
2032	31	MLB	CLE	63%	244	211	47	8	2	4	27	56	4	6	1	223	322	336	659	114	276	23	11	288	78	-6	+1	-2	-1	+7	-0.1
2033	32	MLB	CLE	64%	235	204	43	7	1	4	26	55	3	5	1	211	309	314	623	103	273	23	11	283	75	-7	+1	-2	-1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1544	1336	300	50	11	30	171	348	24	46	7	225	323	346	669	121	280	23	11	292	81	-33	+6	-7	-9	+44	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	127	21	5	13	72	147	10	19	3	226	325	351	675	125	281	23	11	292	81	-14	+3	-3	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3697	3192	701	116	29	63	408	831	62	174	27	220	320	333	653	114	275	22	11	296	85	-62	+24	-10	-22	+105	3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	123	20	5	11	72	146	11	31	5	219	320	332	651	112	275	22	11	296	85	-11	+4	-2	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	16	4	1	2	0	9	1	1	3	0	250	538	562	1.101	312	250	4	33	460	211	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	373	306	76	10	3	5	54	75	9	32	4	248	377	350	726	101	310	20	14	335	114	+6	+5	—	—	+11	2.2
2025	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	148	123	23	5	0	0	20	24	1	17	1	187	306	228	533	41	228	16	14	253	52	-8	+3	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	205	158	44	5	4	5	39	28	5	26	8	278	436	456	891	177	307	14	19	397	162	+14	+2	—	—	+6	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,544	29	45	224	318	344	-9	+0	2.0	2.0
	/162	664	13	20	224	318	344	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonah Advincula (OGILVIE)	25	55	45	60	60	236/335/385	149	284	8	20	21%	11%	100	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	52→59	39→40	55	56	243/320/328	84	289	6	25	17%	10%	85	+0.7	215/284/306	91	278	7	18	23%	8%	65	-0.7	197/266/292	94	255	8	13	25%	8%	50	-1.0
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA	25	50→60	35→40	59→60	48	227/321/289	62	313	3	30	26%	9%	77	+0.1	243/342/330	87	314	6	33	22%	9%	97	+1.5	236/345/319	83	306	5	37	21%	10%	93	+0.7
✕Antoan Richardson 2009 · AA	25	50→59	38→40	61→60	49	235/314/310	76	311	5	32	24%	9%	79	+0.3	224/313/288	64	306	3	26	25%	9%	73	-0.1	255/350/321	66	341	1	30	22%	11%	93	+0.9
✕Eric Patterson 2008 · AAA	25	50→55	44→50	57→60	46	244/293/369	125	295	11	25	21%	6%	84	+0.6	241/294/373	132	304	11	30	23%	7%	85	+0.7	239/296/379	140	306	11	36	24%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Carl Loadenthal 2007 · AA	25	54→61	41→40	53→60	48	256/317/351	95	316	8	22	21%	8%	89	+1.0	255/311/317	62	327	3	26	21%	7%	78	+0.2	258/314/303	45	332	1	30	21%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	48→52	38→40	57→60	51	222/323/301	79	285	5	25	22%	9%	82	+0.5	239/325/325	86	295	6	24	19%	9%	88	+0.9	265/358/344	79	323	3	22	17%	11%	104	+1.1
✕Jace Peterson 2015 · MLB	25	53→58	39→50	57→55	52	250/316/347	97	303	5	25	18%	8%	88	+0.9	235/313/334	99	290	7	13	20%	10%	84	+0.6	243/319/402	159	297	17	19	23%	9%	101	+1.2
✕Charlie Tilson 2018 · AAA	25	54→60	40	57→55	46	256/301/356	100	303	6	22	18%	6%	83	+0.6	227/272/295	68	289	4	13	22%	5%	56	-1.3	233/279/295	62	302	2	16	22%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Adalberto Santos 2013 · AA	25	54→53	40→45	56→55	49	255/316/353	98	311	6	23	19%	7%	89	+1.0	240/300/340	100	315	8	18	24%	7%	80	+0.4	238/300/337	99	314	8	19	25%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Silva 2016 · AAA	25	47→46	39→45	55	51	221/296/313	92	288	5	23	24%	9%	72	-0.2	220/289/315	95	287	7	14	24%	8%	69	-0.4	200/265/266	66	279	4	6	28%	8%	46	-0.5
✕Travis Jankowski 2016 · MLB	25	57→62	37→40	59→65	48	267/321/346	79	328	4	31	19%	7%	89	+1.0	250/321/327	77	331	4	32	23%	9%	85	+0.7	258/335/328	70	329	4	29	21%	10%	87	+0.4
●TJ Friedl 2021 · AA	25	46→54	41→50	55	48	219/300/323	104	284	8	19	24%	8%	76	+0.1	235/304/377	142	276	14	17	19%	7%	92	+1.2	248/339/390	142	278	16	18	16%	10%	108	+2.0
✕Delino DeShields 2019 · MLB	26	48→55	39→45	56→65	53	229/312/314	85	296	7	31	23%	10%	79	+0.3	231/310/325	94	305	7	28	24%	10%	81	+0.4	229/311/318	89	307	6	31	25%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Brad Coon 2008 · AA	25	52→57	36→40	58→60	47	243/298/314	71	305	3	32	20%	7%	72	-0.2	245/306/316	71	306	5	22	20%	7%	76	+0.1	243/307/310	67	305	5	19	20%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Sam Haggerty 2019 · AAA	25	47→44	41→50	59→65	49	219/299/334	115	306	6	28	28%	10%	79	+0.3	228/305/345	117	321	8	27	29%	9%	83	+0.6	257/335/401	144	323	11	42	22%	9%	107	+1.2
✕Trevor Crowe 2008 · AA	24	51→55	39→45	55	50	243/303/333	90	290	5	25	18%	8%	79	+0.3	249/304/355	106	303	7	22	19%	7%	85	+0.7	251/303/353	102	304	6	24	18%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2012 · MLB	25	54→64	36→45	59→60	48	251/307/318	67	307	2	31	18%	7%	76	+0.1	252/298/342	90	310	5	35	19%	6%	79	+0.3	256/323/359	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	92	+0.7
✕Roger Bernadina 2009 · MLB	25	55→63	41→45	59→60	45	261/314/366	105	343	8	32	25%	7%	92	+1.2	253/310/376	123	316	12	28	22%	7%	93	+1.3	251/316/379	128	302	14	30	21%	8%	93	+0.9
✕Cameron Coughlan 2006 · AA	24	54→56	41→40	54→60	53	255/327/354	98	312	8	25	20%	9%	95	+1.4	241/316/338	97	314	7	21	24%	9%	86	+0.8	239/323/322	82	320	5	25	24%	9%	81	+0.2