Kien Vu

LF Dayton Dragons

Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ACIN	91	.273/.371/.532	4	7	82	—	.212/.292/.400
2026	22	AACIN	179	.173/.275/.314	5	5	33	—	.154/.230/.272
2026	22	A+CIN	348	.269/.405/.520	15	27	105	—	.229/.341/.423
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCIN	2	.194/.282/.346	0	0	75	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCIN	146	.200/.287/.359	5	4	79	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCIN	225	.204/.290/.367	8	6	82	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed68

Chase%67

ISO45

BB%42

Z-Con%21

K%19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsTrey Sweeney (age 23) · Jacob Melton (age 23) · Gabriel Rincones Jr. (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .282 / .346

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO145

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	77	21	8	0	4	9	25	3	7	1	273	371	532	903	260	354	27	10	387	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	179	156	27	5	1	5	17	55	5	5	2	173	275	314	589	141	229	31	9	271	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	348	279	75	13	6	15	49	98	15	27	5	269	405	520	925	251	353	28	14	402	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	80	17	6	0	3	6	34	3	7	1	212	292	400	692	188	305	37	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	179	162	25	5	1	4	11	67	5	5	2	154	230	272	502	117	217	37	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	348	293	67	11	5	12	35	125	15	27	5	229	341	423	764	195	323	36	10	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	80	17	6	0	3	6	34	3	7	1	212	292	400	692	188	326	37	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	77	21	8	0	4	9	25	3	7	1	273	371	532	903	260	354	27	10	387	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	527	455	90	15	6	16	46	192	20	32	7	198	299	363	662	165	295	36	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	527	435	102	18	7	20	66	153	20	32	7	234	361	446	807	211	308	29	13	357	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	82	17	6	0	3	6	34	3	7	1	207	292	390	682	183	305	37	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	527	456	90	15	6	16	46	192	20	32	7	197	299	362	661	164	287	36	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	91	82	17	6	0	3	6	34	3	7	1	207	292	390	682	183	305	37	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	527	456	90	15	6	16	46	192	20	32	7	197	299	362	661	164	287	36	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	528	466	89	16	3	15	44	156	13	15	4	192	279	337	616	145	249	30	8	279	75	-16	+1	+0	-6	+11	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	194	282	346	628	152	250	50	0	283	75	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	481	426	83	15	3	14	41	140	11	13	3	197	284	349	633	152	252	29	9	285	79	-12	+1	+0	-5	+10	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	44%	509	450	90	16	3	16	43	146	11	14	3	201	287	357	644	156	255	29	8	290	82	-11	+2	+0	-5	+11	-0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	51%	524	463	94	17	3	17	45	148	11	14	3	203	289	361	650	157	257	28	9	292	84	-10	+2	+0	-6	+11	-0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	529	468	97	18	3	17	45	149	11	14	3	204	290	361	650	156	258	28	9	292	84	-10	+2	+0	-6	+11	-0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	527	466	96	18	3	16	45	148	11	12	3	205	289	358	648	154	259	28	9	291	83	-11	+1	-1	-6	+11	-0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	520	461	93	17	3	15	44	148	10	9	3	202	286	352	638	150	257	28	8	287	81	-12	+1	-1	-6	+11	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	146	130	27	5	1	5	12	42	3	4	1	200	287	359	646	159	253	29	8	290	79	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	44%	225	199	40	7	1	8	19	64	5	6	2	204	290	367	657	164	256	28	8	295	82	-5	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	51%	266	235	49	9	2	9	23	75	6	7	2	206	292	372	664	166	258	28	9	297	84	-5	+1	+0	-3	+6	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	277	245	51	9	2	9	24	78	6	7	2	207	292	371	664	164	259	28	9	297	84	-5	+1	+0	-3	+6	-0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	281	249	52	9	2	9	24	79	6	6	2	207	292	369	661	161	260	28	9	296	83	-6	+0	-0	-3	+6	-0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	296	263	55	10	2	10	25	84	6	5	2	205	289	362	651	157	258	28	8	292	81	-7	+0	-1	-3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1491	1321	274	49	10	50	127	422	32	35	11	207	293	373	666	166	262	28	9	295	81	-31	+3	-1	-16	+32	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	119	21	4	22	55	184	14	15	5	207	291	372	663	165	260	28	8	295	81	-14	+1	-1	-7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4028	3551	714	132	26	123	342	1200	96	124	28	201	289	357	646	156	263	30	8	289	81	-75	+9	-2	-37	+74	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	115	21	4	20	55	194	15	20	5	201	288	356	644	155	262	30	8	289	81	-14	+2	-0	-7	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,493	46	36	203	286	358	-9	+0	0.4	0.5
/162	664	20	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kien Vu (OGILVIE)	23	21→26	48→53	59→64	56	190/277/334	143	249	9	9	30%	8%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Jacob Melton 2024 · AA	23	37→45	50	58→65	42	201/259/346	145	257	19	31	30%	7%	69	-0.9	221/277/365	144	298	16	35	30%	7%	80	-0.2	224/283/374	150	305	16	44	30%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Gavin Cross 2024 · A	23	37→40	47→50	55	42	190/264/327	138	277	14	18	35%	8%	68	-1.0	203/255/336	133	283	15	23	32%	6%	65	-1.2	200/247/333	133	277	16	26	33%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A	24	42	48→55	56→55	41	215/277/355	140	278	15	16	28%	6%	78	-0.3	198/266/359	161	275	20	17	34%	6%	76	-0.4	173/245/335	163	243	21	19	37%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/275/352	143	286	15	11	31%	7%	76	-0.4	216/263/365	149	280	15	11	28%	5%	74	-0.5	214/256/366	152	271	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→38	43→60	54→50	47	194/271/309	115	261	10	14	28%	9%	65	-1.2	193/272/317	124	269	12	13	31%	9%	68	-1.0	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Alex Iadisernia 2024 · A	23	38→37	46→50	52→55	43	196/263/328	132	261	14	16	30%	7%	67	-1.1	197/263/295	98	277	8	16	30%	7%	59	-1.7	178/248/250	72	257	3	19	30%	7%	42	-2.0
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	46→41	47→50	62→55	51	228/308/371	143	270	13	24	21%	9%	93	+0.8	215/288/341	126	275	11	14	24%	8%	79	-0.2	207/276/315	108	283	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Jesse Franklin V 2023 · AA	24	38→28	55→60	53→55	36	206/267/389	184	295	24	15	38%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/376	161	305	20	18	35%	6%	84	+0.1	199/266/371	171	275	23	24	35%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44	47→50	55→60	45	218/290/361	143	291	14	21	29%	8%	84	+0.2	212/285/354	142	287	14	27	30%	8%	81	-0.1	203/277/346	143	276	15	29	30%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	39→41	46→45	54→55	46	195/283/323	128	276	13	17	32%	9%	74	-0.6	200/283/317	117	274	11	17	29%	9%	72	-0.7	190/277/301	111	259	10	19	29%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Mike Antico 2022 · A	24	43	49→45	55→60	41	219/272/369	150	281	16	13	28%	6%	79	-0.2	209/274/329	120	280	12	36	28%	7%	71	-0.8	215/279/331	115	289	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	215/274/388	172	252	21	15	24%	7%	84	+0.2	225/290/408	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+1.0	223/291/402	179	250	21	19	20%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Jon Gaston 2011 · AA	24	41→42	52→55	53→50	42	216/276/389	172	281	19	10	30%	7%	85	+0.2	207/252/327	120	282	11	13	30%	5%	61	-1.5	193/225/294	101	262	7	14	28%	3%	40	-2.2

Kien Vu

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps