Riley Bauman

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 181 lbs A peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKLAA	2	2	4	11.25	2.60	19.0%	9.5%	—	K 19.0% · BB 9.5% · FIP 2.70
2024	21	ASEA	20	19	84	7.64	3.64	19.8%	12.6%	—	K 14.7% · BB 14.9% · FIP 4.52
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	11	11	59	4.98	4.98	20.3%	12.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSEA	4	4	25	4.82	4.76	21.0%	11.5%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSEA	6	6	39	4.74	4.71	21.4%	11.2%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCameron Foster (age 24) · David Griffin (age 25) · Connor Staine (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%20.3%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%7.7%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	2	2	4	21	4	2	0	100%	2.0	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	0.0%	11.25	2.70	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	2	2	4	21	4	2	0	100%	2.0	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	0.0%	11.25	2.60	—
2024	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	20	19	84	419	83	53	4	95%	4.2	14.7%	14.9%	-0.3%	1.4%	7.64	4.52	—
2024	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	20	19	84	419	83	53	4	95%	4.2	14.7%	14.9%	-0.3%	1.4%	7.64	4.52	—
2024	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	20	19	84	419	83	53	4	95%	4.2	19.8%	12.6%	7.2%	1.0%	7.64	3.64	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SEA	11	11	59	249	50	31	7	100%	5.4	20.3%	12.6%	7.7%	2.9%	4.98	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	10	10	59	250	53	29	7	100%	5.9	21.0%	11.5%	9.6%	2.9%	4.82	4.76	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	10	10	59	250	54	28	7	100%	5.9	21.4%	11.2%	10.2%	2.9%	4.74	4.71	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	10	10	58	247	53	28	7	100%	5.8	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	3.0%	4.72	4.73	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	4	4	25	106	22	12	3	100%	6.2	21.0%	11.5%	9.6%	2.9%	4.82	4.76	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	6	6	39	165	35	19	5	100%	6.5	21.4%	11.2%	10.2%	2.9%	4.74	4.71	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	8	8	45	190	41	21	6	100%	5.6	21.5%	11.2%	10.3%	3.0%	4.72	4.73	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	18	110	463	99	52	14	100%	6.1	21.4%	11.3%	10.1%	3.0%	4.75	4.35	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	180	95	26	100%	6.0	21.4%	11.3%	10.1%	3.0%	4.75	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		22	21	88	440	65	65	6	95%	4.0	14.9%	14.7%	0.2%	1.3%	7.80	4.44	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	48	200	1004	149	147	13	95%	4.0	14.9%	14.7%	0.2%	1.3%	7.80	4.44	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Riley Bauman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	20.3%	12.6%	2.9%	—	4.73	21.3%	10.0%	177	-0.25	—	—	—
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	86
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.25	15.4%	5.9%	168	+0.82	4.43	239	85
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	85
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	84
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	84
Hayden Minton R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	23	SP	4.04	19.7%	12.3%	1.9%	.357	4.53	19.4%	10.3%	187	+0.49	4.04	280	83
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	83
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	83
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	82
Aaron Heilman R 2003 · 5.57 FIP	24	SP	5.57	16.2%	12.4%	4.1%	.311	3.13	22.0%	14.1%	223	-2.44	2.76	630	82
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	82
Cade Smith R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	22	SP	3.86	23.2%	13.3%	1.9%	.273	5.35	18.2%	6.6%	157	+1.49	3.86	243	82
Aaron Hernandez R 2021 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP	4.65	20.9%	16.4%	2.2%	.329	5.36	18.8%	5.8%	59	+0.71	4.65	194	81
Trevor May R 2014 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP	4.40	20.7%	9.9%	3.3%	.369	3.18	25.0%	19.1%	157	-1.22	3.05	477	81
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	81
Bud Norris R 2009 · 4.47 FIP	24	SP	4.47	21.7%	9.6%	3.6%	.309	4.01	22.5%	13.5%	508	-0.46	3.51	1,221	80
Riley Thompson R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	23	SP	4.69	16.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.288	5.32	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.63	4.48	340	80
Jared Lyons R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	23	SP	4.72	22.1%	14.4%	3.0%	.258	4.13	17.6%	8.7%	173	-0.59	3.28	265	80
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	80
Josh Bostick R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP	4.65	19.3%	11.2%	3.2%	.304	5.40	21.7%	12.6%	119	+0.75	4.65	226	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	59	21.1%	11.6%	1.14	4.81
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*