Kyle Walker

2B Asheville Tourists

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AHOU	97	.234/.379/.286	0	8	60	—	.198/.316/.235
2026	23	A+HOU	429	.251/.351/.373	5	37	55	—	.197/.271/.291
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBHOU	1	.215/.282/.310	0	0	66	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBHOU	75	.218/.286/.322	1	2	70	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBHOU	131	.220/.288/.329	2	4	73	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%94

Z-Con%92

Chase%81

Speed80

K%74

wOBA41

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRyan Leonards (age 24) · Kristopher Negrón (age 24) · Justin Dean (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .282 / .310

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%7

BABIP283

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	77	18	4	0	0	12	15	6	8	4	234	379	286	665	52	281	15	12	315	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	429	367	92	26	2	5	44	84	13	37	11	251	351	373	725	123	309	20	10	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	81	16	3	0	0	8	20	6	8	4	198	316	235	550	37	249	21	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	429	385	76	20	2	4	26	110	13	37	11	197	271	291	562	94	255	26	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	81	16	3	0	0	8	20	6	8	4	198	316	235	550	37	254	21	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	77	18	4	0	0	12	15	6	8	4	234	379	286	665	52	281	15	12	315	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	429	385	76	20	2	4	26	110	13	37	11	197	271	291	562	94	262	26	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	429	367	92	26	2	5	44	84	13	37	11	251	351	373	725	123	309	20	10	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	83	16	3	0	0	8	20	6	8	4	193	316	229	545	36	249	21	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	429	387	76	20	2	4	26	110	13	37	11	196	271	289	561	93	255	26	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	83	16	3	0	0	8	20	6	8	4	193	316	229	545	36	249	21	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	429	387	76	20	2	4	26	110	13	37	11	196	271	289	561	93	255	26	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	380	344	73	16	2	4	25	97	8	12	3	211	279	305	584	93	278	26	7	266	66	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	215	282	310	592	95	283	0	0	269	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	248	225	48	11	1	3	16	63	5	7	2	215	283	317	599	102	279	25	6	272	70	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	296	268	58	13	1	4	20	74	6	8	3	217	285	325	610	108	280	25	7	276	73	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	315	284	61	13	1	5	22	79	6	9	3	217	286	326	612	109	280	25	7	277	74	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	324	293	63	14	1	5	22	81	6	8	3	217	286	326	611	109	280	25	7	277	73	-10	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	319	289	62	13	1	5	22	81	5	7	3	216	284	324	608	108	279	25	7	275	73	-10	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	312	282	61	13	1	5	22	80	5	7	3	213	281	316	597	103	277	26	7	271	69	-11	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	75	69	14	3	0	1	5	19	1	2	1	218	286	322	607	104	284	25	7	275	70	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	131	119	27	6	1	2	9	33	2	4	1	220	288	329	618	109	285	25	7	279	73	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	154	139	31	7	1	2	11	39	3	4	1	220	289	331	620	110	285	25	7	280	74	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	167	150	33	7	1	3	12	42	3	4	1	220	288	330	619	110	284	25	7	280	73	-5	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	164	149	33	7	1	3	11	41	3	4	1	219	287	328	615	109	283	25	7	278	73	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	161	146	32	7	1	2	11	41	3	3	1	216	284	320	604	104	281	25	7	274	69	-6	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	852	772	170	37	5	13	59	215	15	21	6	220	288	332	620	111	286	25	7	278	68	-28	+2	-2	+3	+18	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	130	28	4	10	45	164	11	16	5	221	288	333	621	112	286	25	7	278	68	-21	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2550	2297	485	109	9	33	172	641	56	97	34	211	282	310	592	98	276	25	7	269	68	-69	+3	-4	+7	+44	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	123	28	2	8	44	163	14	25	9	210	281	305	587	96	274	25	7	269	68	-22	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 429 PAwOBA .323 → .249 (−74)K% 19.6% → 25.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.58%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	25.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.26%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	6.14%
HBP% /PA	3.03%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	2.33%
Singles /BIP	20.85%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.985	×0.998	17.83%
Doubles /BIP	9.19%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.985	×0.998	7.05%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.985	×0.998	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	1.77%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	1.55%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .323 → .249; ISO .123 → .099; BABIP .309 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 97 PAwOBA .315 → .257 (−58)K% 15.5% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.46%	÷0.996	×1.360	—	—	21.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.37%	÷1.072	×0.690	—	—	7.96%
HBP% /PA	6.19%	—	×0.780	—	—	4.82%
Singles /BIP	22.58%	÷0.979	×0.920	×0.973	—	20.66%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.035	×0.830	×0.973	—	5.04%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.953	×0.910	×0.973	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.005	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .315 → .257; ISO .052 → .042; BABIP .281 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
/162	664	3	21	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.3	853	13	21	217	282	324	+3	+3	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	10	17	+2.4	+2.3	-0.0	pk7: 0
#3Doug Strange'89-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,067 PA	3.1	2,067	31	14	225*	286*	340*	+5	-0	-1.5	0.0
/162	664	10	4	+1.6	-0.1	-0.5	pk7: 1
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Walker (OGILVIE)	24	45	34	64	44	210/277/302	93	278	2	6	25%	6%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Leonards 2015 · A	24	46	39→40	56→50	43	220/275/306	87	278	6	12	23%	6%	65	-1.2	217/278/294	77	278	5	9	22%	6%	63	-1.3	212/277/276	64	270	3	8	21%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Kristopher Negrón 2010 · AA	24	47→49	39→45	56→55	44	225/287/316	91	290	6	19	24%	6%	72	-0.7	218/274/322	104	283	9	20	25%	5%	69	-0.9	217/277/337	120	309	13	14	32%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47	42→45	58→65	44	221/291/328	107	313	8	23	30%	8%	76	-0.4	202/279/300	98	317	8	27	36%	8%	67	-1.1	212/289/296	84	320	7	47	33%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48→51	39→40	56→55	38	232/266/318	86	304	6	18	26%	4%	63	-1.3	238/271/322	84	288	5	17	19%	3%	67	-1.1	236/272/299	63	288	2	18	18%	4%	59	-0.6
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	40→50	39→40	55	41	194/256/275	81	272	7	21	30%	6%	51	-2.2	218/272/309	91	285	6	17	25%	6%	65	-1.2	226/281/321	94	290	6	16	23%	5%	69	-0.8
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	40	60→55	42	207/262/313	106	284	6	19	28%	6%	61	-1.5	225/280/302	77	287	4	25	21%	6%	65	-1.2	241/308/312	70	294	4	28	18%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Josh Flores 2010 · AA	24	48→53	40→45	58→55	43	227/277/330	103	292	6	22	24%	6%	71	-0.8	212/273/306	94	295	7	18	29%	7%	64	-1.3	168/240/216	48	247	5	30	32%	9%	29	-0.7
✕Thomas Coyle 2015 · A	24	47→51	39→40	58→55	48	223/292/312	89	292	5	21	24%	8%	73	-0.6	199/264/292	93	285	6	19	30%	8%	58	-1.7	177/246/271	94	259	6	22	32%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Jacob Young 2023 · A	24	48→57	36→40	62→60	47	224/291/290	66	287	3	28	22%	7%	68	-1.0	246/305/325	79	305	4	32	19%	6%	80	-0.1	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2014 · AA	24	46→51	39→40	57→60	43	218/285/304	86	302	5	28	28%	6%	69	-0.9	227/282/313	86	310	5	27	27%	6%	69	-0.9	198/266/289	91	302	7	22	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Trey Lipscomb 2023 · A	23	49→48	40→45	57→50	38	234/270/328	94	316	7	21	28%	5%	68	-1.0	231/270/332	101	293	9	14	23%	5%	69	-0.9	229/272/349	120	291	13	16	25%	5%	70	-0.7
✕Jimmy Mojica 2008 · A	24	50	39→40	54→50	42	240/286/333	92	303	6	15	22%	5%	75	-0.5	216/281/311	95	273	8	11	23%	7%	69	-0.9	199/289/281	82	254	8	6	23%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Connor Kokx 2024 · AA	24	44	39→40	54→60	48	209/298/296	87	286	6	23	27%	9%	73	-0.6	216/293/300	84	304	6	22	29%	7%	72	-0.7	199/279/224	26	297	0	37	30%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Kyle Johnson 2014 · A	24	49→51	38→40	55	48	232/302/317	85	294	5	23	22%	7%	78	-0.3	208/272/293	85	283	5	16	26%	7%	61	-1.5	187/251/266	78	260	4	13	28%	6%	46	-1.2
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	219/289/319	100	273	4	25	20%	8%	74	-0.6	218/286/303	85	270	5	25	20%	8%	69	-0.9	215/286/284	70	259	5	32	18%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	48→49	41→45	57→65	43	228/291/334	105	307	8	27	27%	6%	78	-0.3	220/273/321	101	306	7	24	29%	5%	68	-1.0	221/286/346	125	277	12	55	24%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Collin Burns 2024 · AA	24	44	39→45	55	42	214/269/299	85	280	6	17	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/262/287	82	281	6	16	28%	6%	56	-1.9	192/249/262	70	263	5	18	27%	5%	42	-1.8
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	49→48	38→40	53→55	47	232/294/310	78	296	6	15	23%	7%	73	-0.6	222/304/296	74	290	6	18	23%	9%	74	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2011 · AA	24	49→50	41→45	57→60	48	232/300/346	114	286	7	22	21%	7%	84	+0.2	224/276/329	105	285	6	30	23%	6%	70	-0.8	225/286/341	117	286	11	26	24%	7%	77	-0.2

Kyle Walker

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps