Marcelo Alcala — OGILVIE

Marcelo AlcalaOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs A BB +6%HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.6 · 2032

wRC+†21

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .263 / .329

PA158

HR4

SB6

K%36

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

41↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.6peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.6	$15M	+$14M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.6	$16M	+$15M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.5	$15M	+$12M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.3	$14M	+$9M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.1	$12M	+$6M
Totals		$16M		$86M	+$70M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	127	106	15	5	0	1	12	47	9	5	1	.142	.283	.217	.500	.075	.241	37	9	.241	43	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	161	142	21	2	3	1	7	82	10	13	4	.148	.239	.225	.464	.077	.328	51	4	.208	17	-15	+1	+0	-1	+5	-1.1
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	168	151	21	4	3	3	9	91	6	14	1	.139	.217	.265	.482	.126	.316	54	5	.206	16	-16	+2	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	58	51	3	1	0	0	5	41	2	3	0	.059	.172	.078	.251	.020	.300	71	9	.140	-35	-9	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.7
ROS	20	MLB	CWS	100	91	16	3	1	2	7	40	2	3	0	.176	.250	.297	.547	.121	.286	40	7	.254	53	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
TOT	20	MLB	CWS	158	142	19	4	1	2	12	81	4	6	0	.134	.222	.218	.440	.085	.288	51	8	.212	21	-14	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	CWS	249	221	45	9	1	8	21	74	5	7	1	.204	.287	.362	.649	.158	.265	30	8	.290	80	-6	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.1
2028	22	MLB 28%	CWS	363	320	68	13	2	12	33	103	7	10	2	.212	.300	.378	.678	.166	.268	28	9	.303	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2029	23	MLB 48%	CWS	438	386	84	16	2	16	41	121	8	12	2	.218	.306	.394	.700	.176	.270	28	9	.311	96	-2	+2	+0	-3	+12	1.0
2030	24	MLB 62%	CWS	487	429	94	18	2	18	46	133	9	13	2	.219	.308	.396	.704	.177	.271	27	9	.316	100	-0	+2	+0	-3	+14	1.3
2031	25	MLB 80%	CWS	515	450	100	19	3	19	50	140	10	13	2	.222	.314	.404	.718	.182	.272	27	10	.319	102	+1	+2	+0	-3	+15	1.5
2032	26	MLB 94%	CWS	530	462	103	19	3	20	53	144	10	13	2	.223	.316	.407	.723	.184	.272	27	10	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	-3	+15	1.6
2033	27	MLB	CWS	535	466	104	20	3	20	54	146	10	13	2	.223	.317	.408	.725	.185	.272	27	10	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	-3	+15	1.6
2034	28	MLB	CWS	533	464	102	19	3	20	54	146	10	13	1	.220	.314	.403	.717	.183	.272	27	10	.320	103	+2	+2	-1	-3	+15	1.5
2035	29	MLB	CWS	526	458	100	19	2	20	53	146	10	12	1	.218	.313	.400	.712	.181	.271	28	10	.318	101	+1	+2	-1	-3	+15	1.3
2036	30	MLB	CWS	516	449	97	18	2	19	52	145	10	11	1	.216	.311	.392	.703	.176	.269	28	10	.314	99	-1	+2	-2	-3	+15	1.1
2037	31	MLB	CWS	503	438	94	18	2	18	51	143	9	10	0	.215	.309	.388	.697	.174	.268	28	10	.311	96	-2	+2	-3	-3	+14	0.8
2038	32	MLB	CWS	485	424	89	17	2	17	49	141	9	9	0	.210	.305	.380	.685	.170	.266	29	10	.306	92	-4	+2	-4	-3	+14	0.5
2039	33	MLB	CWS	456	399	81	15	2	15	46	135	8	9	0	.203	.298	.363	.661	.160	.264	30	10	.300	88	-6	+2	-4	-3	+13	0.2
2040	34	MLB	CWS	410	359	72	13	2	13	41	125	7	8	0	.201	.295	.357	.651	.156	.262	30	10	.293	83	-8	+2	-5	-2	+12	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7102	6215	1306	247	38	242	679	2102	149	188	22	.210	.303	.379	.682	.169	.272	30	10	.305	91	-70	+29	-20	-43	+201	10.0
/ 162G	—			650	569	119	23	3	22	62	192	14	17	2	.209	.302	.376	.678	.167	.271	30	10	.305	91	-6	+3	-2	-4	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	127	98	24	8	1	2	20	37	9	5	1	.245	.417	.408	.825	.163	.373	29	16	.381	150	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	161	136	37	4	5	3	12	54	10	13	4	.272	.371	.441	.812	.169	.420	34	7	.359	133	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	168	146	34	7	4	7	14	63	6	14	1	.233	.325	.479	.805	.247	.355	38	8	.349	125	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcelo Alcala (OGILVIE)	20	20	55	60	30	.193/.263/.329	.136	.284	4	3	36%	7%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Lewis Brinson 2014 · A	20	36→46	47→55	52→50	31	.178/.230/.308	.130	.314	15	14	46%	5%	43	-2.2	.220/.268/.368	.148	.324	17	14	36%	6%	75	-0.0	.237/.289/.413	.176	.298	20	17	27%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	37→34	51→60	50	37	.200/.246/.359	.159	.282	20	14	36%	6%	63	-0.8	.212/.272/.410	.198	.294	26	14	36%	7%	88	+0.9	.209/.277/.424	.216	.279	30	13	36%	8%	90	+0.6
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A	21	36→40	46→65	49→50	35	.190/.230/.319	.130	.259	13	10	32%	4%	45	-2.1	.201/.240/.341	.140	.267	15	9	30%	4%	55	-1.4	.218/.283/.452	.234	.267	35	9	33%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Brian Sanchez 2016 · A	20	38	41→60	47→45	34	.187/.243/.288	.102	.298	9	8	38%	5%	43	-2.2	.202/.260/.333	.131	.304	14	4	36%	6%	62	-0.9	.203/.267/.358	.155	.292	18	0	35%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→36	49→50	53→50	42	.198/.271/.352	.155	.274	16	13	33%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.257/.341	.142	.284	16	13	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Nelson Velázquez 2019 · A	20	39→38	42→60	50	34	.188/.242/.286	.098	.322	11	9	43%	6%	42	-2.3	.208/.252/.318	.110	.329	11	9	38%	5%	54	-1.4	.200/.270/.389	.189	.255	26	12	33%	8%	79	+0.2
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	37→46	49→60	51→45	45	.195/.277/.339	.144	.267	18	8	33%	9%	72	-0.2	.231/.297/.425	.194	.284	25	6	27%	8%	102	+1.9	.233/.299/.438	.204	.278	26	7	26%	8%	105	+1.8
✕Carlos Rincon 2018 · A	20	34→39	51→55	49→45	31	.184/.230/.340	.156	.301	21	7	45%	5%	51	-1.7	.191/.256/.344	.153	.286	20	5	38%	7%	64	-0.8	.192/.259/.358	.165	.266	22	4	36%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→32	45→55	53→50	39	.208/.253/.334	.126	.273	12	15	28%	5%	59	-1.1	.188/.236/.349	.161	.267	20	5	37%	5%	56	-1.3	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Keon Broxton 2010 · A	20	38→48	45→55	54→60	30	.188/.230/.311	.124	.318	12	6	44%	5%	43	-2.2	.190/.248/.290	.100	.310	8	13	38%	7%	45	-2.1	.225/.301/.390	.165	.341	17	38	36%	9%	92	+1.0
✕Travis Demeritte 2015 · A	20	36→43	49→60	49→50	36	.181/.252/.324	.142	.311	18	6	45%	8%	57	-1.2	.184/.249/.326	.142	.317	16	9	44%	7%	56	-1.3	.204/.271/.391	.188	.288	24	7	37%	8%	79	+0.2
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	46→44	51→65	54→50	37	.230/.278/.398	.168	.315	18	12	32%	5%	86	+0.8	.220/.270/.377	.157	.318	18	10	35%	5%	78	+0.2	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A	22	39→44	46→55	53→55	34	.196/.247/.327	.132	.312	14	10	40%	6%	55	-1.4	.198/.251/.317	.119	.302	12	12	37%	6%	54	-1.4	.258/.302/.412	.153	.342	17	16	28%	5%	96	+0.7
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→46	48→45	50	41	.192/.267/.331	.138	.299	16	12	39%	8%	65	-0.7	.212/.277/.338	.126	.320	13	10	36%	7%	71	-0.3	.217/.280/.344	.127	.316	14	8	34%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Carson Williams 2023 · A	20	41→39	48→55	52→55	35	.193/.261/.334	.141	.341	15	15	45%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.259/.350	.157	.310	19	19	41%	7%	67	-0.5	.184/.253/.348	.164	.278	21	23	40%	7%	61	-0.9
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→46	51→60	52→45	41	.220/.279/.381	.161	.292	20	8	31%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.303/.416	.188	.302	22	6	31%	8%	102	+1.9	.224/.304/.422	.198	.291	24	4	30%	9%	102	+1.6
✕Michael Chavis 2016 · A	20	35→45	46→60	45	33	.185/.226/.311	.126	.279	13	7	38%	4%	42	-2.3	.206/.253/.358	.152	.281	18	5	33%	5%	66	-0.6	.235/.292/.438	.203	.304	29	3	32%	6%	100	+1.1
●Will Benson 2019 · A	21	30→40	47→55	47→55	44	.163/.256/.291	.128	.251	16	9	40%	10%	51	-1.7	.179/.262/.333	.154	.273	19	14	39%	10%	64	-0.8	.221/.322/.401	.180	.313	18	26	32%	12%	102	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)