Marcelo Alcala — OGILVIE

Marcelo AlcalaOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION241 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†27

AVG/OBP/SLG.139 / .225 / .223

PA160

HR2

SB6

K%44

BB%7

BABIP251

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	127	106	16	5	1	1	12	46	9	5	1	151	291	245	537	94	254	36	9	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	127	98	24	8	1	2	20	37	9	5	1	245	417	408	825	163	373	29	16	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	161	142	21	2	3	1	7	83	10	13	4	148	239	225	464	77	333	52	4	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	161	136	37	4	5	3	12	54	10	13	4	272	371	441	812	169	420	34	7	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	21	4	3	3	9	91	6	14	1	139	217	265	482	126	316	54	5	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	168	146	34	7	4	7	14	63	6	14	1	233	325	479	805	247	355	38	8	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CWS	—	241	203	14	4	0	2	23	151	13	14	4	69	209	118	327	49	235	63	10	174	-9	-30	+1	+0	-1	+7	-2.4
YTD	20	A	CWS	—	241	188	27	8	1	4	37	106	13	14	4	144	322	261	583	117	291	44	15	283	75	-7	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.0
ROS	20	A	CWS	0%	160	143	20	4	1	2	11	71	5	6	2	139	225	223	448	84	260	44	7	220	27	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
ROS	20	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		260	—	—	197	9	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CWS	—	241	204	14	4	0	2	23	151	13	14	4	69	209	118	327	49	231	63	10	174	-9	-30	+1	+0	-1	+7	-2.4
TOT	20	A	CWS	—	401	346	34	8	1	4	34	222	18	20	6	98	216	162	377	63	245	55	8	192	5	-43	+2	+0	-2	+11	-3.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CWS	34%	363	323	54	11	2	8	27	151	10	9	2	167	253	288	541	121	270	42	7	244	45	-23	+1	+0	-2	+10	-1.4
2027	21	MLB	CWS	34%	125	112	19	4	1	3	9	52	3	3	1	170	250	304	554	134	271	42	7	224	30	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	125	113	19	4	1	3	9	52	3	3	1	168	250	301	551	133	271	42	7	224	30	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	99	21	5	16	47	270	16	16	5	168	251	303	554	134	270	42	7	224	30	-51	+1	+0	-4	+18	-3.7
Career	—			—	979	865	132	26	10	15	66	442	40	47	10	152	245	258	503	105	283	45	7	227	32	-76	+5	+0	-6	+28	-4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	88	17	7	10	44	293	27	31	7	153	247	260	506	106	285	45	7	227	32	-50	+3	+0	-4	+18	-3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	127	98	24	8	1	2	20	37	9	5	1	245	417	408	825	163	373	29	16	381	150	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	161	136	37	4	5	3	12	54	10	13	4	272	371	441	812	169	420	34	7	359	133	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	168	146	34	7	4	7	14	63	6	14	1	233	325	479	805	247	355	38	8	349	125	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	355	7	8	179	246	290	-2	+0	-1.4	-0.7
	/162	664	13	15	179	246	290	-4.0	+0.0	-2.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcelo Alcala (OGILVIE)	20	20	55	60	30	098/216/162	63	245	4	20	55%	8%	5	-3.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	43→50	56→60	36	185/253/297	112	281	10	19	36%	6%	50	-1.7	173/244/264	91	301	8	23	42%	7%	38	-2.6	140/212/218	79	253	8	29	45%	7%	12	-1.4
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Michael Crouse 2011 · A	20	39→37	42→50	54→55	37	187/248/298	111	309	9	19	40%	7%	47	-1.9	184/250/307	123	303	13	21	41%	7%	52	-1.6	191/257/319	128	297	12	19	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Miguel Bleis 2023 · A	19	39→30	43→45	55	35	194/241/305	111	282	10	17	34%	5%	46	-2.0	180/232/276	96	269	9	23	35%	5%	35	-2.8	159/215/248	89	231	10	28	35%	6%	19	-2.2
✕Tyler Whitaker 2023 · A	20	32→27	41→40	50	28	154/208/246	92	309	10	11	51%	5%	17	-4.0	168/244/250	82	320	7	14	46%	7%	34	-2.8	148/235/233	85	272	6	18	44%	8%	26	-1.5
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	40	186/256/304	118	288	12	11	38%	8%	53	-1.5	183/255/292	109	329	10	20	44%	8%	50	-1.8	168/243/272	104	301	10	25	44%	8%	37	-2.0
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2022 · A	20	38→35	43→45	53→50	36	184/246/291	107	315	11	10	43%	7%	45	-2.1	180/236/279	99	333	10	12	46%	6%	37	-2.6	170/224/280	109	305	13	14	46%	6%	30	-1.7
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	38	-2.6	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	53	-1.5	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Demi Orimoloye 2017 · A	20	36→35	42→40	53→55	36	182/231/280	98	265	10	19	35%	5%	36	-2.7	179/230/272	93	277	8	18	37%	5%	33	-2.9	170/218/264	93	274	9	17	40%	4%	22	-2.6
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Junior Arias 2013 · A	21	36→42	42→50	52→60	34	184/223/285	101	269	10	16	35%	4%	33	-2.9	199/235/299	100	296	10	30	35%	4%	41	-2.3	197/242/323	125	299	16	30	38%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	60	-1.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3