Marcelo Alcala — OGILVIE

Marcelo AlcalaCF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†22

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP258

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	127	98	24	8	1	2	20	37	9	5	1	245	417	408	825	163	373	29	16	381	144	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	161	136	37	4	5	3	12	54	10	13	4	272	371	441	812	169	420	34	7	359	129	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	168	146	34	7	4	7	14	63	6	14	1	233	325	479	805	247	355	38	8	349	122	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	127	106	16	5	1	1	12	50	9	5	1	151	291	245	537	94	263	39	9	244	51	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	142	21	2	3	1	7	80	10	13	4	148	239	225	464	77	310	50	4	214	31	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	20	4	2	4	9	91	6	14	1	132	211	265	476	132	277	54	5	205	25	-15	+2	—	—	+4	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	127	106	16	5	1	1	12	50	9	5	1	151	291	245	537	94	273	39	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	127	98	24	8	1	2	20	37	9	5	1	245	417	408	825	163	373	29	16	381	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	142	21	2	3	1	7	80	10	13	4	148	239	225	464	77	317	50	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	161	136	37	4	5	3	12	54	10	13	4	272	371	441	812	169	420	34	7	359	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	20	4	2	4	9	91	6	14	1	132	211	265	476	132	286	54	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	168	146	34	7	4	7	14	63	6	14	1	233	325	479	805	247	355	38	8	349	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	127	105	16	5	1	1	12	50	9	5	1	152	291	248	539	95	263	39	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	143	21	2	3	1	7	80	10	13	4	147	239	224	463	77	310	50	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	20	4	2	4	9	91	6	14	1	132	211	265	476	132	277	54	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	127	105	16	5	1	1	12	50	9	5	1	152	291	248	539	95	263	39	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	161	143	21	2	3	1	7	80	10	13	4	147	239	224	463	77	310	50	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	168	151	20	4	2	4	9	91	6	14	1	132	211	265	476	132	277	54	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	CWS	—	272	231	18	5	0	3	24	164	15	16	4	78	211	139	350	61	231	60	9	175	4	-31	+2	+0	+1	+6	-2.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CWS	—	126	99	17	5	0	2	19	48	6	10	1	172	336	283	619	111	300	38	15	296	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	CWS	—	146	117	16	5	1	3	19	67	9	6	3	137	303	274	577	137	277	46	13	277	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	CWS	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		257	50	10	201	22	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	20	A MLE	CWS	—	282	240	19	5	0	3	25	169	15	16	4	79	211	138	348	58	232	60	9	176	5	-32	+2	+0	+1	+6	-2.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	311	274	38	8	2	6	23	154	11	8	2	139	234	248	482	109	267	50	7	225	38	-23	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	107	94	13	3	1	2	8	53	4	3	1	138	236	255	491	117	268	50	7	200	38	-8	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	107	94	13	3	1	2	8	53	4	3	1	138	236	255	491	117	275	50	7	200	36	-8	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	79	18	6	12	49	322	24	18	6	138	236	254	490	116	276	50	8	200	36	-48	+1	+0	+2	+14	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	777	682	96	19	8	12	52	380	36	40	8	141	239	245	484	104	286	49	7	221	36	-24	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	81	16	7	10	44	318	30	33	7	142	241	247	488	105	289	49	7	221	36	-48	+2	+0	+2	+14	-3.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	304	5	8	139	223	242	+0	+0	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	12	18	+0.1	+0.0	-3.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcelo Alcala (OGILVIE)	20	20	55	60	30	115/215/198	83	257	3	8	53%	7%	22	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	42→50	55→60	36	183/250/290	107	281	9	19	36%	5%	53	-2.1	173/244/263	90	299	8	23	41%	7%	45	-2.7	142/213/220	78	253	8	29	44%	7%	23	-1.4
✕Demi Orimoloye 2017 · A	20	36→37	42→45	53→55	36	182/231/280	98	265	10	19	35%	5%	43	-2.8	181/232/278	97	277	9	18	36%	5%	42	-2.9	180/226/278	98	281	10	17	38%	4%	37	-2.3
✕Stiven Acevedo 2023 · A	20	38→33	39→45	53→55	37	184/243/268	84	297	7	14	39%	7%	45	-2.7	185/231/291	106	296	12	20	40%	5%	45	-2.7	170/214/276	106	265	13	24	40%	5%	33	-2.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/235/269	91	291	8	13	40%	6%	42	-2.9	176/238/276	100	311	10	11	44%	6%	45	-2.7	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Miguel Bleis 2023 · A	19	39→31	43→45	55	36	196/243/309	114	285	10	17	34%	5%	54	-2.0	184/236/283	99	270	10	23	34%	5%	45	-2.7	166/221/262	96	232	11	28	33%	6%	33	-2.0
✕Juan Carlos Negret 2019 · A	20	36→26	43→50	48→50	36	184/249/295	111	273	11	12	35%	5%	54	-2.0	167/238/285	118	279	14	6	43%	6%	49	-2.4	130/208/263	134	192	19	2	43%	7%	32	-2.0
✕Cal Jones 2018 · A	20	35	41→45	49→45	30	175/217/267	92	292	9	9	42%	4%	34	-3.5	194/239/292	98	309	9	7	38%	5%	48	-2.5	184/225/281	97	285	10	5	38%	4%	39	-1.7
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2022 · A	20	38	43→45	53→50	36	183/244/288	105	313	11	10	43%	7%	50	-2.3	186/241/286	100	335	10	12	44%	6%	48	-2.5	181/233/295	114	315	14	14	45%	6%	44	-1.5
✕Alexander Ramirez 2023 · A	20	36→42	41→45	49→50	32	174/231/269	95	303	8	11	43%	5%	40	-3.0	181/231/280	99	357	9	13	49%	5%	43	-2.8	164/213/258	93	351	10	14	53%	5%	29	-1.8
✕Alexander Suarez 2023 · A	21	38→35	45	53→55	29	186/240/305	119	317	13	13	43%	4%	53	-2.1	195/242/303	108	307	12	17	39%	4%	53	-2.1	184/230/283	100	286	11	21	38%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Tyler Whitaker 2023 · A	20	31→41	41→40	50→55	28	154/209/246	91	302	10	11	50%	5%	27	-4.0	168/244/253	85	315	8	14	45%	7%	42	-2.9	162/245/247	86	284	7	18	42%	8%	40	-1.6
✕Ryan Spikes 2023 · A	20	40→28	45	51→55	32	191/250/308	117	335	13	15	45%	6%	57	-1.8	175/229/278	103	294	11	16	42%	5%	42	-2.9	180/223/292	112	278	13	22	39%	4%	41	-1.6
✕Starling Heredia 2019 · A	20	38	43→45	49→50	34	184/236/292	108	309	10	9	42%	6%	47	-2.5	174/247/285	111	346	11	12	48%	8%	51	-2.2	131/222/244	113	268	12	16	51%	10%	30	-2.4
✕Yeurys Tejeda 2008 · A	20	37	39→40	51→50	34	181/238/260	79	292	7	13	39%	5%	41	-3.0	191/241/274	83	278	7	8	32%	5%	45	-2.7	175/208/266	92	228	10	4	28%	3%	29	-0.8
✕Jesus Parra 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	50	28	170/216/256	87	291	7	5	42%	4%	32	-3.7	188/233/274	86	342	6	5	44%	4%	42	-2.9	158/193/240	82	311	5	2	49%	3%	16	-1.3
✕Brent Brewer 2008 · A	20	41→40	41→40	58→55	34	196/242/295	99	314	8	20	39%	5%	50	-2.3	194/243/270	76	307	4	18	35%	6%	45	-2.7	186/239/252	66	288	2	21	34%	6%	36	-2.5
✕Michael Crouse 2011 · A	20	39	42→50	54→55	37	188/249/297	109	311	8	19	40%	7%	54	-2.0	188/255/311	123	307	12	21	40%	7%	59	-1.6	195/263/321	126	297	12	19	36%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Erick Vasquez 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	49→55	31	176/234/275	98	310	10	16	44%	5%	44	-2.8	182/237/259	77	310	6	11	41%	5%	40	-3.0	115/162/138	24	212	0	10	43%	3%	-17	-1.6
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2023 · A	20	38→24	37→45	51→60	37	182/239/259	77	286	4	10	36%	6%	40	-3.0	159/226/247	88	256	8	13	39%	7%	34	-3.5	160/233/271	111	241	12	30	37%	7%	41	-1.7
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	45	-2.7	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	59	-1.7	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps