Moises Amezquita

Moises Amezquita P ACL Royals

Age 22 LHP 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 133

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%20.6%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%5.8%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	9	4	23	100	22	8	5	44%	2.6	15.0%	10.0%	5.0%	6.7%	3.52	6.77	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	9	4	23	100	22	8	5	44%	2.6	15.0%	10.0%	5.0%	6.7%	3.52	6.77	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	9	4	23	100	22	8	5	44%	2.6	22.0%	8.0%	14.0%	5.0%	3.52	5.06	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	89	20	11	0	0%	1.8	15.3%	15.4%	-0.2%	0.0%	4.58	3.77	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	89	20	11	0	0%	1.8	15.3%	15.4%	-0.2%	0.0%	4.58	3.77	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	89	20	11	0	0%	1.8	22.5%	12.4%	10.1%	0.0%	4.58	2.74	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	27	113	29	16	1	0%	2.3	17.5%	17.7%	-0.2%	1.4%	2.63	4.64	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	27	113	29	16	1	0%	2.3	17.5%	17.7%	-0.2%	1.4%	2.63	4.64	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	27	113	29	16	1	0%	2.3	25.7%	14.2%	11.5%	0.9%	2.63	3.21	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	30	0	49	205	40	23	2	0%	1.6	13.8%	13.7%	0.1%	1.3%	3.14	4.36	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	30	0	49	205	40	23	2	0%	1.6	13.8%	13.7%	0.1%	1.3%	3.14	4.36	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	KC	20	0	30	122	21	13	0	0%	1.5	17.2%	10.7%	6.6%	0.0%	2.40	3.00	—
2026	22	A RAW	KC	10	0	19	83	19	10	2	0%	1.9	22.9%	12.0%	10.8%	2.4%	4.34	4.02	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	KC	47	0	50	209	45	27	6	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	2.9%	4.98	4.88	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	48	0	51	214	48	25	6	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.76	4.65	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	49	0	51	217	49	24	6	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.9%	11.9%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	KC	49	0	51	217	50	23	6	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	2.9%	4.53	4.48	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	KC	23	0	24	101	22	13	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	2.9%	4.98	4.88	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	33	0	35	148	33	17	4	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.76	4.65	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	40	0	42	177	40	19	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.9%	11.9%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	KC	43	0	45	190	44	21	5	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	2.9%	4.53	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		139	0	146	617	139	70	18	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.4%	11.1%	2.9%	4.68	4.21	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	96	25	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.4%	11.1%	2.9%	4.68	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		62	4	119	507	77	72	11	6%	1.9	15.1%	14.2%	1.0%	2.1%	3.34	4.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	7	200	854	129	121	18	6%	1.9	15.1%	14.2%	1.0%	2.1%	3.34	4.80	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Moises Amezquita (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	20.6%	14.8%	2.9%	—	4.68	22.3%	10.4%	152	-0.55	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	89
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	86
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	86
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	85
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	84
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	84
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	84
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	84
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	82
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	82
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	81
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	81
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	81
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	81
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	81
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	81
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	80
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	80
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	43	22.3%	11.8%	1.11	4.75
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10