Jhocsuanth Vargas

C Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKTEX	37	.290/.371/.484	2	0	91	—	.250/.314/.438
2026	19	ATEX	39	.111/.135/.139	0	0	-47	—	.083/.108/.111
2026	19	ROKTEX	16	.286/.333/.286	0	0	40	—	.214/.267/.214
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBTEX	165	.215/.267/.305	2	2	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBTEX	63	.220/.273/.319	1	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBTEX	151	.223/.278/.328	3	2	69	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRodolfo Castro (age 20) · Hendrik Clementina (age 20) · Denzer Guzman (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .265 / .302

PA73

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	16	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	126	110	30	7	0	2	11	19	5	4	1	273	365	391	756	118	315	15	9	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	37	31	9	0	0	2	4	3	0	0	1	290	371	484	855	194	250	8	11	359	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	39	36	4	1	0	0	1	14	0	0	1	111	135	139	274	28	167	36	3	120	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	16	14	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	286	333	286	619		308	12	6	270	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	126	113	20	5	0	1	8	24	5	4	1	177	262	248	510	71	210	19	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	37	32	8	0	0	2	3	4	0	0	1	250	314	438	752	188	204	11	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	39	36	3	1	0	0	1	19	0	0	1	83	108	111	219	28	152	49	3	98	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	16	14	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	214	267	214	481		252	19	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	126	113	20	5	0	1	8	24	5	4	1	177	262	248	510	71	216	19	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	126	110	30	7	0	2	11	19	5	4	1	273	365	391	756	118	315	15	9	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	37	32	8	0	0	2	3	4	0	0	1	250	314	438	752	188	214	11	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	37	31	9	0	0	2	4	3	0	0	1	290	371	484	855	194	250	8	11	359	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	55	51	7	1	0	0	1	22	0	0	1	137	154	157	311	20	219	40	2	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	55	50	8	1	0	0	2	16	0	0	1	160	192	180	372	20	216	29	4	164	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	126	112	20	5	0	1	8	24	5	4	1	179	262	250	512	71	210	19	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	37	34	8	0	0	2	3	4	0	0	1	235	314	412	726	176	204	11	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	55	54	7	1	0	0	1	22	0	0	1	130	154	148	302	19	181	40	2	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	37	34	8	0	0	2	3	4	0	0	1	235	314	412	726	176	204	11	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	55	54	7	1	0	0	1	22	0	0	1	130	154	148	302	19	181	40	2	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	165	153	32	4	1	2	10	46	1	2	1	215	267	305	572	89	288	28	6	258	61	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	183	169	37	5	1	3	11	50	1	2	1	219	272	315	588	96	289	27	6	265	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	312	287	64	9	2	6	20	84	2	3	1	222	277	324	601	102	290	27	6	270	69	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	400	368	83	12	2	8	26	107	3	4	2	224	280	332	612	107	291	27	6	275	72	-13	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	460	424	96	14	3	9	30	122	3	5	2	226	283	338	621	112	292	27	7	279	75	-14	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	493	453	104	15	3	11	33	129	4	5	2	228	286	343	629	115	292	26	7	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	512	469	107	16	3	11	34	134	4	5	2	228	286	343	629	116	292	26	7	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	520	476	109	16	3	11	35	137	4	5	2	227	285	341	625	114	291	26	7	281	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	520	476	108	16	3	11	35	138	4	3	2	225	282	336	619	111	290	27	7	278	74	-16	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	514	472	105	15	3	10	34	138	3	2	2	222	280	330	609	108	289	27	7	274	72	-17	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	505	464	101	14	2	10	33	137	3	1	1	219	276	322	598	103	287	27	7	269	68	-19	-0	-2	+9	+11	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	63	59	13	2	0	1	4	17	0	1	0	220	273	319	593	99	289	27	6	267	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	151	139	31	4	1	3	10	41	1	2	1	223	278	328	606	106	290	27	7	272	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	217	199	45	6	1	5	14	58	2	2	1	225	281	336	618	111	291	27	6	277	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	255	234	53	7	1	6	17	67	2	3	1	228	285	343	628	115	292	26	7	281	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	276	254	58	8	2	6	18	72	2	3	1	229	287	348	635	119	292	26	7	284	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	288	265	61	8	2	7	19	76	2	3	1	229	287	349	636	120	292	26	7	285	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	288	265	61	8	2	7	19	76	2	3	1	228	286	346	632	118	291	26	7	283	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	285	262	58	8	1	6	19	76	2	2	1	226	284	341	625	115	290	27	7	280	74	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	298	274	60	8	1	6	20	80	2	1	1	223	281	335	615	111	289	27	7	276	72	-10	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	304	279	61	8	1	6	20	83	2	1	1	220	277	326	603	106	287	27	7	272	68	-11	-0	-1	+5	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2425	2230	501	67	12	53	160	646	17	21	9	225	282	337	618	112	291	27	7	279	71	-77	+1	-2	+43	+53	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	134	18	3	14	43	173	5	6	2	224	282	334	617	110	290	27	7	279	71	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4710	4323	963	140	25	94	307	1246	36	40	20	223	280	332	612	109	289	26	7	273	71	-144	+0	-4	+80	+97	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	132	19	3	13	42	172	5	6	3	221	278	328	606	107	286	26	6	273	71	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.8	2,498	50	19	225	279	335	+45	+24	3.5	3.3
/162	664	13	5	+11.9	+6.4	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhocsuanth Vargas (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	214/265/302	89	288	1	1	28%	6%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Hendrik Clementina 2017 · A	20	38	40→50	46→30	37	192/239/280	88	270	8	5	32%	5%	45	-2.7	208/253/329	121	295	14	3	33%	5%	63	-1.4	186/231/307	121	280	17	1	39%	5%	47	-0.9
✕Denzer Guzman 2024 · A	20	39→49	40→45	48→50	39	191/246/287	96	288	7	7	35%	7%	50	-2.3	209/268/322	113	303	11	10	33%	7%	67	-1.1	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Gabriel Cancel 2017 · A	20	41→46	43→50	47→50	38	203/247/318	115	281	9	6	30%	5%	57	-1.8	217/257/344	127	294	13	7	30%	4%	68	-1.0	174/239/298	124	269	15	16	39%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Keyber Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	39→47	41→45	51→50	42	194/248/295	101	262	9	7	29%	6%	53	-2.1	210/260/291	81	292	6	11	29%	6%	56	-1.9	212/256/312	100	274	9	12	25%	5%	58	-1.4
✕Creed Willems 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→50	48→30	35	182/242/277	95	274	7	4	35%	5%	47	-2.6	193/255/332	139	255	17	3	31%	6%	65	-1.2	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Tyler Marlette 2013 · A	20	42→43	40→50	47→45	33	208/232/301	93	293	8	5	32%	3%	47	-2.6	240/280/366	126	314	13	8	27%	5%	81	-0.1	243/287/380	137	309	15	7	26%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	36	40→50	45→40	43	179/248/267	88	250	7	4	30%	7%	47	-2.5	187/244/294	107	279	10	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	36	39→50	45→40	43	179/246/260	81	255	6	5	31%	8%	45	-2.7	204/264/306	102	299	8	6	32%	7%	61	-1.5	206/261/337	132	279	11	4	29%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→41	42→45	45	39	187/239/300	113	260	9	5	31%	6%	51	-2.3	205/255/326	121	270	13	6	28%	6%	63	-1.4	198/253/321	123	239	15	9	24%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Gavin LaValley 2015 · A	20	42→46	42→50	51→40	40	205/262/305	100	294	9	5	32%	6%	60	-1.6	216/269/320	104	303	9	3	30%	6%	66	-1.1	218/268/333	115	298	11	1	29%	6%	67	-0.9
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	47→50	45	194/259/280	86	254	7	8	26%	7%	54	-2.0	210/288/337	127	293	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	174/246/297	123	248	13	14	34%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/254	72	232	7	5	25%	6%	35	-3.4	196/248/282	86	230	7	3	17%	6%	49	-2.4	215/276/319	104	267	9	0	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	40	39→45	46→50	45	192/269/279	87	247	7	7	24%	7%	58	-1.7	210/272/303	93	266	5	11	22%	5%	63	-1.3	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	34	37→45	47→40	47	164/238/229	66	203	5	3	22%	7%	35	-3.4	205/261/282	77	259	5	4	22%	6%	55	-2.0	227/269/318	92	274	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4

Jhocsuanth Vargas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps