Juan Henriquez — OGILVIE

Juan Henriquez P FCL Red Sox

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 172 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%20.5%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	11	42	178	44	21	1	100%	3.8	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	0.9%	4.68	4.05	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	11	11	42	178	44	21	1	100%	3.8	24.7%	11.8%	12.9%	0.6%	4.68	2.82	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	17	0	34	139	25	15	1	0%	2.0	12.2%	13.5%	-1.3%	1.1%	2.14	4.36	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	17	0	34	139	25	15	1	0%	2.0	12.2%	13.5%	-1.3%	1.1%	2.14	4.36	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	17	0	34	139	25	15	1	0%	2.0	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	0.7%	2.14	3.34	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	15	1	26	119	20	19	0	7%	1.7	11.4%	20.0%	-8.5%	0.0%	4.21	4.66	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	15	1	26	119	20	19	0	7%	1.7	11.4%	20.0%	-8.5%	0.0%	4.21	4.66	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	15	1	26	119	20	19	0	7%	1.7	16.8%	16.0%	0.8%	0.0%	4.21	3.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BOS	15	0	16	68	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.9%	5.6%	2.9%	5.25	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	23	0	24	103	22	13	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.9%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.86	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	11	0	12	51	11	7	1	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.9%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.86	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	11	6	1	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.9%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	100	17	0%	1.1	21.7%	12.9%	8.8%	2.9%	4.98	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		43	12	102	436	61	69	3	28%	2.4	13.9%	15.8%	-1.9%	0.7%	3.72	4.32	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	24	200	858	119	135	6	28%	2.4	13.9%	15.8%	-1.9%	0.7%	3.72	4.32	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Henriquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	20.5%	14.9%	2.9%	—	4.86	21.7%	8.8%	24	-0.39	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	88
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	87
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	84
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	83
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	81
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	81
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	81
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	80
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	80
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	80
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	80
Jose Romero R 2022 · 4.29 FIP	21	SW	4.29	22.7%	17.2%	1.7%	.200	4.34	21.6%	3.9%	100	+0.05	3.71	163	79
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	79
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	79
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	79
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	79