Johander Rubio
P
DSL Rangers Red
Age 20
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%22.5%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 4 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 32.1% | -7.1% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 5.06 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 4 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 32.1% | -7.1% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 5.70 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 9 | 33 | 161 | 40 | 39 | 0 | 82% | 3.0 | 16.9% | 30.3% | -13.4% | 0.0% | 6.61 | 5.51 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 9 | 33 | 161 | 40 | 39 | 0 | 82% | 3.0 | 24.8% | 24.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 6.61 | 4.23 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 11 | 39 | 164 | 42 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 3.5 | 17.4% | 17.5% | -0.1% | 0.6% | 3.96 | 4.16 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 11 | 39 | 164 | 42 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 3.5 | 25.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 0.6% | 3.96 | 3.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TEX | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.98 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 89 | 18 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 26 | 22 | 76 | 353 | 63 | 87 | 1 | 85% | 2.9 | 17.8% | 24.5% | -6.7% | 0.3% | 5.54 | 4.85 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 58 | 200 | 925 | 164 | 227 | 2 | 85% | 2.9 | 17.8% | 24.5% | -6.7% | 0.3% | 5.54 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Johander Rubio (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.36 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 23 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 90 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 85 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 85 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 83 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 81 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.60 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.16 | 12.0% | 1.0% | 65 | +0.56 | 4.13 | 153 | 80 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 80 |
| Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 80 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.83 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .238 | 4.84 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.83 | 358 | 79 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 79 |
| Dylan Wilson R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.60 | 20.6% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 139 | 79 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 79 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 79 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 79 |
| Jaxon Wiggins R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.61 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .286 | 3.29 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 79 | -0.32 | 3.12 | 132 | 79 |
| Kamdyn Perry R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.18 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 3.7% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.18 | 123 | 79 |
| Levi Wells R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.32 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .360 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 132 | -0.47 | 3.70 | 192 | 78 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2029 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 78 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 78 |
| Nate Dohm R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 78 |