Luis Martinez — OGILVIE

Luis MartinezC DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .279 / .296

PA76

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$12M		$33M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	79	10	4	1	0	8	26	2	1	2	127	225	203	427	76	185	29	9	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	74	14	5	1	0	13	18	2	1	2	189	326	284	610	95	246	20	14	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	137	27	5	0	2	20	51	2	2	2	197	308	277	586	80	284	31	12	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	127	36	7	0	2	30	36	2	2	2	283	428	386	813	102	366	22	18	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	ARI	—	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	203	276	290	566	87	287	29	8	265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	122	110	23	4	1	2	10	34	1	1	0	209	281	318	599	109	289	28	8	276	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	22	MLB	ARI	48%	268	240	53	10	2	5	23	72	3	3	1	221	297	342	639	121	291	27	9	284	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	372	334	74	14	2	7	31	99	4	4	1	222	295	338	634	117	292	27	8	289	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.9
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	444	398	90	17	3	9	38	118	5	5	2	226	302	352	653	126	293	27	9	293	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	486	437	98	18	3	11	41	129	5	5	2	224	298	355	653	130	293	27	8	295	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.4
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	511	456	103	19	3	11	44	135	6	6	2	226	302	353	655	127	293	26	9	296	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2033	27	MLB	ARI	55%	520	464	106	20	3	12	45	138	6	6	2	228	305	362	667	134	293	27	9	296	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	28	MLB	ARI	55%	520	464	104	20	3	11	45	139	6	6	2	224	301	351	652	127	292	27	9	295	84	-9	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2035	29	MLB	ARI	53%	520	463	103	19	3	11	46	140	6	5	2	222	301	348	649	125	291	27	9	293	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2036	30	MLB	ARI	53%	513	457	102	19	3	11	45	139	6	5	2	223	301	350	651	127	290	27	9	291	81	-11	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2037	31	MLB	ARI	52%	486	435	95	17	3	10	43	133	5	4	1	218	296	340	636	122	287	27	9	287	77	-12	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	42	38	9	2	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	237	310	368	678	132	291	29	10	271	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB	ARI	48%	130	117	26	5	1	2	11	35	1	1	0	222	295	333	628	111	293	27	8	278	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	202	181	41	8	1	4	17	54	2	2	1	227	300	348	648	122	294	27	8	284	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	246	220	51	10	2	5	21	65	3	3	1	232	307	364	671	132	295	26	9	287	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	272	244	56	11	2	6	23	72	3	3	1	230	304	365	668	135	295	26	8	289	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	287	258	59	11	2	7	24	76	3	3	1	229	302	368	670	140	295	26	8	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	27	MLB	ARI	55%	288	258	59	11	2	7	25	76	3	3	1	229	304	368	672	140	295	26	9	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB	ARI	55%	285	255	58	11	2	6	25	76	3	3	1	227	304	357	661	129	294	27	9	290	80	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB	ARI	53%	278	249	57	11	2	6	24	75	3	3	1	229	304	361	666	133	293	27	9	288	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2036	30	MLB	ARI	53%	270	241	53	10	1	6	24	73	3	2	1	220	299	344	643	124	292	27	9	285	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2037	31	MLB	ARI	52%	253	226	49	9	1	5	22	69	3	2	1	217	295	332	627	115	290	27	9	281	73	-8	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2553	2287	518	99	16	55	220	683	27	25	9	226	302	356	658	129	297	27	9	287	78	-65	+1	-4	+46	+72	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	132	25	4	14	56	174	7	6	2	227	302	356	658	129	297	27	9	287	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5091	4543	1002	189	30	103	445	1375	58	54	21	221	298	343	642	123	290	27	9	289	80	-117	+2	-7	+91	+144	11.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	128	24	4	13	57	176	7	7	3	221	298	343	641	122	291	27	9	289	80	-15	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	74	14	5	1	0	13	18	2	1	2	189	326	284	610	95	246	20	14	287	78	-2	-1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	127	36	7	0	2	30	36	2	2	2	283	428	386	813	102	366	22	18	368	140	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,629	54	28	224	297	349	+47	+28	6.6	6.0
	/162	664	14	7	224	297	349	+11.9	+7.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Martinez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	206/279/296	90	287	1	1	28%	8%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→47	39→55	49→30	44	205/276/287	82	282	6	6	28%	7%	56	-1.3	210/273/295	85	266	7	4	22%	7%	57	-1.2	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→49	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	230/299/349	119	326	11	11	30%	9%	82	+0.5	228/302/349	121	326	10	15	31%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→51	44→50	50→40	45	216/272/344	128	281	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	233/298/343	110	302	8	4	24%	9%	80	+0.4	236/304/339	103	303	8	2	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→50	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	194/272/271	77	286	5	5	31%	9%	52	-1.6	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Omar Martinez 2021 · A	20	43→38	39→45	48→40	47	206/280/291	85	290	7	5	30%	9%	59	-1.1	197/282/309	112	296	12	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/263/292	118	262	14	4	37%	10%	52	-1.0
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
✕Carlos Soto 2019 · A	20	41	40→50	43→30	45	199/265/285	86	265	8	3	27%	8%	52	-1.6	200/264/298	98	278	9	4	30%	7%	55	-1.4	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	50	-1.7	197/299/316	119	271	14	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Michael Cruz 2017 · A	21	42	38→55	49→30	47	202/284/282	80	255	6	5	22%	7%	60	-1.0	204/267/329	125	238	13	3	20%	6%	65	-0.7	187/252/334	147	215	19	1	23%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	68	-0.5	179/233/250	71	283	5	4	36%	5%	28	-3.2	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3