Luis Martinez — OGILVIE

Luis MartinezC DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .278 / .294

PA6

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	74	14	5	1	0	13	18	2	1	2	189	326	284	610	95	246	20	14	287	80	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	127	36	7	0	2	30	36	2	2	2	283	428	386	813	102	366	22	18	368	135	+7	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	79	11	4	1	0	8	26	2	1	2	139	236	215	451	76	181	29	9	194	17	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	138	28	5	0	2	19	51	2	2	2	203	308	283	591	80	275	31	12	266	66	-7	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	79	11	4	1	0	8	26	2	1	2	139	236	215	451	76	204	29	9	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	74	14	5	1	0	13	18	2	1	2	189	326	284	610	95	246	20	14	287	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	138	28	5	0	2	19	51	2	2	2	203	308	283	591	80	292	31	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	127	36	7	0	2	30	36	2	2	2	283	428	386	813	102	366	22	18	368	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	80	11	4	1	0	8	26	2	1	2	138	236	212	448	75	181	29	9	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	141	28	5	0	2	19	51	2	2	2	199	308	277	585	78	275	31	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	90	80	11	4	1	0	8	26	2	1	2	138	236	212	448	75	181	29	9	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	163	141	28	5	0	2	19	51	2	2	2	199	308	277	585	78	275	31	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		287	33	0	264	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	122	110	24	4	1	2	10	34	1	1	0	218	289	327	617	109	289	28	8	275	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	268	241	54	10	2	5	22	72	3	3	1	224	297	344	641	120	290	27	8	283	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	372	334	74	14	2	7	31	99	4	4	1	222	295	338	634	117	291	27	8	289	81	-8	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	444	399	90	17	3	9	37	117	5	5	2	226	299	351	650	125	292	26	8	292	84	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	486	437	98	18	3	10	41	128	5	5	2	224	298	348	646	124	293	26	8	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	511	457	103	19	3	11	43	135	6	6	2	225	300	352	653	127	292	26	8	295	86	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	464	105	19	3	12	45	138	6	6	2	226	303	358	661	131	292	27	9	296	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	464	104	19	3	11	45	138	6	6	2	224	301	349	650	125	292	27	9	295	85	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	464	104	19	3	11	45	139	6	5	2	224	301	349	650	125	291	27	9	293	84	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	513	457	102	19	3	11	45	139	6	5	2	223	301	350	651	127	289	27	9	290	82	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	60%	486	436	95	17	3	10	42	133	5	4	1	218	294	339	633	122	287	27	9	286	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	ARI	61%	455	408	87	16	2	9	39	126	5	3	1	213	290	328	618	115	284	28	9	280	76	-13	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	ARI	62%	414	371	76	13	2	7	36	117	4	2	1	205	282	307	590	102	279	28	9	273	71	-14	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	42	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	231	286	359	645	128	295	29	7	271	72	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	130	117	26	5	1	2	11	35	1	1	0	222	295	333	628	111	297	27	8	278	78	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	202	181	41	8	1	4	17	54	2	2	1	227	300	348	648	122	298	27	8	284	81	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	246	220	51	10	2	5	21	65	3	3	1	232	307	364	671	132	299	26	9	287	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	272	244	57	11	2	6	23	72	3	3	1	234	307	369	676	135	299	26	8	289	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	287	258	60	12	2	6	24	76	3	3	1	233	305	364	670	132	299	26	8	290	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	288	258	59	11	2	6	25	76	3	3	1	229	304	357	661	128	298	26	9	290	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	285	255	58	11	2	6	25	76	3	3	1	227	304	357	661	129	298	27	9	289	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	278	249	57	11	2	6	24	75	3	3	1	229	304	361	666	133	297	27	9	287	84	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	293	262	59	11	2	6	26	79	3	3	1	225	302	351	654	126	296	27	9	285	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	60%	289	259	57	11	2	5	25	79	3	2	1	220	296	336	632	116	293	27	9	280	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	ARI	61%	279	250	54	10	2	5	24	78	3	2	1	216	292	332	624	116	289	28	9	275	76	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	ARI	62%	259	232	48	9	1	4	22	73	3	1	0	207	284	306	590	99	285	28	8	269	71	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3150	2824	636	122	21	62	270	850	33	29	10	225	300	349	649	124	298	27	9	284	80	-69	+2	-9	+56	+68	5.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	131	25	4	13	56	175	7	6	2	225	300	348	649	123	297	27	9	284	80	-14	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5890	5265	1156	213	34	117	508	1594	66	58	23	220	296	340	636	120	290	27	9	287	80	-123	+3	-15	+101	+122	9.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	128	24	4	13	56	176	7	6	3	220	297	343	639	122	290	27	9	287	80	-14	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.9	3,225	65	31	222	294	344	+58	+32	7.5	6.6
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+6.6	1.6	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Martinez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	206/278/294	88	287	1	1	28%	8%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/274/363	151	314	18	7	36%	7%	79	-0.2	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	43→49	42→50	44→50	43	213/265/317	104	278	10	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	231/290/362	131	316	13	11	29%	7%	84	+0.1	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	43→44	39→55	49→50	43	209/262/300	92	280	6	8	27%	6%	59	-1.7	212/262/331	119	273	12	10	26%	6%	66	-1.1	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕John Whittleman 2007 · A	20	40→43	40→50	46→45	47	196/260/288	92	257	7	7	26%	8%	56	-1.9	204/282/321	117	280	10	4	28%	10%	72	-0.7	198/284/316	119	270	11	2	29%	11%	71	-0.7
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→41	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	39	-3.1	207/271/343	136	302	13	8	34%	8%	73	-0.6	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	211/270/297	86	293	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	223/303/368	144	295	14	13	28%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→47	41→50	50	44	203/259/304	102	267	7	10	26%	7%	59	-1.7	221/283/344	123	281	11	10	24%	7%	77	-0.3	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2007 · A	20	42	42→50	49→50	42	207/266/309	103	292	10	8	32%	7%	63	-1.4	223/268/340	117	293	12	11	27%	5%	70	-0.8	249/293/390	141	308	15	8	23%	5%	90	+0.2
✕Jordany Valdespin 2008 · A	20	43→53	37→50	49→55	48	202/278/277	75	266	4	10	24%	8%	61	-1.5	224/265/323	99	274	7	13	20%	5%	65	-1.2	257/296/398	141	298	16	28	19%	4%	91	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps