Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 7 | 7 | 16 | 81 | 16 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 2.3 | 13.4% | 34.0% | -20.5% | 4.0% | 6.06 | 8.48 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 7 | 7 | 16 | 81 | 16 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 2.3 | 19.8% | 27.2% | -7.4% | 2.5% | 6.06 | 6.77 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 6 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 50% | 1.6 | 16.7% | 33.0% | -16.3% | 6.5% | 14.46 | 9.42 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 6 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 50% | 1.6 | 24.5% | 26.4% | -1.9% | 3.8% | 14.46 | 7.60 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 12 | 3 | 18 | 99 | 20 | 22 | 0 | 25% | 1.5 | 13.7% | 27.8% | -14.0% | 0.0% | 8.15 | 5.46 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 12 | 3 | 18 | 99 | 20 | 22 | 0 | 25% | 1.5 | 20.2% | 22.2% | -2.0% | 0.0% | 8.15 | 4.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | 13 | 4 | 33 | 152 | 44 | 29 | 2 | 31% | 2.5 | 19.7% | 23.8% | -4.2% | 1.8% | 5.18 | 5.47 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | SD | 8 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | SD | — | — | 42 | 190 | 53 | 33 | 3 | — | — | 27.7% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 5.05 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | SD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | SD | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.03 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 17 | 76 | 385 | 63 | 109 | 9 | 45% | 2.0 | 16.4% | 28.2% | -11.8% | 2.5% | 7.19 | 6.64 | -1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 100 | 45 | 200 | 1009 | 166 | 285 | 25 | 45% | 2.0 | 16.4% | 28.2% | -11.8% | 2.5% | 7.19 | 6.64 | -2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Erick Batista (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.41 | 23.1% | 12.9% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 81 |
| Juan Mendez R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 81 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 80 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 79 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 79 |
| Adrián Martinez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.30 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 4.09 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.02 | 526 | 79 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 77 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.69 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .260 | 4.57 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 177 | +0.88 | 3.69 | 247 | 76 |
| Brendan Collins R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 76 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 76 |
| Cole Stapler R 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 76 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 76 |
| Joel Ibarra R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.90 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 1.6% | .323 | 4.73 | 19.6% | -3.4% | 86 | +0.83 | 3.90 | 155 | 76 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 76 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 75 |
| Ivan Oviedo R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.42 | 21.2% | 14.0% | 4.3% | .353 | 4.00 | 20.1% | 3.6% | 33 | -1.42 | 3.60 | 174 | 75 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 75 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 75 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 75 |
| Franco Aleman R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 75 |