Wuilberth Mendez
P
FCL Tigers
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 150 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 122
ERA5.38
FIP5.38
K%12.3%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%2.2%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 160 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 82% | 3.3 | 11.9% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 6.44 | 4.95 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 160 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 82% | 3.3 | 17.5% | 3.1% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 6.44 | 3.76 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 222 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 11.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 2.65 | 3.81 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 222 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 13.1% | 1.4% | 2.65 | 2.92 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 47 | 200 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 69% | 3.6 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.32 | 5.18 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 47 | 200 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 69% | 3.6 | 19.0% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 5.32 | 3.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | DET | 9 | 9 | 45 | 188 | 23 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.0 | 12.3% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.38 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 9 | 9 | 46 | 195 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 15.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 48 | 201 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.97 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | DET | 8 | 8 | 47 | 200 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 16.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.97 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | DET | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 31 | 180 | 759 | 131 | 71 | 22 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.88 | 4.46 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 79 | 24 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.88 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 30 | 138 | 582 | 71 | 35 | 19 | 83% | 3.8 | 12.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.59 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 43 | 200 | 843 | 103 | 51 | 27 | 83% | 3.8 | 12.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wuilberth Mendez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.38 | 12.3% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 16.4% | 6.9% | 142 | -0.46 | — | — | — |
| Drew McDaniel R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.03 | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | .323 | 5.65 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 122 | +0.62 | 4.72 | 200 | 85 |
| Ben Hansen R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.86 | 12.5% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .372 | 4.29 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 88 | -0.57 | 4.29 | 149 | 84 |
| Luke Gabrysh R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.59 | 13.8% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.55 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 59 | +0.96 | 4.59 | 138 | 84 |
| Ryan Harvey R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.98 | 16.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .294 | 3.81 | 16.9% | 3.9% | 66 | -1.17 | 3.56 | 112 | 83 |
| Bryce Warrecker R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.43 | 11.3% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .271 | 3.28 | 21.7% | 13.4% | 72 | -2.15 | 2.48 | 135 | 83 |
| Jeremiah Burke R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.88 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% | .330 | 3.83 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 34 | -1.05 | 3.83 | 137 | 83 |
| Wellington Caceres R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.73 | 12.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 121 | 82 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.31 | 112 | 82 |
| Brooks Auger R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 82 |
| Bradley Brehmer R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.40 | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .349 | 2.88 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 82 | -1.52 | 2.76 | 153 | 82 |
| Cole Wiper R 2027 · 5.38 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.38 | 14.6% | 10.5% | 4.0% | .343 | 4.33 | 15.6% | 5.2% | 136 | -1.05 | 3.85 | 170 | 81 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 81 |
| Michael Ross R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 81 |
| Alex Romero R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.38 | 10.6% | 8.9% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.41 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 168 | +0.03 | 4.31 | 235 | 81 |
| Michael Matuella R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.26 | 13.5% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.37 | 16.5% | 3.4% | 94 | +0.11 | 3.60 | 169 | 81 |
| Dillon Tate R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.0% | 10.6% | 2.7% | .358 | 4.09 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 261 | -0.63 | 3.02 | 599 | 81 |
| Xavier Altamirano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.69 | 11.3% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.38 | 14.7% | 7.7% | 388 | -0.31 | 3.84 | 451 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .315 | 5.67 | 15.0% | -1.3% | 55 | +0.50 | 4.52 | 112 | 80 |
| Will Childers R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.30 | 11.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.22 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 143 | -1.08 | 3.50 | 202 | 80 |
| Jordan Geber R 2027 · 5.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.14 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .341 | 4.51 | 15.5% | 7.5% | 176 | -0.63 | 4.16 | 239 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 47 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 1.15 | 4.98 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |