Pedro Ibarguen

RF Wilson Warbirds
Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2338ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKMIL145.158/.319/.184094—.113/.220/.137
202519A/ROK2 orgs174.290/.408/.40731878—.234/.322/.324
202620AMIL335.245/.372/.36151969—.203/.303/.292
2027PROJMLE21MLBMIL445.214/.305/.31561178-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBMIL94.217/.307/.3282284-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBMIL175.220/.310/.3393487-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%79
BB%74
K%57
wOBA55
wRC+54
Speed46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 2.4, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%
CompsAlexis Hernandez (age 21) · Cody Freeman (age 21) · Troy Stokes Jr. (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .302 / .312
PA210
HR3
SB5
K%25
BB%10
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT41
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE63
scouting grade only
SPEED62
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 167132 41713 25327 77 311445447892 136380 1915 399 61 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Brewers — 145114 18110 26431 92 158319184503 26240 3018 250 4 — — — — — —
202519 ACarolina Mudcats — 6856 15001 11161 61 268397321718 54359 2416 341 79 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Brewers — 10689 27422 16151 124 303415461876 157347 1415 393 78 — — — — — —
202620 AWilson Warbirds — 335274 671515 51776 1912 245372361734 117320 2315 337 69 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 167139 27411 18387 77 194317259576 65238 2311 258 61 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 145124 14110 16621 92 113220137357 24194 4311 174 4 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 6859 14001 8211 61 237338288626 51361 3112 285 79 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 10695 22312 10221 124 232311347659 116278 219 284 78 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 335291 591214 361056 1912 203303292595 89293 3111 270 69 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 167139 27411 18387 77 194317259576 65252 2311 258 61 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 2 — 167132 41713 25327 77 311445447892 136380 1915 399 61 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 145124 14110 16621 92 113220137357 24212 4311 174 4 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Brewers — 145114 18110 26431 92 158319184503 26240 3018 250 4 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 174154 35312 18432 185 227316299615 71303 2510 284 79 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 174145 42423 27312 185 290408407815 117351 1816 372 79 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 335291 591214 361056 1912 203303292595 89299 3111 270 69 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWWilson Warbirds — 335274 671515 51776 1912 245372361734 117320 2315 337 69 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 167140 27411 18387 77 193317257574 64238 2311 258 61 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 145127 14110 16621 92 110220134354 24194 4311 174 4 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 174152 35312 18432 185 230316303619 72310 2510 284 79 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 335290 591214 361056 1912 203303293596 90293 3111 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 145127 14110 16621 92 110220134354 24194 4311 174 4 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 174152 35312 18432 185 230316303619 72310 2510 284 79 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 335290 591214 361056 1912 203303293596 90293 3111 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEMIL 0% 445392 841726 451105 114 214305315620 101278 2510 284 78 -11 +1 +0 -5 +10 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEMIL 34% 275242 531015 28673 73 219309331640 112280 2410 292 84 -5 +0 +0 -3 +6 -0.2
202923 MLB MLEMIL 48% 362318 721427 37864 93 223312342654 119281 2410 297 87 -5 +1 +0 -4 +8 -0.1
203024 MLB MLEMIL 53% 418367 821628 43995 114 226314349663 123283 2410 301 90 -5 +1 +0 -4 +9 0.0
203125 MLB MLEMIL 55% 448395 891729 451055 114 227315353669 126283 2310 303 91 -5 +1 +0 -5 +10 0.1
203226 MLB MLEMIL 56% 463408 9318210 471095 124 228315356671 128283 2410 303 91 -5 +1 +0 -5 +10 0.1
203327 MLB MLEMIL 55% 468413 9318210 471105 124 226314353667 126282 2410 302 90 -5 +1 +0 -5 +10 0.1
203428 MLB MLEMIL 55% 466411 9318210 471115 114 224312347659 123281 2410 299 88 -6 +1 -1 -5 +10 -0.1
203529 MLB MLEMIL 58% 455401 891729 461105 94 221309340649 119279 2410 295 86 -8 +0 -1 -5 +10 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXMIL 34% 9483 17302 10231 21 217307328635 111275 2411 290 84 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXMIL 48% 175153 33613 18422 42 220310339649 119277 2410 295 87 -3 +0 +0 -2 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXMIL 53% 220193 44815 22523 62 223312347659 124278 2410 299 90 -3 +0 +0 -2 +5 0.0
203125 MLB CTXMIL 55% 245215 48915 25583 62 225313351664 127278 2410 301 91 -3 +0 +0 -3 +5 0.0
203226 MLB CTXMIL 56% 258227 51916 26613 62 225313354667 128278 2410 302 91 -3 +0 +0 -3 +6 0.1
203327 MLB CTXMIL 55% 257226 51916 26613 62 224312351663 127278 2410 300 90 -3 +0 +0 -3 +6 0.0
203428 MLB CTXMIL 55% 255224 50916 26613 62 222310345655 123276 2410 297 88 -4 +0 -0 -3 +6 -0.1
203529 MLB CTXMIL 58% 264232 50915 27643 52 219307338645 119274 2410 293 86 -5 +0 -1 -3 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 17681553 34462738 18042221 4115 222311344655 122278 2410 298 82 -23 +2 -1 -19 +38 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 12723314 661558 156 222312347659 124279 2410 298 82 -9 +1 -0 -7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 43863848 8391562078 449109755 14058 218309330638 112282 2510 290 82 -50 +5 -2 -38 +77 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 12523312 671638 219 219310333643 114283 2510 290 82 -9 +1 -0 -7 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AWilson Warbirds · 335 PAwOBA .330 → .270 (−60)K% 23.0% → 31.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.99%÷1.000×1.360——31.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.93%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03010.61%
HBP% /PA1.79%—×0.780—×1.0301.44%
Singles /BIP23.35%÷1.000×0.920×0.996×1.03022.03%
Doubles /BIP7.61%÷1.000×0.830×0.996×1.0306.48%
Triples /BIP0.51%÷1.000×0.910×0.996×1.0300.47%
Home runs /BIP2.54%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0302.09%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .330 → .270; ISO .117 → .095; BABIP .320 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 106 PAwOBA .383 → .284 (−100)K% 14.2% → 20.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.15%÷0.973×1.440——20.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.09%÷1.011×0.620—×1.0089.32%
HBP% /PA0.94%—×0.720—×1.0080.68%
Singles /BIP25.68%÷1.031×0.820×1.042×1.00821.44%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷1.109×0.720×1.042×1.0083.69%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.001×0.720×1.042×1.0082.04%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷0.971×0.780—×1.0082.19%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .383 → .284; ISO .157 → .118; BABIP .347 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 68 PAwOBA .333 → .285 (−48)K% 23.5% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.53%÷1.033×1.360——30.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.18%÷0.981×0.690—×1.04511.89%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.780—×1.0451.20%
Singles /BIP35.00%÷0.948×0.920—×1.04535.48%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.002×0.830—×1.0450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP2.50%÷1.214×0.800—×1.0451.72%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .333 → .285; ISO .054 → .035; BABIP .359 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Brewers · 145 PAwOBA .252 → .174 (−78)K% 29.7% → 42.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.66%÷1.002×1.440——42.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.93%÷1.014×0.620—×1.02211.21%
HBP% /PA0.69%—×0.720—×1.0220.51%
Singles /BIP22.54%÷1.015×0.820×0.994×1.02218.51%
Doubles /BIP1.41%÷1.088×0.720×0.994×1.0220.95%
Triples /BIP1.41%÷0.900×0.720×0.994×1.0221.15%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.947×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .252 → .174; ISO .026 → .019; BABIP .240 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 167 PAwOBA .396 → .258 (−139)K% 19.2% → 22.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.16%÷1.023×1.220——22.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.97%÷0.996×0.700—×1.02210.76%
HBP% /PA4.19%—×0.700—×1.0223.00%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷1.008×0.680×0.950×1.02219.65%
Doubles /BIP7.00%÷0.986×0.600×0.950×1.0224.14%
Triples /BIP1.00%÷1.125×0.600×0.950×1.0220.52%
Home runs /BIP3.00%÷1.904×0.470—×1.0220.76%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 281, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 125, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .396 → .258; ISO .136 → .060; BABIP .380 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).