Pedro Ibarguen — OGILVIE

Pedro IbarguenRF Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION231 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .288 / .279

PA154

HR2

SB6

K%31

BB%10

BABIP284

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	141	31	5	1	1	16	44	7	7	7	220	329	291	620	71	303	26	10	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	132	41	7	1	3	25	32	7	7	7	311	445	447	892	136	380	19	15	399	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	124	14	1	1	0	16	62	1	9	2	113	220	137	357	24	212	43	11	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	114	18	1	1	0	26	43	1	9	2	158	319	184	503	26	240	30	18	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	174	155	34	2	1	2	17	44	2	18	5	219	305	284	588	65	294	25	10	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	174	145	42	4	2	3	27	31	2	18	5	290	408	407	815	117	351	18	16	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	MIL	—	231	202	42	10	0	4	22	78	5	12	11	208	301	317	618	109	311	34	10	283	75	-7	-2	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
YTD	20	A	MIL	—	231	188	50	13	0	5	36	55	5	12	11	266	397	415	812	149	346	24	16	367	139	+10	-2	+0	-2	+7	1.3
ROS	20	A	MIL	0%	154	136	27	5	0	2	15	47	2	6	4	199	288	279	567	81	286	31	10	268	64	-6	-0	+0	-2	+4	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	255	53	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	MIL	—	231	203	42	10	0	4	22	78	5	12	11	207	301	315	617	108	309	34	10	283	75	-7	-2	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
TOT	20	A	MIL	—	385	338	69	15	0	6	37	125	7	18	15	204	296	302	598	98	300	32	10	277	70	-13	-2	+0	-4	+11	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIL	34%	356	313	65	12	1	6	35	104	5	10	6	208	297	310	607	102	288	29	10	281	73	-11	-0	+0	-4	+10	-0.5
2028	22	MLB	MIL	48%	443	390	84	15	2	9	43	125	7	12	7	215	305	333	638	118	289	28	10	289	79	-10	-0	+0	-5	+13	-0.3
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	493	435	95	17	2	11	48	137	7	13	8	218	306	343	649	124	290	28	10	294	83	-9	-1	+0	-5	+14	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	525	461	102	18	2	12	51	144	8	14	8	221	310	347	657	126	291	27	10	297	86	-9	-0	+0	-6	+15	0.0
2031	25	MLB	MIL	56%	540	474	105	19	2	12	53	148	8	14	8	222	310	346	656	124	291	27	10	299	87	-8	-0	+0	-6	+15	0.1
2032	26	MLB	MIL	56%	547	480	107	19	2	13	54	150	8	14	8	223	312	352	664	129	291	27	10	299	87	-8	-0	+0	-6	+15	0.1
2033	27	MLB	MIL	55%	546	478	105	19	2	12	55	150	8	14	8	220	311	343	654	123	290	27	10	299	87	-8	-0	+0	-6	+15	0.1
2027	21	MLB	MIL	34%	122	107	22	4	0	2	12	36	2	3	2	206	298	299	597	93	286	30	10	268	63	-5	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	MIL	48%	215	189	40	7	1	4	21	61	3	6	3	212	300	323	623	111	287	28	10	276	69	-7	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	267	235	51	9	1	6	26	74	4	7	4	217	306	340	646	123	288	28	10	281	73	-8	-0	+0	-3	+8	-0.4
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	291	257	55	10	1	6	28	80	4	8	4	214	301	331	632	117	289	27	10	284	75	-8	+0	+0	-3	+8	-0.3
2031	25	MLB	MIL	56%	302	264	58	10	1	7	30	83	5	8	5	220	311	345	656	125	289	27	10	285	76	-8	-0	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
2032	26	MLB	MIL	56%	308	270	60	11	1	7	30	84	5	8	5	222	311	348	660	126	288	27	10	285	77	-8	-0	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
2033	27	MLB	MIL	55%	302	264	58	10	1	7	30	83	5	8	4	220	311	345	656	125	288	27	10	285	77	-8	+0	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1807	1587	344	61	6	39	177	501	28	48	27	217	307	336	643	120	289	28	10	282	74	-53	-1	+0	-19	+51	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	124	22	2	14	64	180	10	17	10	217	307	336	644	119	289	28	10	282	74	-19	-1	+0	-7	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	4090	3587	769	132	16	80	403	1155	63	131	71	214	305	327	632	113	290	28	10	288	78	-101	-2	+0	-44	+116	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	123	21	3	13	64	184	10	21	11	216	306	332	637	116	292	28	10	288	78	-16	-0	+0	-7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	132	41	7	1	3	25	32	7	7	7	311	445	447	892	136	380	19	15	399	163	+12	-1	—	—	+5	1.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	114	18	1	1	0	26	43	1	9	2	158	319	184	503	26	240	30	18	250	50	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	68	56	15	0	0	1	11	16	1	6	1	268	397	321	718	54	359	24	16	341	119	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	106	89	27	4	2	2	16	15	1	12	4	303	415	461	876	157	347	14	15	393	159	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,036	42	54	218	304	336	-22	-5	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	14	18	218	304	336	-7.1	-1.6	-0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pedro Ibarguen (OGILVIE)	20	28→33	36→41	56→61	61	204/296/302	98	300	6	18	32%	10%	70	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Manuel Hilario 2012 · A	20	41	39→45	53→55	49	191/292/282	91	255	5	18	25%	9%	64	-0.8	206/275/300	94	272	6	17	25%	7%	60	-1.0	200/260/292	93	259	6	20	24%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	53	-1.5	204/274/319	115	276	10	18	28%	7%	65	-0.7	194/270/326	132	268	13	19	31%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	43	38→40	49→55	44	200/281/273	73	300	6	17	33%	8%	56	-1.3	202/260/281	79	348	6	8	41%	6%	48	-1.9	177/223/243	65	328	7	2	46%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
●Derek Hill 2016 · A	20	42→51	37→50	57→60	43	201/256/274	73	272	4	24	26%	6%	44	-2.1	198/248/270	72	310	3	27	35%	6%	39	-2.5	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	40	38→45	48→50	45	192/266/269	77	269	5	10	29%	8%	48	-1.9	216/284/317	101	292	9	7	27%	7%	68	-0.5	213/282/313	100	281	9	5	26%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	39→40	53→55	44	205/260/298	92	275	5	6	27%	7%	52	-1.6	224/299/302	78	328	5	17	30%	8%	70	-0.3	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	196/264/288	92	278	8	16	31%	8%	52	-1.6	236/297/340	104	317	6	24	26%	7%	79	+0.3	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	40→50	57→55	42	201/257/293	92	281	6	22	30%	7%	50	-1.8	232/286/367	135	290	12	21	23%	7%	82	+0.5	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
●Óscar Mercado 2015 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→60	42	180/237/249	69	230	5	19	23%	5%	30	-3.1	202/248/271	69	254	4	26	21%	5%	40	-2.4	240/303/397	157	276	16	22	19%	7%	94	+1.0
✕Anthony Alford 2014 · A	20	44→47	40→45	55	45	208/281/305	97	297	6	12	30%	8%	63	-0.8	204/278/297	93	338	7	16	38%	8%	60	-1.0	209/280/331	122	329	12	24	37%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Edwin Gomez 2007 · A	19	42	35→45	52→50	42	197/253/253	57	281	2	16	29%	7%	37	-2.6	219/296/310	91	297	7	13	26%	9%	71	-0.3	224/321/329	105	291	9	17	24%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	46	36→40	54→60	39	211/270/286	75	319	3	19	33%	6%	53	-1.5	210/261/283	73	336	3	11	36%	6%	48	-1.9	184/230/216	32	334	0	4	42%	5%	14	-0.9
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→35	41→45	53→50	41	222/281/319	97	293	8	13	26%	6%	67	-0.5	197/253/262	65	273	3	10	27%	6%	40	-2.4	177/233/223	47	249	1	10	27%	5%	21	-2.0
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→46	39→55	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	56	-1.3	215/291/294	79	285	6	17	24%	8%	66	-0.6	226/298/350	124	305	12	20	28%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5